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Learning Conditional Expectation Operators via Functional Newton Updates

arXiv 2609.35598 ↗First posted 28 Sep 2026stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We introduce the Functional Spectral-Newton Method (FSNM) for learning the leading singular structure of a conditional expectation operator without fixing a basis or reproducing kernel Hilbert space. FSNM fits a low-rank representation of the centered joint-to-product density ratio kernel by alternating functional Newton updates. Each update reduces to a preconditioned regression, which we approximate with vector-valued regression trees in a stagewise boosting procedure. At the population level, we establish descent and an O(1/T) best-iterate block-stationarity rate under a relative weak-learner accuracy condition, and show that every nondegenerate local minimum over the full centered L2 spaces is a globally optimal rank-d approximation. Synthetic experiments show that FSNM recovers a low-rank density ratio and its leading spectral structure, and that the same learned kernel can answer multiple conditional queries without refitting.

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References · 19

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  10. 2024Neural Conditional Probability for Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 14
  11. 2022Spectral Representation Learning for Conditional Moment Modelscited by 12
  12. 2024Spectral Representation for Causal Estimation with Hidden Confounderscited by 12
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  3. 2025Self-Supervised Evolution Operator Learning for High-Dimensional Dynamical Systemscited by 7
  4. 2018Non-linear Canonical Correlation Analysis: A Compressed Representation Approachcited by 4
  5. 2025Representation Learning for Equivariant Inference with Guaranteescited by 3
  6. 2025Outcome-Aware Spectral Feature Learning for Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 2
  7. 2025Toward Scalable and Valid Conditional Independence Testing with Spectral Representationscited by 1

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