mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Centaur: Robust End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Test-Time Training

arXiv 2503.11650 ↗First posted 14 Mar 2025cs.RO cs.AI cs.CVcited by 41

On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture

Abstract (arXiv)

How can we rely on an end-to-end autonomous vehicle's complex decision-making system during deployment? One common solution is to have a ``fallback layer'' that checks the planned trajectory for rule violations and replaces it with a pre-defined safe action if necessary. Another approach involves adjusting the planner's decisions to minimize a pre-defined ``cost function'' using additional system predictions such as road layouts and detected obstacles. However, these pre-programmed rules or cost functions cannot learn and improve with new training data, often resulting in overly conservative behaviors. In this work, we propose Centaur (Cluster Entropy for Test-time trAining using Uncertainty) which updates a planner's behavior via test-time training, without relying on hand-engineered rules or cost functions. Instead, we measure and minimize the uncertainty in the planner's decisions. For this, we develop a novel uncertainty measure, called Cluster Entropy, which is simple, interpretable, and compatible with state-of-the-art planning algorithms. Using data collected at prior test-time time-steps, we perform an update to the model's parameters using a gradient that minimizes the Cluster Entropy. With only this sole gradient update prior to inference, Centaur exhibits significant improvements, ranking first on the navtest leaderboard with notable gains in safety-critical metrics such as time to collision. To provide detailed insights on a per-scenario basis, we also introduce navsafe, a challenging new benchmark, which highlights previously undiscovered failure modes of driving models.

Key facts. Cited by 41 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 52 of its 61 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Mar 2025.

Builds on

52 of 61 references.

Closest ancestors · 13

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024Hidden Biases of End-to-End Driving Datasets12 Dec
  2. 2024NAVSIM: Data-Driven Non-Reactive Autonomous Vehicle Simulation and Benchmarking21 Jun
  3. 2024Bench2Drive: Towards Multi-Ability Benchmarking of Closed-Loop End-To-End Autonomous Driving6 Jun
  4. 2023Is Ego Status All You Need for Open-Loop End-to-End Autonomous Driving?5 Dec
  5. 2023DriveAdapter: Breaking the Coupling Barrier of Perception and Planning in End-to-End Autonomous Driving1 Aug
  6. 2023End-to-end Autonomous Driving: Challenges and Frontiers29 Jun
  7. 2023Hidden Biases of End-to-End Driving Models13 Jun
  8. 2023Think Twice before Driving: Towards Scalable Decoders for End-to-End Autonomous Driving10 May
  9. 2022Trajectory-guided Control Prediction for End-to-end Autonomous Driving: A Simple yet Strong Baseline16 Jun
  10. 2022TransFuser: Imitation with Transformer-Based Sensor Fusion for Autonomous Driving31 May
  11. 2021SafetyNet: Safe planning for real-world self-driving vehicles using machine-learned policies28 Sep
  12. 2021NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles22 Jun
1 more
  1. 2021Multi-Modal Fusion Transformer for End-to-End Autonomous Driving19 Apr

Other references · 39

  1. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
  2. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
  3. 2017CARLA: An Open Urban Driving Simulatorcited by 2,431
  4. 2022Planning-oriented Autonomous Drivingcited by 1,068
  5. 2023Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generationcited by 795
  6. 2023GAIA-1: A Generative World Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 618
  7. 2023VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Drivingcited by 613
  8. 2023DriveLM: Driving with Graph Visual Question Answeringcited by 527
  9. 2022Continual Test-Time Domain Adaptationcited by 520
  10. 2022Test-Time Prompt Tuning for Zero-Shot Generalization in Vision-Language Modelscited by 379
  11. 2019Deep Evidential Regressioncited by 354
  12. 2023A Comprehensive Survey on Test-Time Adaptation under Distribution Shiftscited by 353
27 more
  1. 2024Vista: A Generalizable Driving World Model with High Fidelity and Versatile Controllabilitycited by 337
  2. 2024Learning to (Learn at Test Time): RNNs with Expressive Hidden Statescited by 329
  3. 2024DiffusionDrive: Truncated Diffusion Model for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 324
  4. 2024VADv2: End-to-End Vectorized Autonomous Driving via Probabilistic Planningcited by 287
  5. 2023DriveDreamer: Towards Real-world-driven World Models for Autonomous Drivingcited by 258
  6. 2021Is Pseudo-Lidar needed for Monocular 3D Object detection?cited by 248
  7. 2024Hydra-MDP: End-to-end Multimodal Planning with Multi-target Hydra-Distillationcited by 244
  8. 2023Parting with Misconceptions about Learning-based Vehicle Motion Planningcited by 238
  9. 2021MP3: A Unified Model to Map, Perceive, Predict and Plancited by 211
  10. 2023Scene as Occupancycited by 208
  11. 2021NEAT: Neural Attention Fields for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 174
  12. 2020Perceive, Predict, and Plan: Safe Motion Planning Through Interpretable Semantic Representationscited by 150
  13. 2024GenAD: Generalized Predictive Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 150
  14. 2022Model-Based Imitation Learning for Urban Drivingcited by 149
  15. 2017On a Formal Model of Safe and Scalable Self-driving Carscited by 129
  16. 2020Self-Supervised Policy Adaptation during Deploymentcited by 121
  17. 2024C-TPT: Calibrated Test-Time Prompt Tuning for Vision-Language Models via Text Feature Dispersioncited by 82
  18. 2025RAD: Training an End-to-End Driving Policy via Large-Scale 3DGS-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 76
  19. 2023Universal Test-time Adaptation through Weight Ensembling, Diversity Weighting, and Prior Correctioncited by 65
  20. 2022"Curse of rarity" for autonomous vehiclescited by 62
  21. 2024Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?cited by 38
  22. 2023Fast-Slow Test-Time Adaptation for Online Vision-and-Language Navigationcited by 25
  23. 2023Open-sourced Data Ecosystem in Autonomous Driving: the Present and Futurecited by 22
  24. 2023ClusT3: Information Invariant Test-Time Trainingcited by 21
  25. 2024T4P: Test-Time Training of Trajectory Prediction via Masked Autoencoder and Actor-specific Token Memorycited by 20
  26. 2023Imitation with Spatial-Temporal Heatmap: 2nd Place Solution for NuPlan Challengecited by 19
  27. 2024Autonomous Driving With Perception Uncertainties: Deep-Ensemble Based Adaptive Cruise Controlcited by 5

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 17; 2026: 24.

41 papers.

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  1. 2025AutoVLA: A Vision-Language-Action Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Adaptive Reasoning and Reinforcement Fine-Tuningcited by 252
  2. 2025End-to-End Driving with Online Trajectory Evaluation via BEV World Modelcited by 145
  3. 2025Generalized Trajectory Scoring for End-to-end Multimodal Planningcited by 63
  4. 2025DriveDPO: Policy Learning via Safety DPO For End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 39
  5. 2025RAP: 3D Rasterization Augmented End-to-End Planningcited by 39
  6. 2026Driving on Registerscited by 38
  7. 2025Reinforced Refinement with Self-Aware Expansion for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 19
  8. 2025Zero-Human Demonstration End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Trajectory Scorercited by 16
  9. 2025MindDrive: An All-in-One Framework Bridging World Models and Vision-Language Model for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
  10. 2026chi0: Resource-Aware Robust Manipulation via Taming Distributional Inconsistenciescited by 11
  11. 2026DynVLA: Learning World Dynamics for Action Reasoning in Autonomous Drivingcited by 11
  12. 2026MindDriver: Introducing Progressive Multimodal Reasoning for Autonomous Drivingcited by 10
29 more
  1. 2026ExploreVLA: Dense World Modeling and Exploration for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 10
  2. 2025ETA: Efficiency through Thinking Ahead, A Dual Approach to Self-Driving with Large Modelscited by 9
  3. 2025WaymoQA: A Multi-View Visual Question Answering Dataset for Safety-Critical Reasoning in Autonomous Drivingcited by 9
  4. 2026CLOVER: Closed-Loop Value Estimation and Ranking for End-to-End Autonomous Driving Planningcited by 9
  5. 2026Test-Time Trajectory Optimization for Autonomous Drivingcited by 7
  6. 2025Spatial Retrieval Augmented Autonomous Drivingcited by 5
  7. 2025TransDiffuser: Diverse Trajectory Generation with Decorrelated Multi-modal Representation for End-to-end Autonomous Drivingcited by 4
  8. 2026HAD: Combining Hierarchical Diffusion with Metric-Decoupled RL for End-to-End Drivingcited by 4
  9. 2026ChainFlow-VLA: Causal Flow Planning with Vision-Language Modelscited by 3
  10. 2026DA-WAM: Decision-Aligned Future Latents for Driving World Modelscited by 3
  11. 2025SimpleVSF: VLM-Scoring Fusion for Trajectory Prediction of End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 2
  12. 2025Map-World: Masked Action planning and Path-Integral World Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 2
  13. 2025HMAD: Advancing E2E Driving with Anchored Offset Proposals and Simulation-Supervised Multi-target Scoringcited by 1
  14. 2025SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
  15. 2026A Unified Candidate Set with Scene-Adaptive Refinement via Diffusion for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
  16. 2026DeepSight: Long-Horizon World Modeling via Latent States Prediction for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
  17. 2026SparseWorld: Enhancing End-to-End Autonomous Driving via World Models with Sparse Scene Representationcited by 1
  18. 2026Large Discrete Policy: Advancing Explicit Behavior Modeling with Stochastic Iterative Scoringcited by 1
  19. 2025EvoPSF: Online Evolution of Autonomous Driving Models via Planning-State Feedbackcited by 0
  20. 2026GSDrive: Reinforcing Driving Policies by Multi-mode Future Trajectory Probing with 3D Gaussian Splatting Environmentcited by 0
  21. 2026VeriDrive: Verifiable Counterfactual Supervision for Cost-Efficient Vision-Language Planningcited by 0
  22. 2026Physics-Grounded Causal Auditing of End-to-End Driving Plannerscited by 0
  23. 2026Test-Time Coverage: Test-Conditioned Data Curation for Deployment-Aware Learningcited by 0
  24. 2026DriveVLA-M0: Failure-Aware Memory Augmentation for Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
  25. 2026Plug-and-Play Traffic Element Awareness for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
  26. 2026VIPS: Vehicle-Infrastructure Cooperative Planning Benchmark via Pseudo-Simulationcited by 0
  27. 2026DriveZero: End-to-End Driving Beyond Human Demonstrationscited by 0
  28. 2026Driving on Registers, Reasoning on Risk: Risk-Aware Occupancy for Register-Based End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
  29. 2026Closed-Loop Refinement and Execution for Learned Driving Plannerscited by 0

Similar, not cited

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  1. 2026DriveVer: Lightweight Trajectory Evaluator as Test-Time Verifier for Autonomous Driving
  2. 2022Driver Dojo: A Benchmark for Generalizable Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous Driving
  3. 2026A Survey on End-to-End Autonomous Driving Training from the Perspectives of Data, Strategy, and Platform
  4. 2022Embedding Synthetic Off-Policy Experience for Autonomous Driving via Zero-Shot Curricula
  5. 2023Interpretable and Flexible Target-Conditioned Neural Planners For Autonomous Vehicles
  6. 2025Model-Based Policy Adaptation for Closed-Loop End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  7. 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Driving
  8. 2026Bridging Predictive Uncertainty and Safe Action: Sample-Conditioned Differentiable Planning for Autonomous Driving