mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

No Need for Learning to Defer? A Training Free Deferral Framework to Multiple Experts through Conformal Prediction

arXiv 2509.12573 ↗First posted 16 Sep 2025cs.LG cs.HCcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

AI systems often struggle to provide reliable predictions across all inputs, motivating hybrid human-AI decision-making. Existing Learning to Defer (L2D) approaches address this by training models to selectively defer to human experts. However, these approaches require extensive training data annotated by all experts and are sensitive to changes in expert composition, necessitating costly retraining. We propose a training-free, model- and expert-agnostic framework for expert deferral based on conformal prediction. Our method leverages prediction sets from a conformal predictor to quantify label-specific uncertainty and selects the most suitable expert using a segregativity criterion, which measures how well an expert discriminates among plausible labels. Experiments across three models on CIFAR10-H and HAM10000 demonstrate that our method can reduce the number of training labels per expert by up to 91.3% while maintaining predictive accuracy in low-data regimes. Being training-free, it also reduces training time by two orders of magnitude, offering a scalable, alternative to L2D for real-world human-AI collaboration.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 43 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Sep 2025.

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29 of 43 references.

References · 29

  1. 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 792
  2. 2020Classification with Valid and Adaptive Coveragecited by 396
  3. 2020Uncertainty Sets for Image Classifiers using Conformal Predictioncited by 366
  4. 2016Least Ambiguous Set-Valued Classifiers with Bounded Error Levelscited by 272
  5. 2020Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expertcited by 271
  6. 2019Human uncertainty makes classification more robustcited by 235
  7. 2017Predict Responsibly: Improving Fairness and Accuracy by Learning to Defercited by 233
  8. 2021Towards Unbiased and Accurate Deferral to Multiple Expertscited by 72
  9. 2023Who Should Predict? Exact Algorithms For Learning to Defer to Humanscited by 70
  10. 2022Calibrated Learning to Defer with One-vs-All Classifierscited by 69
  11. 2022Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts: Consistent Surrogate Losses, Confidence Calibration, and Conformal Ensemblescited by 60
  12. 2021Hybrid Intelligencecited by 55
17 more
  1. 2022Improving Expert Predictions with Conformal Predictioncited by 54
  2. 2022Forming Effective Human-AI Teams: Building Machine Learning Models that Complement the Capabilities of Multiple Expertscited by 40
  3. 2024Conformal Prediction Sets Improve Human Decision Makingcited by 35
  4. 2024Complementarity in Human-AI Collaboration: Concept, Sources, and Evidencecited by 35
  5. 2022On the Utility of Prediction Sets in Human-AI Teamscited by 34
  6. 2024Learning to Defer to a Population: A Meta-Learning Approachcited by 27
  7. 2023Designing Decision Support Systems Using Counterfactual Prediction Setscited by 26
  8. 2023Learning to Defer with Limited Expert Predictionscited by 25
  9. 2024Towards Human-AI Complementarity with Prediction Setscited by 25
  10. 2023Learning Personalized Decision Support Policiescited by 14
  11. 2024Cost-Sensitive Learning to Defer to Multiple Experts with Workload Constraintscited by 12
  12. 2023Human and AI Perceptual Differences in Image Classification Errorscited by 9
  13. 2024Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Setscited by 9
  14. 2025Conformal Prediction and Human Decision Makingcited by 9
  15. 2022The Value of AI Guidance in Human Examination of Synthetically-Generated Facescited by 8
  16. 2023Learning to Complement with Multiple Humanscited by 5
  17. 2023When Are Two Lists Better than One?: Benefits and Harms in Joint Decision-makingcited by 4

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2 papers.