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Beyond Sequential Prediction: Learning Financial Market Dynamics in Volatile and Non-Stationary Environments through Sentiment-Conditioned Generative Modelling

arXiv 2604.22801 ↗First posted 13 Apr 2026q-fin.ST cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The problem of time-series forecasting in non-stationary and complex environments is a challenging task in machine learning, especially with heterogeneous numerical and textual data present. Traditional statistical models like AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) are based on the assumptions of linearity and stationarity, whereas recurrent neural networks like Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models do not necessarily represent distributional properties in highly volatile settings. This paper proposes a hybrid model that combines Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) with Natural Language Processing (NLP)-based sentiment analysis to enable sentiment-conditioned time-series prediction. The model integrates adversarial learning on numerical sequences with contextual sentiment representations derived from unstructured text, enabling them to be jointly modelled to capture temporal dynamics and exogenous information. These results demonstrate the promise of hybrid generative and language-aware methods to enhance prediction robustness in non-stationary environments.

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References · 6

  1. 2022Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 5,603
  2. 2016NIPS 2016 Tutorial: Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 284
  3. 2020Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting: Tutorial and Literature Surveycited by 117
  4. 2023Deep learning models for price forecasting of financial time series: A review of recent advancements: 2020-2022cited by 16
  5. 2021Stock price prediction using BERT and GANcited by 11
  6. 2021Automated Learning Rate Scheduler for Large-batch Trainingcited by 10

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