mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Dimensional Characterization and Pathway Modeling for Catastrophic AI Risks

arXiv 2508.06411 ↗First posted 8 Aug 2025cs.CY cs.AI cs.LGcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Although discourse around the risks of Artificial Intelligence (AI) has grown, it often lacks a comprehensive, multidimensional framework, and concrete causal pathways mapping hazard to harm. This paper aims to bridge this gap by examining six commonly discussed AI catastrophic risks: CBRN, cyber offense, sudden loss of control, gradual loss of control, environmental risk, and geopolitical risk. First, we characterize these risks across seven key dimensions, namely intent, competency, entity, polarity, linearity, reach, and order. Next, we conduct risk pathway modeling by mapping step-by-step progressions from the initial hazard to the resulting harms. The dimensional approach supports systematic risk identification and generalizable mitigation strategies, while risk pathway models help identify scenario-specific interventions. Together, these methods offer a more structured and actionable foundation for managing catastrophic AI risks across the value chain.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 63 of its 140 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Aug 2025.

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63 of 140 references.

References · 63

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38 more
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