Goal-based Trajectory Prediction for improved Cross-Dataset Generalization
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
To achieve full autonomous driving, a good understanding of the surrounding environment is necessary. Especially predicting the future states of other traffic participants imposes a non-trivial challenge. Current SotA-models already show promising results when trained on real datasets (e.g. Argoverse2, NuScenes). Problems arise when these models are deployed to new/unseen areas. Typically, performance drops significantly, indicating that the models lack generalization. In this work, we introduce a new Graph Neural Network (GNN) that utilizes a heterogeneous graph consisting of traffic participants and vectorized road network. Latter, is used to classify goals, i.e. endpoints of the predicted trajectories, in a multi-staged approach, leading to a better generalization to unseen scenarios. We show the effectiveness of the goal selection process via cross-dataset evaluation, i.e. training on Argoverse2 and evaluating on NuScenes.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 25 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 24 Jul 2025.
Builds on
22 of 25 references.
References · 22
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
- 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
- 2023Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecastingcited by 707
- 2020VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representationcited by 530
- 2020Masked Label Prediction: Unified Message Passing Model for Semi-Supervised Classificationcited by 506
- 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 382
- 2020TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Predictioncited by 347
- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 295
- 2022Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networkscited by 280
- 2022Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinementcited by 270
- 2019CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Setscited by 259
- 2021Scene Transformer: A unified architecture for predicting multiple agent trajectoriescited by 165
10 more
- 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
- 2021Latent Variable Sequential Set Transformers For Joint Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 131
- 2021Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Conditioned on Lane-Graph Traversalscited by 113
- 2022HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encodingcited by 110
- 2021THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Samplingcited by 101
- 2022GoRela: Go Relative for Viewpoint-Invariant Motion Forecastingcited by 68
- 2021LaPred: Lane-Aware Prediction of Multi-Modal Future Trajectories of Dynamic Agentscited by 64
- 2024UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 52
- 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywherecited by 39
- 2023Holistic Graph-based Motion Predictioncited by 10
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.
2 papers.