mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

TrajFlow: Multi-modal Motion Prediction via Flow Matching

arXiv 2506.08541 ↗First posted 10 Jun 2025cs.CV cs.AIcited by 8

On the map: Diffusion models → Diffusion and flow policies for robotics

Abstract (arXiv)

Efficient and accurate motion prediction is crucial for ensuring safety and informed decision-making in autonomous driving, particularly under dynamic real-world conditions that necessitate multi-modal forecasts. We introduce TrajFlow, a novel flow matching-based motion prediction framework that addresses the scalability and efficiency challenges of existing generative trajectory prediction methods. Unlike conventional generative approaches that employ i.i.d. sampling and require multiple inference passes to capture diverse outcomes, TrajFlow predicts multiple plausible future trajectories in a single pass, significantly reducing computational overhead while maintaining coherence across predictions. Moreover, we propose a ranking loss based on the Plackett-Luce distribution to improve uncertainty estimation of predicted trajectories. Additionally, we design a self-conditioning training technique that reuses the model's own predictions to construct noisy inputs during a second forward pass, thereby improving generalization and accelerating inference. Extensive experiments on the large-scale Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD) demonstrate that TrajFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance across various key metrics, underscoring its effectiveness for safety-critical autonomous driving applications. The code and other details are available on the project website https://traj-flow.github.io/.

Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Diffusion and flow policies for robotics, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 50 of its 59 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2025.

Builds on

50 of 59 references.

Closest ancestors · 4

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillation13 Mar
  2. 2024InterHandGen: Two-Hand Interaction Generation via Cascaded Reverse Diffusion26 Mar
  3. 2024GeneOH Diffusion: Towards Generalizable Hand-Object Interaction Denoising via Denoising Diffusion22 Feb
  4. 2023Leapfrog Diffusion Model for Stochastic Trajectory Prediction20 Mar

Other references · 46

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  2. 2020Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Modelscited by 21,076
  3. 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,305
  4. 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 9,122
  5. 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modelingcited by 5,702
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  8. 2022Human Motion Diffusion Modelcited by 1,080
  9. 2022MotionDiffuse: Text-Driven Human Motion Generation with Diffusion Modelcited by 780
  10. 2019Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Mapscited by 732
  11. 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 690
  12. 2022Executing your Commands via Motion Diffusion in Latent Spacecited by 575
34 more
  1. 2021Large Scale Interactive Motion Forecasting for Autonomous Driving : The Waymo Open Motion Datasetcited by 537
  2. 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 382
  3. 2022Analog Bits: Generating Discrete Data using Diffusion Models with Self-Conditioningcited by 373
  4. 2020TNT: Target-driveN Trajectory Predictioncited by 347
  5. 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 295
  6. 2022Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networkscited by 280
  7. 2022Motion Transformer with Global Intention Localization and Local Movement Refinementcited by 270
  8. 2021MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Predictioncited by 246
  9. 2023MotionDiffuser: Controllable Multi-Agent Motion Prediction using Diffusioncited by 213
  10. 2022Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusioncited by 185
  11. 2021Scene Transformer: A unified architecture for predicting multiple agent trajectoriescited by 165
  12. 2023MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modelingcited by 156
  13. 2023GameFormer: Game-theoretic Modeling and Learning of Transformer-based Interactive Prediction and Planning for Autonomous Drivingcited by 141
  14. 2023MTR++: Multi-Agent Motion Prediction with Symmetric Scene Modeling and Guided Intention Queryingcited by 140
  15. 2022GroupNet: Multiscale Hypergraph Neural Networks for Trajectory Prediction with Relational Reasoningcited by 128
  16. 2020Implicit Latent Variable Model for Scene-Consistent Motion Forecastingcited by 116
  17. 2021LaneRCNN: Distributed Representations for Graph-Centric Motion Forecastingcited by 113
  18. 2022HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encodingcited by 110
  19. 2022M2I: From Factored Marginal Trajectory Prediction to Interactive Predictioncited by 81
  20. 2021MG-GAN: A Multi-Generator Model Preventing Out-of-Distribution Samples in Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 61
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  22. 2020Social NCE: Contrastive Learning of Socially-aware Motion Representationscited by 58
  23. 2025UniEdit-Flow: Unleashing Inversion and Editing in the Era of Flow Modelscited by 39
  24. 2024Video Diffusion Models: A Surveycited by 30
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  26. 2023SwinGNN: Rethinking Permutation Invariance in Diffusion Models for Graph Generationcited by 28
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  34. 2025QDM: Quadtree-Based Region-Adaptive Sparse Diffusion Models for Efficient Image Super-Resolutioncited by 2

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 7.

8 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026MeanFuser: Fast One-Step Multi-Modal Trajectory Generation and Adaptive Reconstruction via MeanFlow for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  2. 2026FeasibleFlow: One-Step Joint Transport of Configuration Feasibility and Trajectories for End-to-End Driving
  3. 2026Adaptive Time Step Flow Matching for Autonomous Driving Motion Planning
  4. 2024DeMo: Decoupling Motion Forecasting into Directional Intentions and Dynamic States
  5. 2026ManeuverFlow: Maneuver Hypothesis Generation with Future Evidence for Trajectory Evaluation and Refinement in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  6. 2025GoalFlow: Goal-Driven Flow Matching for Multimodal Trajectories Generation in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  7. 2024Efficient Trajectory Forecasting and Generation with Conditional Flow Matching
  8. 2026DynFlowDrive: Flow-Based Dynamic World Modeling for Autonomous Driving