TrajFlow: Multi-modal Motion Prediction via Flow Matching
On the map: Diffusion models → Diffusion and flow policies for robotics
Abstract (arXiv)
Efficient and accurate motion prediction is crucial for ensuring safety and informed decision-making in autonomous driving, particularly under dynamic real-world conditions that necessitate multi-modal forecasts. We introduce TrajFlow, a novel flow matching-based motion prediction framework that addresses the scalability and efficiency challenges of existing generative trajectory prediction methods. Unlike conventional generative approaches that employ i.i.d. sampling and require multiple inference passes to capture diverse outcomes, TrajFlow predicts multiple plausible future trajectories in a single pass, significantly reducing computational overhead while maintaining coherence across predictions. Moreover, we propose a ranking loss based on the Plackett-Luce distribution to improve uncertainty estimation of predicted trajectories. Additionally, we design a self-conditioning training technique that reuses the model's own predictions to construct noisy inputs during a second forward pass, thereby improving generalization and accelerating inference. Extensive experiments on the large-scale Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) demonstrate that TrajFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance across various key metrics, underscoring its effectiveness for safety-critical autonomous driving applications. The code and other details are available on the project website https://traj-flow.github.io/.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Diffusion and flow policies for robotics, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 50 of its 59 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2025.
Builds on
50 of 59 references.
Closest ancestors · 4
Same direction, newest first
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillation13 Mar
- 2024InterHandGen: Two-Hand Interaction Generation via Cascaded Reverse Diffusion26 Mar
- 2024GeneOH Diffusion: Towards Generalizable Hand-Object Interaction Denoising via Denoising Diffusion22 Feb
- 2023Leapfrog Diffusion Model for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction20 Mar
Other references · 46
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- 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 21,076
- 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,305
- 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 9,122
- 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modelingcited by 5,702
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- 2022Human Motion Diffusion Modelcited by 1,080
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- 2019Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Mapscited by 732
- 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 690
- 2022Executing your Commands via Motion Diffusion in Latent Spacecited by 575
34 more
- 2021Large Scale Interactive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving : The Waymo Open Motion Datasetcited by 537
- 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 382
- 2022Analog Bits: Generating Discrete Data using Diffusion Models with Self-Conditioningcited by 373
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- 2022Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinementcited by 270
- 2021MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Predictioncited by 246
- 2023MotionDiffuser: Controllable Multi-Agent Motion Prediction using Diffusioncited by 213
- 2022Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusioncited by 185
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- 2023MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modelingcited by 156
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- 2023MTR++: Multi-Agent Motion Prediction with Symmetric Scene Modeling and Guided Intention Queryingcited by 140
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 7.
8 papers.
- 2026Heteroscedastic Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Modelingcited by 3
- 2026HiMAP: History-aware Map-occupancy Prediction with Fallbackcited by 1
- 2026MISTY: High-Throughput Motion Planning via Mixer-based Single-step Driftingcited by 1
- 2025HeLoFusion: An Efficient and Scalable Encoder for Modeling Heterogeneous and Multi-Scale Interactions in Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2026FlowS: One-Step Motion Prediction via Local Transport Conditioningcited by 0
- 2026Mode-as-Sequence: Translating Multimodal Motion Prediction into Unified Sequential Mode Modelingcited by 0
- 2026Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026MoCAR: Motion-code Coordinate-aware AutoRegression for Continuous Trajectory Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026MoCAR: Motion-code Coordinate-aware AutoRegression for Continuous Trajectory Forecasting5 Oct 2026
- 2026Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecasting1 Jul 2026
- 2026Mode-as-Sequence: Translating Multimodal Motion Prediction into Unified Sequential Mode Modeling21 May 2026
- 2026Heteroscedastic Diffusion for Multi-Agent Trajectory Modeling11 May 2026
- 2026FlowS: One-Step Motion Prediction via Local Transport Conditioning28 Apr 2026
- 2026MISTY: High-Throughput Motion Planning via Mixer-based Single-step Drifting23 Apr 2026
- 2026HiMAP: History-aware Map-occupancy Prediction with Fallback19 Feb 2026
- 2025HeLoFusion: An Efficient and Scalable Encoder for Modeling Heterogeneous and Multi-Scale Interactions in Trajectory Prediction15 Sep 2025
Similar, not cited
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- 2026Adaptive Time Step Flow Matching for Autonomous Driving Motion Planning
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- 2025GoalFlow: Goal-Driven Flow Matching for Multimodal Trajectories Generation in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 2024Efficient Trajectory Forecasting and Generation with Conditional Flow Matching
- 2026DynFlowDrive: Flow-Based Dynamic World Modeling for Autonomous Driving