Survey of multifidelity methods in uncertainty propagation, inference, and optimization
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Abstract (arXiv)
In many situations across computational science and engineering, multiple computational models are available that describe a system of interest. These different models have varying evaluation costs and varying fidelities. Typically, a computationally expensive high-fidelity model describes the system with the accuracy required by the current application at hand, while lower-fidelity models are less accurate but computationally cheaper than the high-fidelity model. Outer-loop applications, such as optimization, inference, and uncertainty quantification, require multiple model evaluations at many different inputs, which often leads to computational demands that exceed available resources if only the high-fidelity model is used. This work surveys multifidelity methods that accelerate the solution of outer-loop applications by combining high-fidelity and low-fidelity model evaluations, where the low-fidelity evaluations arise from an explicit low-fidelity model (e.g., a simplified physics approximation, a reduced model, a data-fit surrogate, etc.) that approximates the same output quantity as the high-fidelity model. The overall premise of these multifidelity methods is that low-fidelity models are leveraged for speedup while the high-fidelity model is kept in the loop to establish accuracy and/or convergence guarantees. We categorize multifidelity methods according to three classes of strategies: adaptation, fusion, and filtering. The paper reviews multifidelity methods in the outer-loop contexts of uncertainty propagation, inference, and optimization.
Key facts. Cited by 142 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 28 Jun 2018.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 21; 2022: 24; 2023: 21; 2024: 19; 2025: 25; 2026: 32.
142 papers.
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- 2022Machine Learning in Aerodynamic Shape Optimizationcited by 39
- 2021Multi-fidelity regression using artificial neural networks: efficient approximation of parameter-dependent output quantitiescited by 31
- 2025Accelerated Diffusion Models via Speculative Samplingcited by 31
- 2022A Comprehensive Review of Digital Twin -- Part 1: Modeling and Twinning Enabling Technologiescited by 28
- 2022Thinking inside the box: A tutorial on grey-box Bayesian optimizationcited by 26
- 2021Multifidelity Modeling for Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs)cited by 25
- 2021Emulation of physical processes with Emukitcited by 24
- 2022Residual-based error correction for neural operator accelerated infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problemscited by 21
- 2024Operator Learning Using Random Features: A Tool for Scientific Computingcited by 21
- 2022Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling using long short-term memory networkscited by 18
- 2023Multi-fidelity reduced-order surrogate modelingcited by 18
- 2023Active Learning and Bayesian Optimization: a Unified Perspective to Learn with a Goalcited by 17
38 more
- 2021Data Fusion with Latent Map Gaussian Processescited by 16
- 2022Multi-fidelity Hierarchical Neural Processescited by 15
- 2023Multi-Fidelity Active Learning with GFlowNetscited by 15
- 2023A DeepONet multi-fidelity approach for residual learning in reduced order modelingcited by 14
- 2024Multi-Fidelity Residual Neural Processes for Scalable Surrogate Modelingcited by 13
- 2021Bayesian multiscale deep generative model for the solution of high-dimensional inverse problemscited by 12
- 2022Operator inference with roll outs for learning reduced models from scarce and low-quality datacited by 11
- 2023Physics-Informed Deep Learning For Traffic State Estimation: A Survey and the Outlookcited by 11
- 2023Disentangled Multi-Fidelity Deep Bayesian Active Learningcited by 11
- 2023CS4ML: A general framework for active learning with arbitrary data based on Christoffel functionscited by 11
- 2021Entropy-based adaptive design for contour finding and estimating reliabilitycited by 10
- 2021Colmena: Scalable Machine-Learning-Based Steering of Ensemble Simulations for High Performance Computingcited by 10
- 2023A Latent Variable Approach for Non-Hierarchical Multi-Fidelity Adaptive Samplingcited by 10
- 2024Accelerating Phase Field Simulations Through a Hybrid Adaptive Fourier Neural Operator with U-Net Backbonecited by 10
- 2024Parametric model reduction of mean-field and stochastic systems via higher-order action matchingcited by 9
- 2024Multifidelity Kolmogorov-Arnold Networkscited by 9
- 2025Multifidelity Simulation-based Inference for Computationally Expensive Simulatorscited by 9
- 2021Residual Gaussian Process: A Tractable Nonparametric Bayesian Emulator for Multi-fidelity Simulationscited by 8
- 2021Active Learning with Multifidelity Modeling for Efficient Rare Event Simulationcited by 8
- 2021Federated Gaussian Process: Convergence, Automatic Personalization and Multi-fidelity Modelingcited by 8
- 2024Machine learning for industrial sensing and control: A survey and practical perspectivecited by 8
- 2023Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling for temperature field prediction using deep convolution neural networkcited by 7
- 2023Meta-learning Control Variates: Variance Reduction with Limited Datacited by 7
- 2021Uncertainty quantification of a three-dimensional in-stent restenosis model with surrogate modellingcited by 6
- 2024Multi-Fidelity Methods for Optimization: A Surveycited by 6
- 2024Weak neural variational inference for solving Bayesian inverse problems without forward models: applications in elastographycited by 5
- 2025Multilevel neural simulation-based inferencecited by 5
- 2025TripOptimizer: Generative 3D Shape Optimization and Drag Prediction using Triplane VAE Networkscited by 5
- 2021Multifidelity Ensemble Kalman Filtering Using Surrogate Models Defined by Physics-Informed Autoencoderscited by 4
- 2021Multilevel Stein variational gradient descent with applications to Bayesian inverse problemscited by 4
- 2022Physics Guided Machine Learning for Variational Multiscale Reduced Order Modelingcited by 4
- 2022Multi-fidelity Monte Carlo: a pseudo-marginal approachcited by 4
- 2023Multi-fidelity climate model parameterization for better generalization and extrapolationcited by 4
- 2023Interactive Multi-fidelity Learning for Cost-effective Adaptation of Language Model with Sparse Human Supervisioncited by 4
- 2024Accelerating Look-ahead in Bayesian Optimization: Multilevel Monte Carlo is All you Needcited by 4
- 2024Multi-fidelity Gaussian process surrogate modeling for regression problems in physicscited by 4
- 2025Fine, I'll Merge It Myself: A Multi-Fidelity Framework for Automated Model Mergingcited by 4
- 2022Online, Informative MCMC Thinning with Kernelized Stein Discrepancycited by 3
50 most cited of 142 All 142 (JSON)
- 2026When do explicit penalties improve flow matching?11 Oct 2026
- 2026Multifidelity Formulations for Triangular Transport30 Sep 2026
- 2026Cost-Accuracy Trade-offs: Neural Operator vs Classical Numerical Solver21 Sep 2026
- 2026Estimating Inconsistency Response Surfaces under Uncertainty in Cyber-Physical System Development10 Sep 2026
- 2026Sparks of In Silico Cognitive Science: Theories from Simulated Data Can Generalize to Humans7 Sep 2026
- 2026A Data Fusion Framework for Grounding Aerospace Surrogate Model via Experimental Wind-Tunnel Observations2 Sep 2026
- 2026The Frame Kernel Method for Multiscale Operator Learning25 Aug 2026
- 2026Information fusion and machine learning for sensitivity analysis using physics knowledge and experimental data18 Aug 2026
- 2026FLARE MCMC: Fidelity-based Layer-Adaptive REcursive proposals for MCMC13 Aug 2026
- 2026Transfer Learning Architectures for Scalable Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization26 Jul 2026
- 2026Scientific discovery as meta-optimization: a combinatorial optimization case study25 Jun 2026
- 2026Advances in Scientific Machine Learning for Coupled Fluid Flow and Transport17 Jun 2026
38 more
- 2026Multi-Fidelity SINDy: Sparse Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems with Fidelity-Weighted Measurements14 Jun 2026
- 2026Two-Parameter Flows for Learning Population Dynamics of Physical Systems25 May 2026
- 2026Accelerating Bayesian inverse design in computational fluid dynamics using neural operators25 May 2026
- 2026Multi-Fidelity Learning with Shallow Recurrent Decoders for Multi-Physics Applications22 May 2026
- 2026Multi-Fidelity Flow Matching: Cascaded Refinement of PDE Solutions15 May 2026
- 2026EvoNav: Evolutionary Reward Function Design for Robot Navigation with Large Language Models12 May 2026
- 2026Multifidelity Gaussian process regression for solving nonlinear partial differential equations11 May 2026
- 2026Multi-Fidelity Emulation of Atmospheric Correction Coefficients with Physics-Guided Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks4 May 2026
- 2026Multifidelity-Augmented Gaussian Process Inputs for Surrogate Modeling from Scarce Data23 Mar 2026
- 2026Sparsely-Supervised Data Assimilation via Physics-Informed Schr"odinger Bridge20 Mar 2026
- 2026Multifidelity Surrogate Modeling of Depressurized Loss of Forced Cooling in High-temperature Gas Reactors14 Mar 2026
- 2026A Consistency-Centric Approach to Set-Based Optimization with Multiple Models of Unranked Fidelity28 Feb 2026
- 2026Scalable Gaussian process modeling of parametrized spatio-temporal fields27 Feb 2026
- 2026Proximal-IMH: Proximal Posterior Proposals for Independent Metropolis-Hastings with Approximate Operators24 Feb 2026
- 2026Conditional neural control variates for variance reduction in Bayesian inverse problems24 Feb 2026
- 2026Goal-Driven Adaptive Sampling Strategies for Machine Learning Models Predicting Fields29 Jan 2026
- 2026Latent-IMH: Efficient Bayesian Inference for Inverse Problems with Approximate Operators28 Jan 2026
- 2026Generative AI-enhanced Probabilistic Multi-Fidelity Surrogate Modeling Via Transfer Learning20 Jan 2026
- 2026Multi-task Modeling for Engineering Applications with Sparse Data9 Jan 2026
- 2026Towards Spatio-Temporal Extrapolation of Phase-Field Simulations with Convolution-Only Neural Networks8 Jan 2026
- 2025Active learning for data-driven reduced models of parametric differential systems with Bayesian operator inference30 Dec 2025
- 2025A Multi-fidelity Double-Delta Wing Dataset and Empirical Scaling Laws for GNN-based Aerodynamic Field Surrogate24 Dec 2025
- 2025Multi-Fidelity Delayed Acceptance: hierarchical MCMC sampling for Bayesian inverse problems combining multiple solvers through deep neural networks18 Dec 2025
- 2025Balancing Accuracy and Speed: A Multi-Fidelity Ensemble Kalman Filter with a Machine Learning Surrogate Model13 Dec 2025
- 2025Bridging quantum and classical computing for partial differential equations through multifidelity machine learning4 Dec 2025
- 2025Bifidelity Karhunen-Lo`eve Expansion Surrogate with Active Learning for Random Fields5 Nov 2025
- 2025Filtered Neural Galerkin model reduction schemes for efficient propagation of initial condition uncertainties in digital twins1 Nov 2025
- 2025Trust-Region Methods with Low-Fidelity Objective Models1 Nov 2025
- 2025Progressive multi-fidelity learning with neural networks for physical system predictions15 Oct 2025
- 2025Multi-level informed optimization via decomposed Kriging for large design problems under uncertainty9 Oct 2025
- 2025TripOptimizer: Generative 3D Shape Optimization and Drag Prediction using Triplane VAE Networks5 Sep 2025
- 2025Projection-based multifidelity linear regression for data-scarce applications11 Aug 2025
- 2025Adaptive Machine Learning-Driven Multi-Fidelity Stratified Sampling for Failure Analysis of Nonlinear Stochastic Systems1 Aug 2025
- 2025A surrogate model for topology optimisation of elastic structures via parametric autoencoders30 Jul 2025
- 2025Sequential Bayesian Design for Efficient Surrogate Construction in the Inversion of Darcy Flows23 Jul 2025
- 2025On the performance of multi-fidelity and reduced-dimensional neural emulators for inference of physiological boundary conditions13 Jun 2025
- 2025Multilevel neural simulation-based inference6 Jun 2025
- 2025Bayesian full waveform inversion with sequential surrogate model refinement6 May 2025
50 newest of 142 All 142 (JSON)
- 2025Accelerated Diffusion Models via Speculative Samplingcited by 31
- 2026Multi-Fidelity Flow Matching: Cascaded Refinement of PDE Solutionscited by 1
- 2026When do explicit penalties improve flow matching?cited by 0
- 2026When do explicit penalties improve flow matching?11 Oct 2026
- 2026Multi-Fidelity Flow Matching: Cascaded Refinement of PDE Solutions15 May 2026
- 2025Accelerated Diffusion Models via Speculative Sampling9 Jan 2025
- 2022Machine Learning in Aerodynamic Shape Optimizationcited by 39
- 2021Multi-fidelity regression using artificial neural networks: efficient approximation of parameter-dependent output quantitiescited by 31
- 2022A Comprehensive Review of Digital Twin -- Part 1: Modeling and Twinning Enabling Technologiescited by 28
- 2022Thinking inside the box: A tutorial on grey-box Bayesian optimizationcited by 26
- 2021Multifidelity Modeling for Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs)cited by 25
- 2021Emulation of physical processes with Emukitcited by 24
- 2022Residual-based error correction for neural operator accelerated infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problemscited by 21
- 2024Operator Learning Using Random Features: A Tool for Scientific Computingcited by 21
- 2022Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling using long short-term memory networkscited by 18
- 2023Multi-fidelity reduced-order surrogate modelingcited by 18
- 2023Active Learning and Bayesian Optimization: a Unified Perspective to Learn with a Goalcited by 17
- 2021Data Fusion with Latent Map Gaussian Processescited by 16
12 most cited of 135 All 135 (JSON)
- 2026Multifidelity Formulations for Triangular Transport30 Sep 2026
- 2026Cost-Accuracy Trade-offs: Neural Operator vs Classical Numerical Solver21 Sep 2026
- 2026Estimating Inconsistency Response Surfaces under Uncertainty in Cyber-Physical System Development10 Sep 2026
- 2026Sparks of In Silico Cognitive Science: Theories from Simulated Data Can Generalize to Humans7 Sep 2026
- 2026A Data Fusion Framework for Grounding Aerospace Surrogate Model via Experimental Wind-Tunnel Observations2 Sep 2026
- 2026The Frame Kernel Method for Multiscale Operator Learning25 Aug 2026
- 2026Information fusion and machine learning for sensitivity analysis using physics knowledge and experimental data18 Aug 2026
- 2026FLARE MCMC: Fidelity-based Layer-Adaptive REcursive proposals for MCMC13 Aug 2026
- 2026Transfer Learning Architectures for Scalable Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization26 Jul 2026
- 2026Scientific discovery as meta-optimization: a combinatorial optimization case study25 Jun 2026
- 2026Advances in Scientific Machine Learning for Coupled Fluid Flow and Transport17 Jun 2026
- 2026Multi-Fidelity SINDy: Sparse Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems with Fidelity-Weighted Measurements14 Jun 2026
12 newest of 135 All 135 (JSON)