A Unified Framework for Trajectory Prediction with Explicit Planning and Reaction Decomposition
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Abstract (arXiv)
Trajectory prediction has shifted toward structured formulations with explicit social modeling. However, existing methods inadequately distinguish the functional roles of social influence in trajectory planning. Observing that agents typically form motion plans by anticipating others' future behaviors before making local reactive adjustments, we identify social interactions as playing staged roles, namely planning precedes reaction. We propose INTraJ, a unified framework that decomposes social influence into two stages: a planning stage constructs reference trajectories using future social information, and a reaction stage recovers local adjustments from the residual between full-context prediction and the reference. INTraJ supports both multi-target and single-target paradigms. Extensive experiments on four standard benchmarks, including Argoverse 2, Argoverse 2-ped, ETH/UCY, and SDD, demonstrate consistent improvements, particularly in FDE and long-horizon consistency, with state-of-the-art performance achieved in several settings. INTraJ reframes trajectory prediction as a planning-driven two-stage process, validating that staged social modeling is critical for stable predictions. The code is publicly available at https://github.com/11isnotavailable/INTraJ.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Aug 2026.
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References · 25
- 2020VectorNet: Encoding HD Maps and Agent Dynamics from Vectorized Representationcited by 530
- 2021AgentFormer: Agent-Aware Transformers for Socio-Temporal Multi-Agent Forecastingcited by 331
- 2020It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Predictioncited by 236
- 2019Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 232
- 2020From Goals, Waypoints & Paths To Long Term Human Trajectory Forecastingcited by 167
- 2021THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Samplingcited by 101
- 2023Forecast-MAE: Self-supervised Pre-training for Motion Forecasting with Masked Autoencoderscited by 73
- 2022GoRela: Go Relative for Viewpoint-Invariant Motion Forecastingcited by 68
- 2022MUSE-VAE: Multi-Scale VAE for Environment-Aware Long Term Trajectory Predictioncited by 59
- 2022GANet: Goal Area Network for Motion Forecastingcited by 49
- 2024SmartRefine: A Scenario-Adaptive Refinement Framework for Efficient Motion Predictioncited by 34
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillationcited by 31
13 more
- 2023Dynamic Scenario Representation Learning for Motion Forecasting with Heterogeneous Graph Convolutional Recurrent Networkscited by 28
- 2023Fast Inference and Update of Probabilistic Density Estimation on Trajectory Predictioncited by 27
- 2024SIMPL: A Simple and Efficient Multi-agent Motion Prediction Baseline for Autonomous Drivingcited by 27
- 2022SMEMO: Social Memory for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 26
- 2023Another Vertical View: A Hierarchical Network for Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction via Spectrumscited by 14
- 2023Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Distributional Diffusioncited by 13
- 2023Evaluating Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods with Respect to Autonomous Drivingcited by 11
- 2023BiFF: Bi-level Future Fusion with Polyline-based Coordinate for Interactive Trajectory Predictioncited by 8
- 2025DONUT: A Decoder-Only Model for Trajectory Predictioncited by 7
- 2025Foresight in Motion: Reinforcing Trajectory Prediction with Reward Heuristicscited by 6
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrationscited by 5
- 2025Future-Aware Interaction Network For Motion Forecastingcited by 4
- 2024Snapshot: Towards Application-centered Models for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Urban Traffic Environmentscited by 3
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