Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Survey
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Abstract (arXiv)
Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now ubiquitous in large-scale industrial forecasting applications and have consistently ranked among the best entries in forecasting competitions (e.g., M4 and M5). This practical success has further increased the academic interest to understand and improve deep forecasting methods. In this article we provide an introduction and overview of the field: We present important building blocks for deep forecasting in some depth; using these building blocks, we then survey the breadth of the recent deep forecasting literature.
Key facts. Cited by 117 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 21 Apr 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 3; 2022: 5; 2023: 28; 2024: 23; 2025: 31; 2026: 27.
117 papers.
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- 2022Transformers in Time Series: A Surveycited by 489
- 2023TimeGPT-1cited by 149
- 2024Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 110
- 2023Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 102
- 2023Self-Supervised Learning for Time Series Analysis: Taxonomy, Progress, and Prospectscited by 97
- 2023Predict, Refine, Synthesize: Self-Guiding Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 86
- 2023A Survey on Deep Learning based Time Series Analysis with Frequency Transformationcited by 40
- 2023Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 37
- 2023AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 36
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
- 2023DIVERSIFY: A General Framework for Time Series Out-of-distribution Detection and Generalizationcited by 24
- 2023Pushing the Limits of Pre-training for Time Series Forecasting in the CloudOps Domaincited by 23
38 more
- 2021Flexible Model Aggregation for Quantile Regressioncited by 22
- 2025A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Modelscited by 21
- 2023Discovering Symmetry Breaking in Physical Systems with Relaxed Group Convolutioncited by 19
- 2023Graph-based Time Series Clustering for End-to-End Hierarchical Forecastingcited by 16
- 2025DistDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Joint-Distribution Wasserstein Alignmentcited by 13
- 2023Deep Learning based Forecasting: a case study from the online fashion industrycited by 12
- 2021ES-dRNN: A Hybrid Exponential Smoothing and Dilated Recurrent Neural Network Model for Short-Term Load Forecastingcited by 11
- 2024Unveiling Delay Effects in Traffic Forecasting: A Perspective from Spatial-Temporal Delay Differential Equationscited by 11
- 2025Relational Conformal Prediction for Correlated Time Seriescited by 11
- 2025BEDTime: A Unified Benchmark for Automatically Describing Time Seriescited by 11
- 2025AlphaCast: A Human Wisdom-LLM Intelligence Co-Reasoning Framework for Interactive Time Series Forecastingcited by 11
- 2025Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: A Surveycited by 10
- 2025TIMING: Temporality-Aware Integrated Gradients for Time Series Explanationcited by 9
- 2023Machine Learning for Urban Air Quality Analytics: A Surveycited by 8
- 2024HiMTM: Hierarchical Multi-Scale Masked Time Series Modeling with Self-Distillation for Long-Term Forecastingcited by 8
- 2025End-to-End Probabilistic Framework for Learning with Hard Constraintscited by 8
- 2024Right on Time: Revising Time Series Models by Constraining their Explanationscited by 7
- 2025ms-Mamba: Multi-scale Mamba for Time-Series Forecastingcited by 7
- 2021Midwifery Learning and Forecasting: Predicting Content Demand with User-Generated Logscited by 6
- 2024Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting with Correlated Errorscited by 6
- 2024MultiCast: Zero-Shot Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Using LLMscited by 6
- 2024Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting by Deep Learning: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 6
- 2023Better Batch for Deep Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 5
- 2024A Survey of Transformer Enabled Time Series Synthesiscited by 5
- 2024MVG-CRPS: A Robust Loss Function for Multivariate Probabilistic Forecastingcited by 5
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- 2026Deep Generative Spatiotemporal Engression for Probabilistic Forecasting of Epidemicscited by 4
- 2022A Model-Constrained Tangent Slope Learning Approach for Dynamical Systemscited by 3
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- 2024Survey and Taxonomy: The Role of Data-Centric AI in Transformer-Based Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
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- 2025ResCP: Reservoir Conformal Prediction for Time Series Forecastingcited by 3
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- 2023A Survey on Event Prediction Methods from a Systems Perspective: Bringing Together Disparate Research Areascited by 2
- 2023The Bayesian Context Trees State Space Model for time series modelling and forecastingcited by 2
50 most cited of 117 All 117 (JSON)
- 2026CARE: A Lightweight Plug-in Gated Correction and Uncertainty-aware Module for Long-term Time Series Forecasting8 Oct 2026
- 2026LLM-based Agents for Forecasting and Prediction: Methods, Training, Evaluation, and Applications24 Aug 2026
- 2026Federated Ensemble Forecasting Under Supply-Chain Market Volatility5 Aug 2026
- 2026Physical Self-Supervised Learning: IMU Sensing without Manual Labels20 Jul 2026
- 2026QuantFlow: A Federated Mamba-Based Post-Transformer Foundation Model for Time-Series Forecasting2 Jul 2026
- 2026StateFlow: Dual-State Recurrent Modeling for Long-Horizon Time Series Forecasting30 Jun 2026
- 2026Learning Spatio-Temporal Foundation Models from Pure Synthetic Data27 Jun 2026
- 2026Distribution-Aware Diffusion-LLM for Robust Ultra-Long-Term Time Series Forecasting22 Jun 2026
- 2026Kolmogorov-Arnold Reservoir Computing18 Jun 2026
- 2026Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?1 Jun 2026
- 2026AME-TS: Anchored Mixture-of-Experts for Time Series Forecasting24 May 2026
- 2026AION: Next-Generation Tasks and Practical Harness for Time Series24 May 2026
38 more
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- 2026RG-TTA: Regime-Guided Meta-Control for Test-Time Adaptation in Streaming Time Series29 Mar 2026
- 2026Deep Time-Series Forecasting in 10 Years: A Survey20 Mar 2026
- 2026Rethinking Adam for Time Series Forecasting: A Simple Heuristic to Improve Optimization under Distribution Shifts10 Mar 2026
- 2026Deep Generative Spatiotemporal Engression for Probabilistic Forecasting of Epidemics7 Mar 2026
- 2026TS-Haystack: A Multi-Task Retrieval Benchmark for Long-Context Time-Series Reasoning15 Feb 2026
- 2026A Decomposition-based State Space Model for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting5 Feb 2026
- 2026Interpretability in Deep Time Series Models Demands Semantic Alignment2 Feb 2026
- 2026Deep Time-series Forecasting Needs Kernelized Moment Balancing31 Jan 2026
- 2026Intermittent time series forecasting: local vs global models20 Jan 2026
- 2026Dual-Level Models for Physics-Informed Multi-Step Time Series Forecasting12 Jan 2026
- 2026Which Deep Learner? A Systematic Evaluation of Advanced Deep Forecasting Models Accuracy and Efficiency for Network Traffic Prediction6 Jan 2026
- 2025Position: Current Benchmarking Hinders Real Progress in Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting27 Dec 2025
- 2025Multi-layer Stack Ensembles for Time Series Forecasting19 Nov 2025
- 2025AlphaCast: A Human Wisdom-LLM Intelligence Co-Reasoning Framework for Interactive Time Series Forecasting12 Nov 2025
- 2025DistDF: Time-Series Forecasting Needs Joint-Distribution Wasserstein Alignment28 Oct 2025
- 2025Beyond Accuracy: Are Time Series Foundation Models Well-Calibrated?17 Oct 2025
- 2025A Comprehensive Forecasting-Based Framework for Time Series Anomaly Detection: Benchmarking on the Numenta Anomaly Benchmark (NAB)13 Oct 2025
- 2025Test-Time Efficient Pretrained Model Portfolios for Time Series Forecasting7 Oct 2025
- 2025Invariant Representation Learning for Source-Free Time Series Forecasting with LLM-Centric Proxy Denoising7 Oct 2025
- 2025ResCP: Reservoir Conformal Prediction for Time Series Forecasting6 Oct 2025
- 2025A Novel Short-Term Anomaly Prediction for IIoT with Software Defined Twin Network24 Sep 2025
- 2025A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Models15 Sep 2025
- 2025BEDTime: A Unified Benchmark for Automatically Describing Time Series5 Sep 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Time-series Forecasting with Change Points2 Sep 2025
- 2025Integrating Time Series into LLMs via Multi-layer Steerable Embedding Fusion for Enhanced Forecasting22 Aug 2025
- 2025Securing Swarms: Cross-Domain Adaptation for ROS2-based CPS Anomaly Detection20 Aug 2025
- 2025Measuring Time-Series Dataset Similarity using Wasserstein Distance29 Jul 2025
- 2025Optimizing Multi-Tier Supply Chain Ordering with LNN+XGBoost: Mitigating the Bullwhip Effect28 Jul 2025
- 2025Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP): Rolling Calibration for Financial Risk Forecasting7 Jul 2025
- 2025End-to-End Probabilistic Framework for Learning with Hard Constraints8 Jun 2025
- 2025TIMING: Temporality-Aware Integrated Gradients for Time Series Explanation5 Jun 2025
- 2025Neural MJD: Neural Non-Stationary Merton Jump Diffusion for Time Series Prediction5 Jun 2025
- 2025Synthetic Time Series Forecasting with Transformer Architectures: Extensive Simulation Benchmarks26 May 2025
- 2025ms-Mamba: Multi-scale Mamba for Time-Series Forecasting10 Apr 2025
50 newest of 117 All 117 (JSON)
- 2024Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 110
- 2025ms-Mamba: Multi-scale Mamba for Time-Series Forecastingcited by 7
- 2025Attention Mamba: Time Series Modeling with Adaptive Pooling Acceleration and Receptive Field Enhancementscited by 0
- 2026QuantFlow: A Federated Mamba-Based Post-Transformer Foundation Model for Time-Series Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026QuantFlow: A Federated Mamba-Based Post-Transformer Foundation Model for Time-Series Forecasting2 Jul 2026
- 2025ms-Mamba: Multi-scale Mamba for Time-Series Forecasting10 Apr 2025
- 2025Attention Mamba: Time Series Modeling with Adaptive Pooling Acceleration and Receptive Field Enhancements2 Apr 2025
- 2024Is Mamba Effective for Time Series Forecasting?17 Mar 2024
- 2025A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Modelscited by 21
- 2025AlphaCast: A Human Wisdom-LLM Intelligence Co-Reasoning Framework for Interactive Time Series Forecastingcited by 11
- 2026TS-Haystack: A Multi-Task Retrieval Benchmark for Long-Context Time-Series Reasoningcited by 1
- 2026TS-Haystack: A Multi-Task Retrieval Benchmark for Long-Context Time-Series Reasoning15 Feb 2026
- 2025AlphaCast: A Human Wisdom-LLM Intelligence Co-Reasoning Framework for Interactive Time Series Forecasting12 Nov 2025
- 2025A Survey of Reasoning and Agentic Systems in Time Series with Large Language Models15 Sep 2025
- 2022Transformers in Time Series: A Surveycited by 489
- 2023TimeGPT-1cited by 149
- 2023Lag-Llama: Towards Foundation Models for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 102
- 2023Self-Supervised Learning for Time Series Analysis: Taxonomy, Progress, and Prospectscited by 97
- 2023A Survey on Deep Learning based Time Series Analysis with Frequency Transformationcited by 40
- 2023Taming Local Effects in Graph-based Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 37
- 2023AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 36
- 2023Graph Deep Learning for Time Series Forecastingcited by 26
- 2023DIVERSIFY: A General Framework for Time Series Out-of-distribution Detection and Generalizationcited by 24
- 2023Pushing the Limits of Pre-training for Time Series Forecasting in the CloudOps Domaincited by 23
- 2021Flexible Model Aggregation for Quantile Regressioncited by 22
- 2023Discovering Symmetry Breaking in Physical Systems with Relaxed Group Convolutioncited by 19
12 most cited of 105 All 105 (JSON)
- 2026CARE: A Lightweight Plug-in Gated Correction and Uncertainty-aware Module for Long-term Time Series Forecasting8 Oct 2026
- 2026Federated Ensemble Forecasting Under Supply-Chain Market Volatility5 Aug 2026
- 2026Physical Self-Supervised Learning: IMU Sensing without Manual Labels20 Jul 2026
- 2026StateFlow: Dual-State Recurrent Modeling for Long-Horizon Time Series Forecasting30 Jun 2026
- 2026Distribution-Aware Diffusion-LLM for Robust Ultra-Long-Term Time Series Forecasting22 Jun 2026
- 2026Kolmogorov-Arnold Reservoir Computing18 Jun 2026
- 2026Why Do Time Series Models Need Long Context Windows?1 Jun 2026
- 2026AION: Next-Generation Tasks and Practical Harness for Time Series24 May 2026
- 2026PeakFocus: Bridging Peak Localization and Intensity Regression via a Unified Multi-Scale Framework for Electricity Load Forecasting20 May 2026
- 2026Foundation Models for Credit Risk Prediction: A Game Changer?18 May 2026
- 2026Beyond Sequential Prediction: Learning Financial Market Dynamics in Volatile and Non-Stationary Environments through Sentiment-Conditioned Generative Modelling13 Apr 2026
- 2026RG-TTA: Regime-Guided Meta-Control for Test-Time Adaptation in Streaming Time Series29 Mar 2026
12 newest of 105 All 105 (JSON)