DiversityGAN: Diversity-Aware Vehicle Motion Prediction via Latent Semantic Sampling
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Abstract (arXiv)
Vehicle trajectory prediction is crucial for autonomous driving and advanced driver assistant systems. While existing approaches may sample from a predicted distribution of vehicle trajectories, they lack the ability to explore it -- a key ability for evaluating safety from a planning and verification perspective. In this work, we devise a novel approach for generating realistic and diverse vehicle trajectories. We extend the generative adversarial network (GAN) framework with a low-dimensional approximate semantic space, and shape that space to capture semantics such as merging and turning. We sample from this space in a way that mimics the predicted distribution, but allows us to control coverage of semantically distinct outcomes. We validate our approach on a publicly available dataset and show results that achieve state-of-the-art prediction performance, while providing improved coverage of the space of predicted trajectory semantics.
Key facts. Cited by 40 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 28 Nov 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 10; 2022: 14; 2023: 4; 2024: 6; 2025: 5.
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- 2021LookOut: Diverse Multi-Future Prediction and Planning for Self-Drivingcited by 96
- 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Predictioncited by 81
- 2021LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agentscited by 64
- 2022ScePT: Scene-consistent, Policy-based Trajectory Predictions for Planningcited by 64
- 2022StretchBEV: Stretching Future Instance Prediction Spatially and Temporallycited by 47
- 2022Social-Implicit: Rethinking Trajectory Prediction Evaluation and The Effectiveness of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimationcited by 40
- 2021Divide-and-Conquer for Lane-Aware Diverse Trajectory Predictioncited by 37
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
- 2021Trajectory Prediction with Linguistic Representationscited by 13
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 13
- 2021HYPER: Learned Hybrid Trajectory Prediction via Factored Inference and Adaptive Samplingcited by 12
- 2022Diverse Multiple Trajectory Prediction Using a Two-stage Prediction Network Trained with Lane Losscited by 12
28 more
- 2022RAP: Risk-Aware Prediction for Robust Planningcited by 12
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 12
- 2021DROID: Driver-centric Risk Object Identificationcited by 9
- 2021Self-Supervised Action-Space Prediction for Automated Drivingcited by 9
- 2022Leveraging Smooth Attention Prior for Multi-Agent Trajectory Predictioncited by 9
- 2020Imitation Learning of Hierarchical Driving Model: from Continuous Intention to Continuous Trajectorycited by 8
- 2021TIP: Task-Informed Motion Prediction for Intelligent Vehiclescited by 8
- 2021SUPR-GAN: SUrgical PRediction GAN for Event Anticipation in Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgerycited by 7
- 2024Autonomous Driving at Unsignalized Intersections: A Review of Decision-Making Challenges and Reinforcement Learning-Based Solutionscited by 7
- 2024Blending Data-Driven Priors in Dynamic Gamescited by 6
- 2024Hypergraph-Transformer (HGT) for Interactive Event Prediction in Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgerycited by 5
- 2024Stochasticity in Motion: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Trajectory Predictioncited by 5
- 2024Motion Forecasting via Model-Based Risk Minimizationcited by 4
- 2022Trajectory Forecasting on Temporal Graphscited by 3
- 2023A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Trafficscited by 2
- 2024TAFormer: A Unified Target-Aware Transformer for Video and Motion Joint Prediction in Aerial Scenescited by 2
- 2025INTENT: Trajectory Prediction Framework with Intention-Guided Contrastive Clusteringcited by 2
- 2021Fast nonlinear risk assessment for autonomous vehicles using learned conditional probabilistic models of agent futurescited by 1
- 2022DouFu: A Double Fusion Joint Learning Method For Driving Trajectory Representationcited by 1
- 2025EP-Diffuser: An Efficient Diffusion Model for Traffic Scene Generation and Prediction via Polynomial Representationscited by 1
- 2025LMFormer: Lane based Motion Prediction Transformercited by 1
- 2022Learning Latent Traits for Simulated Cooperative Driving Taskscited by 0
- 2022Stochastic Future Prediction in Real World Driving Scenarioscited by 0
- 2022Learning and Predicting Multimodal Vehicle Action Distributions in a Unified Probabilistic Model Without Labelscited by 0
- 2023NashFormer: Leveraging Local Nash Equilibria for Semantically Diverse Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2023Semantic and Articulated Pedestrian Sensing Onboard a Moving Vehiclecited by 0
- 2025Robust Planning for Autonomous Driving via Mixed Adversarial Diffusion Predictionscited by 0
- 2025Controllable Generative Trajectory Prediction via Weak Preference Alignmentcited by 0
- 2025Controllable Generative Trajectory Prediction via Weak Preference Alignment12 Oct 2025
- 2025Robust Planning for Autonomous Driving via Mixed Adversarial Diffusion Predictions18 May 2025
- 2025LMFormer: Lane based Motion Prediction Transformer14 Apr 2025
- 2025EP-Diffuser: An Efficient Diffusion Model for Traffic Scene Generation and Prediction via Polynomial Representations7 Apr 2025
- 2025INTENT: Trajectory Prediction Framework with Intention-Guided Contrastive Clustering6 Mar 2025
- 2024Stochasticity in Motion: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Trajectory Prediction2 Oct 2024
- 2024Autonomous Driving at Unsignalized Intersections: A Review of Decision-Making Challenges and Reinforcement Learning-Based Solutions20 Sep 2024
- 2024Motion Forecasting via Model-Based Risk Minimization16 Sep 2024
- 2024TAFormer: A Unified Target-Aware Transformer for Video and Motion Joint Prediction in Aerial Scenes27 Mar 2024
- 2024Blending Data-Driven Priors in Dynamic Games21 Feb 2024
- 2024Hypergraph-Transformer (HGT) for Interactive Event Prediction in Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgery3 Feb 2024
- 2023Semantic and Articulated Pedestrian Sensing Onboard a Moving Vehicle12 Sep 2023
28 more
- 2023A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics19 Jul 2023
- 2023NashFormer: Leveraging Local Nash Equilibria for Semantically Diverse Trajectory Prediction28 May 2023
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Prediction21 Feb 2023
- 2022Learning and Predicting Multimodal Vehicle Action Distributions in a Unified Probabilistic Model Without Labels14 Dec 2022
- 2022RAP: Risk-Aware Prediction for Robust Planning4 Oct 2022
- 2022Stochastic Future Prediction in Real World Driving Scenarios21 Sep 2022
- 2022Learning Latent Traits for Simulated Cooperative Driving Tasks20 Jul 2022
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecasting11 Jul 2022
- 2022Trajectory Forecasting on Temporal Graphs1 Jul 2022
- 2022ScePT: Scene-consistent, Policy-based Trajectory Predictions for Planning18 Jun 2022
- 2022Diverse Multiple Trajectory Prediction Using a Two-stage Prediction Network Trained with Lane Loss17 Jun 2022
- 2022DouFu: A Double Fusion Joint Learning Method For Driving Trajectory Representation5 May 2022
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Maps31 Mar 2022
- 2022StretchBEV: Stretching Future Instance Prediction Spatially and Temporally25 Mar 2022
- 2022Leveraging Smooth Attention Prior for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction8 Mar 2022
- 2022Social-Implicit: Rethinking Trajectory Prediction Evaluation and The Effectiveness of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation6 Mar 2022
- 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Prediction24 Feb 2022
- 2021Trajectory Prediction with Linguistic Representations19 Oct 2021
- 2021TIP: Task-Informed Motion Prediction for Intelligent Vehicles17 Oct 2021
- 2021HYPER: Learned Hybrid Trajectory Prediction via Factored Inference and Adaptive Sampling5 Oct 2021
- 2021Self-Supervised Action-Space Prediction for Automated Driving21 Sep 2021
- 2021Fast nonlinear risk assessment for autonomous vehicles using learned conditional probabilistic models of agent futures21 Sep 2021
- 2021DROID: Driver-centric Risk Object Identification24 Jun 2021
- 2021SUPR-GAN: SUrgical PRediction GAN for Event Anticipation in Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgery10 May 2021
- 2021Divide-and-Conquer for Lane-Aware Diverse Trajectory Prediction16 Apr 2021
- 2021LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agents1 Apr 2021
- 2021LookOut: Diverse Multi-Future Prediction and Planning for Self-Driving16 Jan 2021
- 2020Imitation Learning of Hierarchical Driving Model: from Continuous Intention to Continuous Trajectory20 Oct 2020
- 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Predictioncited by 81
- 2021LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agentscited by 64
- 2022ScePT: Scene-consistent, Policy-based Trajectory Predictions for Planningcited by 64
- 2022StretchBEV: Stretching Future Instance Prediction Spatially and Temporallycited by 47
- 2022Social-Implicit: Rethinking Trajectory Prediction Evaluation and The Effectiveness of Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimationcited by 40
- 2021Divide-and-Conquer for Lane-Aware Diverse Trajectory Predictioncited by 37
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
- 2021Trajectory Prediction with Linguistic Representationscited by 13
- 2022Collaborative Uncertainty Benefits Multi-Agent Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 13
- 2021HYPER: Learned Hybrid Trajectory Prediction via Factored Inference and Adaptive Samplingcited by 12
- 2022Diverse Multiple Trajectory Prediction Using a Two-stage Prediction Network Trained with Lane Losscited by 12
- 2022RAP: Risk-Aware Prediction for Robust Planningcited by 12
12 most cited of 34 All 34 (JSON)
- 2025LMFormer: Lane based Motion Prediction Transformer14 Apr 2025
- 2025INTENT: Trajectory Prediction Framework with Intention-Guided Contrastive Clustering6 Mar 2025
- 2024Stochasticity in Motion: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Trajectory Prediction2 Oct 2024
- 2024Motion Forecasting via Model-Based Risk Minimization16 Sep 2024
- 2024TAFormer: A Unified Target-Aware Transformer for Video and Motion Joint Prediction in Aerial Scenes27 Mar 2024
- 2024Blending Data-Driven Priors in Dynamic Games21 Feb 2024
- 2024Hypergraph-Transformer (HGT) for Interactive Event Prediction in Laparoscopic and Robotic Surgery3 Feb 2024
- 2023Semantic and Articulated Pedestrian Sensing Onboard a Moving Vehicle12 Sep 2023
- 2023A Fast and Map-Free Model for Trajectory Prediction in Traffics19 Jul 2023
- 2023NashFormer: Leveraging Local Nash Equilibria for Semantically Diverse Trajectory Prediction28 May 2023
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Prediction21 Feb 2023
- 2022Learning and Predicting Multimodal Vehicle Action Distributions in a Unified Probabilistic Model Without Labels14 Dec 2022
12 newest of 34 All 34 (JSON)