Why do tree-based models still outperform deep learning on tabular data?
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
While deep learning has enabled tremendous progress on text and image datasets, its superiority on tabular data is not clear. We contribute extensive benchmarks of standard and novel deep learning methods as well as tree-based models such as XGBoost and Random Forests, across a large number of datasets and hyperparameter combinations. We define a standard set of 45 datasets from varied domains with clear characteristics of tabular data and a benchmarking methodology accounting for both fitting models and finding good hyperparameters. Results show that tree-based models remain state-of-the-art on medium-sized data (~10K samples) even without accounting for their superior speed. To understand this gap, we conduct an empirical investigation into the differing inductive biases of tree-based models and Neural Networks (NNs). This leads to a series of challenges which should guide researchers aiming to build tabular-specific NNs: 1. be robust to uninformative features, 2. preserve the orientation of the data, and 3. be able to easily learn irregular functions. To stimulate research on tabular architectures, we contribute a standard benchmark and raw data for baselines: every point of a 20 000 compute hours hyperparameter search for each learner.
Key facts. Cited by 198 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 30 of its 53 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Jul 2022.
Builds on
30 of 53 references.
References · 30
- 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,120
- 2019SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systemscited by 1,718
- 2018On the Spectral Bias of Neural Networkscited by 1,321
- 2021Revisiting Deep Learning Models for Tabular Datacited by 725
- 2017DeepFM: A Factorization-Machine based Neural Network for CTR Predictioncited by 673
- 2019TabNet: Attentive Interpretable Tabular Learningcited by 640
- 2017Self-Normalizing Neural Networkscited by 591
- 2021Tabular Data: Deep Learning is Not All You Needcited by 530
- 2014OpenML: networked science in machine learningcited by 523
- 2021Deep Neural Networks and Tabular Data: A Surveycited by 489
- 2020TabTransformer: Tabular Data Modeling Using Contextual Embeddingscited by 398
- 2020Neural Additive Models: Interpretable Machine Learning with Neural Netscited by 318
18 more
- 2021SAINT: Improved Neural Networks for Tabular Data via Row Attention and Contrastive Pre-Trainingcited by 310
- 2019Neural Oblivious Decision Ensembles for Deep Learning on Tabular Datacited by 200
- 2021Accounting for Variance in Machine Learning Benchmarkscited by 195
- 2022On Embeddings for Numerical Features in Tabular Deep Learningcited by 185
- 2020Auto-Sklearn 2.0: Hands-free AutoML via Meta-Learningcited by 174
- 2017OpenML Benchmarking Suitescited by 169
- 2021Well-tuned Simple Nets Excel on Tabular Datasetscited by 151
- 2021Self-Attention Between Datapoints: Going Beyond Individual Input-Output Pairs in Deep Learningcited by 112
- 2018Troubling Trends in Machine Learning Scholarshipcited by 107
- 2019An Open Source AutoML Benchmarkcited by 85
- 2018Adaptive Neural Treescited by 64
- 2022Benchmarking missing-values approaches for predictive models on health databasescited by 23
- 2020DNF-Net: A Neural Architecture for Tabular Datacited by 17
- 2021Simple Modifications to Improve Tabular Neural Networkscited by 14
- 2019Optimization Methods for Interpretable Differentiable Decision Trees in Reinforcement Learningcited by 5
- 2021Muddling Label Regularization: Deep Learning for Tabular Datasetscited by 5
- 2018Random Hinge Forest for Differentiable Learningcited by 4
- 2020Attention augmented differentiable forest for tabular datacited by 2
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 16; 2023: 65; 2024: 35; 2025: 36; 2026: 46.
198 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2025TabICL: A Tabular Foundation Model for In-Context Learning on Large Datacited by 267
- 2024Large Language Models(LLMs) on Tabular Data: Prediction, Generation, and Understanding -- A Surveycited by 157
- 2024Why Tabular Foundation Models Should Be a Research Prioritycited by 103
- 2024Large Scale Transfer Learning for Tabular Data via Language Modelingcited by 73
- 2024CARTE: Pretraining and Transfer for Tabular Learningcited by 69
- 2023Benchmarking Distribution Shift in Tabular Data with TableShiftcited by 64
- 2023The No Free Lunch Theorem, Kolmogorov Complexity, and the Role of Inductive Biases in Machine Learningcited by 63
- 2023Scalable Membership Inference Attacks via Quantile Regressioncited by 61
- 2023Generative Table Pre-training Empowers Models for Tabular Predictioncited by 55
- 2023Interpretable Machine Learning for Science with PySR and SymbolicRegression.jlcited by 36
- 2025Real-TabPFN: Improving Tabular Foundation Models via Continued Pre-training With Real-World Datacited by 36
- 2023TANGOS: Regularizing Tabular Neural Networks through Gradient Orthogonalization and Specializationcited by 32
38 more
- 2023TabRepo: A Large Scale Repository of Tabular Model Evaluations and its AutoML Applicationscited by 32
- 2024PyTorch Frame: A Modular Framework for Multi-Modal Tabular Learningcited by 32
- 2022PTab: Using the Pre-trained Language Model for Modeling Tabular Datacited by 30
- 2023Model scale versus domain knowledge in statistical forecasting of chaotic systemscited by 27
- 2023A Large-Scale Study of Probabilistic Calibration in Neural Network Regressioncited by 26
- 2023Joint Training of Deep Ensembles Fails Due to Learner Collusioncited by 23
- 2023Reimagining Synthetic Tabular Data Generation through Data-Centric AI: A Comprehensive Benchmarkcited by 23
- 2024A Survey on Deep Tabular Learningcited by 18
- 2023DuETT: Dual Event Time Transformer for Electronic Health Recordscited by 17
- 2023Integrating Uncertainty Awareness into Conformalized Quantile Regressioncited by 17
- 2023Improving Neural Additive Models with Bayesian Principlescited by 15
- 2023TabRet: Pre-training Transformer-based Tabular Models for Unseen Columnscited by 14
- 2023FATA-Trans: Field And Time-Aware Transformer for Sequential Tabular Datacited by 14
- 2023Gradient-less Federated Gradient Boosting Trees with Learnable Learning Ratescited by 12
- 2023Deep Learning Methods for Small Molecule Drug Discovery: A Surveycited by 10
- 2023HyperTab: Hypernetwork Approach for Deep Learning on Small Tabular Datasetscited by 10
- 2023Rethinking Data Augmentation for Tabular Data in Deep Learningcited by 10
- 2022Federated Boosted Decision Trees with Differential Privacycited by 9
- 2023RankFormer: Listwise Learning-to-Rank Using Listwide Labelscited by 9
- 2023Endogenous Macrodynamics in Algorithmic Recoursecited by 9
- 2023DynamoRep: Trajectory-Based Population Dynamics for Classification of Black-box Optimization Problemscited by 8
- 2024DoubleMLDeep: Estimation of Causal Effects with Multimodal Datacited by 8
- 2024What Do Machine Learning Researchers Mean by "Reproducible"?cited by 8
- 2022Fraud Dataset Benchmark and Applicationscited by 7
- 2024Structured Evaluation of Synthetic Tabular Datacited by 7
- 2022Explanation Shift: Detecting distribution shifts on tabular data via the explanation spacecited by 6
- 2022ET-AL: Entropy-Targeted Active Learning for Bias Mitigation in Materials Datacited by 6
- 2023Improved Differentially Private Regression via Gradient Boostingcited by 6
- 2023In Search of netUnicorn: A Data-Collection Platform to Develop Generalizable ML Models for Network Security Problemscited by 6
- 2023Model Reporting for Certifiable AI: A Proposal from Merging EU Regulation into AI Developmentcited by 6
- 2023Fine-Tuning the Retrieval Mechanism for Tabular Deep Learningcited by 6
- 2023Vectorizing string entries for data processing on tables: when are larger language models better?cited by 6
- 2024MobilityDL: A Review of Deep Learning From Trajectory Datacited by 6
- 2024Probabilistic Calibration by Design for Neural Network Regressioncited by 6
- 2024AdapTable: Test-Time Adaptation for Tabular Data via Shift-Aware Uncertainty Calibrator and Label Distribution Handlercited by 6
- 2024Survival Models: Proper Scoring Rule and Stochastic Optimization with Competing Riskscited by 6
- 2026LimiX-2M: Mitigating Low-Rank Collapse and Attention Bottlenecks in Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 6
- 2023Homological Neural Networks: A Sparse Architecture for Multivariate Complexitycited by 5
50 most cited of 198 All 198 (JSON)
- 2026Multi-Class, Multi-Tier Network Intrusion Detection: A Comprehensive and Reproducible Benchmark28 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates28 Sep 2026
- 2026Predicting Delayed Train Trajectories on the Dutch Railway Network: Explainable AI Evaluation of Topological, Operational and Weather Features with Tree Based Ensemble Methods28 Sep 2026
- 2026The AI-Enabled Scientific Frontier14 Sep 2026
- 2026Topological Fraud Detection in Latent Transaction Spaces8 Sep 2026
- 2026Predicting Symptoms of Amotivation and Anhedonia among University Students with a Novel Oversampling Method31 Aug 2026
- 2026Foundation Models Meet Agriculture: Challenges Beyond Pretraining31 Aug 2026
- 2026Generalized Context in Cross Attention for Transfer Learning of Disjoint Tabular Data28 Aug 2026
- 2026Tabular Deep Learning for Algorithmic Trading: Cross-Regime Bayesian Optimisation for Equity Signal Generation27 Aug 2026
- 2026Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Post-Wildfire Debris-Flow Prediction5 Aug 2026
- 2026TreeCCA: Canonical Correlation Analysis via Gradient-Boosted Trees29 Jul 2026
- 2026Spectrally Deconfounded Gradient Boosting10 Jul 2026
38 more
- 2026The Importance of Encoder Choice:A Tabular-Image Study8 Jul 2026
- 2026Grokking Is Conditional and Fragile: A Fully-Tractable, Multi-Seed Study at 12K Parameters6 Jul 2026
- 2026A Fair Benchmarking of Deep Relational Database Learning Models4 Jul 2026
- 2026Calibrating the Evaluator: Does Probability Calibration Mitigate Preference Coupling in LLM Agent Feedback Loops?30 Jun 2026
- 2026Multi-Level Distributional Entropy from Flow Summary Statistics for Explainable Network Intrusion Detection29 Jun 2026
- 2026Deterministic Decisions for High-Stakes AI. A Zero-Egress Pipeline with the Deployability of RAG and the Accuracy of Machine Learning28 Jun 2026
- 2026When, Where, and How: Adaptive Binning for Tabular Self-Supervised Learning18 Jun 2026
- 2026The Chandra-Gaia Catalog of Counterparts: Resolving ambiguous Gaia matches to X-ray sources in the Chandra Source Catalog using Machine Learning17 Jun 2026
- 2026Where Computation Lives Inside TabPFN: Causal Localisation of Attention Head Function11 Jun 2026
- 2026Data-efficient flood depth prediction through domain-aware coreset selection and tabular foundation models3 Jun 2026
- 2026LimiX-2M: Mitigating Low-Rank Collapse and Attention Bottlenecks in Tabular Foundation Models3 Jun 2026
- 2026Customer Churn Prediction on Structured Data Using FT-Transformer and Stacking Ensembles26 May 2026
- 2026Class-Dependent Hybrid Data Augmentation for Multiclass Migraine Classification under Severe Class Imbalance22 May 2026
- 2026Pocket Foundation Models: Distilling TFMs into CPU-Ready Gradient-Boosted Trees18 May 2026
- 2026Compositional Sparsity as an Inductive Bias for Neural Architecture Design14 May 2026
- 2026Scalable Gaussian process inference via neural feature maps11 May 2026
- 2026Data Language Models: A New Foundation Model Class for Tabular Data7 May 2026
- 2026Random-Effects Algorithm for Random Objects in Metric Spaces4 May 2026
- 2026Gradient Boosted Risk Scores4 May 2026
- 2026ReSS: Learning Reasoning Models for Tabular Data Prediction via Symbolic Scaffold15 Apr 2026
- 2026Cooperative Coevolution versus Monolithic Evolutionary Search for Semi-Supervised Tabular Classification1 Apr 2026
- 2026KGroups: A Versatile Univariate Max-Relevance Min-Redundancy Feature Selection Algorithm for High-dimensional Biological Data30 Mar 2026
- 2026EvoForest: A Novel Machine-Learning Paradigm via Open-Ended Evolution of Computational Graphs26 Mar 2026
- 2026Reciprocal Co-Training (RCT): Coupling Gradient-Based and Non-Differentiable Models via Reinforcement Learning24 Mar 2026
- 2026Engineering Regression Without Real-Data Training: Domain Adaptation for Tabular Foundation Models Using Multi-Dataset Embeddings5 Mar 2026
- 2026Closing the gap on tabular data with Fourier and Implicit Categorical Features26 Feb 2026
- 2026Interpolation-Driven Machine Learning Approaches for Plume Shine Dose Estimation: A Comparison of XGBoost, Random Forest, and TabNet23 Feb 2026
- 2026TabSieve: Explicit In-Table Evidence Selection for Tabular Prediction12 Feb 2026
- 2026Selecting Hyperparameters for Tree-Boosting5 Feb 2026
- 2026Temporal Validation Changes the Apparent Public-Health Utility of Under-Five Mortality Prediction in Bangladesh: A Four-Round DHS Machine-Learning Study3 Feb 2026
- 2026Pre-trained Encoders for Global Child Development: Transfer Learning Enables Deployment in Data-Scarce Settings28 Jan 2026
- 2026TabularMath: Evaluating Computational Extrapolation in Tabular Learning via Program-Verified Synthesis25 Jan 2026
- 2026TabPFN Through The Looking Glass: An interpretability study of TabPFN and its internal representations13 Jan 2026
- 2026Predicting Early and Complete Drug Release from Long-Acting Injectables Using Explainable Machine Learning5 Jan 2026
- 2025Deep Learning for Art Market Valuation28 Dec 2025
- 2025When do cheap embeddings beat protein language models? A theoretically-grounded hashing sketch for biological sequence classification10 Dec 2025
- 2025Jacobian Aligned Random Forests9 Dec 2025
- 2025Towards a Relationship-Aware Transformer for Tabular Data8 Dec 2025
50 newest of 198 All 198 (JSON)
- 2025TabICL: A Tabular Foundation Model for In-Context Learning on Large Datacited by 267
- 2024Large Language Models(LLMs) on Tabular Data: Prediction, Generation, and Understanding -- A Surveycited by 157
- 2024Why Tabular Foundation Models Should Be a Research Prioritycited by 103
- 2024Large Scale Transfer Learning for Tabular Data via Language Modelingcited by 73
- 2024CARTE: Pretraining and Transfer for Tabular Learningcited by 69
- 2023Benchmarking Distribution Shift in Tabular Data with TableShiftcited by 64
- 2023The No Free Lunch Theorem, Kolmogorov Complexity, and the Role of Inductive Biases in Machine Learningcited by 63
- 2023Generative Table Pre-training Empowers Models for Tabular Predictioncited by 55
- 2023Interpretable Machine Learning for Science with PySR and SymbolicRegression.jlcited by 36
- 2025Real-TabPFN: Improving Tabular Foundation Models via Continued Pre-training With Real-World Datacited by 36
- 2023TANGOS: Regularizing Tabular Neural Networks through Gradient Orthogonalization and Specializationcited by 32
- 2023TabRepo: A Large Scale Repository of Tabular Model Evaluations and its AutoML Applicationscited by 32
12 most cited of 190 All 190 (JSON)
- 2026Multi-Class, Multi-Tier Network Intrusion Detection: A Comprehensive and Reproducible Benchmark28 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates28 Sep 2026
- 2026Predicting Delayed Train Trajectories on the Dutch Railway Network: Explainable AI Evaluation of Topological, Operational and Weather Features with Tree Based Ensemble Methods28 Sep 2026
- 2026The AI-Enabled Scientific Frontier14 Sep 2026
- 2026Topological Fraud Detection in Latent Transaction Spaces8 Sep 2026
- 2026Predicting Symptoms of Amotivation and Anhedonia among University Students with a Novel Oversampling Method31 Aug 2026
- 2026Foundation Models Meet Agriculture: Challenges Beyond Pretraining31 Aug 2026
- 2026Generalized Context in Cross Attention for Transfer Learning of Disjoint Tabular Data28 Aug 2026
- 2026Tabular Deep Learning for Algorithmic Trading: Cross-Regime Bayesian Optimisation for Equity Signal Generation27 Aug 2026
- 2026Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Post-Wildfire Debris-Flow Prediction5 Aug 2026
- 2026TreeCCA: Canonical Correlation Analysis via Gradient-Boosted Trees29 Jul 2026
- 2026Spectrally Deconfounded Gradient Boosting10 Jul 2026
12 newest of 190 All 190 (JSON)