mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

UncAD: Towards Safe End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Online Map Uncertainty

arXiv 2504.12826 ↗First posted 17 Apr 2025cs.RO cs.CVcited by 14

On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture

Abstract (arXiv)

End-to-end autonomous driving aims to produce planning trajectories from raw sensors directly. Currently, most approaches integrate perception, prediction, and planning modules into a fully differentiable network, promising great scalability. However, these methods typically rely on deterministic modeling of online maps in the perception module for guiding or constraining vehicle planning, which may incorporate erroneous perception information and further compromise planning safety. To address this issue, we delve into the importance of online map uncertainty for enhancing autonomous driving safety and propose a novel paradigm named UncAD. Specifically, UncAD first estimates the uncertainty of the online map in the perception module. It then leverages the uncertainty to guide motion prediction and planning modules to produce multi-modal trajectories. Finally, to achieve safer autonomous driving, UncAD proposes an uncertainty-collision-aware planning selection strategy according to the online map uncertainty to evaluate and select the best trajectory. In this study, we incorporate UncAD into various state-of-the-art (SOTA) end-to-end methods. Experiments on the nuScenes dataset show that integrating UncAD, with only a 1.9% increase in parameters, can reduce collision rates by up to 26% and drivable area conflict rate by up to 42%. Codes, pre-trained models, and demo videos can be accessed at https://github.com/pengxuanyang/UncAD.

Key facts. Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 34 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Apr 2025.

Builds on

34 of 45 references.

Closest ancestors · 8

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2024Data Scaling Laws for Imitation Learning-Based End-to-End Autonomous Driving3 Dec
  2. 2024SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation30 May
  3. 2023FusionAD: Multi-modality Fusion for Prediction and Planning Tasks of Autonomous Driving2 Aug
  4. 2023Recent Advancements in End-to-End Autonomous Driving using Deep Learning: A Survey10 Jul
  5. 2023End-to-end Autonomous Driving: Challenges and Frontiers29 Jun
  6. 2022ST-P3: End-to-end Vision-based Autonomous Driving via Spatial-Temporal Feature Learning15 Jul
  7. 2022MMFN: Multi-Modal-Fusion-Net for End-to-End Driving1 Jul
  8. 2021End-to-end Interpretable Neural Motion Planner17 Jan

Other references · 26

  1. 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,523
  2. 2017What Uncertainties Do We Need in Bayesian Deep Learning for Computer Vision?cited by 2,352
  3. 2022Planning-oriented Autonomous Drivingcited by 1,087
  4. 2023VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Drivingcited by 622
  5. 2023DriveGPT4: Interpretable End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Large Language Modelcited by 461
  6. 2022MapTR: Structured Modeling and Learning for Online Vectorized HD Map Constructioncited by 314
  7. 2024VADv2: End-to-End Vectorized Autonomous Driving via Probabilistic Planningcited by 289
  8. 2022VectorMapNet: End-to-end Vectorized HD Map Learningcited by 245
  9. 2024GenAD: Generative End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 225
  10. 2020D3VO: Deep Depth, Deep Pose and Deep Uncertainty for Monocular Visual Odometrycited by 206
  11. 2023MapTRv2: An End-to-End Framework for Online Vectorized HD Map Constructioncited by 193
  12. 2020On the uncertainty of self-supervised monocular depth estimationcited by 182
14 more
  1. 2019A General Framework for Uncertainty Estimation in Deep Learningcited by 119
  2. 2021Estimating and Exploiting the Aleatoric Uncertainty in Surface Normal Estimationcited by 116
  3. 2022Differentiable Raycasting for Self-supervised Occupancy Forecastingcited by 84
  4. 2023ADAPT: Action-aware Driving Caption Transformercited by 78
  5. 2024Real-Time Anomaly Detection and Reactive Planning with Large Language Modelscited by 68
  6. 2019Uncertainty Quantification with Statistical Guarantees in End-to-End Autonomous Driving Controlcited by 61
  7. 2020Uncertainty-Aware CNNs for Depth Completion: Uncertainty from Beginning to Endcited by 55
  8. 2024TOD3Cap: Towards 3D Dense Captioning in Outdoor Scenescited by 40
  9. 2023STEPS: Joint Self-supervised Nighttime Image Enhancement and Depth Estimationcited by 37
  10. 2024Producing and Leveraging Online Map Uncertainty in Trajectory Predictioncited by 33
  11. 2024Adaptive Surface Normal Constraint for Geometric Estimation from Monocular Imagescited by 14
  12. 2020Dynamic Horizon Value Estimation for Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 8
  13. 2023InteractionNet: Joint Planning and Prediction for Autonomous Driving with Transformerscited by 4
  14. 2023Planning-inspired Hierarchical Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 7; 2026: 7.

14 papers.

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  1. 2025MAP: End-to-End Autonomous Driving with Map-Assisted Planning
  2. 2025Drive in Corridors: Enhancing the Safety of End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Corridor Learning and Planning
  3. 2026UnsDrive: Towards Robust End-to-End Autonomous Driving in Unstructured Scenes
  4. 2026TaCarla: A comprehensive benchmarking dataset for end-to-end autonomous driving
  5. 2025UniSTPA: A Safety Analysis Framework for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
  6. 2026Risk-Aware World Modeling with Flow-Guided Occupancy Evolution for Selective Trajectory Planning in Automated Driving
  7. 2022Calibrating Perception Uncertainty for Autonomous Driving
  8. 2021Safe Occlusion-aware Autonomous Driving via Game-Theoretic Active Perception