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SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving

arXiv 2607.09741 ↗First posted 3 Jul 2026cs.RO cs.AI cs.MAcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate trajectory prediction in autonomous driving hinges on modeling dynamic and context-dependent interactions among traffic agents. However, most existing approaches are purely data-driven and lack structural priors, which limits their generalization under distribution shifts. In this work, interaction modeling is revisited through the structure and dynamics of traffic networks, and SWIFT (Small-World Interaction Framework for Trajectory prediction) is proposed as a unified framework that integrates small-world networks with traffic flow theory. SWIFT introduces structural inductive biases via a Small-World Interaction Network that captures both local and global dependencies, and a Flow Regime Encoder that adapts the interaction structure to scene-level traffic states. Interaction reasoning is further enhanced through a multi-relational graph module that explicitly encodes direct and higher-order agent relationships. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets, nuScenes, MoCAD, and NGSIM, show that SWIFT consistently outperforms strong baselines in prediction accuracy across diverse traffic regimes. Beyond accuracy, SWIFT exhibits improved generalization to unseen locations and regimes, robustness under noisy observations, and strong performance with limited training data, supporting the effectiveness of its structure-aware design.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 70 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Jul 2026.

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References · 25

  1. 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,485
  2. 2013Estimating or Propagating Gradients Through Stochastic Neurons for Conditional Computationcited by 2,031
  3. 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 687
  4. 2019MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Predictioncited by 417
  5. 2021AgentFormer: Agent-Aware Transformers for Socio-Temporal Multi-Agent Forecastingcited by 327
  6. 2018Convolutional Social Pooling for Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 221
  7. 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
  8. 2019Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion for Contextual Trajectory Predictioncited by 131
  9. 2021Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Conditioned on Lane-Graph Traversalscited by 112
  10. 2020Directed Graph Convolutional Networkcited by 73
  11. 2021LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agentscited by 64
  12. 2024SeFlow: A Self-Supervised Scene Flow Method in Autonomous Drivingcited by 38
13 more
  1. 2023BAT: Behavior-Aware Human-Like Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 28
  2. 2022SMEMO: Social Memory for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 26
  3. 2025CoT-Drive: Efficient Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving with LLMs and Chain-of-Thought Promptingcited by 26
  4. 2021Congestion-aware Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction for Collision Avoidancecited by 21
  5. 2024A Cognitive-Based Trajectory Prediction Approach for Autonomous Drivingcited by 20
  6. 2023MTP-GO: Graph-Based Probabilistic Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Neural ODEscited by 19
  7. 2021NetTraj: A Network-based Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Model with Directional Representation and Spatiotemporal Attention Mechanismscited by 13
  8. 2024Human Observation-Inspired Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving in Mixed-Autonomy Traffic Environmentscited by 13
  9. 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 12
  10. 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
  11. 2023Attention-aware Social Graph Transformer Networks for Stochastic Trajectory Predictioncited by 8
  12. 2024Social Force Embedded Mixed Graph Convolutional Network for Multi-class Trajectory Predictioncited by 7
  13. 2023Small-World Formation via Local Informationcited by 1

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