UncAD: Towards Safe End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Online Map Uncertainty
On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture
Abstract (arXiv)
End-to-end autonomous driving aims to produce planning trajectories from raw sensors directly. Currently, most approaches integrate perception, prediction, and planning modules into a fully differentiable network, promising great scalability. However, these methods typically rely on deterministic modeling of online maps in the perception module for guiding or constraining vehicle planning, which may incorporate erroneous perception information and further compromise planning safety. To address this issue, we delve into the importance of online map uncertainty for enhancing autonomous driving safety and propose a novel paradigm named UncAD. Specifically, UncAD first estimates the uncertainty of the online map in the perception module. It then leverages the uncertainty to guide motion prediction and planning modules to produce multi-modal trajectories. Finally, to achieve safer autonomous driving, UncAD proposes an uncertainty-collision-aware planning selection strategy according to the online map uncertainty to evaluate and select the best trajectory. In this study, we incorporate UncAD into various state-of-the-art (SOTA) end-to-end methods. Experiments on the nuScenes dataset show that integrating UncAD, with only a 1.9% increase in parameters, can reduce collision rates by up to 26% and drivable area conflict rate by up to 42%. Codes, pre-trained models, and demo videos can be accessed at https://github.com/pengxuanyang/UncAD.
Key facts. Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 34 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Apr 2025.
Builds on
34 of 45 references.
Closest ancestors · 8
Same direction, newest first
- 2024Data Scaling Laws for Imitation Learning-Based End-to-End Autonomous Driving3 Dec
- 2024SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation30 May
- 2023FusionAD: Multi-modality Fusion for Prediction and Planning Tasks of Autonomous Driving2 Aug
- 2023Recent Advancements in End-to-End Autonomous Driving using Deep Learning: A Survey10 Jul
- 2023End-to-end Autonomous Driving: Challenges and Frontiers29 Jun
- 2022ST-P3: End-to-end Vision-based Autonomous Driving via Spatial-Temporal Feature Learning15 Jul
- 2022MMFN: Multi-Modal-Fusion-Net for End-to-End Driving1 Jul
- 2021End-to-end Interpretable Neural Motion Planner17 Jan
Other references · 26
- 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
- 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,352
- 2022Planning-oriented Autonomous Drivingcited by 1,087
- 2023VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Drivingcited by 622
- 2023DriveGPT4: Interpretable End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Large Language Modelcited by 461
- 2022MapTR: Structured Modeling and Learning for Online Vectorized HD Map Constructioncited by 314
- 2024VADv2: End-to-End Vectorized Autonomous Driving via Probabilistic Planningcited by 289
- 2022VectorMapNet: End-to-end Vectorized HD Map Learningcited by 245
- 2024GenAD: Generative End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 225
- 2020D3VO: Deep Depth, Deep Pose and Deep Uncertainty for Monocular Visual Odometrycited by 206
- 2023MapTRv2: An End-to-End Framework for Online Vectorized HD Map Constructioncited by 193
- 2020On the uncertainty of self-supervised monocular depth estimationcited by 182
14 more
- 2019A General Framework for Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Learningcited by 119
- 2021Estimating and Exploiting the Aleatoric Uncertainty in Surface Normal Estimationcited by 116
- 2022Differentiable Raycasting for Self-supervised Occupancy Forecastingcited by 84
- 2023ADAPT: Action-aware Driving Caption Transformercited by 78
- 2024Real-Time Anomaly Detection and Reactive Planning with Large Language Modelscited by 68
- 2019Uncertainty Quantification with Statistical Guarantees in End-to-End Autonomous Driving Controlcited by 61
- 2020Uncertainty-Aware CNNs for Depth Completion: Uncertainty from Beginning to Endcited by 55
- 2024TOD3Cap: Towards 3D Dense Captioning in Outdoor Scenescited by 40
- 2023STEPS: Joint Self-supervised Nighttime Image Enhancement and Depth Estimationcited by 37
- 2024Producing and Leveraging Online Map Uncertainty in Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
- 2024Adaptive Surface Normal Constraint for Geometric Estimation from Monocular Imagescited by 14
- 2020Dynamic Horizon Value Estimation for Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 8
- 2023InteractionNet: Joint Planning and Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Transformerscited by 4
- 2023Planning-inspired Hierarchical Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 3
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 7; 2026: 7.
14 papers.
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- 2025World4Drive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Intention-aware Physical Latent World Modelcited by 95
- 2025ReasonPlan: Unified Scene Prediction and Decision Reasoning for Closed-loop Autonomous Drivingcited by 22
- 2025WorldRFT: Latent World Model Planning with Reinforcement Fine-Tuning for Autonomous Drivingcited by 20
- 2025TakeAD: Preference-based Post-optimization for End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Expert Takeover Datacited by 8
- 2025WPT: World-to-Policy Transfer via Online World Model Distillationcited by 4
- 2026FlowAD: Ego-Scene Interactive Modeling for Autonomous Drivingcited by 4
- 2025Mimir: Hierarchical Goal-Driven Diffusion with Uncertainty Propagation for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 3
- 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Drivingcited by 2
- 2025SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2026Unified Prediction and Planning via Conflict-Aware Disjoint Parameter Trainingcited by 1
- 2026GSDrive: Reinforcing Driving Policies by Multi-mode Future Trajectory Probing with 3D Gaussian Splatting Environmentcited by 0
- 2026ConsistencyPlanner: Real-time Planning with Fast-Sampling Consistency Modelscited by 0
- 2026VIPS: Vehicle-Infrastructure Cooperative Planning Benchmark via Pseudo-Simulation2 Sep 2026
- 2026Unified Prediction and Planning via Conflict-Aware Disjoint Parameter Training22 Jul 2026
- 2026PrismAD: Decoupled Planning via Semantic Mixture-of-Planners for End-to-End Autonomous Driving11 Jul 2026
- 2026ConsistencyPlanner: Real-time Planning with Fast-Sampling Consistency Models10 Jun 2026
- 2026GSDrive: Reinforcing Driving Policies by Multi-mode Future Trajectory Probing with 3D Gaussian Splatting Environment30 Apr 2026
- 2026FlowAD: Ego-Scene Interactive Modeling for Autonomous Driving11 Mar 2026
- 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Driving8 Mar 2026
- 2025WorldRFT: Latent World Model Planning with Reinforcement Fine-Tuning for Autonomous Driving22 Dec 2025
- 2025TakeAD: Preference-based Post-optimization for End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Expert Takeover Data19 Dec 2025
- 2025Mimir: Hierarchical Goal-Driven Diffusion with Uncertainty Propagation for End-to-End Autonomous Driving8 Dec 2025
- 2025SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Driving28 Nov 2025
- 2025WPT: World-to-Policy Transfer via Online World Model Distillation25 Nov 2025
- 2025TakeAD: Preference-based Post-optimization for End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Expert Takeover Datacited by 8
- 2026FlowAD: Ego-Scene Interactive Modeling for Autonomous Drivingcited by 4
- 2025Mimir: Hierarchical Goal-Driven Diffusion with Uncertainty Propagation for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 3
- 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Drivingcited by 2
- 2025SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2026GSDrive: Reinforcing Driving Policies by Multi-mode Future Trajectory Probing with 3D Gaussian Splatting Environmentcited by 0
- 2026PrismAD: Decoupled Planning via Semantic Mixture-of-Planners for End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
- 2026VIPS: Vehicle-Infrastructure Cooperative Planning Benchmark via Pseudo-Simulationcited by 0
- 2026VIPS: Vehicle-Infrastructure Cooperative Planning Benchmark via Pseudo-Simulation2 Sep 2026
- 2026PrismAD: Decoupled Planning via Semantic Mixture-of-Planners for End-to-End Autonomous Driving11 Jul 2026
- 2026GSDrive: Reinforcing Driving Policies by Multi-mode Future Trajectory Probing with 3D Gaussian Splatting Environment30 Apr 2026
- 2026FlowAD: Ego-Scene Interactive Modeling for Autonomous Driving11 Mar 2026
- 2026UniUncer: Unified Dynamic Static Uncertainty for End to End Driving8 Mar 2026
- 2025TakeAD: Preference-based Post-optimization for End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Expert Takeover Data19 Dec 2025
- 2025Mimir: Hierarchical Goal-Driven Diffusion with Uncertainty Propagation for End-to-End Autonomous Driving8 Dec 2025
- 2025SUPER-AD: Semantic Uncertainty-aware Planning for End-to-End Robust Autonomous Driving28 Nov 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025MAP: End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Map-Assisted Planning
- 2025Drive in Corridors: Enhancing the Safety of End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Corridor Learning and Planning
- 2026UnsDrive: Towards Robust End-to-End Autonomous Driving in Unstructured Scenes
- 2026TaCarla: A comprehensive benchmarking dataset for end-to-end autonomous driving
- 2025UniSTPA: A Safety Analysis Framework for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 2026Risk-Aware World Modeling with Flow-Guided Occupancy Evolution for Selective Trajectory Planning in Automated Driving
- 2022Calibrating Perception Uncertainty for Autonomous Driving
- 2021Safe Occlusion-aware Autonomous Driving via Game-Theoretic Active Perception