Forecast-MAE: Self-supervised Pre-training for Motion Forecasting with Masked Autoencoders
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Abstract (arXiv)
This study explores the application of self-supervised learning (SSL) to the task of motion forecasting, an area that has not yet been extensively investigated despite the widespread success of SSL in computer vision and natural language processing. To address this gap, we introduce Forecast-MAE, an extension of the mask autoencoders framework that is specifically designed for self-supervised learning of the motion forecasting task. Our approach includes a novel masking strategy that leverages the strong interconnections between agents' trajectories and road networks, involving complementary masking of agents' future or history trajectories and random masking of lane segments. Our experiments on the challenging Argoverse 2 motion forecasting benchmark show that Forecast-MAE, which utilizes standard Transformer blocks with minimal inductive bias, achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods that rely on supervised learning and sophisticated designs. Moreover, it outperforms the previous self-supervised learning method by a significant margin. Code is available at https://github.com/jchengai/forecast-mae.
Key facts. Cited by 73 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 46 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 Aug 2023.
Builds on
46 of 57 references.
References · 46
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- 2023Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecastingcited by 707
34 more
- 2021Point-BERT: Pre-training 3D Point Cloud Transformers with Masked Point Modelingcited by 653
- 2021Large Scale Interactive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving : The Waymo Open Motion Datasetcited by 537
- 2020VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representationcited by 530
- 2022Masked Autoencoders for Point Cloud Self-supervised Learningcited by 459
- 2019MultiPath: Multiple Probabilistic Anchor Trajectory Hypotheses for Behavior Predictioncited by 420
- 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 382
- 2020TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Predictioncited by 347
- 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 295
- 2022Masked Autoencoders that Listencited by 273
- 2022Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinementcited by 270
- 2019CoverNet: Multimodal Behavior Prediction using Trajectory Setscited by 259
- 2021MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Predictioncited by 246
- 2022Neighborhood Attention Transformercited by 239
- 2021Multimodal Motion Prediction with Stacked Transformerscited by 208
- 2019Multiple Futures Predictioncited by 178
- 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
- 2021Latent Variable Sequential Set Transformers For Joint Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 131
- 2021HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 122
- 2021LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecastingcited by 113
- 2021Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Conditioned on Lane-Graph Traversalscited by 113
- 2022HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encodingcited by 110
- 2021THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Samplingcited by 101
- 2021TPCN: Temporal Point Cloud Networks for Motion Forecastingcited by 94
- 2020What-If Motion Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 80
- 2022GoRela: Go Relative for Viewpoint-Invariant Motion Forecastingcited by 68
- 2021Learning to Predict Vehicle Trajectories with Model-based Planningcited by 63
- 2022GANet: Goal Area Network for Motion Forecastingcited by 49
- 2022SSL-Lanes: Self-Supervised Learning for Motion Forecasting in Autonomous Drivingcited by 32
- 2022PreTraM: Self-Supervised Pre-training via Connecting Trajectory and Mapcited by 25
- 2021AVGCN: Trajectory Prediction using Graph Convolutional Networks Guided by Human Attentioncited by 12
- 2022BANet: Motion Forecasting with Boundary Aware Networkcited by 10
- 2022QML for Argoverse 2 Motion Forecasting Challengecited by 8
- 2020HGCN-GJS: Hierarchical Graph Convolutional Network with Groupwise Joint Sampling for Trajectory Predictioncited by 4
- 2020CoMoGCN: Coherent Motion Aware Trajectory Prediction with Graph Representationcited by 3
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 7; 2024: 30; 2025: 20; 2026: 16.
73 papers.
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- 2024Maneuver Decision-Making with Trajectory Streams Prediction for Autonomous Vehicles16 Sep 2024
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- 2026A Unified Framework for Trajectory Prediction with Explicit Planning and Reaction Decomposition6 Aug 2026
- 2026IMR: Iterative Mode-World Weighted Regression for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction6 Jul 2026
- 2026Optimizing ML Workload Partitioning between CPUs and CIM Accelerators for Heterogeneous Computing6 Jul 2026
- 2026LAMP: Lane-Aligned Motion Primitives for Feasible Trajectory Prediction25 Jun 2026
- 2026M-CTX: Exact and Scalable Spatial Context Retrieval for Trajectory Analytics13 Jun 2026
- 2026Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bank2 May 2026
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting30 Mar 2026
- 2026Recover to Predict: Progressive Retrospective Learning for Variable-Length Trajectory Prediction11 Mar 2026
- 2026MetaDAT: Generalizable Trajectory Prediction via Meta Pre-training and Data-Adaptive Test-Time Updating10 Mar 2026
- 2026TaPD: Temporal-adaptive Progressive Distillation for Observation-Adaptive Trajectory Forecasting in Autonomous Driving6 Mar 2026
- 2026Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modeling2 Mar 2026
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