A systematic literature review on state-of-the-art deep learning methods for process prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
Process mining enables the reconstruction and evaluation of business processes based on digital traces in IT systems. An increasingly important technique in this context is process prediction. Given a sequence of events of an ongoing trace, process prediction allows forecasting upcoming events or performance measurements. In recent years, multiple process prediction approaches have been proposed, applying different data processing schemes and prediction algorithms. This study focuses on deep learning algorithms since they seem to outperform their machine learning alternatives consistently. Whilst having a common learning algorithm, they use different data preprocessing techniques, implement a variety of network topologies and focus on various goals such as outcome prediction, time prediction or control-flow prediction. Additionally, the set of log-data, evaluation metrics and baselines used by the authors diverge, making the results hard to compare. This paper attempts to synthesise the advantages and disadvantages of the procedural decisions in these approaches by conducting a systematic literature review.
Key facts. Cited by 32 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 61 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 Jan 2021.
Builds on
13 of 61 references.
References · 13
- 2017A Survey on Multi-Task Learningcited by 838
- 2016Predictive Business Process Monitoring with LSTM Neural Networkscited by 103
- 2016Predicting Process Behaviour using Deep Learningcited by 59
- 2018Survey and cross-benchmark comparison of remaining time prediction methods in business process monitoringcited by 43
- 2013Predictive Monitoring of Business Processescited by 37
- 2017Outcome-Oriented Predictive Process Monitoring: Review and Benchmarkcited by 37
- 2020Predictive Business Process Monitoring via Generative Adversarial Nets: The Case of Next Event Predictioncited by 31
- 2017Automated Discovery of Process Models from Event Logs: Review and Benchmarkcited by 28
- 2018Predictive Process Monitoring Methods: Which One Suits Me Best?cited by 27
- 2017LSTM Networks for Data-Aware Remaining Time Prediction of Business Process Instancescited by 19
- 2018An Interdisciplinary Comparison of Sequence Modeling Methods for Next-Element Predictioncited by 14
- 2017Temporal Stability in Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 8
1 more
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 7; 2022: 6; 2023: 8; 2024: 3; 2025: 6; 2026: 2.
32 papers.
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- 2021Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 16
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 14
- 2021DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approachcited by 13
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspectivecited by 10
- 2023Optimization or Architecture: How to Hack Kalman Filteringcited by 8
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Predictioncited by 8
- 2021What Averages Do Not Tell -- Predicting Real Life Processes with Sequential Deep Learningcited by 7
- 2021Multivariate Business Process Representation Learning utilizing Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2022Prescriptive Process Monitoring in Intelligent Process Automation with Chatbot Orchestrationcited by 6
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature reviewcited by 5
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoringcited by 5
- 2022Predictive Compliance Monitoring in Process-Aware Information Systems: State of the Art, Functionalities, Research Directionscited by 4
20 more
- 2023Tailoring Machine Learning for Process Miningcited by 4
- 2023Automatically Reconciling the Trade-off between Prediction Accuracy and Earliness in Prescriptive Business Process Monitoringcited by 4
- 2023Large Process Models: A Vision for Business Process Management in the Age of Generative AIcited by 4
- 2023A Discussion on Generalization in Next-Activity Predictioncited by 4
- 2025Comprehensive Attribute Encoding and Dynamic LSTM HyperModels for Outcome Oriented Predictive Business Process Monitoringcited by 4
- 2021The Fragility of Noise Estimation in Kalman Filter: Optimization Can Handle Model-Misspecificationcited by 3
- 2022Generating Privacy-Preserving Process Data with Deep Generative Modelscited by 3
- 2025XABPs: Towards eXplainable Autonomous Business Processescited by 3
- 2023A Survey on Event Prediction Methods from a Systems Perspective: Bringing Together Disparate Research Areascited by 2
- 2025On the Potential of Large Language Models to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 2
- 2021Process Model Forecasting Using Time Series Analysis of Event Sequence Datacited by 1
- 2022Continuous Forecasting via Neural Eigen Decompositioncited by 1
- 2022Towards Automated Process Planning and Miningcited by 1
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizationscited by 1
- 2021A Systematic Literature Review on Process-Aware Recommender Systemscited by 0
- 2022A machine learning approach to predict the structural and magnetic properties of Heusler alloy familiescited by 0
- 2023Individualized Dosing Dynamics via Neural Eigen Decompositioncited by 0
- 2025Working My Way Back to You: Resource-Centric Next-Activity Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Mind the Long Tail: Understanding the Difficulty of Delay Detection in Business Processescited by 0
- 2026On the Potential of Multi-Task Learning in Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 0
- 2026On the Potential of Multi-Task Learning in Predictive Process Monitoring11 Sep 2026
- 2026Mind the Long Tail: Understanding the Difficulty of Delay Detection in Business Processes14 Aug 2026
- 2025Working My Way Back to You: Resource-Centric Next-Activity Prediction26 Aug 2025
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizations11 Aug 2025
- 2025XABPs: Towards eXplainable Autonomous Business Processes31 Jul 2025
- 2025Comprehensive Attribute Encoding and Dynamic LSTM HyperModels for Outcome Oriented Predictive Business Process Monitoring4 Jun 2025
- 2025On the Potential of Large Language Models to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks29 Apr 2025
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoring23 Mar 2025
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks2 Jul 2024
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature review26 May 2024
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Prediction28 Jan 2024
- 2023Optimization or Architecture: How to Hack Kalman Filtering1 Oct 2023
20 more
- 2023A Discussion on Generalization in Next-Activity Prediction18 Sep 2023
- 2023Large Process Models: A Vision for Business Process Management in the Age of Generative AI2 Sep 2023
- 2023Automatically Reconciling the Trade-off between Prediction Accuracy and Earliness in Prescriptive Business Process Monitoring12 Jul 2023
- 2023Individualized Dosing Dynamics via Neural Eigen Decomposition24 Jun 2023
- 2023Tailoring Machine Learning for Process Mining17 Jun 2023
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspective13 Apr 2023
- 2023A Survey on Event Prediction Methods from a Systems Perspective: Bringing Together Disparate Research Areas8 Feb 2023
- 2022Prescriptive Process Monitoring in Intelligent Process Automation with Chatbot Orchestration13 Dec 2022
- 2022Towards Automated Process Planning and Mining18 Aug 2022
- 2022A machine learning approach to predict the structural and magnetic properties of Heusler alloy families7 Aug 2022
- 2022Predictive Compliance Monitoring in Process-Aware Information Systems: State of the Art, Functionalities, Research Directions10 May 2022
- 2022Generating Privacy-Preserving Process Data with Deep Generative Models15 Mar 2022
- 2022Continuous Forecasting via Neural Eigen Decomposition31 Jan 2022
- 2021What Averages Do Not Tell -- Predicting Real Life Processes with Sequential Deep Learning19 Oct 2021
- 2021DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approach19 Jul 2021
- 2021Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoring5 Jul 2021
- 2021Multivariate Business Process Representation Learning utilizing Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networks15 Jun 2021
- 2021Process Model Forecasting Using Time Series Analysis of Event Sequence Data3 May 2021
- 2021The Fragility of Noise Estimation in Kalman Filter: Optimization Can Handle Model-Misspecification6 Apr 2021
- 2021A Systematic Literature Review on Process-Aware Recommender Systems30 Mar 2021
- 2021Creating Unbiased Public Benchmark Datasets with Data Leakage Prevention for Predictive Process Monitoringcited by 16
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Taskscited by 14
- 2021DiCE4EL: Interpreting Process Predictions using a Milestone-Aware Counterfactual Approachcited by 13
- 2023Quantifying and Explaining Machine Learning Uncertainty in Predictive Process Monitoring: An Operations Research Perspectivecited by 10
- 2023Optimization or Architecture: How to Hack Kalman Filteringcited by 8
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Predictioncited by 8
- 2021What Averages Do Not Tell -- Predicting Real Life Processes with Sequential Deep Learningcited by 7
- 2021Multivariate Business Process Representation Learning utilizing Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2022Prescriptive Process Monitoring in Intelligent Process Automation with Chatbot Orchestrationcited by 6
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature reviewcited by 5
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoringcited by 5
- 2022Predictive Compliance Monitoring in Process-Aware Information Systems: State of the Art, Functionalities, Research Directionscited by 4
12 most cited of 32 All 32 (JSON)
- 2026On the Potential of Multi-Task Learning in Predictive Process Monitoring11 Sep 2026
- 2026Mind the Long Tail: Understanding the Difficulty of Delay Detection in Business Processes14 Aug 2026
- 2025Working My Way Back to You: Resource-Centric Next-Activity Prediction26 Aug 2025
- 2025From Source to Target: Leveraging Transfer Learning for Predictive Process Monitoring in Organizations11 Aug 2025
- 2025XABPs: Towards eXplainable Autonomous Business Processes31 Jul 2025
- 2025Comprehensive Attribute Encoding and Dynamic LSTM HyperModels for Outcome Oriented Predictive Business Process Monitoring4 Jun 2025
- 2025On the Potential of Large Language Models to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks29 Apr 2025
- 2025Self-Explaining Neural Networks for Business Process Monitoring23 Mar 2025
- 2024Evaluating the Ability of LLMs to Solve Semantics-Aware Process Mining Tasks2 Jul 2024
- 2024Machine learning in business process management: A systematic literature review26 May 2024
- 2024SNAP: Semantic Stories for Next Activity Prediction28 Jan 2024
- 2023Optimization or Architecture: How to Hack Kalman Filtering1 Oct 2023
12 newest of 32 All 32 (JSON)