Fair Inference On Outcomes
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this paper, we consider the problem of fair statistical inference involving outcome variables. Examples include classification and regression problems, and estimating treatment effects in randomized trials or observational data. The issue of fairness arises in such problems where some covariates or treatments are "sensitive," in the sense of having potential of creating discrimination. In this paper, we argue that the presence of discrimination can be formalized in a sensible way as the presence of an effect of a sensitive covariate on the outcome along certain causal pathways, a view which generalizes (Pearl, 2009). A fair outcome model can then be learned by solving a constrained optimization problem. We discuss a number of complications that arise in classical statistical inference due to this view and provide workarounds based on recent work in causal and semi-parametric inference.
Key facts. Cited by 144 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 29 May 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 25; 2022: 38; 2023: 34; 2024: 21; 2025: 15; 2026: 11.
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- 2023Reasoning or Reciting? Exploring the Capabilities and Limitations of Language Models Through Counterfactual Taskscited by 246
- 2022Bias Mitigation for Machine Learning Classifiers: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 125
- 2021Data Collection and Quality Challenges in Deep Learning: A Data-Centric AI Perspectivecited by 116
- 2021DECAF: Generating Fair Synthetic Data Using Causally-Aware Generative Networkscited by 109
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 107
- 2021Trustworthy AI: A Computational Perspectivecited by 93
- 2021Socially Responsible AI Algorithms: Issues, Purposes, and Challengescited by 56
- 2021On the Adversarial Robustness of Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 56
- 2021Explaining Black-Box Algorithms Using Probabilistic Contrastive Counterfactualscited by 55
- 2021Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspectivecited by 51
- 2021Sample Selection for Fair and Robust Trainingcited by 48
- 2022Causal Conceptions of Fairness and their Consequencescited by 38
38 more
- 2021Interpretable Data-Based Explanations for Fairness Debuggingcited by 30
- 2022Causal Explanations and XAIcited by 30
- 2022Causally Testing Gender Bias in LLMs: A Case Study on Occupational Biascited by 28
- 2021Transport-based Counterfactual Modelscited by 27
- 2022Fairness in Recommendation: Foundations, Methods and Applicationscited by 27
- 2023Sharp Bounds for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 24
- 2021When Fair Ranking Meets Uncertain Inferencecited by 22
- 2021Fairness On The Ground: Applying Algorithmic Fairness Approaches to Production Systemscited by 21
- 2024Prompting Fairness: Integrating Causality to Debias Large Language Modelscited by 21
- 2022Fairness Amidst Non-IID Graph Data: A Literature Reviewcited by 20
- 2022A Survey on Fairness for Machine Learning on Graphscited by 20
- 2022Counterfactual Fairness with Partially Known Causal Graphcited by 20
- 2023Reasoning about Causality in Gamescited by 20
- 2024Auditing the Use of Language Models to Guide Hiring Decisionscited by 20
- 2022Achieving Long-Term Fairness in Sequential Decision Makingcited by 19
- 2022What-is and How-to for Fairness in Machine Learning: A Survey, Reflection, and Perspectivecited by 18
- 2022Algorithmic Fairness in Business Analytics: Directions for Research and Practicecited by 18
- 2021Removing biased data to improve fairness and accuracycited by 17
- 2021Explaining Algorithmic Fairness Through Fairness-Aware Causal Path Decompositioncited by 17
- 2021Modeling Techniques for Machine Learning Fairness: A Surveycited by 17
- 2023Causal Context Connects Counterfactual Fairness to Robust Prediction and Group Fairnesscited by 17
- 2021Algorithmic Fairness Verification with Graphical Modelscited by 16
- 2022Selection, Ignorability and Challenges With Causal Fairnesscited by 16
- 2022Causal Discovery for Fairnesscited by 16
- 2023A Review of the Role of Causality in Developing Trustworthy AI Systemscited by 14
- 2021Through the Data Management Lens: Experimental Analysis and Evaluation of Fair Classificationcited by 13
- 2021FADE: FAir Double Ensemble Learning for Observable and Counterfactual Outcomescited by 13
- 2024The Pursuit of Fairness in Artificial Intelligence Models: A Surveycited by 13
- 2021FairCanary: Rapid Continuous Explainable Fairnesscited by 12
- 2023Robustness Implies Fairness in Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 12
- 2021Learning to be Fair: A Consequentialist Approach to Equitable Decision-Makingcited by 11
- 2022Input-agnostic Certified Group Fairness via Gaussian Parameter Smoothingcited by 11
- 2023Fair Off-Policy Learning from Observational Datacited by 11
- 2022Why Fair Labels Can Yield Unfair Predictions: Graphical Conditions for Introduced Unfairnesscited by 10
- 2022Attainability and Optimality: The Equalized Odds Fairness Revisitedcited by 10
- 2022Learning Counterfactually Invariant Predictorscited by 10
- 2022Fairness and robustness in anti-causal predictioncited by 10
- 2022DeepMed: Semiparametric Causal Mediation Analysis with Debiased Deep Learningcited by 10
50 most cited of 144 All 144 (JSON)
- 2026Causally Fair Generation with Large Language Models3 Oct 2026
- 2026GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits3 Aug 2026
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inference21 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Bias Detection in Generative Artificial Intelligence12 May 2026
- 2026Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning7 May 2026
- 2026Fairness of Classifiers in the Presence of Constraints between Features1 May 2026
- 2026CAFP: A Post-Processing Framework for Group Fairness via Counterfactual Model Averaging8 Apr 2026
- 2026Fair Data Pre-Processing with Imperfect Attribute Space27 Mar 2026
- 2026Masking Causality and Conditional Dependence7 Mar 2026
- 2026A pipeline for enabling path-specific causal fairness in observational health data14 Jan 2026
- 2026Causal Manifold Fairness: Enforcing Geometric Invariance in Representation Learning6 Jan 2026
- 2025Partial Identification Approach to Counterfactual Fairness Assessment30 Sep 2025
38 more
- 2025Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization Through the Lens of Structural Causal Models and Individual Fairness30 Sep 2025
- 2025CAF'E: Causal Black-Box Testing of Machine Unlearning20 Sep 2025
- 2025CausalPre: Scalable and Effective Data Pre-Processing for Causal Fairness18 Sep 2025
- 2025Position: Beyond Sensitive Attributes, ML Fairness Should Quantify Structural Injustice via Social Determinants10 Aug 2025
- 2025Algorithmic Fairness: Not a Purely Technical but Socio-Technical Property14 Jun 2025
- 2025Uncovering Bias Paths with LLM-guided Causal Discovery: An Active Learning and Dynamic Scoring Approach13 Jun 2025
- 2025Transparency and Proportionality in Post-Processing Algorithmic Bias Correction23 May 2025
- 2025Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Making19 May 2025
- 2025Aggregating Concepts of Fairness and Accuracy in Prediction Algorithms13 May 2025
- 2025Assessing Racial Disparities in Healthcare Expenditures via Mediator Distribution Shifts30 Apr 2025
- 2025Causality Is Key to Understand and Balance Multiple Goals in Trustworthy ML and Foundation Models28 Feb 2025
- 2025Revisiting the Berkeley Admissions data: Statistical Tests for Causal Hypotheses14 Feb 2025
- 2025Privilege Scores3 Feb 2025
- 2025Counterfactually Fair Reinforcement Learning via Sequential Data Preprocessing10 Jan 2025
- 2024Lookahead Counterfactual Fairness2 Dec 2024
- 2024Debiasing Alternative Data for Credit Underwriting Using Causal Inference29 Oct 2024
- 2024Fairness Evaluation with Item Response Theory20 Oct 2024
- 2024Using Protected Attributes to Consider Fairness in Multi-Agent Systems16 Oct 2024
- 2024Time Can Invalidate Algorithmic Recourse10 Oct 2024
- 2024RNR: Teaching Large Language Models to Follow Roles and Rules10 Sep 2024
- 2024Fair Risk Minimization under Causal Path-Specific Effect Constraints3 Aug 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Latent Variables: Recent Advances and Future Prospectives20 Jun 2024
- 2024What is Fair? Defining Fairness in Machine Learning for Health13 Jun 2024
- 2024Long-Term Fairness Inquiries and Pursuits in Machine Learning: A Survey of Notions, Methods, and Challenges10 Jun 2024
- 2024IncomeSCM: From tabular data set to time-series simulator and causal estimation benchmark25 May 2024
- 2024Fairness-Accuracy Trade-Offs: A Causal Perspective24 May 2024
- 2024Policy Learning for Balancing Short-Term and Long-Term Rewards6 May 2024
- 2024Unlawful Proxy Discrimination: A Framework for Challenging Inherently Discriminatory Algorithms22 Apr 2024
- 2024Auditing the Use of Language Models to Guide Hiring Decisions3 Apr 2024
- 2024Addressing Both Statistical and Causal Gender Fairness in NLP Models30 Mar 2024
- 2024The Pursuit of Fairness in Artificial Intelligence Models: A Survey26 Mar 2024
- 2024Prompting Fairness: Integrating Causality to Debias Large Language Models13 Mar 2024
- 2024Counterfactual Fairness Is Not Demographic Parity, and Other Observations5 Feb 2024
- 2024A New Paradigm for Counterfactual Reasoning in Fairness and Recourse25 Jan 2024
- 2024Interventional Fairness on Partially Known Causal Graphs: A Constrained Optimization Approach19 Jan 2024
- 2023Learning Fair Policies for Multi-stage Selection Problems from Observational Data20 Dec 2023
- 2023Fair Clustering: A Causal Perspective14 Dec 2023
- 2023SoK: Unintended Interactions among Machine Learning Defenses and Risks7 Dec 2023
50 newest of 144 All 144 (JSON)
- 2023Reasoning or Reciting? Exploring the Capabilities and Limitations of Language Models Through Counterfactual Taskscited by 246
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 107
- 2023Reasoning about Causality in Gamescited by 20
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inferencecited by 0
- 2026GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Auditscited by 0
- 2026GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits3 Aug 2026
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inference21 Jun 2026
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Models7 Dec 2023
- 2023Reasoning or Reciting? Exploring the Capabilities and Limitations of Language Models Through Counterfactual Tasks5 Jul 2023
- 2023Reasoning about Causality in Games5 Jan 2023
- 2025CAF'E: Causal Black-Box Testing of Machine Unlearningcited by 0
- 2025CAF'E: Causal Black-Box Testing of Machine Unlearning20 Sep 2025
- 2022Bias Mitigation for Machine Learning Classifiers: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 125
- 2021Data Collection and Quality Challenges in Deep Learning: A Data-Centric AI Perspectivecited by 116
- 2021DECAF: Generating Fair Synthetic Data Using Causally-Aware Generative Networkscited by 109
- 2021Trustworthy AI: A Computational Perspectivecited by 93
- 2021Socially Responsible AI Algorithms: Issues, Purposes, and Challengescited by 56
- 2021On the Adversarial Robustness of Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 56
- 2021Explaining Black-Box Algorithms Using Probabilistic Contrastive Counterfactualscited by 55
- 2021Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspectivecited by 51
- 2021Sample Selection for Fair and Robust Trainingcited by 48
- 2022Causal Conceptions of Fairness and their Consequencescited by 38
- 2021Interpretable Data-Based Explanations for Fairness Debuggingcited by 30
- 2022Causal Explanations and XAIcited by 30
12 most cited of 137 All 137 (JSON)
- 2026Causally Fair Generation with Large Language Models3 Oct 2026
- 2026Causal Bias Detection in Generative Artificial Intelligence12 May 2026
- 2026Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning7 May 2026
- 2026Fairness of Classifiers in the Presence of Constraints between Features1 May 2026
- 2026CAFP: A Post-Processing Framework for Group Fairness via Counterfactual Model Averaging8 Apr 2026
- 2026Fair Data Pre-Processing with Imperfect Attribute Space27 Mar 2026
- 2026Masking Causality and Conditional Dependence7 Mar 2026
- 2026A pipeline for enabling path-specific causal fairness in observational health data14 Jan 2026
- 2026Causal Manifold Fairness: Enforcing Geometric Invariance in Representation Learning6 Jan 2026
- 2025Partial Identification Approach to Counterfactual Fairness Assessment30 Sep 2025
- 2025Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization Through the Lens of Structural Causal Models and Individual Fairness30 Sep 2025
- 2025CausalPre: Scalable and Effective Data Pre-Processing for Causal Fairness18 Sep 2025
12 newest of 137 All 137 (JSON)