Scaling Laws for Transfer
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
We study empirical scaling laws for transfer learning between distributions in an unsupervised, fine-tuning setting. When we train increasingly large neural networks from-scratch on a fixed-size dataset, they eventually become data-limited and stop improving in performance (cross-entropy loss). When we do the same for models pre-trained on a large language dataset, the slope in performance gains is merely reduced rather than going to zero. We calculate the effective data "transferred" from pre-training by determining how much data a transformer of the same size would have required to achieve the same loss when training from scratch. In other words, we focus on units of data while holding everything else fixed. We find that the effective data transferred is described well in the low data regime by a power-law of parameter count and fine-tuning dataset size. We believe the exponents in these power-laws correspond to measures of the generality of a model and proximity of distributions (in a directed rather than symmetric sense). We find that pre-training effectively multiplies the fine-tuning dataset size. Transfer, like overall performance, scales predictably in terms of parameters, data, and compute.
Key facts. Cited by 265 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 2 Feb 2021.
Builds on
22 of 45 references.
References · 22
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
- 2018BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understandingcited by 40,204
- 2014Adam: A Method for Stochastic Optimizationcited by 36,960
- 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
- 2019Exploring the Limits of Transfer Learning with a Unified Text-to-Text Transformercited by 14,491
- 2020Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understandingcited by 7,768
- 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,411
- 2017Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networkscited by 4,861
- 2020Learning to summarize from human feedbackcited by 2,562
- 2018Deep contextualized word representationscited by 2,285
- 2019SuperGLUE: A Stickier Benchmark for General-Purpose Language Understanding Systemscited by 1,718
- 2019Dota 2 with Large Scale Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 1,084
10 more
- 2019Solving Rubik's Cube with a Robot Handcited by 699
- 2019Deep Double Descent: Where Bigger Models and More Data Hurtcited by 667
- 2018Exploring the Limits of Weakly Supervised Pretrainingcited by 604
- 2020Scaling Laws for Autoregressive Generative Modelingcited by 510
- 2018A Survey on Deep Transfer Learningcited by 417
- 2018Rethinking ImageNet Pre-trainingcited by 376
- 2019A Constructive Prediction of the Generalization Error Across Scalescited by 202
- 2015Semi-supervised Sequence Learningcited by 198
- 2020Measuring the Algorithmic Efficiency of Neural Networkscited by 51
- 2020A Neural Scaling Law from the Dimension of the Data Manifoldcited by 48
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2021: 25; 2022: 26; 2023: 46; 2024: 66; 2025: 60; 2026: 42.
265 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,203
- 2022Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedbackcited by 3,634
- 2022Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Modelscited by 2,927
- 2022Challenging BIG-Bench Tasks and Whether Chain-of-Thought Can Solve Themcited by 1,767
- 2023Pythia: A Suite for Analyzing Large Language Models Across Training and Scalingcited by 1,734
- 2022Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimizationcited by 1,056
- 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 923
- 2021Robust fine-tuning of zero-shot modelscited by 785
- 2023Large Language Modelscited by 774
- 2022Beyond neural scaling laws: beating power law scaling via data pruningcited by 519
- 2023Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?cited by 515
- 2023Scaling Relationship on Learning Mathematical Reasoning with Large Language Modelscited by 417
38 more
- 2023Scaling Data-Constrained Language Modelscited by 391
- 2022The Effects of Reward Misspecification: Mapping and Mitigating Misaligned Modelscited by 312
- 2023SemDeDup: Data-efficient learning at web-scale through semantic deduplicationcited by 295
- 2025Small Language Models are the Future of Agentic AIcited by 254
- 2022Unified Scaling Laws for Routed Language Modelscited by 249
- 2022Efficient Training of Language Models to Fill in the Middlecited by 248
- 2025SAM 3D: 3Dfy Anything in Imagescited by 230
- 2022Memorization Without Overfitting: Analyzing the Training Dynamics of Large Language Modelscited by 218
- 2024When Scaling Meets LLM Finetuning: The Effect of Data, Model and Finetuning Methodcited by 201
- 2022Leveraging Large Language Models for Multiple Choice Question Answeringcited by 199
- 2022Will we run out of data? Limits of LLM scaling based on human-generated datacited by 187
- 2024On the Effects of Data Scale on UI Control Agentscited by 187
- 2024Data Mixing Laws: Optimizing Data Mixtures by Predicting Language Modeling Performancecited by 179
- 2023GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Modelscited by 174
- 2023SOLAR 10.7B: Scaling Large Language Models with Simple yet Effective Depth Up-Scalingcited by 172
- 2021Pretrained Transformers as Universal Computation Enginescited by 162
- 2023Beyond Chinchilla-Optimal: Accounting for Inference in Language Model Scaling Lawscited by 155
- 2022Scaling Laws and Interpretability of Learning from Repeated Datacited by 147
- 2023Emergent and Predictable Memorization in Large Language Modelscited by 147
- 2024Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization in Direct Alignment Algorithmscited by 139
- 2024Physics of Language Models: Part 3.3, Knowledge Capacity Scaling Lawscited by 137
- 2021Investigating the Limitations of Transformers with Simple Arithmetic Taskscited by 136
- 2024Rho-1: Not All Tokens Are What You Needcited by 132
- 2024Observational Scaling Laws and the Predictability of Language Model Performancecited by 128
- 2024A Tale of Tails: Model Collapse as a Change of Scaling Lawscited by 127
- 2024Simple and Scalable Strategies to Continually Pre-train Large Language Modelscited by 122
- 2021Scaling Laws for Neural Machine Translationcited by 110
- 2023Skywork: A More Open Bilingual Foundation Modelcited by 110
- 2023Scaling Laws of Synthetic Images for Model Training ... for Nowcited by 107
- 2021Pretraining Representations for Data-Efficient Reinforcement Learningcited by 105
- 2021Scale Efficiently: Insights from Pre-training and Fine-tuning Transformerscited by 105
- 2024Language models scale reliably with over-training and on downstream taskscited by 105
- 2021Exploring the Limits of Large Scale Pre-trainingcited by 104
- 2022Scaling Laws vs Model Architectures: How does Inductive Bias Influence Scaling?cited by 103
- 2022Broken Neural Scaling Lawscited by 102
- 2022A Solvable Model of Neural Scaling Lawscited by 101
- 2021The Efficiency Misnomercited by 98
- 2023The unreasonable effectiveness of few-shot learning for machine translationcited by 91
50 most cited of 265 All 265 (JSON)
- 2026SimpleEvol: An Agent-Loop Framework for LLM-Driven Automated Heuristic Design with Minimal Human Priors29 Sep 2026
- 2026Relative Generalization Invariance of LLM Pretraining26 Sep 2026
- 2026Compute-Optimal Pretrain--Fine-tune in Ridge Gradient Descent14 Sep 2026
- 2026Self-Specialized Teachers for Domain Post-Training16 Aug 2026
- 2026Rethinking Transfer in Continual Learning: A Replay-Based Realisation17 Jul 2026
- 2026Reliability Scaling Laws for Quantized Large Language Models12 Jul 2026
- 2026When Does Generating More Help? Disentangling Fixed-Source Synthesis from Source Expansion in Synthetic Data Scaling2 Jul 2026
- 2026Data Scale, Not Latency, Shapes Cross-Lingual Encoder Transfer in Streaming ASR23 Jun 2026
- 2026Towards Engineering Scaling Laws with Pretraining Data Composition18 Jun 2026
- 2026Speaking the Language of Science: Toward a General-Purpose Generative Foundation Model for the Natural Sciences15 Jun 2026
- 2026Rethinking the Role of Efficient Attention in Hybrid Architectures13 Jun 2026
- 2026OrderDP: A Theoretically Guaranteed Lossless Dynamic Data Pruning Framework7 Jun 2026
38 more
- 2026Predictable Scaling Laws of Optimal Hyperparameters for LLM Continued Pre-training4 Jun 2026
- 2026Provable Data Scaling Law for Meta Learning via Complexity Minimization1 Jun 2026
- 2026Feature Alignment Determines Fusion Strategy: A Comparative Study of Cross-Attention and Concatenation in Multimodal Learning31 May 2026
- 2026Item Response Scaling Laws: A Measurement Theory Approach for Efficient and Generalizable Neural Scaling Estimation29 May 2026
- 2026Latent Performance Profiling of Large Language Models28 May 2026
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retention28 May 2026
- 2026An In-Vitro Study on Cross-Lingual Generalization in Language Models26 May 2026
- 2026LLM Pretraining Shapes a Generalizable Manifold: Insights into Cross-Modal Transfer to Time Series19 May 2026
- 2026How Do Electrocardiogram Models Scale?17 May 2026
- 2026Practical Scaling Laws: Converting Compute into Performance in a Data-Constrained World9 May 2026
- 2026On the Invariance and Generality of Neural Scaling Laws8 May 2026
- 2026Pretraining Induces a Reusable Spectral Basis for Downstream Task Adaptation8 May 2026
- 2026Knowledge Transfer Scaling Laws for 3D Medical Imaging7 May 2026
- 2026Trust, but Verify: Peeling Low-Bit Transformer Networks for Training Monitoring4 May 2026
- 2026Comprehensive AI governance requires addressing non-model gains1 May 2026
- 2026Spend Less, Fit Better: Budget-Efficient Scaling Law Fitting via Active Experiment Selection24 Apr 2026
- 2026Continued Pretraining of FinBERT on Finnish Histopathological Reports: Train-Time Signals and Proxy Downstream Correlations16 Apr 2026
- 2026Time is Not Compute: Scaling Laws for Wall-Clock Constrained Training on Consumer GPUs29 Mar 2026
- 2026Generalizable Foundation Models for Calorimetry via Mixtures-of-Experts and Parameter Efficient Fine Tuning27 Mar 2026
- 2026Optimal Splitting of Language Models from Mixtures to Specialized Domains19 Mar 2026
- 2026Replaying pre-training data improves fine-tuning5 Mar 2026
- 2026Scaling Laws of Global Weather Models26 Feb 2026
- 2026Prescriptive Scaling Reveals the Evolution of Language Model Capabilities17 Feb 2026
- 2026The Magic Correlations: Understanding Knowledge Transfer from Pretraining to Supervised Fine-Tuning11 Feb 2026
- 2026Rotary Positional Embeddings as Phase Modulation: Theoretical Bounds on the RoPE Base for Long-Context Transformers11 Feb 2026
- 2026Configuration-to-Performance Scaling Law with Neural Ansatz10 Feb 2026
- 2026NavDreamer: Video Models as Zero-Shot 3D Navigators10 Feb 2026
- 2026Superposition unifies power-law training dynamics1 Feb 2026
- 2026A Sustainable AI Economy Needs Data Deals That Work for Generators15 Jan 2026
- 2026Learning Shrinks the Hard Tail: Training-Dependent Inference Scaling in a Solvable Linear Model7 Jan 2026
- 2025From Zipf's Law to Neural Scaling through Heaps' Law and Hilberg's Hypothesis15 Dec 2025
- 2025Prompting-in-a-Series: Psychology-Informed Contents and Embeddings for Personality Recognition With Decoder-Only Models7 Dec 2025
- 2025SAM 3D: 3Dfy Anything in Images20 Nov 2025
- 2025Data Value in the Age of Scaling: Understanding LLM Scaling Dynamics Under Real-Synthetic Data Mixtures17 Nov 2025
- 2025CoT-X: An Adaptive Framework for Cross-Model Chain-of-Thought Transfer and Optimization7 Nov 2025
- 2025Reusing Overtrained Language Models Saturates Scaling8 Oct 2025
- 2025Efficient Prediction of Pass@k Scaling in Large Language Models6 Oct 2025
- 2025What Scales in Cross-Entropy Scaling Law?5 Oct 2025
50 newest of 265 All 265 (JSON)
- 2022Challenging BIG-Bench Tasks and Whether Chain-of-Thought Can Solve Themcited by 1,767
- 2023Scaling Relationship on Learning Mathematical Reasoning with Large Language Modelscited by 417
- 2023The unreasonable effectiveness of few-shot learning for machine translationcited by 91
- 2025Distillation Scaling Lawscited by 59
- 2024Not All LLM Reasoners Are Created Equalcited by 29
- 2024VLM's Eye Examination: Instruct and Inspect Visual Competency of Vision Language Modelscited by 8
- 2025AdaSTaR: Adaptive Data Sampling for Training Self-Taught Reasonerscited by 6
- 2025A Theory of Inference Compute Scaling: Reasoning through Directed Stochastic Skill Searchcited by 5
- 2026Rethinking the Role of Efficient Attention in Hybrid Architecturescited by 5
- 2024Reasoning in Large Language Models: A Geometric Perspectivecited by 4
- 2025Finding the Minimal Parameter Budget for Implicit Reasoning: A Data Complexity Driven Scaling Law for Language Modelscited by 3
- 2025CoT-X: An Adaptive Framework for Cross-Model Chain-of-Thought Transfer and Optimizationcited by 3
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026Rethinking Transfer in Continual Learning: A Replay-Based Realisation17 Jul 2026
- 2026Rethinking the Role of Efficient Attention in Hybrid Architectures13 Jun 2026
- 2025CoT-X: An Adaptive Framework for Cross-Model Chain-of-Thought Transfer and Optimization7 Nov 2025
- 2025A Theory of Inference Compute Scaling: Reasoning through Directed Stochastic Skill Search10 Jun 2025
- 2025AdaSTaR: Adaptive Data Sampling for Training Self-Taught Reasoners22 May 2025
- 2025Finding the Minimal Parameter Budget for Implicit Reasoning: A Data Complexity Driven Scaling Law for Language Models4 Apr 2025
- 2025Distillation Scaling Laws12 Feb 2025
- 2024Not All LLM Reasoners Are Created Equal2 Oct 2024
- 2024VLM's Eye Examination: Instruct and Inspect Visual Competency of Vision Language Models23 Sep 2024
- 2024Reasoning in Large Language Models: A Geometric Perspective2 Jul 2024
- 2024Decoding at the Speed of Thought: Harnessing Parallel Decoding of Lexical Units for LLMs24 May 2024
- 2023Scaling Relationship on Learning Mathematical Reasoning with Large Language Models3 Aug 2023
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2022Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedbackcited by 3,634
- 2022Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimizationcited by 1,056
- 2022The Effects of Reward Misspecification: Mapping and Mitigating Misaligned Modelscited by 312
- 2024Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization in Direct Alignment Algorithmscited by 139
- 2024sDPO: Don't Use Your Data All at Oncecited by 46
- 2024Bi-Factorial Preference Optimization: Balancing Safety-Helpfulness in Language Modelscited by 27
- 2024Revisiting the Superficial Alignment Hypothesiscited by 12
- 2024Revisiting the Superficial Alignment Hypothesis27 Sep 2024
- 2024Bi-Factorial Preference Optimization: Balancing Safety-Helpfulness in Language Models27 Aug 2024
- 2024Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization in Direct Alignment Algorithms5 Jun 2024
- 2024sDPO: Don't Use Your Data All at Once28 Mar 2024
- 2022Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization19 Oct 2022
- 2022Training a Helpful and Harmless Assistant with Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback12 Apr 2022
- 2022The Effects of Reward Misspecification: Mapping and Mitigating Misaligned Models10 Jan 2022
- 2025Small Language Models are the Future of Agentic AIcited by 254
- 2024On the Effects of Data Scale on UI Control Agentscited by 187
- 2023Lemur: Harmonizing Natural Language and Code for Language Agentscited by 71
- 2022Scaling Laws for a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Modelcited by 37
- 2023Scaling Laws for Imitation Learning in Single-Agent Gamescited by 11
- 2026SimpleEvol: An Agent-Loop Framework for LLM-Driven Automated Heuristic Design with Minimal Human Priorscited by 0
- 2026SimpleEvol: An Agent-Loop Framework for LLM-Driven Automated Heuristic Design with Minimal Human Priors29 Sep 2026
- 2025Small Language Models are the Future of Agentic AI2 Jun 2025
- 2024On the Effects of Data Scale on UI Control Agents6 Jun 2024
- 2023Lemur: Harmonizing Natural Language and Code for Language Agents10 Oct 2023
- 2023Scaling Laws for Imitation Learning in Single-Agent Games18 Jul 2023
- 2022Scaling Laws for a Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning Model29 Sep 2022
- 2024Inference Optimal VLMs Need Fewer Visual Tokens and More Parameterscited by 25
- 2025Inference Compute-Optimal Video Vision Language Modelscited by 3
- 2025Scaling Laws for Conditional Emergence of Multilingual Image Captioning via Generalization from Translationcited by 0
- 2026Feature Alignment Determines Fusion Strategy: A Comparative Study of Cross-Attention and Concatenation in Multimodal Learningcited by 0
- 2026Feature Alignment Determines Fusion Strategy: A Comparative Study of Cross-Attention and Concatenation in Multimodal Learning31 May 2026
- 2025Inference Compute-Optimal Video Vision Language Models24 May 2025
- 2025Scaling Laws for Conditional Emergence of Multilingual Image Captioning via Generalization from Translation12 Mar 2025
- 2024Inference Optimal VLMs Need Fewer Visual Tokens and More Parameters5 Nov 2024
- 2024A Tale of Tails: Model Collapse as a Change of Scaling Lawscited by 127
- 2025Scaling Laws of Synthetic Data for Language Modelscited by 44
- 2024Mind the Gap: Examining the Self-Improvement Capabilities of Large Language Modelscited by 16
- 2025Data Value in the Age of Scaling: Understanding LLM Scaling Dynamics Under Real-Synthetic Data Mixturescited by 1
- 2025Data Value in the Age of Scaling: Understanding LLM Scaling Dynamics Under Real-Synthetic Data Mixtures17 Nov 2025
- 2025Scaling Laws of Synthetic Data for Language Models25 Mar 2025
- 2024Mind the Gap: Examining the Self-Improvement Capabilities of Large Language Models3 Dec 2024
- 2024A Tale of Tails: Model Collapse as a Change of Scaling Laws10 Feb 2024
- 2025Efficient Pretraining Length Scalingcited by 5
- 2025Efficient Pretraining Length Scaling21 Apr 2025
- 2026NavDreamer: Video Models as Zero-Shot 3D Navigatorscited by 9
- 2026NavDreamer: Video Models as Zero-Shot 3D Navigators10 Feb 2026
- 2025Emergent World Representations in OpenVLAcited by 6
- 2025Emergent World Representations in OpenVLA29 Sep 2025
- 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,203
- 2022Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Modelscited by 2,927
- 2023Pythia: A Suite for Analyzing Large Language Models Across Training and Scalingcited by 1,734
- 2023BloombergGPT: A Large Language Model for Financecited by 923
- 2021Robust fine-tuning of zero-shot modelscited by 785
- 2023Large Language Modelscited by 774
- 2022Beyond neural scaling laws: beating power law scaling via data pruningcited by 519
- 2023Are Emergent Abilities of Large Language Models a Mirage?cited by 515
- 2023Scaling Data-Constrained Language Modelscited by 391
- 2023SemDeDup: Data-efficient learning at web-scale through semantic deduplicationcited by 295
- 2022Unified Scaling Laws for Routed Language Modelscited by 249
- 2022Efficient Training of Language Models to Fill in the Middlecited by 248
12 most cited of 221 All 221 (JSON)
- 2026Relative Generalization Invariance of LLM Pretraining26 Sep 2026
- 2026Compute-Optimal Pretrain--Fine-tune in Ridge Gradient Descent14 Sep 2026
- 2026Self-Specialized Teachers for Domain Post-Training16 Aug 2026
- 2026Reliability Scaling Laws for Quantized Large Language Models12 Jul 2026
- 2026When Does Generating More Help? Disentangling Fixed-Source Synthesis from Source Expansion in Synthetic Data Scaling2 Jul 2026
- 2026Data Scale, Not Latency, Shapes Cross-Lingual Encoder Transfer in Streaming ASR23 Jun 2026
- 2026Towards Engineering Scaling Laws with Pretraining Data Composition18 Jun 2026
- 2026Speaking the Language of Science: Toward a General-Purpose Generative Foundation Model for the Natural Sciences15 Jun 2026
- 2026OrderDP: A Theoretically Guaranteed Lossless Dynamic Data Pruning Framework7 Jun 2026
- 2026Predictable Scaling Laws of Optimal Hyperparameters for LLM Continued Pre-training4 Jun 2026
- 2026Provable Data Scaling Law for Meta Learning via Complexity Minimization1 Jun 2026
- 2026Item Response Scaling Laws: A Measurement Theory Approach for Efficient and Generalizable Neural Scaling Estimation29 May 2026
12 newest of 221 All 221 (JSON)