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Unravelling the (In)compatibility of Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds

arXiv 2601.19035 ↗First posted 26 Jan 2026cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

A key challenge in employing data, algorithms and data-driven systems is to adhere to the principle of fairness and justice. Statistical fairness measures belong to an important category of technical/formal mechanisms for detecting fairness issues in data and algorithms. In this contribution we study the relations between two types of statistical fairness measures namely Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds. The Statistical-Parity measure does not rely on having ground truth, i.e., (objectively) labeled target attributes. This makes Statistical-Parity a suitable measure in practice for assessing fairness in data and data classification algorithms. Therefore, Statistical-Parity is adopted in many legal and professional frameworks for assessing algorithmic fairness. The Equalized-Odds measure, on the contrary, relies on having (reliable) ground-truth, which is not always feasible in practice. Nevertheless, there are several situations where the Equalized-Odds definition should be satisfied to enforce false prediction parity among sensitive social groups. We present a novel analyze of the relation between Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds, depending on the base-rates of sensitive groups. The analysis intuitively shows how and when base-rate imbalance causes incompatibility between Statistical-Parity and Equalized-Odds measures. As such, our approach provides insight in (how to make design) trade-offs between these measures in practice. Further, based on our results, we plea for examining base-rate (im)balance and investigating the possibility of such an incompatibility before enforcing or relying on the Statistical-Parity criterion. The insights provided, we foresee, may trigger initiatives to improve or adjust the current practice and/or the existing legal frameworks.

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References · 16

  1. 2016Equality of Opportunity in Supervised Learningcited by 2,007
  2. 2019A Survey on Bias and Fairness in Machine Learningcited by 1,917
  3. 2017Counterfactual Fairnesscited by 804
  4. 2016Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instrumentscited by 672
  5. 2016Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scorescited by 586
  6. 2017Algorithmic decision making and the cost of fairnesscited by 403
  7. 2016Fairness Beyond Disparate Treatment & Disparate Impact: Learning Classification without Disparate Mistreatmentcited by 369
  8. 2017Fairness in Criminal Justice Risk Assessments: The State of the Artcited by 315
  9. 2019Inherent Tradeoffs in Learning Fair Representationscited by 144
  10. 2017Fairness Testing: Testing Software for Discriminationcited by 126
  11. 2019On the Apparent Conflict Between Individual and Group Fairnesscited by 126
  12. 2015On the relation between accuracy and fairness in binary classificationcited by 48
4 more
  1. 2020Fairness Metrics: A Comparative Analysiscited by 45
  2. 2021A Sociotechnical View of Algorithmic Fairnesscited by 24
  3. 2022Data Representativity for Machine Learning and AI Systemscited by 15
  4. 2020A Possibility in Algorithmic Fairness: Can Calibration and Equal Error Rates Be Reconciled?cited by 10

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