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Counterfactual Explanations Can Be Manipulated

arXiv 2106.02666 ↗First posted 4 Jun 2021cs.LGcited by 113

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Abstract (arXiv)

Counterfactual explanations are emerging as an attractive option for providing recourse to individuals adversely impacted by algorithmic decisions. As they are deployed in critical applications (e.g. law enforcement, financial lending), it becomes important to ensure that we clearly understand the vulnerabilities of these methods and find ways to address them. However, there is little understanding of the vulnerabilities and shortcomings of counterfactual explanations. In this work, we introduce the first framework that describes the vulnerabilities of counterfactual explanations and shows how they can be manipulated. More specifically, we show counterfactual explanations may converge to drastically different counterfactuals under a small perturbation indicating they are not robust. Leveraging this insight, we introduce a novel objective to train seemingly fair models where counterfactual explanations find much lower cost recourse under a slight perturbation. We describe how these models can unfairly provide low-cost recourse for specific subgroups in the data while appearing fair to auditors. We perform experiments on loan and violent crime prediction data sets where certain subgroups achieve up to 20x lower cost recourse under the perturbation. These results raise concerns regarding the dependability of current counterfactual explanation techniques, which we hope will inspire investigations in robust counterfactual explanations.

Key facts. Cited by 113 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 30 of its 47 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Jun 2021.

Builds on

30 of 47 references.

References · 30

  1. 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,488
  2. 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,040
  3. 2017Counterfactual Explanations without Opening the Black Box: Automated Decisions and the GDPRcited by 1,086
  4. 2019Explaining Machine Learning Classifiers through Diverse Counterfactual Explanationscited by 612
  5. 2019Fooling LIME and SHAP: Adversarial Attacks on Post hoc Explanation Methodscited by 440
  6. 2018Actionable Recourse in Linear Classificationcited by 327
  7. 2018Explanations based on the Missing: Towards Contrastive Explanations with Pertinent Negativescited by 261
  8. 2020Algorithmic Recourse: from Counterfactual Explanations to Interventionscited by 250
  9. 2019FACE: Feasible and Actionable Counterfactual Explanationscited by 232
  10. 2019Interpretable Counterfactual Explanations Guided by Prototypescited by 223
  11. 2019Explainable Machine Learning in Deploymentcited by 210
  12. 2018A comparative study of fairness-enhancing interventions in machine learningcited by 208
18 more
  1. 2019Model-Agnostic Counterfactual Explanations for Consequential Decisionscited by 204
  2. 2019Predictive Multiplicity in Classificationcited by 162
  3. 2019Learning Model-Agnostic Counterfactual Explanations for Tabular Datacited by 146
  4. 2020Algorithmic recourse under imperfect causal knowledge: a probabilistic approachcited by 139
  5. 2020A survey of algorithmic recourse: definitions, formulations, solutions, and prospectscited by 118
  6. 2019The Hidden Assumptions Behind Counterfactual Explanations and Principal Reasonscited by 115
  7. 2016On Differentiating Parameterized Argmin and Argmax Problems with Application to Bi-level Optimizationcited by 108
  8. 2019Fairwashing: the risk of rationalizationcited by 81
  9. 2020On Counterfactual Explanations under Predictive Multiplicitycited by 73
  10. 2020Fairwashing Explanations with Off-Manifold Detergentcited by 71
  11. 2020On the Fairness of Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 69
  12. 2018The age of secrecy and unfairness in recidivism predictioncited by 53
  13. 2021The Use and Misuse of Counterfactuals in Ethical Machine Learningcited by 52
  14. 2019Equalizing Recourse across Groupscited by 51
  15. 2020Decisions, Counterfactual Explanations and Strategic Behaviorcited by 44
  16. 2020Gradient-based Analysis of NLP Models is Manipulablecited by 41
  17. 2020Can I Trust My Fairness Metric? Assessing Fairness with Unlabeled Data and Bayesian Inferencecited by 31
  18. 2020Active Bayesian Assessment for Black-Box Classifierscited by 16

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2021: 6; 2022: 16; 2023: 35; 2024: 27; 2025: 14; 2026: 15.

113 papers.

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  1. 2022Text and Patterns: For Effective Chain of Thought, It Takes Two to Tangocited by 128
  2. 2023Faithfulness Tests for Natural Language Explanationscited by 107
  3. 2025Archetypal SAE: Adaptive and Stable Dictionary Learning for Concept Extraction in Large Vision Modelscited by 67
  4. 2021On the Adversarial Robustness of Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 56
  5. 2022Framework for Evaluating Faithfulness of Local Explanationscited by 55
  6. 2022Post-Hoc Explanations Fail to Achieve their Purpose in Adversarial Contextscited by 53
  7. 2023Sequential Integrated Gradients: a simple but effective method for explaining language modelscited by 52
  8. 2023Adversarial attacks and defenses in explainable artificial intelligence: A surveycited by 47
  9. 2023Fast Diffusion-Based Counterfactuals for Shortcut Removal and Generationcited by 41
  10. 2022Probabilistically Robust Recourse: Navigating the Trade-offs between Costs and Robustness in Algorithmic Recoursecited by 40
  11. 2021A Survey on the Robustness of Feature Importance and Counterfactual Explanationscited by 38
  12. 2022Don't Lie to Me! Robust and Efficient Explainability with Verified Perturbation Analysiscited by 38
38 more
  1. 2022On the Robustness of Sparse Counterfactual Explanations to Adverse Perturbationscited by 32
  2. 2022On the Privacy Risks of Algorithmic Recoursecited by 32
  3. 2024On the Challenges and Opportunities in Generative AIcited by 31
  4. 2024Robust Counterfactual Explanations in Machine Learning: A Surveycited by 29
  5. 2021Transport-based Counterfactual Modelscited by 27
  6. 2023GLOBE-CE: A Translation-Based Approach for Global Counterfactual Explanationscited by 27
  7. 2022Formalising the Robustness of Counterfactual Explanations for Neural Networkscited by 24
  8. 2022On the Trade-Off between Actionable Explanations and the Right to be Forgottencited by 20
  9. 2023Finding Regions of Counterfactual Explanations via Robust Optimizationcited by 19
  10. 2024Graph Neural Network Explanations are Fragilecited by 18
  11. 2023Latent Diffusion Counterfactual Explanationscited by 17
  12. 2023Promoting Counterfactual Robustness through Diversitycited by 17
  13. 2023A Critical Survey on Fairness Benefits of Explainable AIcited by 16
  14. 2022Inferring Sensitive Attributes from Model Explanationscited by 15
  15. 2023Impact Of Explainable AI On Cognitive Load: Insights From An Empirical Studycited by 15
  16. 2024Understanding Visual Feature Reliance through the Lens of Complexitycited by 15
  17. 2021Bayesian Persuasion for Algorithmic Recoursecited by 14
  18. 2023Stability Guarantees for Feature Attributions with Multiplicative Smoothingcited by 14
  19. 2023Robustness Implies Fairness in Causal Algorithmic Recoursecited by 12
  20. 2025Explanation-Driven Counterfactual Testing for Faithfulness in Vision-Language Model Explanationscited by 12
  21. 2023Achieving Diversity in Counterfactual Explanations: a Review and Discussioncited by 11
  22. 2021When and How to Fool Explainable Models (and Humans) with Adversarial Examplescited by 10
  23. 2021Low-Cost Algorithmic Recourse for Users With Uncertain Cost Functionscited by 10
  24. 2025Can LLMs Explain Themselves Counterfactually?cited by 10
  25. 2022Global Counterfactual Explanations: Investigations, Implementations and Improvementscited by 9
  26. 2022"Explain it in the Same Way!" -- Model-Agnostic Group Fairness of Counterfactual Explanationscited by 9
  27. 2023GAM Coach: Towards Interactive and User-centered Algorithmic Recoursecited by 9
  28. 2023Explaining Groups of Instances Counterfactually for XAI: A Use Case, Algorithm and User Study for Group-Counterfactualscited by 9
  29. 2024Utilizing Human Behavior Modeling to Manipulate Explanations in AI-Assisted Decision Making: The Good, the Bad, and the Scarycited by 9
  30. 2022Interpretability Guarantees with Merlin-Arthur Classifierscited by 8
  31. 2024Time Can Invalidate Algorithmic Recoursecited by 8
  32. 2024Feature Responsiveness Scores: Model-Agnostic Explanations for Recoursecited by 8
  33. 2023Manipulation Risks in Explainable AI: The Implications of the Disagreement Problemcited by 7
  34. 2024Interval Abstractions for Robust Counterfactual Explanationscited by 7
  35. 2022FASTER-CE: Fast, Sparse, Transparent, and Robust Counterfactual Explanationscited by 6
  36. 2023Bayesian Hierarchical Models for Counterfactual Estimationcited by 6
  37. 2023Counterfactuals of Counterfactuals: a back-translation-inspired approach to analyse counterfactual editorscited by 6
  38. 2023Flexible and Robust Counterfactual Explanations with Minimal Satisfiable Perturbationscited by 6

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