Fairness in Criminal Justice Risk Assessments: The State of the Art
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Abstract (arXiv)
Objectives: Discussions of fairness in criminal justice risk assessments typically lack conceptual precision. Rhetoric too often substitutes for careful analysis. In this paper, we seek to clarify the tradeoffs between different kinds of fairness and between fairness and accuracy. Methods: We draw on the existing literatures in criminology, computer science and statistics to provide an integrated examination of fairness and accuracy in criminal justice risk assessments. We also provide an empirical illustration using data from arraignments. Results: We show that there are at least six kinds of fairness, some of which are incompatible with one another and with accuracy. Conclusions: Except in trivial cases, it is impossible to maximize accuracy and fairness at the same time, and impossible simultaneously to satisfy all kinds of fairness. In practice, a major complication is different base rates across different legally protected groups. There is a need to consider challenging tradeoffs.
Key facts. Cited by 315 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 27 Mar 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 68; 2022: 64; 2023: 59; 2024: 59; 2025: 43; 2026: 22.
315 papers.
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- 2021Trustworthy AI: From Principles to Practicescited by 206
- 2022Handling Distribution Shifts on Graphs: An Invariance Perspectivecited by 163
- 2021Towards a Unified Framework for Fair and Stable Graph Representation Learningcited by 128
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50 most cited of 315 All 315 (JSON)
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38 more
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50 newest of 315 All 315 (JSON)
- 2025Enabling Group Fairness in Graph Unlearning via Bi-level Debiasing14 May 2025
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- 2021Trustworthy AI: From Principles to Practicescited by 206
- 2022Handling Distribution Shifts on Graphs: An Invariance Perspectivecited by 163
- 2021Towards a Unified Framework for Fair and Stable Graph Representation Learningcited by 128
- 2022Bias Mitigation for Machine Learning Classifiers: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 125
- 2021Data Collection and Quality Challenges in Deep Learning: A Data-Centric AI Perspectivecited by 116
- 2021Fair Mixup: Fairness via Interpolationcited by 109
- 2021A Clarification of the Nuances in the Fairness Metrics Landscapecited by 98
- 2021Trustworthy AI: A Computational Perspectivecited by 93
- 2021Bias in Machine Learning Software: Why? How? What to do?cited by 92
- 2021Heterogeneous Risk Minimizationcited by 90
- 2021Fairness in Credit Scoring: Assessment, Implementation and Profit Implicationscited by 65
- 2022A Systematic Study of Bias Amplificationcited by 65
12 most cited of 311 All 311 (JSON)
- 2026Algorithmic Recourse Under Competition30 Sep 2026
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- 2026Unmasking LAION-5B: Age, Gender, Race, and Emotion Biases in Large-Scale Image Datasets22 Jun 2026
- 2026No-Free-Fairness: Fundamental Limits and Trade-offs in Learning Systems16 Jun 2026
- 2026Demystifying the Optimal Fair Classifier in Multi-Class Classification30 May 2026
- 2026Improving Selective Classification with Pairwise Queries for Binary Classification28 May 2026
- 2026Long-term Fairness with Selective Labels21 May 2026
- 2026Multi-Dimensional Model Integrity and Responsibility Assessment Index and Scoring Framework14 May 2026
- 2026Towards Trustworthy Audio Deepfake Detection: A Systematic Framework for Diagnosing and Mitigating Gender Bias9 May 2026
- 2026Post-hoc Selective Classification for Reliable Synthetic Image Detection9 May 2026
- 2026Price of Fairness in Short-Term and Long-Term Algorithmic Selections7 May 2026
- 2026Fairness of Classifiers in the Presence of Constraints between Features1 May 2026
12 newest of 311 All 311 (JSON)