Human Trajectory Forecasting in Crowds: A Deep Learning Perspective
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Abstract (arXiv)
Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to name a few. Early works handcrafted this representation based on domain knowledge. However, social interactions in crowded environments are not only diverse but often subtle. Recently, deep learning methods have outperformed their handcrafted counterparts, as they learned about human-human interactions in a more generic data-driven fashion. In this work, we present an in-depth analysis of existing deep learning-based methods for modelling social interactions. We propose two knowledge-based data-driven methods to effectively capture these social interactions. To objectively compare the performance of these interaction-based forecasting models, we develop a large scale interaction-centric benchmark TrajNet++, a significant yet missing component in the field of human trajectory forecasting. We propose novel performance metrics that evaluate the ability of a model to output socially acceptable trajectories. Experiments on TrajNet++ validate the need for our proposed metrics, and our method outperforms competitive baselines on both real-world and synthetic datasets.
Key facts. Cited by 128 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 7 Jul 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 23; 2022: 20; 2023: 32; 2024: 25; 2025: 18; 2026: 10.
128 papers.
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- 2022Observation-Centric SORT: Rethinking SORT for Robust Multi-Object Trackingcited by 345
- 2021Latent Variable Sequential Set Transformers For Joint Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 131
- 2021LOKI: Long Term and Key Intentions for Trajectory Predictioncited by 57
- 2021TRiPOD: Human Trajectory and Pose Dynamics Forecasting in the Wildcited by 52
- 2024UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 51
- 2021Interpretable Social Anchors for Human Trajectory Forecasting in Crowdscited by 44
- 2023Traj-MAE: Masked Autoencoders for Trajectory Predictioncited by 42
- 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspectivecited by 40
- 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywherecited by 39
- 2021Predicting the Future from First Person (Egocentric) Vision: A Surveycited by 36
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wildcited by 33
- 2023Conformal Prediction Regions for Time Series using Linear Complementarity Programmingcited by 33
38 more
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
- 2021Are socially-aware trajectory prediction models really socially-aware?cited by 32
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2021Review of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods: Comparing Deep Learning and Knowledge-based Approachescited by 30
- 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Reviewcited by 29
- 2022Goal-driven Self-Attentive Recurrent Networks for Trajectory Predictioncited by 28
- 2023Stochastic Multi-Person 3D Motion Forecastingcited by 28
- 2023SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 27
- 2022SMEMO: Social Memory for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 26
- 2023trajdata: A Unified Interface to Multiple Human Trajectory Datasetscited by 25
- 2021Roto-translated Local Coordinate Frames For Interacting Dynamical Systemscited by 24
- 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
- 2024Multi-Transmotion: Pre-trained Model for Human Motion Predictioncited by 21
- 2024Multi-Agent Dynamic Relational Reasoning for Social Robot Navigationcited by 20
- 2021MSN: Multi-Style Network for Trajectory Predictioncited by 19
- 2021Injecting Knowledge in Data-driven Vehicle Trajectory Predictorscited by 18
- 2023Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Pedestrian-Vehicle Mixed Environments: A Systematic Reviewcited by 18
- 2023Joint Metrics Matter: A Better Standard for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 17
- 2021DeepTrack: Lightweight Deep Learning for Vehicle Path Prediction in Highwayscited by 16
- 2023Another Vertical View: A Hierarchical Network for Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction via Spectrumscited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2023IPCC-TP: Utilizing Incremental Pearson Correlation Coefficient for Joint Multi-Agent Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
- 2022Safety-compliant Generative Adversarial Networks for Human Trajectory Forecastingcited by 12
- 2022Motion Style Transfer: Modular Low-Rank Adaptation for Deep Motion Forecastingcited by 12
- 2023Generative Causal Representation Learning for Out-of-Distribution Motion Forecastingcited by 12
- 2023Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equationcited by 12
- 2022Pedestrian 3D Bounding Box Predictioncited by 11
- 2023Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertaintycited by 11
- 2023Evaluating Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods with Respect to Autonomous Drivingcited by 11
- 2021Learning Sparse Interaction Graphs of Partially Detected Pedestrians for Trajectory Predictioncited by 10
- 2022EvolveHypergraph: Group-Aware Dynamic Relational Reasoning for Trajectory Predictioncited by 10
- 2024From Cognition to Precognition: A Future-Aware Framework for Social Navigationcited by 10
- 2025Physical Plausibility-aware Trajectory Prediction via Locomotion Embodimentcited by 10
- 2023Energy-based Potential Games for Joint Motion Forecasting and Controlcited by 9
- 2021Deep Social Forcecited by 8
- 2022Under the Hood of Transformer Networks for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 8
- 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 8
- 2023Deep hybrid model with satellite imagery: how to combine demand modeling and computer vision for behavior analysis?cited by 8
50 most cited of 128 All 128 (JSON)
- 2026STRIDE: Automated Evaluation of Text-to-Trajectory Alignment across Diverse Contexts28 Sep 2026
- 2026MamMA: A Mamba-Based Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Algorithm Considering Occupancy Map and Pedestrian Awareness States7 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Forecasting from Imperfect Tracking31 Aug 2026
- 2026Learning-Based Motion Planning for Dynamic Environments: From Foundational Algorithms to Emerging Paradigms1 Aug 2026
- 2026CityTrajBench: A Unified Benchmark for City-Scale Vehicle Trajectory Generation1 Jun 2026
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction21 May 2026
- 2026Social-Mamba: Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting with State-Space Models14 May 2026
- 2026EgoGroups: A Benchmark For Detecting Social Groups of People in the Wild23 Mar 2026
- 2026Context-free Self-Conditioned GAN for Trajectory Forecasting9 Mar 2026
- 2026Robust Human Trajectory Prediction via Self-Supervised Skeleton Representation Learning26 Feb 2026
- 2025Multi-Modal Zero-Shot Prediction of Color Trajectories in Food Drying5 Dec 2025
- 2025Lane-Frame Quantum Multimodal Driving Forecasts for the Trajectory of Autonomous Vehicles21 Nov 2025
38 more
- 2025Scriboora: Rethinking Human Pose Forecasting19 Nov 2025
- 2025EgoCogNav: Cognition-aware Human Egocentric Navigation15 Nov 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction in The Loop: A Feedback-Based Uncertainty Model for Trajectory Optimization18 Oct 2025
- 2025Trajectory prediction for heterogeneous agents: A performance analysis on small and imbalanced datasets4 Oct 2025
- 2025STEP: Structured Training and Evaluation Platform for benchmarking trajectory prediction models18 Sep 2025
- 2025Ensemble of Pre-Trained Models for Long-Tailed Trajectory Prediction17 Sep 2025
- 2025Unified Generation-Refinement Planning: Bridging Guided Flow Matching and Sampling-Based MPC for Social Navigation2 Aug 2025
- 2025OmniTraj: Pre-Training on Heterogeneous Data for Adaptive and Zero-Shot Human Trajectory Prediction31 Jul 2025
- 2025Social-Pose: Enhancing Trajectory Prediction with Human Body Pose30 Jul 2025
- 2025Recent Advances in Multi-Agent Human Trajectory Prediction: A Comprehensive Review13 Jun 2025
- 2025Safety2Drive: Safety-Critical Scenario Benchmark for the Evaluation of Autonomous Driving20 May 2025
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generation7 Apr 2025
- 2025Physical Plausibility-aware Trajectory Prediction via Locomotion Embodiment21 Mar 2025
- 2025Unified Human Localization and Trajectory Prediction with Monocular Vision5 Mar 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025A Spatio-temporal Graph Network Allowing Incomplete Trajectory Input for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction22 Jan 2025
- 2024AI-Powered CPS-Enabled Vulnerable-User-Aware Urban Transportation Digital Twin: Methods and Applications30 Dec 2024
- 2024TH"OR-MAGNI Act: Actions for Human Motion Modeling in Robot-Shared Industrial Spaces18 Dec 2024
- 2024Who Walks With You Matters: Perceiving Social Interactions with Groups for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction3 Dec 2024
- 2024Vision Technologies with Applications in Traffic Surveillance Systems: A Holistic Survey30 Nov 2024
- 2024RealTraj: Towards Real-World Pedestrian Trajectory Forecasting26 Nov 2024
- 2024Multi-Transmotion: Pre-trained Model for Human Motion Prediction4 Nov 2024
- 2024Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Missing Data: Datasets, Imputation, and Benchmarking31 Oct 2024
- 2024Heterogeneous Interaction Modeling With Reduced Accumulated Error for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction28 Oct 2024
- 2024PMM-Net: Single-stage Multi-agent Trajectory Prediction with Patching-based Embedding and Explicit Modal Modulation25 Oct 2024
- 2024LocoVR: Multiuser Indoor Locomotion Dataset in Virtual Reality9 Oct 2024
- 2024HEADS-UP: Head-Mounted Egocentric Dataset for Trajectory Prediction in Blind Assistance Systems30 Sep 2024
- 2024From Cognition to Precognition: A Future-Aware Framework for Social Navigation20 Sep 2024
- 2024Snapshot: Towards Application-centered Models for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Urban Traffic Environments3 Sep 2024
- 2024SITUATE: Indoor Human Trajectory Prediction through Geometric Features and Self-Supervised Vision Representation1 Sep 2024
- 2024Data-Driven Traffic Simulation for an Intersection in a Metropolis1 Aug 2024
- 2024Context-aware Multi-task Learning for Pedestrian Intent and Trajectory Prediction24 Jul 2024
- 2024Behavior-Inspired Neural Networks for Relational Inference20 Jun 2024
- 2024Recursively Feasible Shrinking-Horizon MPC in Dynamic Environments with Conformal Prediction Guarantees17 May 2024
- 2024Neural McKean-Vlasov Processes: Distributional Dependence in Diffusion Processes15 Apr 2024
- 2024Generating Synthetic Ground Truth Distributions for Multi-step Trajectory Prediction using Probabilistic Composite B'ezier Curves5 Apr 2024
- 2024UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Prediction22 Mar 2024
- 2024Certified Human Trajectory Prediction20 Mar 2024
50 newest of 128 All 128 (JSON)
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wildcited by 33
- 2025Unified Generation-Refinement Planning: Bridging Guided Flow Matching and Sampling-Based MPC for Social Navigationcited by 0
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction21 May 2026
- 2025Unified Generation-Refinement Planning: Bridging Guided Flow Matching and Sampling-Based MPC for Social Navigation2 Aug 2025
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wild11 Oct 2022
- 2022Observation-Centric SORT: Rethinking SORT for Robust Multi-Object Trackingcited by 345
- 2021Latent Variable Sequential Set Transformers For Joint Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 131
- 2021LOKI: Long Term and Key Intentions for Trajectory Predictioncited by 57
- 2021TRiPOD: Human Trajectory and Pose Dynamics Forecasting in the Wildcited by 52
- 2024UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 51
- 2021Interpretable Social Anchors for Human Trajectory Forecasting in Crowdscited by 44
- 2023Traj-MAE: Masked Autoencoders for Trajectory Predictioncited by 42
- 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspectivecited by 40
- 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywherecited by 39
- 2021Predicting the Future from First Person (Egocentric) Vision: A Surveycited by 36
- 2023Conformal Prediction Regions for Time Series using Linear Complementarity Programmingcited by 33
- 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
12 most cited of 123 All 123 (JSON)
- 2026STRIDE: Automated Evaluation of Text-to-Trajectory Alignment across Diverse Contexts28 Sep 2026
- 2026MamMA: A Mamba-Based Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Algorithm Considering Occupancy Map and Pedestrian Awareness States7 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Forecasting from Imperfect Tracking31 Aug 2026
- 2026Learning-Based Motion Planning for Dynamic Environments: From Foundational Algorithms to Emerging Paradigms1 Aug 2026
- 2026CityTrajBench: A Unified Benchmark for City-Scale Vehicle Trajectory Generation1 Jun 2026
- 2026EgoGroups: A Benchmark For Detecting Social Groups of People in the Wild23 Mar 2026
- 2026Context-free Self-Conditioned GAN for Trajectory Forecasting9 Mar 2026
- 2026Robust Human Trajectory Prediction via Self-Supervised Skeleton Representation Learning26 Feb 2026
- 2025Multi-Modal Zero-Shot Prediction of Color Trajectories in Food Drying5 Dec 2025
- 2025Lane-Frame Quantum Multimodal Driving Forecasts for the Trajectory of Autonomous Vehicles21 Nov 2025
- 2025Scriboora: Rethinking Human Pose Forecasting19 Nov 2025
- 2025EgoCogNav: Cognition-aware Human Egocentric Navigation15 Nov 2025
12 newest of 123 All 123 (JSON)