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Human Trajectory Forecasting in Crowds: A Deep Learning Perspective

arXiv 2007.03639 ↗First posted 7 Jul 2020cs.CVcited by 128

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Abstract (arXiv)

Since the past few decades, human trajectory forecasting has been a field of active research owing to its numerous real-world applications: evacuation situation analysis, deployment of intelligent transport systems, traffic operations, to name a few. Early works handcrafted this representation based on domain knowledge. However, social interactions in crowded environments are not only diverse but often subtle. Recently, deep learning methods have outperformed their handcrafted counterparts, as they learned about human-human interactions in a more generic data-driven fashion. In this work, we present an in-depth analysis of existing deep learning-based methods for modelling social interactions. We propose two knowledge-based data-driven methods to effectively capture these social interactions. To objectively compare the performance of these interaction-based forecasting models, we develop a large scale interaction-centric benchmark TrajNet++, a significant yet missing component in the field of human trajectory forecasting. We propose novel performance metrics that evaluate the ability of a model to output socially acceptable trajectories. Experiments on TrajNet++ validate the need for our proposed metrics, and our method outperforms competitive baselines on both real-world and synthetic datasets.

Key facts. Cited by 128 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 7 Jul 2020.

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2021: 23; 2022: 20; 2023: 32; 2024: 25; 2025: 18; 2026: 10.

128 papers.

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  1. 2022Observation-Centric SORT: Rethinking SORT for Robust Multi-Object Trackingcited by 345
  2. 2021Latent Variable Sequential Set Transformers For Joint Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 131
  3. 2021LOKI: Long Term and Key Intentions for Trajectory Predictioncited by 57
  4. 2021TRiPOD: Human Trajectory and Pose Dynamics Forecasting in the Wildcited by 52
  5. 2024UniTraj: A Unified Framework for Scalable Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 51
  6. 2021Interpretable Social Anchors for Human Trajectory Forecasting in Crowdscited by 44
  7. 2023Traj-MAE: Masked Autoencoders for Trajectory Predictioncited by 42
  8. 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspectivecited by 40
  9. 2021Vehicle trajectory prediction works, but not everywherecited by 39
  10. 2021Predicting the Future from First Person (Egocentric) Vision: A Surveycited by 36
  11. 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wildcited by 33
  12. 2023Conformal Prediction Regions for Time Series using Linear Complementarity Programmingcited by 33
38 more
  1. 2023Social-Transmotion: Promptable Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
  2. 2021Are socially-aware trajectory prediction models really socially-aware?cited by 32
  3. 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
  4. 2021Review of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods: Comparing Deep Learning and Knowledge-based Approachescited by 30
  5. 2023The Integration of Prediction and Planning in Deep Learning Automated Driving Systems: A Reviewcited by 29
  6. 2022Goal-driven Self-Attentive Recurrent Networks for Trajectory Predictioncited by 28
  7. 2023Stochastic Multi-Person 3D Motion Forecastingcited by 28
  8. 2023SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 27
  9. 2022SMEMO: Social Memory for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 26
  10. 2023trajdata: A Unified Interface to Multiple Human Trajectory Datasetscited by 25
  11. 2021Roto-translated Local Coordinate Frames For Interacting Dynamical Systemscited by 24
  12. 2022End-to-End Trajectory Distribution Prediction Based on Occupancy Grid Mapscited by 22
  13. 2024Multi-Transmotion: Pre-trained Model for Human Motion Predictioncited by 21
  14. 2024Multi-Agent Dynamic Relational Reasoning for Social Robot Navigationcited by 20
  15. 2021MSN: Multi-Style Network for Trajectory Predictioncited by 19
  16. 2021Injecting Knowledge in Data-driven Vehicle Trajectory Predictorscited by 18
  17. 2023Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction in Pedestrian-Vehicle Mixed Environments: A Systematic Reviewcited by 18
  18. 2023Joint Metrics Matter: A Better Standard for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 17
  19. 2021DeepTrack: Lightweight Deep Learning for Vehicle Path Prediction in Highwayscited by 16
  20. 2023Another Vertical View: A Hierarchical Network for Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction via Spectrumscited by 14
  21. 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
  22. 2023IPCC-TP: Utilizing Incremental Pearson Correlation Coefficient for Joint Multi-Agent Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
  23. 2022Safety-compliant Generative Adversarial Networks for Human Trajectory Forecastingcited by 12
  24. 2022Motion Style Transfer: Modular Low-Rank Adaptation for Deep Motion Forecastingcited by 12
  25. 2023Generative Causal Representation Learning for Out-of-Distribution Motion Forecastingcited by 12
  26. 2023Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equationcited by 12
  27. 2022Pedestrian 3D Bounding Box Predictioncited by 11
  28. 2023Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertaintycited by 11
  29. 2023Evaluating Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Methods with Respect to Autonomous Drivingcited by 11
  30. 2021Learning Sparse Interaction Graphs of Partially Detected Pedestrians for Trajectory Predictioncited by 10
  31. 2022EvolveHypergraph: Group-Aware Dynamic Relational Reasoning for Trajectory Predictioncited by 10
  32. 2024From Cognition to Precognition: A Future-Aware Framework for Social Navigationcited by 10
  33. 2025Physical Plausibility-aware Trajectory Prediction via Locomotion Embodimentcited by 10
  34. 2023Energy-based Potential Games for Joint Motion Forecasting and Controlcited by 9
  35. 2021Deep Social Forcecited by 8
  36. 2022Under the Hood of Transformer Networks for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 8
  37. 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 8
  38. 2023Deep hybrid model with satellite imagery: how to combine demand modeling and computer vision for behavior analysis?cited by 8

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