LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agents
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this paper, we address the problem of predicting the future motion of a dynamic agent (called a target agent) given its current and past states as well as the information on its environment. It is paramount to develop a prediction model that can exploit the contextual information in both static and dynamic environments surrounding the target agent and generate diverse trajectory samples that are meaningful in a traffic context. We propose a novel prediction model, referred to as the lane-aware prediction (LaPred) network, which uses the instance-level lane entities extracted from a semantic map to predict the multi-modal future trajectories. For each lane candidate found in the neighborhood of the target agent, LaPred extracts the joint features relating the lane and the trajectories of the neighboring agents. Then, the features for all lane candidates are fused with the attention weights learned through a self-supervised learning task that identifies the lane candidate likely to be followed by the target agent. Using the instance-level lane information, LaPred can produce the trajectories compliant with the surroundings better than 2D raster image-based methods and generate the diverse future trajectories given multiple lane candidates. The experiments conducted on the public nuScenes dataset and Argoverse dataset demonstrate that the proposed LaPred method significantly outperforms the existing prediction models, achieving state-of-the-art performance in the benchmarks.
Key facts. Cited by 64 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 27 of its 32 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Apr 2021.
Builds on
27 of 32 references.
References · 27
- 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
- 2019Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Mapscited by 732
- 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 690
- 2020VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representationcited by 530
- 2019MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Predictioncited by 420
- 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 382
- 2020TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Predictioncited by 347
- 2017DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes with Interacting Agentscited by 310
- 2018SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraintscited by 298
- 2018Multimodal Trajectory Predictions for Autonomous Driving using Deep Convolutional Networkscited by 289
- 2019CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Setscited by 259
- 2019Social-BiGAT: Multimodal Trajectory Forecasting using Bicycle-GAN and Graph Attention Networkscited by 229
15 more
- 2018Convolutional Social Pooling for Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 221
- 2019Multiple Futures Predictioncited by 178
- 2019Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion for Contextual Trajectory Predictioncited by 131
- 2019Diverse Trajectory Forecasting with Determinantal Point Processescited by 80
- 2020TPNet: Trajectory Proposal Network for Motion Predictioncited by 80
- 2020What-If Motion Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 80
- 2020Diverse and Admissible Trajectory Forecasting through Multimodal Context Understandingcited by 68
- 2020Trajectron++: Dynamically-Feasible Trajectory Forecasting With Heterogeneous Datacited by 58
- 2018Sequence-to-Sequence Prediction of Vehicle Trajectory via LSTM Encoder-Decoder Architecturecited by 55
- 2017Soft + Hardwired Attention: An LSTM Framework for Human Trajectory Prediction and Abnormal Event Detectioncited by 42
- 2019DiversityGAN: Diversity-Aware Vehicle Motion Prediction via Latent Semantic Samplingcited by 40
- 2017CAR-Net: Clairvoyant Attentive Recurrent Networkcited by 34
- 2020Probabilistic Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction with Lane Attention for Autonomous Vehiclescited by 28
- 2017A Data-driven Model for Interaction-aware Pedestrian Motion Prediction in Object Cluttered Environmentscited by 24
- 2019Lane Attention: Predicting Vehicles' Moving Trajectories by Learning Their Attention over Lanescited by 9
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 4; 2022: 13; 2023: 16; 2024: 17; 2025: 11; 2026: 3.
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- 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
- 2022ViP3D: End-to-end Visual Trajectory Prediction via 3D Agent Queriescited by 117
- 2021THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Samplingcited by 101
- 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Predictioncited by 81
- 2023LAformer: Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Lane-Aware Scene Constraintscited by 53
- 2023Leveraging Future Relationship Reasoning for Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 48
- 2022FJMP: Factorized Joint Multi-Agent Motion Prediction over Learned Directed Acyclic Interaction Graphscited by 41
- 2024HPNet: Dynamic Trajectory Forecasting with Historical Prediction Attentioncited by 38
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Reviewcited by 29
- 2024Mask2Map: Vectorized HD Map Construction Using Bird's Eye View Segmentation Maskscited by 26
- 2022R-Pred: Two-Stage Motion Prediction Via Tube-Query Attention-Based Trajectory Refinementcited by 24
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directionscited by 23
38 more
- 2023Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?cited by 22
- 2022CRAT-Pred: Vehicle Trajectory Prediction with Crystal Graph Convolutional Neural Networks and Multi-Head Self-Attentioncited by 21
- 2022LatentFormer: Multi-Agent Transformer-Based Interaction Modeling and Trajectory Predictioncited by 19
- 2025GaussRender: Learning 3D Occupancy with Gaussian Renderingcited by 18
- 2022Hierarchical Latent Structure for Multi-Modal Vehicle Trajectory Forecastingcited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 13
- 2021HYPER: Learned Hybrid Trajectory Prediction via Factored Inference and Adaptive Samplingcited by 12
- 2022Diverse Multiple Trajectory Prediction Using a Two-stage Prediction Network Trained with Lane Losscited by 12
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 12
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2022Heterogeneous Trajectory Forecasting via Risk and Scene Graph Learningcited by 11
- 2024SemanticFormer: Holistic and Semantic Traffic Scene Representation for Trajectory Prediction using Knowledge Graphscited by 11
- 2024Curb Your Attention: Causal Attention Gating for Robust Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Drivingcited by 9
- 2023Multimodal Manoeuvre and Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving on Highways Using Transformer Networkscited by 7
- 2023Adversarial Backdoor Attack by Naturalistic Data Poisoning on Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Drivingcited by 6
- 2024Reviving Life on the Edge: Joint Score-Based Graph Generation of Rich Edge Attributescited by 6
- 2023DESTINE: Dynamic Goal Queries with Temporal Transductive Alignment for Trajectory Predictioncited by 5
- 2024Valeo4Cast: A Modular Approach to End-to-End Forecastingcited by 5
- 2024Stochasticity in Motion: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Trajectory Predictioncited by 5
- 2023Geometric Deep Learning for Autonomous Driving: Unlocking the Power of Graph Neural Networks With CommonRoad-Geometriccited by 4
- 2023XVTP3D: Cross-view Trajectory Prediction Using Shared 3D Queries for Autonomous Drivingcited by 4
- 2024Motion Forecasting via Model-Based Risk Minimizationcited by 4
- 2024Annealed Winner-Takes-All for Motion Forecastingcited by 4
- 2025Learning Through Retrospection: Improving Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving with Error Feedbackcited by 4
- 2025Beyond Patterns: Harnessing Causal Logic for Autonomous Driving Trajectory Predictioncited by 4
- 2025AMD: Adaptive Momentum and Decoupled Contrastive Learning Framework for Robust Long-Tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 4
- 2022Conditional Goal-oriented Trajectory Prediction for Interacting Vehicles with Vectorized Representationcited by 3
- 2023Diverse Probabilistic Trajectory Forecasting with Admissibility Constraintscited by 3
- 2023A Hierarchical Hybrid Learning Framework for Multi-agent Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2023A Novel Deep Neural Network for Trajectory Prediction in Automated Vehicles Using Velocity Vector Fieldcited by 3
- 2023A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Trafficscited by 2
- 2024Remember and Recall: Associative-Memory-based Trajectory Predictioncited by 2
- 2024DECODE: Domain-aware Continual Domain Expansion for Motion Predictioncited by 2
- 2024PPT: Pretraining with Pseudo-Labeled Trajectories for Motion Forecastingcited by 2
- 2025Goal-based Trajectory Prediction for improved Cross-Dataset Generalizationcited by 2
- 2025nuScenes Revisited: Progress and Challenges in Autonomous Drivingcited by 2
- 2022P4P: Conflict-Aware Motion Prediction for Planning in Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
50 most cited of 64 All 64 (JSON)
- 2026SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving3 Jul 2026
- 2026Artificial Intelligence for Modeling and Simulation of Mixed Automated and Human Traffic14 Apr 2026
- 2026SAIL: Scene-aware Adaptive Iterative Learning for Long-Tail Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Vehicles6 Apr 2026
- 2025Driving is a Game: Combining Planning and Prediction with Bayesian Iterative Best Response3 Dec 2025
- 2025nuScenes Revisited: Progress and Challenges in Autonomous Driving2 Dec 2025
- 2025Ensemble of Pre-Trained Models for Long-Tailed Trajectory Prediction17 Sep 2025
- 2025Goal-based Trajectory Prediction for improved Cross-Dataset Generalization24 Jul 2025
- 2025AMD: Adaptive Momentum and Decoupled Contrastive Learning Framework for Robust Long-Tail Trajectory Prediction2 Jul 2025
- 2025Beyond Patterns: Harnessing Causal Logic for Autonomous Driving Trajectory Prediction11 May 2025
- 2025Learning Through Retrospection: Improving Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving with Error Feedback18 Apr 2025
- 2025GC-GAT: Multimodal Vehicular Trajectory Prediction using Graph Goal Conditioning and Cross-context Attention15 Apr 2025
- 2025LMFormer: Lane based Motion Prediction Transformer14 Apr 2025
38 more
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025GaussRender: Learning 3D Occupancy with Gaussian Rendering7 Feb 2025
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Driving16 Dec 2024
- 2024PPT: Pretraining with Pseudo-Labeled Trajectories for Motion Forecasting9 Dec 2024
- 2024DECODE: Domain-aware Continual Domain Expansion for Motion Prediction26 Nov 2024
- 2024LHPF: Look back the History and Plan for the Future in Autonomous Driving26 Nov 2024
- 2024Multi-modal Motion Prediction using Temporal Ensembling with Learning-based Aggregation25 Oct 2024
- 2024Remember and Recall: Associative-Memory-based Trajectory Prediction3 Oct 2024
- 2024Stochasticity in Motion: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Trajectory Prediction2 Oct 2024
- 2024Curb Your Attention: Causal Attention Gating for Robust Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving23 Sep 2024
- 2024Annealed Winner-Takes-All for Motion Forecasting17 Sep 2024
- 2024Motion Forecasting via Model-Based Risk Minimization16 Sep 2024
- 2024Mask2Map: Vectorized HD Map Construction Using Bird's Eye View Segmentation Masks18 Jul 2024
- 2024Valeo4Cast: A Modular Approach to End-to-End Forecasting12 Jun 2024
- 2024Traj-LLM: A New Exploration for Empowering Trajectory Prediction with Pre-trained Large Language Models8 May 2024
- 2024SemanticFormer: Holistic and Semantic Traffic Scene Representation for Trajectory Prediction using Knowledge Graphs30 Apr 2024
- 2024HPNet: Dynamic Trajectory Forecasting with Historical Prediction Attention9 Apr 2024
- 2024Learning Physical Dynamics for Object-centric Visual Prediction15 Mar 2024
- 2024Reviving Life on the Edge: Joint Score-Based Graph Generation of Rich Edge Attributes6 Feb 2024
- 2023DESTINE: Dynamic Goal Queries with Temporal Transductive Alignment for Trajectory Prediction11 Oct 2023
- 2023A Novel Deep Neural Network for Trajectory Prediction in Automated Vehicles Using Velocity Vector Field19 Sep 2023
- 2023XVTP3D: Cross-view Trajectory Prediction Using Shared 3D Queries for Autonomous Driving17 Aug 2023
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Review10 Aug 2023
- 2023A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics19 Jul 2023
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directions12 Jul 2023
- 2023Adversarial Backdoor Attack by Naturalistic Data Poisoning on Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving27 Jun 2023
- 2023Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?15 Jun 2023
- 2023Leveraging Future Relationship Reasoning for Vehicle Trajectory Prediction24 May 2023
- 2023Multimodal Manoeuvre and Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving on Highways Using Transformer Networks28 Mar 2023
- 2023A Hierarchical Hybrid Learning Framework for Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction22 Mar 2023
- 2023Deep Occupancy-Predictive Representations for Autonomous Driving7 Mar 2023
- 2023LAformer: Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Lane-Aware Scene Constraints27 Feb 2023
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Prediction21 Feb 2023
- 2023Diverse Probabilistic Trajectory Forecasting with Admissibility Constraints7 Feb 2023
- 2023Geometric Deep Learning for Autonomous Driving: Unlocking the Power of Graph Neural Networks With CommonRoad-Geometric2 Feb 2023
- 2022FJMP: Factorized Joint Multi-Agent Motion Prediction over Learned Directed Acyclic Interaction Graphs27 Nov 2022
- 2022R-Pred: Two-Stage Motion Prediction Via Tube-Query Attention-Based Trajectory Refinement16 Nov 2022
- 2022P4P: Conflict-Aware Motion Prediction for Planning in Autonomous Driving3 Nov 2022
50 newest of 64 All 64 (JSON)
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directionscited by 23
- 2025Learning Through Retrospection: Improving Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving with Error Feedbackcited by 4
- 2022P4P: Conflict-Aware Motion Prediction for Planning in Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2023Deep Occupancy-Predictive Representations for Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2024LHPF: Look back the History and Plan for the Future in Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2025Driving is a Game: Combining Planning and Prediction with Bayesian Iterative Best Responsecited by 1
- 2025Driving is a Game: Combining Planning and Prediction with Bayesian Iterative Best Response3 Dec 2025
- 2025Learning Through Retrospection: Improving Trajectory Prediction for Automated Driving with Error Feedback18 Apr 2025
- 2024LHPF: Look back the History and Plan for the Future in Autonomous Driving26 Nov 2024
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directions12 Jul 2023
- 2023Deep Occupancy-Predictive Representations for Autonomous Driving7 Mar 2023
- 2022P4P: Conflict-Aware Motion Prediction for Planning in Autonomous Driving3 Nov 2022
- 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
- 2022ViP3D: End-to-end Visual Trajectory Prediction via 3D Agent Queriescited by 117
- 2021THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Samplingcited by 101
- 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Predictioncited by 81
- 2023LAformer: Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Lane-Aware Scene Constraintscited by 53
- 2023Leveraging Future Relationship Reasoning for Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 48
- 2022FJMP: Factorized Joint Multi-Agent Motion Prediction over Learned Directed Acyclic Interaction Graphscited by 41
- 2024HPNet: Dynamic Trajectory Forecasting with Historical Prediction Attentioncited by 38
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Reviewcited by 29
- 2024Mask2Map: Vectorized HD Map Construction Using Bird's Eye View Segmentation Maskscited by 26
- 2022R-Pred: Two-Stage Motion Prediction Via Tube-Query Attention-Based Trajectory Refinementcited by 24
- 2023Towards Motion Forecasting with Real-World Perception Inputs: Are End-to-End Approaches Competitive?cited by 22
12 most cited of 58 All 58 (JSON)
- 2026SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving3 Jul 2026
- 2026Artificial Intelligence for Modeling and Simulation of Mixed Automated and Human Traffic14 Apr 2026
- 2026SAIL: Scene-aware Adaptive Iterative Learning for Long-Tail Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Vehicles6 Apr 2026
- 2025nuScenes Revisited: Progress and Challenges in Autonomous Driving2 Dec 2025
- 2025Ensemble of Pre-Trained Models for Long-Tailed Trajectory Prediction17 Sep 2025
- 2025Goal-based Trajectory Prediction for improved Cross-Dataset Generalization24 Jul 2025
- 2025AMD: Adaptive Momentum and Decoupled Contrastive Learning Framework for Robust Long-Tail Trajectory Prediction2 Jul 2025
- 2025Beyond Patterns: Harnessing Causal Logic for Autonomous Driving Trajectory Prediction11 May 2025
- 2025GC-GAT: Multimodal Vehicular Trajectory Prediction using Graph Goal Conditioning and Cross-context Attention15 Apr 2025
- 2025LMFormer: Lane based Motion Prediction Transformer14 Apr 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025GaussRender: Learning 3D Occupancy with Gaussian Rendering7 Feb 2025
12 newest of 58 All 58 (JSON)