mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Right on Time: Revising Time Series Models by Constraining their Explanations

arXiv 2402.12921 ↗First posted 20 Feb 2024cs.LGcited by 7

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Abstract (arXiv)

Deep time series models often suffer from reliability issues due to their tendency to rely on spurious correlations, leading to incorrect predictions. To mitigate such shortcuts and prevent "Clever-Hans" moments in time series models, we introduce Right on Time (RioT), a novel method that enables interacting with model explanations across both the time and frequency domains. By incorporating feedback on explanations in both domains, RioT constrains the model, steering it away from annotated spurious correlations. This dual-domain interaction strategy is crucial for effectively addressing shortcuts in time series datasets. We empirically demonstrate the effectiveness of RioT in guiding models toward more reliable decision-making across popular time series classification and forecasting datasets, as well as our newly recorded dataset with naturally occuring shortcuts, P2S, collected from a real mechanical production line.

Key facts. Cited by 7 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 29 of its 44 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2024.

Builds on

29 of 44 references.

References · 29

  1. 2017Axiomatic Attribution for Deep Networkscited by 3,350
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  3. 2020Shortcut Learning in Deep Neural Networkscited by 1,928
  4. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,654
  5. 2017Explanation in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from the Social Sciencescited by 1,201
  6. 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 744
  7. 2023One Fits All:Power General Time Series Analysis by Pretrained LMcited by 615
  8. 2018The UCR Time Series Archivecited by 421
  9. 2019InceptionTime: Finding AlexNet for Time Series Classificationcited by 386
  10. 2019Unmasking Clever Hans Predictors and Assessing What Machines Really Learncited by 359
  11. 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 327
  12. 2016Not Just a Black Box: Learning Important Features Through Propagating Activation Differencescited by 295
17 more
  1. 2017Right for the Right Reasons: Training Differentiable Models by Constraining their Explanationscited by 293
  2. 2020Benchmarking Multivariate Time Series Classification Algorithmscited by 145
  3. 2020Making deep neural networks right for the right scientific reasons by interacting with their explanationscited by 141
  4. 2019Taking a HINT: Leveraging Explanations to Make Vision and Language Models More Groundedcited by 127
  5. 2020Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Surveycited by 117
  6. 2020Right for the Right Concept: Revising Neuro-Symbolic Concepts by Interacting with their Explanationscited by 94
  7. 2021Darts: User-Friendly Modern Machine Learning for Time Seriescited by 90
  8. 2019Time Series Deconfounder: Estimating Treatment Effects over Time in the Presence of Hidden Confounderscited by 74
  9. 2021Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) on TimeSeries Data: A Surveycited by 71
  10. 2019Towards a Rigorous Evaluation of XAI Methods on Time Seriescited by 67
  11. 2023A Survey on Time-Series Pre-Trained Modelscited by 52
  12. 2021Sequential Deconfounding for Causal Inference with Unobserved Confounderscited by 24
  13. 2023Explainable AI for Time Series via Virtual Inspection Layerscited by 23
  14. 2023Estimating Treatment Effects from Irregular Time Series Observations with Hidden Confounderscited by 17
  15. 2023Learning by Self-Explainingcited by 17
  16. 2022Time to Focus: A Comprehensive Benchmark Using Time Series Attribution Methodscited by 8
  17. 2023One Explanation Does Not Fit XILcited by 2

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 2; 2026: 1.

7 papers.