Benchmarking Distribution Shift in Tabular Data with TableShift
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Abstract (arXiv)
Robustness to distribution shift has become a growing concern for text and image models as they transition from research subjects to deployment in the real world. However, high-quality benchmarks for distribution shift in tabular machine learning tasks are still lacking despite the widespread real-world use of tabular data and differences in the models used for tabular data in comparison to text and images. As a consequence, the robustness of tabular models to distribution shift is poorly understood. To address this issue, we introduce TableShift, a distribution shift benchmark for tabular data. TableShift contains 15 binary classification tasks in total, each with an associated shift, and includes a diverse set of data sources, prediction targets, and distribution shifts. The benchmark covers domains including finance, education, public policy, healthcare, and civic participation, and is accessible using only a few lines of Python code via the TableShift API. We conduct a large-scale study comparing several state-of-the-art tabular data models alongside robust learning and domain generalization methods on the benchmark tasks. Our study demonstrates (1) a linear trend between in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) accuracy; (2) domain robustness methods can reduce shift gaps but at the cost of reduced ID accuracy; (3) a strong relationship between shift gap (difference between ID and OOD performance) and shifts in the label distribution. The benchmark data, Python package, model implementations, and more information about TableShift are available at https://github.com/mlfoundations/tableshift and https://tableshift.org .
Key facts. Cited by 64 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 40 of its 90 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Dec 2023.
Builds on
40 of 90 references.
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 21; 2025: 25; 2026: 18.
64 papers.
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- 2025Feature-aware Modulation for Learning from Temporal Tabular Data3 Dec 2025
- 2025Aeolus: A Multi-structural Flight Delay Dataset30 Oct 2025
- 2025Technical note on Fisher Information for Robust Federated Cross-Validation4 Oct 2025
- 2025Predicting Language Models' Success at Zero-Shot Probabilistic Prediction18 Sep 2025
- 2025An Investigation of Visual Foundation Models Robustness22 Aug 2025
- 2025ADAPT: A Pseudo-labeling Approach to Combat Concept Drift in Malware Detection11 Jul 2025
- 2025Keeping Medical AI Healthy and Trustworthy: A Review of Detection and Correction Methods for System Degradation20 Jun 2025
- 2025SIMSHIFT: A Benchmark for Adapting Neural Surrogates to Distribution Shifts13 Jun 2025
- 2025ICE-ID: A Novel Historical Census Dataset for Longitudinal Identity Resolution11 Jun 2025
- 2025DRO: A Python Library for Distributionally Robust Optimization in Machine Learning29 May 2025
- 2025When Shift Happens - Confounding Is to Blame27 May 2025
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- 2024Cross-table Synthetic Tabular Data Detection17 Dec 2024
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- 2024The Landscape of Causal Discovery Data: Grounding Causal Discovery in Real-World Applications2 Dec 2024
- 2024Drift-Resilient TabPFN: In-Context Learning Temporal Distribution Shifts on Tabular Data15 Nov 2024
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- 2024Large Scale Transfer Learning for Tabular Data via Language Modelingcited by 73
- 2025Representation Learning for Tabular Data: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 36
- 2024TabReD: Analyzing Pitfalls and Filling the Gaps in Tabular Deep Learning Benchmarkscited by 29
- 2024Drift-Resilient TabPFN: In-Context Learning Temporal Distribution Shifts on Tabular Datacited by 25
- 2024BiSHop: Bi-Directional Cellular Learning for Tabular Data with Generalized Sparse Modern Hopfield Modelcited by 21
- 2024Text Serialization and Their Relationship with the Conventional Paradigms of Tabular Machine Learningcited by 17
- 2024The Landscape of Causal Discovery Data: Grounding Causal Discovery in Real-World Applicationscited by 17
- 2024A Data-Centric Perspective on Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Tabular Datacited by 15
- 2024TabularBench: Benchmarking Adversarial Robustness for Tabular Deep Learning in Real-world Use-casescited by 10
- 2024Estimating Model Performance Under Covariate Shift Without Labelscited by 9
- 2024Confidence-based Estimators for Predictive Performance in Model Monitoringcited by 8
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- 2026AUC Maximization from Biased Positive-unlabeled Data with Confidence10 Sep 2026
- 2026MASH-Bench: Diagnosing Cross-Source Failure in Mass-Shooting Risk Classification23 Aug 2026
- 2026Test-Time Augmentation for Tabular-to-Image Classifiers under Distribution Shifts4 Aug 2026
- 2026Logit-Origin Centering for Singleton Test-Time Adaptation2 Aug 2026
- 2026Empirical Evaluation of Out-Of-Distribution Performance of Tabular Foundation Models28 Jul 2026
- 2026Counterfactual Fragility Certificates: Exposing High-Confidence Brittleness under Structured Evidence Failure29 Jun 2026
- 2026Entropic Projection Alignment: Estimating, Explaining, and Improving Model Performance Under Distribution Shift29 May 2026
- 2026Unification and Optimization of Robust Supervised Learning27 May 2026
- 2026FLUXtrapolation: A benchmark on extrapolating ecosystem fluxes19 May 2026
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