Calibrated Learning to Defer with One-vs-All Classifiers
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Abstract (arXiv)
The learning to defer (L2D) framework has the potential to make AI systems safer. For a given input, the system can defer the decision to a human if the human is more likely than the model to take the correct action. We study the calibration of L2D systems, investigating if the probabilities they output are sound. We find that Mozannar & Sontag's (2020) multiclass framework is not calibrated with respect to expert correctness. Moreover, it is not even guaranteed to produce valid probabilities due to its parameterization being degenerate for this purpose. We propose an L2D system based on one-vs-all classifiers that is able to produce calibrated probabilities of expert correctness. Furthermore, our loss function is also a consistent surrogate for multiclass L2D, like Mozannar & Sontag's (2020). Our experiments verify that not only is our system calibrated, but this benefit comes at no cost to accuracy. Our model's accuracy is always comparable (and often superior) to Mozannar & Sontag's (2020) model's in tasks ranging from hate speech detection to galaxy classification to diagnosis of skin lesions.
Key facts. Cited by 68 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 24 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Feb 2022.
Builds on
24 of 52 references.
References · 24
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12 more
- 2020Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expertcited by 262
- 2017Predict Responsibly: Improving Fairness and Accuracy by Learning to Defercited by 228
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- 2018To Trust Or Not To Trust A Classifiercited by 205
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 12; 2024: 17; 2025: 14; 2026: 23.
68 papers.
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- 2023Calibration in Deep Learning: A Survey of the State-of-the-Artcited by 72
- 2023Who Should Predict? Exact Algorithms For Learning to Defer to Humanscited by 68
- 2022Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts: Consistent Surrogate Losses, Confidence Calibration, and Conformal Ensemblescited by 59
- 2023Predictor-Rejector Multi-Class Abstention: Theoretical Analysis and Algorithmscited by 36
- 2023Theoretically Grounded Loss Functions and Algorithms for Score-Based Multi-Class Abstentioncited by 32
- 2024Regression with Multi-Expert Deferralcited by 29
- 2023In Defense of Softmax Parametrization for Calibrated and Consistent Learning to Defercited by 26
- 2024Learning to Defer to a Population: A Meta-Learning Approachcited by 26
- 2024Realizable H-Consistent and Bayes-Consistent Loss Functions for Learning to Defercited by 26
- 2024A Universal Growth Rate for Learning with Smooth Surrogate Lossescited by 24
- 2024Enhanced H-Consistency Boundscited by 18
- 2022Human-AI Collaboration in Decision-Making: Beyond Learning to Defercited by 16
38 more
- 2024A Two-Stage Learning-to-Defer Approach for Multi-Task Learningcited by 16
- 2025Mastering Multiple-Expert Routing: Realizable H-Consistency and Strong Guarantees for Learning to Defercited by 16
- 2024Cascade-Aware Training of Language Modelscited by 15
- 2023Plugin estimators for selective classification with out-of-distribution detectioncited by 14
- 2024A Causal Framework for Evaluating Deferring Systemscited by 13
- 2024Cost-Sensitive Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts with Workload Constraintscited by 12
- 2025Budgeted Multiple-Expert Deferralcited by 11
- 2023Beyond Probability Partitions: Calibrating Neural Networks with Semantic Aware Groupingcited by 10
- 2023Unified Classification and Rejection: A One-versus-All Frameworkcited by 9
- 2024AI, Meet Human: Learning Paradigms for Hybrid Decision Making Systemscited by 7
- 2024Learning to Complement and to Defer to Multiple Userscited by 7
- 2025Human-AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 6
- 2023Learning to Complement with Multiple Humanscited by 5
- 2024Online Decision Deferral under Budget Constraintscited by 5
- 2026When to Trust the Cheap Check: Weak and Strong Verification for Reasoningcited by 5
- 2026ReDAct: Uncertainty-Aware Deferral for LLM Agentscited by 5
- 2025Learning to Partially Defer for Sequencescited by 4
- 2025To Ask or Not to Ask: Learning to Require Human Feedbackcited by 4
- 2024Learning To Guide Human Decision Makers With Vision-Language Modelscited by 3
- 2026Fatigue-Aware Learning to Defer via Constrained Optimisationcited by 3
- 2023When No-Rejection Learning is Consistent for Regression with Rejectioncited by 2
- 2023Bayesian Online Learning for Consensus Predictioncited by 2
- 2024Diffusion Boosted Treescited by 2
- 2024Learning To Help: Training Models to Assist Legacy Devicescited by 2
- 2025Learning to Help in Multi-Class Settingscited by 2
- 2025Conformal Set-based Human-AI Complementarity with Multiple Expertscited by 2
- 2025No Need for Learning to Defer? A Training Free Deferral Framework to Multiple Experts through Conformal Predictioncited by 2
- 2026L2CU: Learning to Complement Unseen Userscited by 2
- 2026When More Experts Hurt: Underfitting in Multi-Expert Learning to Defercited by 2
- 2026Multi-Round Human-AI Collaboration with User-Specified Requirementscited by 2
- 2026Optimized Deferral for Imbalanced Settingscited by 2
- 2026TimeRouter: Efficient and Adaptive Routing of Time-Series Foundation Modelscited by 2
- 2024Embracing Unknown Step by Step: Towards Reliable Sparse Training in Real Worldcited by 1
- 2025Bayesian Inference for Correlated Human Experts and Classifierscited by 1
- 2025MedGellan: LLM-Generated Medical Guidance to Support Physicianscited by 1
- 2025From Deferral to Learning: Online In-Context Knowledge Distillation for LLM Cascadescited by 1
- 2026DeferredSeg:A Multi-Expert Deferral Framework for Medical Image Segmentationcited by 1
- 2026Calibrating conditional riskcited by 1
50 most cited of 68 All 68 (JSON)
- 2026Should I stay or should I show? Learning to selectively disclose information30 Sep 2026
- 2026RACER: Role-Aligned Competence Estimation for Human-AI Routing18 Sep 2026
- 2026Cost-Aware Post-Hoc Deferral Under Calibration and Shift: An Environmental AI Case Study7 Sep 2026
- 2026Risk Is Not Review Value: Wrong-Answer Exposure Under Bounded Review Budgets7 Sep 2026
- 2026Knowing When to Ask for Help: Bayesian Self-Escalation in Hierarchical LLM Agents25 Aug 2026
- 2026Strategic Decision Support for AI Agents10 Jun 2026
- 2026TimeRouter: Efficient and Adaptive Routing of Time-Series Foundation Models10 Jun 2026
- 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibration9 Jun 2026
- 2026Density-Ratio Losses for Post-Hoc Learning to Defer19 May 2026
- 2026PLACO: A Multi-Stage Framework for Cost-Effective Performance in Human-AI Teams8 May 2026
- 2026MPD2-Router: Mask-aware Multi-expert Prior-regularized Dual-head Deferral Router in Glaucoma Screening and Diagnosis8 May 2026
- 2026Optimized Deferral for Imbalanced Settings30 Apr 2026
38 more
- 2026Calibrating conditional risk22 Apr 2026
- 2026Hybrid Decision Making via Conformal VLM-generated Guidance16 Apr 2026
- 2026DeferredSeg:A Multi-Expert Deferral Framework for Medical Image Segmentation14 Apr 2026
- 2026ReDAct: Uncertainty-Aware Deferral for LLM Agents8 Apr 2026
- 2026Fatigue-Aware Learning to Defer via Constrained Optimisation1 Apr 2026
- 2026The Confidence Gate Theorem: When Should Ranked Decision Systems Abstain?10 Mar 2026
- 2026Slumbering to Precision: Enhancing Artificial Neural Network Calibration Through Sleep-like Processes9 Mar 2026
- 2026Multi-Round Human-AI Collaboration with User-Specified Requirements19 Feb 2026
- 2026When to Trust the Cheap Check: Weak and Strong Verification for Reasoning19 Feb 2026
- 2026When More Experts Hurt: Underfitting in Multi-Expert Learning to Defer19 Feb 2026
- 2026L2CU: Learning to Complement Unseen Users3 Jan 2026
- 2025Budgeted Multiple-Expert Deferral30 Oct 2025
- 2025Human-AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantification27 Oct 2025
- 2025Learning To Defer To A Population With Limited Demonstrations22 Oct 2025
- 2025To Ask or Not to Ask: Learning to Require Human Feedback9 Oct 2025
- 2025From Deferral to Learning: Online In-Context Knowledge Distillation for LLM Cascades26 Sep 2025
- 2025No Need for Learning to Defer? A Training Free Deferral Framework to Multiple Experts through Conformal Prediction16 Sep 2025
- 2025Conformal Set-based Human-AI Complementarity with Multiple Experts9 Aug 2025
- 2025Is Uncertainty Quantification a Viable Alternative to Learned Deferral?4 Aug 2025
- 2025MedGellan: LLM-Generated Medical Guidance to Support Physicians6 Jul 2025
- 2025Mastering Multiple-Expert Routing: Realizable H-Consistency and Strong Guarantees for Learning to Defer25 Jun 2025
- 2025Bayesian Inference for Correlated Human Experts and Classifiers5 Jun 2025
- 2025DeCoDe: Defer-and-Complement Decision-Making via Decoupled Concept Bottleneck Models25 May 2025
- 2025Learning to Partially Defer for Sequences3 Feb 2025
- 2025Learning to Help in Multi-Class Settings23 Jan 2025
- 2024The Value of AI Advice: Personalized and Value-Maximizing AI Advisors Are Necessary to Reliably Benefit Experts and Organizations27 Dec 2024
- 2024A Two-Stage Learning-to-Defer Approach for Multi-Task Learning21 Oct 2024
- 2024Online Decision Deferral under Budget Constraints30 Sep 2024
- 2024Learning To Help: Training Models to Assist Legacy Devices24 Sep 2024
- 2024Realizable H-Consistent and Bayes-Consistent Loss Functions for Learning to Defer18 Jul 2024
- 2024Enhanced H-Consistency Bounds18 Jul 2024
- 2024Learning to Complement and to Defer to Multiple Users9 Jul 2024
- 2024Diffusion Boosted Trees3 Jun 2024
- 2024Cascade-Aware Training of Language Models29 May 2024
- 2024A Causal Framework for Evaluating Deferring Systems29 May 2024
- 2024A Universal Growth Rate for Learning with Smooth Surrogate Losses9 May 2024
- 2024Embracing Unknown Step by Step: Towards Reliable Sparse Training in Real World29 Mar 2024
- 2024Regression with Multi-Expert Deferral28 Mar 2024
50 newest of 68 All 68 (JSON)
- 2025To Ask or Not to Ask: Learning to Require Human Feedbackcited by 4
- 2025To Ask or Not to Ask: Learning to Require Human Feedback9 Oct 2025
- 2024Diffusion Boosted Treescited by 2
- 2024Diffusion Boosted Trees3 Jun 2024
- 2023Calibration in Deep Learning: A Survey of the State-of-the-Artcited by 72
- 2023Who Should Predict? Exact Algorithms For Learning to Defer to Humanscited by 68
- 2022Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts: Consistent Surrogate Losses, Confidence Calibration, and Conformal Ensemblescited by 59
- 2023Predictor-Rejector Multi-Class Abstention: Theoretical Analysis and Algorithmscited by 36
- 2023Theoretically Grounded Loss Functions and Algorithms for Score-Based Multi-Class Abstentioncited by 32
- 2024Regression with Multi-Expert Deferralcited by 29
- 2023In Defense of Softmax Parametrization for Calibrated and Consistent Learning to Defercited by 26
- 2024Learning to Defer to a Population: A Meta-Learning Approachcited by 26
- 2024Realizable H-Consistent and Bayes-Consistent Loss Functions for Learning to Defercited by 26
- 2024A Universal Growth Rate for Learning with Smooth Surrogate Lossescited by 24
- 2024Enhanced H-Consistency Boundscited by 18
- 2022Human-AI Collaboration in Decision-Making: Beyond Learning to Defercited by 16
12 most cited of 62 All 62 (JSON)
- 2026Should I stay or should I show? Learning to selectively disclose information30 Sep 2026
- 2026RACER: Role-Aligned Competence Estimation for Human-AI Routing18 Sep 2026
- 2026Cost-Aware Post-Hoc Deferral Under Calibration and Shift: An Environmental AI Case Study7 Sep 2026
- 2026Risk Is Not Review Value: Wrong-Answer Exposure Under Bounded Review Budgets7 Sep 2026
- 2026Strategic Decision Support for AI Agents10 Jun 2026
- 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibration9 Jun 2026
- 2026Density-Ratio Losses for Post-Hoc Learning to Defer19 May 2026
- 2026PLACO: A Multi-Stage Framework for Cost-Effective Performance in Human-AI Teams8 May 2026
- 2026MPD2-Router: Mask-aware Multi-expert Prior-regularized Dual-head Deferral Router in Glaucoma Screening and Diagnosis8 May 2026
- 2026Optimized Deferral for Imbalanced Settings30 Apr 2026
- 2026Calibrating conditional risk22 Apr 2026
- 2026Hybrid Decision Making via Conformal VLM-generated Guidance16 Apr 2026
12 newest of 62 All 62 (JSON)