Improving Autonomous Driving Safety with POP: A Framework for Accurate Partially Observed Trajectory Predictions
On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture
Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for safe and efficient autonomous driving, but handling partial observations presents significant challenges. To address this, we propose a novel trajectory prediction framework called Partial Observations Prediction (POP) for congested urban road scenarios. The framework consists of two key stages: self-supervised learning (SSL) and feature distillation. POP first employs SLL to help the model learn to reconstruct history representations, and then utilizes feature distillation as the fine-tuning task to transfer knowledge from the teacher model, which has been pre-trained with complete observations, to the student model, which has only few observations. POP achieves comparable results to top-performing methods in open-loop experiments and outperforms the baseline method in closed-loop simulations, including safety metrics. Qualitative results illustrate the superiority of POP in providing reasonable and safe trajectory predictions.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 23 of its 29 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2023.
Builds on
23 of 29 references.
References · 23
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11 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 1; 2024: 2; 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
5 papers.
- 2025Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Vehicles: A Surveycited by 8
- 2023GDTS: Goal-Guided Diffusion Model with Tree Sampling for Multi-Modal Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2024DragTraffic: Interactive and Controllable Traffic Scene Generation for Autonomous Drivingcited by 3
- 2024LHPF: Look back the History and Plan for the Future in Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting30 Mar 2026
- 2025Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Vehicles: A Survey10 Feb 2025
- 2024LHPF: Look back the History and Plan for the Future in Autonomous Driving26 Nov 2024
- 2024DragTraffic: Interactive and Controllable Traffic Scene Generation for Autonomous Driving19 Apr 2024
- 2023GDTS: Goal-Guided Diffusion Model with Tree Sampling for Multi-Modal Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction25 Nov 2023
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025Improving Partially Observed Trajectories Forecasting by Target-driven Self-Distillation
- 2023Navigating Uncertainty: The Role of Short-Term Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Vehicle Safety
- 2026READ: Learning Risk-Informed Fields for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 2026RiskWorld: Object-Centric Latent World Modeling for Autonomous Driving Risk Identification
- 2026Aligning Microscopic Vehicle and Macroscopic Traffic Statistics: Reconstructing Driving Behavior from Partial Data
- 2022Safe Real-World Autonomous Driving by Learning to Predict and Plan with a Mixture of Experts
- 2026TaPD: Temporal-adaptive Progressive Distillation for Observation-Adaptive Trajectory Forecasting in Autonomous Driving
- 2025Large Foundation Models for Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Survey