DeMo: Decoupling Motion Forecasting into Directional Intentions and Dynamic States
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accurate motion forecasting for traffic agents is crucial for ensuring the safety and efficiency of autonomous driving systems in dynamically changing environments. Mainstream methods adopt a one-query-one-trajectory paradigm, where each query corresponds to a unique trajectory for predicting multi-modal trajectories. While straightforward and effective, the absence of detailed representation of future trajectories may yield suboptimal outcomes, given that the agent states dynamically evolve over time. To address this problem, we introduce DeMo, a framework that decouples multi-modal trajectory queries into two types: mode queries capturing distinct directional intentions and state queries tracking the agent's dynamic states over time. By leveraging this format, we separately optimize the multi-modality and dynamic evolutionary properties of trajectories. Subsequently, the mode and state queries are integrated to obtain a comprehensive and detailed representation of the trajectories. To achieve these operations, we additionally introduce combined Attention and Mamba techniques for global information aggregation and state sequence modeling, leveraging their respective strengths. Extensive experiments on both the Argoverse 2 and nuScenes benchmarks demonstrate that our DeMo achieves state-of-the-art performance in motion forecasting.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 0 of its 80 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2024.
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 4; 2026: 11.
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- 2025Trajectory Prediction Meets Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 13
- 2025Foresight in Motion: Reinforcing Trajectory Prediction with Reward Heuristicscited by 6
- 2025Autoregressive Meta-Actions for Unified Controllable Trajectory Generationcited by 2
- 2026Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modelingcited by 1
- 2026Not All Agents Matter: From Global Attention Dilution to Risk-Prioritized Game Planningcited by 1
- 2025A Trajectory Generator for High-Density Traffic and Diverse Agent-Interaction Scenarioscited by 0
- 2026FoSS: Modeling Long Range Dependencies and Multimodal Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction via Fourier State Space Integrationcited by 0
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bankcited by 0
- 2026Driving, Fast or Slow? Neuro-Symbolic Guidance for Motion Prediction in Multi-Modal Ground Mobilitycited by 0
- 2026Where Will They Go? Modelling Multimodal Pedestrian Manoeuvres from Ego-centric Videoscited by 0
- 2026Reasonable Motion: A General ASP Foundation for Environment Constrained Movement Trajectory Computationcited by 0
- 2026GEAR: From Dynamic Encoding to Dynamic Activation in Social Trajectory Prediction12 Sep 2026
- 2026Hybrid Probabilistic Zonotopes for Identifiable and Refinable Predictive Uncertainty5 Aug 2026
- 2026Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecasting1 Jul 2026
- 2026Reasonable Motion: A General ASP Foundation for Environment Constrained Movement Trajectory Computation24 Jun 2026
- 2026Where Will They Go? Modelling Multimodal Pedestrian Manoeuvres from Ego-centric Videos17 Jun 2026
- 2026Driving, Fast or Slow? Neuro-Symbolic Guidance for Motion Prediction in Multi-Modal Ground Mobility13 Jun 2026
- 2026Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bank2 May 2026
- 2026Not All Agents Matter: From Global Attention Dilution to Risk-Prioritized Game Planning7 Apr 2026
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting30 Mar 2026
- 2026Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modeling2 Mar 2026
- 2026FoSS: Modeling Long Range Dependencies and Multimodal Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction via Fourier State Space Integration1 Mar 2026
- 2025A Trajectory Generator for High-Density Traffic and Diverse Agent-Interaction Scenarios3 Oct 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction Meets Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 13
- 2025Foresight in Motion: Reinforcing Trajectory Prediction with Reward Heuristicscited by 6
- 2025Autoregressive Meta-Actions for Unified Controllable Trajectory Generationcited by 2
- 2026Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modelingcited by 1
- 2025A Trajectory Generator for High-Density Traffic and Diverse Agent-Interaction Scenarioscited by 0
- 2026FoSS: Modeling Long Range Dependencies and Multimodal Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction via Fourier State Space Integrationcited by 0
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecastingcited by 0
- 2026Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bankcited by 0
- 2026Driving, Fast or Slow? Neuro-Symbolic Guidance for Motion Prediction in Multi-Modal Ground Mobilitycited by 0
- 2026Where Will They Go? Modelling Multimodal Pedestrian Manoeuvres from Ego-centric Videoscited by 0
- 2026Reasonable Motion: A General ASP Foundation for Environment Constrained Movement Trajectory Computationcited by 0
- 2026Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecastingcited by 0
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026GEAR: From Dynamic Encoding to Dynamic Activation in Social Trajectory Prediction12 Sep 2026
- 2026Hybrid Probabilistic Zonotopes for Identifiable and Refinable Predictive Uncertainty5 Aug 2026
- 2026Towards Metric-Agnostic Trajectory Forecasting1 Jul 2026
- 2026Reasonable Motion: A General ASP Foundation for Environment Constrained Movement Trajectory Computation24 Jun 2026
- 2026Where Will They Go? Modelling Multimodal Pedestrian Manoeuvres from Ego-centric Videos17 Jun 2026
- 2026Driving, Fast or Slow? Neuro-Symbolic Guidance for Motion Prediction in Multi-Modal Ground Mobility13 Jun 2026
- 2026Recall to Predict: Grounding Motion Forecasting in Interpretable Motion Bank2 May 2026
- 2026SHARP: Short-Window Streaming for Accurate and Robust Prediction in Motion Forecasting30 Mar 2026
- 2026Streaming Real-Time Trajectory Prediction Using Endpoint-Aware Modeling2 Mar 2026
- 2026FoSS: Modeling Long Range Dependencies and Multimodal Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction via Fourier State Space Integration1 Mar 2026
- 2025A Trajectory Generator for High-Density Traffic and Diverse Agent-Interaction Scenarios3 Oct 2025
- 2025Foresight in Motion: Reinforcing Trajectory Prediction with Reward Heuristics16 Jul 2025
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)
Similar, not cited
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- 2025DeMo++: Motion Decoupling for Autonomous Driving
- 2023MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modeling
- 2025TrajFlow: Multi-modal Motion Prediction via Flow Matching
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Prediction
- 2024Controllable Diverse Sampling for Diffusion Based Motion Behavior Forecasting
- 2022Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networks
- 2021Scene Transformer: A unified architecture for predicting multiple agent trajectories
- 2024Enhanced Prediction of Multi-Agent Trajectories via Control Inference and State-Space Dynamics