CoPhy: Counterfactual Learning of Physical Dynamics
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Abstract (arXiv)
Understanding causes and effects in mechanical systems is an essential component of reasoning in the physical world. This work poses a new problem of counterfactual learning of object mechanics from visual input. We develop the CoPhy benchmark to assess the capacity of the state-of-the-art models for causal physical reasoning in a synthetic 3D environment and propose a model for learning the physical dynamics in a counterfactual setting. Having observed a mechanical experiment that involves, for example, a falling tower of blocks, a set of bouncing balls or colliding objects, we learn to predict how its outcome is affected by an arbitrary intervention on its initial conditions, such as displacing one of the objects in the scene. The alternative future is predicted given the altered past and a latent representation of the confounders learned by the model in an end-to-end fashion with no supervision. We compare against feedforward video prediction baselines and show how observing alternative experiences allows the network to capture latent physical properties of the environment, which results in significantly more accurate predictions at the level of super human performance.
Key facts. Cited by 81 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 26 Sep 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 15; 2022: 9; 2023: 16; 2024: 10; 2025: 9; 2026: 22.
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- 2021A Survey of Embodied AI: From Simulators to Research Taskscited by 261
- 2025Do generative video models understand physical principles?cited by 161
- 2022Cross-view Geo-localization via Learning Disentangled Geometric Layout Correspondencecited by 70
- 2021Grounding Physical Concepts of Objects and Events Through Dynamic Visual Reasoningcited by 68
- 2022When Physics Meets Machine Learning: A Survey of Physics-Informed Machine Learningcited by 65
- 2022ComPhy: Compositional Physical Reasoning of Objects and Events from Videoscited by 63
- 2021Dynamic Visual Reasoning by Learning Differentiable Physics Models from Video and Languagecited by 55
- 2023Physion++: Evaluating Physical Scene Understanding that Requires Online Inference of Different Physical Propertiescited by 54
- 2021Systematic Evaluation of Causal Discovery in Visual Model Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2023Benchmarks for Automated Commonsense Reasoning: A Surveycited by 40
- 2022A Review of Emerging Research Directions in Abstract Visual Reasoningcited by 33
- 2021ACRE: Abstract Causal REasoning Beyond Covariationcited by 30
38 more
- 2024LLMPhy: Parameter-Identifiable Physical Reasoning Combining Large Language Models and Physics Enginescited by 30
- 2023GeoDTR+: Toward generic cross-view geolocalization via geometric disentanglementcited by 28
- 2025Do Vision-Language Models Have Internal World Models? Towards an Atomic Evaluationcited by 24
- 2023Generalizing Graph ODE for Learning Complex System Dynamics across Environmentscited by 23
- 2023Counterfactual Learning on Graphs: A Surveycited by 22
- 2024PhysGame: Uncovering Physical Commonsense Violations in Gameplay Videoscited by 22
- 2021Capturing the objects of vision with neural networkscited by 21
- 2022A Survey on Machine Learning Approaches for Modelling Intuitive Physicscited by 20
- 2025Large language models for artificial general intelligence (AGI): A survey of foundational principles and approachescited by 18
- 2022Variational Causal Dynamics: Discovering Modular World Models from Interventionscited by 16
- 2022Filtered-CoPhy: Unsupervised Learning of Counterfactual Physics in Pixel Spacecited by 14
- 2023MVTrans: Multi-View Perception of Transparent Objectscited by 14
- 2022CRIPP-VQA: Counterfactual Reasoning about Implicit Physical Properties via Video Question Answeringcited by 13
- 2021Hopper: Multi-hop Transformer for Spatiotemporal Reasoningcited by 12
- 2024Compositional Physical Reasoning of Objects and Events from Videoscited by 12
- 2024InterDyn: Controllable Interactive Dynamics with Video Diffusion Modelscited by 12
- 2023CLEVRER-Humans: Describing Physical and Causal Events the Human Waycited by 11
- 2021Deep KKL: Data-driven Output Prediction for Non-Linear Systemscited by 10
- 2021Phy-Q as a measure for physical reasoning intelligencecited by 10
- 2025Towards Visual Discrimination and Reasoning of Real-World Physical Dynamics: Physics-Grounded Anomaly Detectioncited by 10
- 2021SPACE: A Simulator for Physical Interactions and Causal Learning in 3D Environmentscited by 9
- 2024Language Agents Meet Causality -- Bridging LLMs and Causal World Modelscited by 9
- 2025Learning Coordinated Bimanual Manipulation Policies using State Diffusion and Inverse Dynamics Modelscited by 9
- 2026PhysInOne: Visual Physics Learning and Reasoning in One Suitecited by 9
- 2026Physics-IQ Verifiedcited by 9
- 2021PIP: Physical Interaction Prediction via Mental Simulation with Span Selectioncited by 8
- 2023Intrinsic Physical Concepts Discovery with Object-Centric Predictive Modelscited by 8
- 2023ACQUIRED: A Dataset for Answering Counterfactual Questions In Real-Life Videoscited by 8
- 2023Benchmarks for Physical Reasoning AIcited by 8
- 2026VisPhyWorld: Probing Physical Reasoning via Code-Driven Video Reconstructioncited by 7
- 2023A Survey of Methods, Challenges and Perspectives in Causalitycited by 6
- 2023Imagine the Unseen World: A Benchmark for Systematic Generalization in Visual World Modelscited by 6
- 2025Null Counterfactual Factor Interactions for Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2022Causal Counterfactuals for Improving the Robustness of Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2026PhyCo: Learning Controllable Physical Priors for Generative Motioncited by 5
- 2026TRAPSBench: Vision-Language Models Encode but Fail to Express Epistemic Restraintcited by 5
- 2021OPEn: An Open-ended Physics Environment for Learning Without a Taskcited by 4
- 2024Automated Discovery of Functional Actual Causes in Complex Environmentscited by 4
50 most cited of 81 All 81 (JSON)
- 2026PhysCodeGym: Benchmarking Coding Agents for Physically Verifiable 4D Reconstruction12 Oct 2026
- 2026PhysVista: Benchmarking Physical Intelligence in VLMs via a Perception-Reasoning-Assessment Loop30 Sep 2026
- 2026MultiEcho: An Experimental Science of Learned Worlds27 Sep 2026
- 2026OneWorld: Learning Consistent Physics Across Actions in World Models25 Sep 2026
- 2026CausalWM: Causal Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Embodied World Model19 Sep 2026
- 2026Human-Level Accuracy, Non-Human Strategies: Revealing Model-Human Divergence in Video Physical Reasoning19 Sep 2026
- 2026Teaching Vision-Language Models to Use the Scale They Are Given: Label-Free Equivariance Training for Metric Physical Reasoning1 Sep 2026
- 2026Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligence30 Aug 2026
- 2026TRAPSBench: Vision-Language Models Encode but Fail to Express Epistemic Restraint13 Aug 2026
- 2026FADE: From Passive Verification to Active Discovery in Counterfactual Video Understanding11 Aug 2026
- 2026IMBench: A Benchmark for Intuitive Robotic Manipulation17 Jul 2026
- 2026Hierarchical Experimentalist Agents28 Jun 2026
38 more
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- 2026SVI-Bench: A Dynamic Microworld for Strategic Video Intelligence29 May 2026
- 2026YoCausal: How Far is Video Generation from World Model? A Causality Perspective28 May 2026
- 2026Deltaynamics: Language-Based Representation for Inferring Rigid-Body Dynamics From Videos20 May 2026
- 2026PhyCo: Learning Controllable Physical Priors for Generative Motion30 Apr 2026
- 2026PhysInOne: Visual Physics Learning and Reasoning in One Suite10 Apr 2026
- 2026Emergent Compositional Communication for Latent World Properties18 Mar 2026
- 2026Predictive Reasoning with Augmented Anomaly Contrastive Learning for Compositional Visual Relations1 Mar 2026
- 2026VisPhyWorld: Probing Physical Reasoning via Code-Driven Video Reconstruction9 Feb 2026
- 2025InPhyRe Discovers: Large Multimodal Models Struggle in Inductive Physical Reasoning12 Sep 2025
- 2025Do Vision-Language Models Have Internal World Models? Towards an Atomic Evaluation27 Jun 2025
- 2025Think before You Simulate: Symbolic Reasoning to Orchestrate Neural Computation for Counterfactual Question Answering12 Jun 2025
- 2025Null Counterfactual Factor Interactions for Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learning6 May 2025
- 2025When Counterfactual Reasoning Fails: Chaos and Real-World Complexity31 Mar 2025
- 2025Learning Coordinated Bimanual Manipulation Policies using State Diffusion and Inverse Dynamics Models30 Mar 2025
- 2025Towards Visual Discrimination and Reasoning of Real-World Physical Dynamics: Physics-Grounded Anomaly Detection5 Mar 2025
- 2025Do generative video models understand physical principles?14 Jan 2025
- 2025Large language models for artificial general intelligence (AGI): A survey of foundational principles and approaches6 Jan 2025
- 2024InterDyn: Controllable Interactive Dynamics with Video Diffusion Models16 Dec 2024
- 2024PhysGame: Uncovering Physical Commonsense Violations in Gameplay Videos2 Dec 2024
- 2024LLMPhy: Parameter-Identifiable Physical Reasoning Combining Large Language Models and Physics Engines12 Nov 2024
- 2024Language Agents Meet Causality -- Bridging LLMs and Causal World Models25 Oct 2024
- 2024Interpretable Representation Learning from Videos using Nonlinear Priors24 Oct 2024
- 2024Compositional Physical Reasoning of Objects and Events from Videos2 Aug 2024
- 2024Take A Step Back: Rethinking the Two Stages in Visual Reasoning29 Jul 2024
- 2024Automated Discovery of Functional Actual Causes in Complex Environments16 Apr 2024
- 2024Exploring CausalWorld: Enhancing robotic manipulation via knowledge transfer and curriculum learning25 Mar 2024
- 2024Learning Physical Dynamics for Object-centric Visual Prediction15 Mar 2024
- 2023Benchmarks for Physical Reasoning AI17 Dec 2023
- 2023Imagine the Unseen World: A Benchmark for Systematic Generalization in Visual World Models15 Nov 2023
- 2023ACQUIRED: A Dataset for Answering Counterfactual Questions In Real-Life Videos2 Nov 2023
- 2023CLEVRER-Humans: Describing Physical and Causal Events the Human Way5 Oct 2023
- 2023GeoDTR+: Toward generic cross-view geolocalization via geometric disentanglement18 Aug 2023
- 2023Physics-Based Task Generation through Causal Sequence of Physical Interactions5 Aug 2023
- 2023Generalizing Graph ODE for Learning Complex System Dynamics across Environments10 Jul 2023
- 2023Physion++: Evaluating Physical Scene Understanding that Requires Online Inference of Different Physical Properties27 Jun 2023
- 2023Visual Transformation Telling3 May 2023
50 newest of 81 All 81 (JSON)
- 2023Benchmarks for Automated Commonsense Reasoning: A Surveycited by 40
- 2022A Review of Emerging Research Directions in Abstract Visual Reasoningcited by 33
- 2024LLMPhy: Parameter-Identifiable Physical Reasoning Combining Large Language Models and Physics Enginescited by 30
- 2026VisPhyWorld: Probing Physical Reasoning via Code-Driven Video Reconstructioncited by 7
- 2024Take A Step Back: Rethinking the Two Stages in Visual Reasoningcited by 4
- 2023NovPhy: A Testbed for Physical Reasoning in Open-world Environmentscited by 2
- 2026PhysVista: Benchmarking Physical Intelligence in VLMs via a Perception-Reasoning-Assessment Loopcited by 1
- 2023Visual Reasoning: from State to Transformationcited by 0
- 2025Think before You Simulate: Symbolic Reasoning to Orchestrate Neural Computation for Counterfactual Question Answeringcited by 0
- 2026Predictive Reasoning with Augmented Anomaly Contrastive Learning for Compositional Visual Relationscited by 0
- 2026Teaching Vision-Language Models to Use the Scale They Are Given: Label-Free Equivariance Training for Metric Physical Reasoningcited by 0
- 2026PhysVista: Benchmarking Physical Intelligence in VLMs via a Perception-Reasoning-Assessment Loop30 Sep 2026
- 2026Teaching Vision-Language Models to Use the Scale They Are Given: Label-Free Equivariance Training for Metric Physical Reasoning1 Sep 2026
- 2026Predictive Reasoning with Augmented Anomaly Contrastive Learning for Compositional Visual Relations1 Mar 2026
- 2026VisPhyWorld: Probing Physical Reasoning via Code-Driven Video Reconstruction9 Feb 2026
- 2025Think before You Simulate: Symbolic Reasoning to Orchestrate Neural Computation for Counterfactual Question Answering12 Jun 2025
- 2024LLMPhy: Parameter-Identifiable Physical Reasoning Combining Large Language Models and Physics Engines12 Nov 2024
- 2024Take A Step Back: Rethinking the Two Stages in Visual Reasoning29 Jul 2024
- 2023Visual Reasoning: from State to Transformation2 May 2023
- 2023NovPhy: A Testbed for Physical Reasoning in Open-world Environments3 Mar 2023
- 2023Benchmarks for Automated Commonsense Reasoning: A Survey9 Feb 2023
- 2022A Review of Emerging Research Directions in Abstract Visual Reasoning21 Feb 2022
- 2025Do Vision-Language Models Have Internal World Models? Towards an Atomic Evaluationcited by 24
- 2022Variational Causal Dynamics: Discovering Modular World Models from Interventionscited by 16
- 2024Language Agents Meet Causality -- Bridging LLMs and Causal World Modelscited by 9
- 2026Physics-IQ Verifiedcited by 9
- 2023Imagine the Unseen World: A Benchmark for Systematic Generalization in Visual World Modelscited by 6
- 2026YoCausal: How Far is Video Generation from World Model? A Causality Perspectivecited by 3
- 2026PhysEditWorld: A Large-Scale Dataset Toward Physics-Editable World Modelscited by 2
- 2026CausalWM: Causal Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Embodied World Modelcited by 1
- 2026MultiEcho: An Experimental Science of Learned Worldscited by 1
- 2026Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligencecited by 0
- 2026OneWorld: Learning Consistent Physics Across Actions in World Modelscited by 0
- 2026MultiEcho: An Experimental Science of Learned Worlds27 Sep 2026
- 2026OneWorld: Learning Consistent Physics Across Actions in World Models25 Sep 2026
- 2026CausalWM: Causal Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Embodied World Model19 Sep 2026
- 2026Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligence30 Aug 2026
- 2026PhysEditWorld: A Large-Scale Dataset Toward Physics-Editable World Models25 Jun 2026
- 2026Physics-IQ Verified17 Jun 2026
- 2026YoCausal: How Far is Video Generation from World Model? A Causality Perspective28 May 2026
- 2025Do Vision-Language Models Have Internal World Models? Towards an Atomic Evaluation27 Jun 2025
- 2024Language Agents Meet Causality -- Bridging LLMs and Causal World Models25 Oct 2024
- 2023Imagine the Unseen World: A Benchmark for Systematic Generalization in Visual World Models15 Nov 2023
- 2022Variational Causal Dynamics: Discovering Modular World Models from Interventions22 Jun 2022
- 2025Large language models for artificial general intelligence (AGI): A survey of foundational principles and approachescited by 18
- 2026TRAPSBench: Vision-Language Models Encode but Fail to Express Epistemic Restraintcited by 5
- 2025InPhyRe Discovers: Large Multimodal Models Struggle in Inductive Physical Reasoningcited by 2
- 2026TRAPSBench: Vision-Language Models Encode but Fail to Express Epistemic Restraint13 Aug 2026
- 2025InPhyRe Discovers: Large Multimodal Models Struggle in Inductive Physical Reasoning12 Sep 2025
- 2025Large language models for artificial general intelligence (AGI): A survey of foundational principles and approaches6 Jan 2025
- 2026IMBench: A Benchmark for Intuitive Robotic Manipulationcited by 1
- 2026IMBench: A Benchmark for Intuitive Robotic Manipulation17 Jul 2026
- 2021A Survey of Embodied AI: From Simulators to Research Taskscited by 261
- 2025Do generative video models understand physical principles?cited by 161
- 2022Cross-view Geo-localization via Learning Disentangled Geometric Layout Correspondencecited by 70
- 2021Grounding Physical Concepts of Objects and Events Through Dynamic Visual Reasoningcited by 68
- 2022When Physics Meets Machine Learning: A Survey of Physics-Informed Machine Learningcited by 65
- 2022ComPhy: Compositional Physical Reasoning of Objects and Events from Videoscited by 63
- 2021Dynamic Visual Reasoning by Learning Differentiable Physics Models from Video and Languagecited by 55
- 2023Physion++: Evaluating Physical Scene Understanding that Requires Online Inference of Different Physical Propertiescited by 54
- 2021Systematic Evaluation of Causal Discovery in Visual Model Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2021ACRE: Abstract Causal REasoning Beyond Covariationcited by 30
- 2023GeoDTR+: Toward generic cross-view geolocalization via geometric disentanglementcited by 28
- 2023Generalizing Graph ODE for Learning Complex System Dynamics across Environmentscited by 23
12 most cited of 47 All 47 (JSON)
- 2026Human-Level Accuracy, Non-Human Strategies: Revealing Model-Human Divergence in Video Physical Reasoning19 Sep 2026
- 2026FADE: From Passive Verification to Active Discovery in Counterfactual Video Understanding11 Aug 2026
- 2026Deltaynamics: Language-Based Representation for Inferring Rigid-Body Dynamics From Videos20 May 2026
- 2026PhysInOne: Visual Physics Learning and Reasoning in One Suite10 Apr 2026
- 2026Emergent Compositional Communication for Latent World Properties18 Mar 2026
- 2025When Counterfactual Reasoning Fails: Chaos and Real-World Complexity31 Mar 2025
- 2025Learning Coordinated Bimanual Manipulation Policies using State Diffusion and Inverse Dynamics Models30 Mar 2025
- 2025Towards Visual Discrimination and Reasoning of Real-World Physical Dynamics: Physics-Grounded Anomaly Detection5 Mar 2025
- 2025Do generative video models understand physical principles?14 Jan 2025
- 2024PhysGame: Uncovering Physical Commonsense Violations in Gameplay Videos2 Dec 2024
- 2024Interpretable Representation Learning from Videos using Nonlinear Priors24 Oct 2024
- 2024Compositional Physical Reasoning of Objects and Events from Videos2 Aug 2024
12 newest of 47 All 47 (JSON)