mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Driving

arXiv 2511.22865 ↗First posted 28 Nov 2025cs.RO cs.CVcited by 1

On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture

Abstract (arXiv)

End-to-End (E2E) planning has become a powerful paradigm for autonomous driving, yet current systems remain fundamentally uncertainty-blind. They assume perception outputs are fully reliable, even in ambiguous or poorly observed scenes, leaving the planner without an explicit measure of uncertainty. To address this limitation, we propose a camera-only E2E framework that estimates aleatoric uncertainty directly in BEV space and incorporates it into planning. Our method produces a dense, uncertainty-aware drivability map that captures both semantic structure and geometric layout at pixel-level resolution. To further promote safe and rule-compliant behavior, we introduce a lane-following regularization that encodes lane structure and traffic norms. This prior stabilizes trajectory planning under normal conditions while preserving the flexibility needed for maneuvers such as overtaking or lane changes. Together, these components enable robust and interpretable trajectory planning, even under challenging uncertainty conditions. Evaluated on the NAVSIM benchmark, our method achieves state-of-the-art performance, delivering substantial gains on both the challenging NAVHARD and NAVSAFE subsets. These results demonstrate that our principled aleatoric uncertainty modeling combined with driving priors significantly advances the safety and reliability of camera-only E2E autonomous driving.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 35 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 Nov 2025.

Builds on

35 of 41 references.

Closest ancestors · 12

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025UncAD: Towards Safe End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Online Map Uncertainty17 Apr
  2. 2025End-to-End Driving with Online Trajectory Evaluation via BEV World Model2 Apr
  3. 2025Centaur: Robust End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Test-Time Training14 Mar
  4. 2025DriveTransformer: Unified Transformer for Scalable End-to-End Autonomous Driving7 Mar
  5. 2024DRAMA: An Efficient End-to-end Motion Planner for Autonomous Driving with Mamba7 Aug
  6. 2024NAVSIM: Data-Driven Non-Reactive Autonomous Vehicle Simulation and Benchmarking21 Jun
  7. 2024Enhancing End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Latent World Model12 Jun
  8. 2024SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation30 May
  9. 2023Is Ego Status All You Need for Open-Loop End-to-End Autonomous Driving?5 Dec
  10. 2023End-to-end Autonomous Driving: Challenges and Frontiers29 Jun
  11. 2022TransFuser: Imitation with Transformer-Based Sensor Fusion for Autonomous Driving31 May
  12. 2021NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles22 Jun

Other references · 23

  1. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 52,096
  2. 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
  3. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,352
  4. 2022BEVFormer: Learning Bird's-Eye-View Representation from Multi-Camera Images via Spatiotemporal Transformerscited by 1,218
  5. 2022Planning-oriented Autonomous Drivingcited by 1,087
  6. 2023VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Drivingcited by 622
  7. 2024DiffusionDrive: Truncated Diffusion Model for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 334
  8. 2023Exploring Object-Centric Temporal Modeling for Efficient Multi-View 3D Object Detectioncited by 315
  9. 2022BEVFormer v2: Adapting Modern Image Backbones to Bird's-Eye-View Recognition via Perspective Supervisioncited by 302
  10. 2024VADv2: End-to-End Vectorized Autonomous Driving via Probabilistic Planningcited by 289
  11. 2024Hydra-MDP: End-to-end Multimodal Planning with Multi-target Hydra-Distillationcited by 249
  12. 2021Deep Deterministic Uncertainty: A Simple Baselinecited by 200
11 more
  1. 2025OpenDriveVLA: Towards End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Large Vision Language Action Modelcited by 176
  2. 2025Pseudo-Simulation for Autonomous Drivingcited by 150
  3. 2023IEBins: Iterative Elastic Bins for Monocular Depth Estimationcited by 54
  4. 2024Producing and Leveraging Online Map Uncertainty in Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
  5. 2024GraphAD: Interaction Scene Graph for End-to-end Autonomous Drivingcited by 25
  6. 2025Toward Real-world BEV Perception: Depth Uncertainty Estimation via Gaussian Splattingcited by 20
  7. 2025MapDiffusion: Generative Diffusion for Vectorized Online HD Map Construction and Uncertainty Estimation in Autonomous Drivingcited by 13
  8. 2025FASIONAD++ : Integrating High-Level Instruction and Information Bottleneck in FAt-Slow fusION Systems for Enhanced Safety in Autonomous Driving with Adaptive Feedbackcited by 12
  9. 2023Safe Navigation in Unstructured Environments by Minimizing Uncertainty in Control and Perceptioncited by 5
  10. 2024CUQDS: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification under Distribution Shift for Trajectory Predictioncited by 5
  11. 2025Empirical Performance Evaluation of Lane Keeping Assist on Modern Production Vehiclescited by 1

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

1 paper.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026A Reliable Context-Aware and Temporal Planning Framework for Autonomous Driving
  2. 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Driving
  3. 2025Using Ensemble Diffusion to Estimate Uncertainty for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  4. 2026Planning-Oriented End-to-End Autonomous Driving: Architectures, Evaluation, and Emerging Paradigms
  5. 2025Don't Shake the Wheel: Momentum-Aware Planning in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  6. 2026What Matters for Scalable and Robust Learning in End-to-End Driving Planners?
  7. 2026HERMES: A Holistic End-to-End Risk-Aware Multimodal Embodied System with Vision-Language Models for Long-Tail Autonomous Driving
  8. 2026S2Planner: Multi-Scale Semantic Planner for End-to-End Autonomous Driving