Model evaluation for extreme risks
Not on the map. Why?
Cited by 20 in LLM alignment / RLHF / preference optimisation, but placed by its own abstract, which didn’t fit.
Abstract (arXiv)
Current approaches to building general-purpose AI systems tend to produce systems with both beneficial and harmful capabilities. Further progress in AI development could lead to capabilities that pose extreme risks, such as offensive cyber capabilities or strong manipulation skills. We explain why model evaluation is critical for addressing extreme risks. Developers must be able to identify dangerous capabilities (through "dangerous capability evaluations") and the propensity of models to apply their capabilities for harm (through "alignment evaluations"). These evaluations will become critical for keeping policymakers and other stakeholders informed, and for making responsible decisions about model training, deployment, and security.
Key facts. Cited by 167 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 37 of its 63 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 24 May 2023.
Builds on
37 of 63 references.
References · 37
- 2023GPT-4 Technical Reportcited by 18,132
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- 2023Sparks of Artificial General Intelligence: Early experiments with GPT-4cited by 2,579
- 2022Emergent Abilities of Large Language Modelscited by 2,483
- 2018Model Cards for Model Reportingcited by 1,068
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- 2022Improving alignment of dialogue agents via targeted human judgementscited by 527
- 2020Closing the AI Accountability Gap: Defining an End-to-End Framework for Internal Algorithmic Auditingcited by 380
25 more
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- 2022Predictability and Surprise in Large Generative Modelscited by 209
- 2023Automatically Auditing Large Language Models via Discrete Optimizationcited by 187
- 2023Do the Rewards Justify the Means? Measuring Trade-Offs Between Rewards and Ethical Behavior in the MACHIAVELLI Benchmarkcited by 174
- 2020Toward Trustworthy AI Development: Mechanisms for Supporting Verifiable Claimscited by 163
- 2018The Malicious Use of Artificial Intelligence: Forecasting, Prevention, and Mitigationcited by 159
- 2023Auditing large language models: a three-layered approachcited by 135
- 2023Harms from Increasingly Agentic Algorithmic Systemscited by 134
- 2022Goal Misgeneralization: Why Correct Specifications Aren't Enough For Correct Goalscited by 120
- 2019Optimal Policies Tend to Seek Powercited by 115
- 2022Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?cited by 101
- 2016The Off-Switch Gamecited by 97
- 2022The Fallacy of AI Functionalitycited by 88
- 2022Inverse scaling can become U-shapedcited by 76
- 2022Outsider Oversight: Designing a Third Party Audit Ecosystem for AI Governancecited by 67
- 2022Adversarial Training for High-Stakes Reliabilitycited by 60
- 2021Agent Incentives: A Causal Perspectivecited by 51
- 2022Structured access: an emerging paradigm for safe AI deploymentcited by 40
- 2022Discovering Agentscited by 28
- 2022What Do NLP Researchers Believe? Results of the NLP Community Metasurveycited by 28
- 2022From plane crashes to algorithmic harm: applicability of safety engineering frameworks for responsible MLcited by 26
- 2023Power-seeking can be probable and predictive for trained agentscited by 23
- 2022A Hazard Analysis Framework for Code Synthesis Large Language Modelscited by 22
- 2021Why and How Governments Should Monitor AI Developmentcited by 13
- 2023Exploring the Relevance of Data Privacy-Enhancing Technologies for AI Governance Use Casescited by 5
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 36; 2024: 53; 2025: 43; 2026: 35.
167 papers.
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- 2023AI Control: Improving Safety Despite Intentional Subversion12 Dec 2023
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- 2023Can LLM-Generated Misinformation Be Detected?cited by 173
- 2023Sociotechnical Safety Evaluation of Generative AI Systemscited by 154
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- 2024Black-Box Access is Insufficient for Rigorous AI Auditscited by 123
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12 most cited of 116 All 116 (JSON)
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- 2026When May an Agent Stop? Evidence-Carrying Termination for Tool-Using LLMs22 Aug 2026
- 2026Frontier AI Forecasting Has a Measurement Problem: An Audit of Progress Evidence14 Aug 2026
- 2026Knowing When to Stop: Bayesian Optimal Stopping for LLM Evaluations14 Aug 2026
- 2026A Blind Spot in Alignment: Quantifying Biosecurity Risks in Large Language Models3 Aug 2026
- 2026Physiological Noise Augmentation Improves Non-Invasive Brain-to-Speech6 Jul 2026
- 2026The Foreign Policy AI Evaluation Gap3 Jul 2026
- 2026AI Sandboxes: A Threat Model, Taxonomy, and Measurement Framework16 Jun 2026
- 2026Greed Is Learned: Visible Incentives as Reward-Hacking Triggers15 Jun 2026
- 2026A Model of Multi-turn Human Persuadability Using Probabilistic Belief Tracing3 Jun 2026
- 2026Solipsistic Superintelligence is Unlikely to be Cooperative2 Jun 2026
- 2026Position: Behavioural Assurance Cannot Verify the Safety Claims Governance Now Demands14 May 2026
12 newest of 116 All 116 (JSON)