Predicting Process Behaviour using Deep Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Predicting business process behaviour is an important aspect of business process management. Motivated by research in natural language processing, this paper describes an application of deep learning with recurrent neural networks to the problem of predicting the next event in a business process. This is both a novel method in process prediction, which has largely relied on explicit process models, and also a novel application of deep learning methods. The approach is evaluated on two real datasets and our results surpass the state-of-the-art in prediction precision.
Key facts. Cited by 59 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 14 Dec 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 16; 2022: 13; 2023: 6; 2024: 8; 2025: 10; 2026: 6.
59 papers.
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- 2021A systematic literature review on state-of-the-art deep learning methods for process predictioncited by 32
- 2021A Deep Adversarial Model for Suffix and Remaining Time Prediction of Event Sequencescited by 17
- 2021Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 16
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 14
- 2021DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approachcited by 13
- 2024PGTNet: A Process Graph Transformer Network for Remaining Time Prediction of Business Process Instancescited by 13
- 2021Process Outcome Prediction: CNN vs. LSTM (with Attention)cited by 12
- 2021Embedding Graph Convolutional Networks in Recurrent Neural Networks for Predictive Monitoringcited by 12
- 2022Counterfactual Explanations for Predictive Business Process Monitoringcited by 12
- 2023An Assessment of ChatGPT on Log Datacited by 11
- 2021Learning Accurate Business Process Simulation Models from Event Logs via Automated Process Discovery and Deep Learningcited by 10
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspectivecited by 10
38 more
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Predictioncited by 8
- 2021How do I update my model? On the resilience of Predictive Process Monitoring models to changecited by 7
- 2021What Averages Do Not Tell -- Predicting Real Life Processes with Sequential Deep Learningcited by 7
- 2025Neuro-Symbolic Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 7
- 2021Evaluating Predictive Business Process Monitoring Approaches on Small Event Logscited by 6
- 2021Multivariate Business Process Representation Learning utilizing Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2021Building Interpretable Models for Business Process Prediction using Shared and Specialised Attention Mechanismscited by 6
- 2022Explainability in Process Outcome Prediction: Guidelines to Obtain Interpretable and Faithful Modelscited by 5
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature reviewcited by 5
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoringcited by 5
- 2022Predictive Compliance Monitoring in Process-Aware Information Systems: State of the Art, Functionalities, Research Directionscited by 4
- 2023A Discussion on Generalization in Next-Activity Predictioncited by 4
- 2023Knowledge-Driven Modulation of Neural Networks with Attention Mechanism for Next Activity Predictioncited by 4
- 2025Comprehensive Attribute Encoding and Dynamic LSTM HyperModels for Outcome Oriented Predictive Business Process Monitoringcited by 4
- 2021Extending LIME for Business Process Automationcited by 3
- 2022Explainable Predictive Process Monitoring: A User Evaluationcited by 3
- 2022Predictive Object-Centric Process Monitoringcited by 3
- 2022A Framework for Extracting and Encoding Features from Object-Centric Event Datacited by 3
- 2022Can recurrent neural networks learn process model structure?cited by 3
- 2023Performance-Preserving Event Log Sampling for Predictive Monitoringcited by 3
- 2022Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Improved Modeling of Processescited by 2
- 2024Recent Advances in Data-Driven Business Process Managementcited by 2
- 2025On the Potential of Large Language Models to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 2
- 2025Time-Aware and Transition-Semantic Graph Neural Networks for Interpretable Predictive Business Process Monitoringcited by 2
- 2021Process Model Forecasting Using Time Series Analysis of Event Sequence Datacited by 1
- 2021Masking Neural Networks Using Reachability Graphs to Predict Process Eventscited by 1
- 2022Can deep neural networks learn process model structure? An assessment framework and analysiscited by 1
- 2022Event Log Sampling for Predictive Monitoringcited by 1
- 2022Enhancing Stochastic Petri Net-based Remaining Time Prediction using k-Nearest Neighborscited by 1
- 2023PELP: Pioneer Event Log Prediction Using Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networkscited by 1
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizationscited by 1
- 2026Neuro-Symbolic Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring via Two-Stage Logic Tensor Networks with Rule Pruningcited by 1
- 2021ProcK: Machine Learning for Knowledge-Intensive Processescited by 0
- 2022A machine learning approach to predict the structural and magnetic properties of Heusler alloy familiescited by 0
- 2022Encoder-Decoder Model for Suffix Prediction in Predictive Monitoringcited by 0
- 2024Structural Positional Encoding for knowledge integration in transformer-based medical process monitoringcited by 0
- 2024Anomaly Correction of Business Processes Using Transformer Autoencodercited by 0
- 2024Generating the Traces You Need: A Conditional Generative Model for Process Mining Datacited by 0
50 most cited of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2026Universal Multi-Modal Traceformer: Integrating Heterogeneous Context for Process Event Prediction21 Sep 2026
- 2026GNN4PPM: Multi-Target Predictive Process Monitoring with Relational Graph Convolutional Networks13 Sep 2026
- 2026Decision-Aware Suffix Prediction and Reasoning of Business Processes5 Sep 2026
- 2026David vs. Goliath in Next Activity Prediction: Argmax vs. LSTM, Transformer, and LLM14 Jun 2026
- 2026From Data Lifting to Continuous Risk Estimation: A Process-Aware Pipeline for Predictive Monitoring of Clinical Pathways5 May 2026
- 2026Neuro-Symbolic Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring via Two-Stage Logic Tensor Networks with Rule Pruning27 Mar 2026
- 2025Towards Reproducibility in Predictive Process Mining: SPICE -- A Deep Learning Library18 Dec 2025
- 2025On the Simplification of Neural Network Architectures for Predictive Process Monitoring21 Sep 2025
- 2025How Will My Business Process Unfold? Predicting Case Suffixes With Start and End Timestamps18 Sep 2025
- 2025Neuro-Symbolic Predictive Process Monitoring31 Aug 2025
- 2025Time-Aware and Transition-Semantic Graph Neural Networks for Interpretable Predictive Business Process Monitoring13 Aug 2025
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizations11 Aug 2025
38 more
- 2025Comprehensive Attribute Encoding and Dynamic LSTM HyperModels for Outcome Oriented Predictive Business Process Monitoring4 Jun 2025
- 2025An Uncertainty-Aware ED-LSTM for Probabilistic Suffix Prediction27 May 2025
- 2025On the Potential of Large Language Models to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks29 Apr 2025
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoring23 Mar 2025
- 2024Generating the Traces You Need: A Conditional Generative Model for Process Mining Data4 Nov 2024
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks2 Jul 2024
- 2024Recent Advances in Data-Driven Business Process Management3 Jun 2024
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature review26 May 2024
- 2024Anomaly Correction of Business Processes Using Transformer Autoencoder16 Apr 2024
- 2024PGTNet: A Process Graph Transformer Network for Remaining Time Prediction of Business Process Instances9 Apr 2024
- 2024Structural Positional Encoding for knowledge integration in transformer-based medical process monitoring13 Mar 2024
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Prediction28 Jan 2024
- 2023PELP: Pioneer Event Log Prediction Using Sequence-to-Sequence Neural Networks15 Dec 2023
- 2023Knowledge-Driven Modulation of Neural Networks with Attention Mechanism for Next Activity Prediction14 Dec 2023
- 2023A Discussion on Generalization in Next-Activity Prediction18 Sep 2023
- 2023An Assessment of ChatGPT on Log Data14 Sep 2023
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspective13 Apr 2023
- 2023Performance-Preserving Event Log Sampling for Predictive Monitoring18 Jan 2023
- 2022Can recurrent neural networks learn process model structure?13 Dec 2022
- 2022Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Improved Modeling of Processes1 Dec 2022
- 2022Encoder-Decoder Model for Suffix Prediction in Predictive Monitoring29 Nov 2022
- 2022A Framework for Extracting and Encoding Features from Object-Centric Event Data2 Sep 2022
- 2022A machine learning approach to predict the structural and magnetic properties of Heusler alloy families7 Aug 2022
- 2022Predictive Object-Centric Process Monitoring20 Jul 2022
- 2022Enhancing Stochastic Petri Net-based Remaining Time Prediction using k-Nearest Neighbors27 Jun 2022
- 2022Predictive Compliance Monitoring in Process-Aware Information Systems: State of the Art, Functionalities, Research Directions10 May 2022
- 2022Event Log Sampling for Predictive Monitoring4 Apr 2022
- 2022Explainability in Process Outcome Prediction: Guidelines to Obtain Interpretable and Faithful Models30 Mar 2022
- 2022Counterfactual Explanations for Predictive Business Process Monitoring24 Feb 2022
- 2022Can deep neural networks learn process model structure? An assessment framework and analysis24 Feb 2022
- 2022Explainable Predictive Process Monitoring: A User Evaluation15 Feb 2022
- 2021Embedding Graph Convolutional Networks in Recurrent Neural Networks for Predictive Monitoring17 Dec 2021
- 2021What Averages Do Not Tell -- Predicting Real Life Processes with Sequential Deep Learning19 Oct 2021
- 2021ProcK: Machine Learning for Knowledge-Intensive Processes10 Sep 2021
- 2021How do I update my model? On the resilience of Predictive Process Monitoring models to change8 Sep 2021
- 2021Building Interpretable Models for Business Process Prediction using Shared and Specialised Attention Mechanisms3 Sep 2021
- 2021Extending LIME for Business Process Automation9 Aug 2021
- 2021Masking Neural Networks Using Reachability Graphs to Predict Process Events1 Aug 2021
50 newest of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2021A systematic literature review on state-of-the-art deep learning methods for process predictioncited by 32
- 2021A Deep Adversarial Model for Suffix and Remaining Time Prediction of Event Sequencescited by 17
- 2021Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 16
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 14
- 2021DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approachcited by 13
- 2024PGTNet: A Process Graph Transformer Network for Remaining Time Prediction of Business Process Instancescited by 13
- 2021Process Outcome Prediction: CNN vs. LSTM (with Attention)cited by 12
- 2021Embedding Graph Convolutional Networks in Recurrent Neural Networks for Predictive Monitoringcited by 12
- 2022Counterfactual Explanations for Predictive Business Process Monitoringcited by 12
- 2023An Assessment of ChatGPT on Log Datacited by 11
- 2021Learning Accurate Business Process Simulation Models from Event Logs via Automated Process Discovery and Deep Learningcited by 10
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspectivecited by 10
12 most cited of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2026Universal Multi-Modal Traceformer: Integrating Heterogeneous Context for Process Event Prediction21 Sep 2026
- 2026GNN4PPM: Multi-Target Predictive Process Monitoring with Relational Graph Convolutional Networks13 Sep 2026
- 2026Decision-Aware Suffix Prediction and Reasoning of Business Processes5 Sep 2026
- 2026David vs. Goliath in Next Activity Prediction: Argmax vs. LSTM, Transformer, and LLM14 Jun 2026
- 2026From Data Lifting to Continuous Risk Estimation: A Process-Aware Pipeline for Predictive Monitoring of Clinical Pathways5 May 2026
- 2026Neuro-Symbolic Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring via Two-Stage Logic Tensor Networks with Rule Pruning27 Mar 2026
- 2025Towards Reproducibility in Predictive Process Mining: SPICE -- A Deep Learning Library18 Dec 2025
- 2025On the Simplification of Neural Network Architectures for Predictive Process Monitoring21 Sep 2025
- 2025How Will My Business Process Unfold? Predicting Case Suffixes With Start and End Timestamps18 Sep 2025
- 2025Neuro-Symbolic Predictive Process Monitoring31 Aug 2025
- 2025Time-Aware and Transition-Semantic Graph Neural Networks for Interpretable Predictive Business Process Monitoring13 Aug 2025
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizations11 Aug 2025
12 newest of 59 All 59 (JSON)