Active Bayesian Assessment for Black-Box Classifiers
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Abstract (arXiv)
Recent advances in machine learning have led to increased deployment of black-box classifiers across a wide variety of applications. In many such situations there is a critical need to both reliably assess the performance of these pre-trained models and to perform this assessment in a label-efficient manner (given that labels may be scarce and costly to collect). In this paper, we introduce an active Bayesian approach for assessment of classifier performance to satisfy the desiderata of both reliability and label-efficiency. We begin by developing inference strategies to quantify uncertainty for common assessment metrics such as accuracy, misclassification cost, and calibration error. We then propose a general framework for active Bayesian assessment using inferred uncertainty to guide efficient selection of instances for labeling, enabling better performance assessment with fewer labels. We demonstrate significant gains from our proposed active Bayesian approach via a series of systematic empirical experiments assessing the performance of modern neural classifiers (e.g., ResNet and BERT) on several standard image and text classification datasets.
Key facts. Cited by 16 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 16 Feb 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 1; 2023: 0; 2024: 6; 2025: 5; 2026: 1.
16 papers.
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- 2024tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examplescited by 295
- 2021Counterfactual Explanations Can Be Manipulatedcited by 113
- 2021Active Testing: Sample-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 82
- 2022Active Surrogate Estimators: An Active Learning Approach to Label-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 26
- 2024Label-Efficient Model Selection for Text Generationcited by 17
- 2024ONEBench to Test Them All: Sample-Level Benchmarking Over Open-Ended Capabilitiescited by 13
- 2025Scaling Up Active Testing to Large Language Modelscited by 12
- 2024Efficient Lifelong Model Evaluation in an Era of Rapid Progresscited by 10
- 2025Statistical Uncertainty Quantification for Aggregate Performance Metrics in Machine Learning Benchmarkscited by 10
- 2024A structured regression approach for evaluating model performance across intersectional subgroupscited by 8
- 2021Active Assessment of Prediction Services as Accuracy Surface Over Attribute Combinationscited by 5
- 2025Evaluating multiple models using labeled and unlabeled datacited by 4
4 more
- 2025DISCO: Diversifying Sample Condensation for Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 4
- 2025Sequential Bayesian Evaluation of Large Language Model Behaviorcited by 1
- 2024A Strong Baseline for Molecular Few-Shot Learningcited by 0
- 2026Fault-Tolerant Evaluation for Sample-Efficient Model Performance Estimatorscited by 0
- 2026Fault-Tolerant Evaluation for Sample-Efficient Model Performance Estimators6 Feb 2026
- 2025Sequential Bayesian Evaluation of Large Language Model Behavior4 Nov 2025
- 2025DISCO: Diversifying Sample Condensation for Efficient Model Evaluation9 Oct 2025
- 2025Scaling Up Active Testing to Large Language Models12 Aug 2025
- 2025Evaluating multiple models using labeled and unlabeled data21 Jan 2025
- 2025Statistical Uncertainty Quantification for Aggregate Performance Metrics in Machine Learning Benchmarks8 Jan 2025
- 2024ONEBench to Test Them All: Sample-Level Benchmarking Over Open-Ended Capabilities9 Dec 2024
- 2024A Strong Baseline for Molecular Few-Shot Learning2 Apr 2024
- 2024Efficient Lifelong Model Evaluation in an Era of Rapid Progress29 Feb 2024
- 2024tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples22 Feb 2024
- 2024Label-Efficient Model Selection for Text Generation12 Feb 2024
- 2024A structured regression approach for evaluating model performance across intersectional subgroups26 Jan 2024
4 more
- 2022Active Surrogate Estimators: An Active Learning Approach to Label-Efficient Model Evaluation14 Feb 2022
- 2021Active Assessment of Prediction Services as Accuracy Surface Over Attribute Combinations14 Aug 2021
- 2021Counterfactual Explanations Can Be Manipulated4 Jun 2021
- 2021Active Testing: Sample-Efficient Model Evaluation9 Mar 2021
- 2024tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examplescited by 295
- 2021Counterfactual Explanations Can Be Manipulatedcited by 113
- 2021Active Testing: Sample-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 82
- 2022Active Surrogate Estimators: An Active Learning Approach to Label-Efficient Model Evaluationcited by 26
- 2024Label-Efficient Model Selection for Text Generationcited by 17
- 2024ONEBench to Test Them All: Sample-Level Benchmarking Over Open-Ended Capabilitiescited by 13
- 2025Scaling Up Active Testing to Large Language Modelscited by 12
- 2024Efficient Lifelong Model Evaluation in an Era of Rapid Progresscited by 10
- 2025Statistical Uncertainty Quantification for Aggregate Performance Metrics in Machine Learning Benchmarkscited by 10
- 2024A structured regression approach for evaluating model performance across intersectional subgroupscited by 8
- 2021Active Assessment of Prediction Services as Accuracy Surface Over Attribute Combinationscited by 5
- 2025Evaluating multiple models using labeled and unlabeled datacited by 4
12 most cited of 16 All 16 (JSON)
- 2026Fault-Tolerant Evaluation for Sample-Efficient Model Performance Estimators6 Feb 2026
- 2025Sequential Bayesian Evaluation of Large Language Model Behavior4 Nov 2025
- 2025DISCO: Diversifying Sample Condensation for Efficient Model Evaluation9 Oct 2025
- 2025Scaling Up Active Testing to Large Language Models12 Aug 2025
- 2025Evaluating multiple models using labeled and unlabeled data21 Jan 2025
- 2025Statistical Uncertainty Quantification for Aggregate Performance Metrics in Machine Learning Benchmarks8 Jan 2025
- 2024ONEBench to Test Them All: Sample-Level Benchmarking Over Open-Ended Capabilities9 Dec 2024
- 2024A Strong Baseline for Molecular Few-Shot Learning2 Apr 2024
- 2024Efficient Lifelong Model Evaluation in an Era of Rapid Progress29 Feb 2024
- 2024tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples22 Feb 2024
- 2024Label-Efficient Model Selection for Text Generation12 Feb 2024
- 2024A structured regression approach for evaluating model performance across intersectional subgroups26 Jan 2024
12 newest of 16 All 16 (JSON)