Data Scaling Laws for Imitation Learning-Based End-to-End Autonomous Driving
On the map: End-to-end autonomous driving → End-to-end system architecture
Abstract (arXiv)
The end-to-end autonomous driving paradigm has recently attracted lots of attention due to its scalability. However, existing methods are constrained by the limited scale of real-world data, which hinders a comprehensive exploration of the scaling laws associated with end-to-end autonomous driving. To address this issue, we collected substantial data from various driving scenarios and behaviors and conducted an extensive study on the scaling laws of existing imitation learning-based end-to-end autonomous driving paradigms. Specifically, approximately 4 million demonstrations from 23 different scenario types were gathered, amounting to over 30,000 hours of driving demonstrations. We performed open-loop evaluations and closed-loop simulation evaluations in 1,400 diverse driving demonstrations (1,300 for open-loop and 100 for closed-loop) under stringent assessment conditions. Through experimental analysis, we discovered that (1) the performance of the driving model exhibits a power-law relationship with the amount of data, but this is not the case in closed-loop evaluation. The inconsistency between the two assessments shifts our focus toward the distribution of data rather than merely expanding its volume. (2) a small increase in the quantity of long-tailed data can significantly improve the performance for the corresponding scenarios; (3) appropriate scaling of data enables the model to achieve combinatorial generalization in novel scenes and actions. Our results highlight the critical role of data scaling in improving the generalizability of models across diverse autonomous driving scenarios, assuring safe deployment in the real world.. Project repository: https://github.com/ucaszyp/Driving-Scaling-Law
Key facts. Cited by 10 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in End-to-end system architecture, one of 9 directions in End-to-end autonomous driving. Builds on 33 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Dec 2024.
Builds on
33 of 42 references.
Closest ancestors · 7
Same direction, newest first
- 2024Bench2Drive: Towards Multi-Ability Benchmarking of Closed-Loop End-To-End Autonomous Driving6 Jun
- 2024SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation30 May
- 2023Is Ego Status All You Need for Open-Loop End-to-End Autonomous Driving?5 Dec
- 2023Rethinking the Open-Loop Evaluation of End-to-End Autonomous Driving in nuScenes17 May
- 2022Trajectory-guided Control Prediction for End-to-end Autonomous Driving: A Simple yet Strong Baseline16 Jun
- 2022TransFuser: Imitation with Transformer-Based Sensor Fusion for Autonomous Driving31 May
- 2021NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles22 Jun
Other references · 26
- 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
- 2020Scaling Laws for Neural Language Modelscited by 6,411
- 20233D Gaussian Splatting for Real-Time Radiance Field Renderingcited by 6,141
- 2022Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformerscited by 5,931
- 2017Squeeze-and-Excitation Networkscited by 4,763
- 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,485
- 2022Flamingo: a Visual Language Model for Few-Shot Learningcited by 4,337
- 2017CARLA: An Open Urban Driving Simulatorcited by 2,431
- 2022Planning-oriented Autonomous Drivingcited by 1,068
- 2020Lift, Splat, Shoot: Encoding Images From Arbitrary Camera Rigs by Implicitly Unprojecting to 3Dcited by 1,040
- 2024Visual Autoregressive Modeling: Scalable Image Generation via Next-Scale Predictioncited by 1,005
- 2021Scaling Vision Transformerscited by 993
14 more
- 2023Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Modelscited by 849
- 2024DROID: A Large-Scale In-The-Wild Robot Manipulation Datasetcited by 801
- 2023BridgeData V2: A Dataset for Robot Learning at Scalecited by 634
- 2023VAD: Vectorized Scene Representation for Efficient Autonomous Drivingcited by 613
- 2020Scaling Laws for Autoregressive Generative Modelingcited by 510
- 2021MonoScene: Monocular 3D Semantic Scene Completioncited by 357
- 2022MapTR: Structured Modeling and Learning for Online Vectorized HD Map Constructioncited by 311
- 2023DreamLLM: Synergistic Multimodal Comprehension and Creationcited by 296
- 2024Hydra-MDP: End-to-end Multimodal Planning with Multi-target Hydra-Distillationcited by 244
- 2022Safety-Enhanced Autonomous Driving Using Interpretable Sensor Fusion Transformercited by 211
- 2023RoboAgent: Generalization and Efficiency in Robot Manipulation via Semantic Augmentations and Action Chunkingcited by 167
- 2024Data Scaling Laws in Imitation Learning for Robotic Manipulationcited by 144
- 2024ALOHA Unleashed: A Simple Recipe for Robot Dexteritycited by 128
- 2023Cam4DOcc: Benchmark for Camera-Only 4D Occupancy Forecasting in Autonomous Driving Applicationscited by 50
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 4; 2026: 5.
10 papers.
- 2025World4Drive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Intention-aware Physical Latent World Modelcited by 91
- 2025Building reliable sim driving agents by scaling self-playcited by 20
- 2025Scaling Laws of Motion Forecasting and Planning -- Technical Reportcited by 19
- 2025UncAD: Towards Safe End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Online Map Uncertaintycited by 14
- 2026BridgeSim: Unveiling the OL-CL Gap in End-to-End Autonomous Drivingcited by 9
- 2024Online Preference-based Reinforcement Learning with Self-augmented Feedback from Large Language Modelcited by 7
- 2026What Matters for Scalable and Robust Learning in End-to-End Driving Planners?cited by 5
- 2026Scaling Self-Play for End-to-End Drivingcited by 4
- 2026Closed Loop Dynamic Driving Data Mixture for Real-Synthetic Co-Trainingcited by 0
- 2026CARF: Contrastive Attraction-Repulsion of Failure-Guided Flow Matchingcited by 0
- 2026CARF: Contrastive Attraction-Repulsion of Failure-Guided Flow Matching18 Sep 2026
- 2026Scaling Self-Play for End-to-End Driving17 Jun 2026
- 2026Closed Loop Dynamic Driving Data Mixture for Real-Synthetic Co-Training20 May 2026
- 2026BridgeSim: Unveiling the OL-CL Gap in End-to-End Autonomous Driving12 Apr 2026
- 2026What Matters for Scalable and Robust Learning in End-to-End Driving Planners?16 Mar 2026
- 2025World4Drive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Intention-aware Physical Latent World Model1 Jul 2025
- 2025Scaling Laws of Motion Forecasting and Planning -- Technical Report9 Jun 2025
- 2025UncAD: Towards Safe End-to-end Autonomous Driving via Online Map Uncertainty17 Apr 2025
- 2025Building reliable sim driving agents by scaling self-play20 Feb 2025
- 2024Online Preference-based Reinforcement Learning with Self-augmented Feedback from Large Language Model22 Dec 2024
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026How Far Can 5,500 Hours of Driving Take You? A Scaling Law Analysis of Video Diffusion Models
- 2025Data Scaling Laws for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 2025Learning to Drive by Imitating Surrounding Vehicles
- 2026Post-Training in End-to-End Autonomous Driving
- 2019Exploring the Limitations of Behavior Cloning for Autonomous Driving
- 2026Imitation Learning for Autonomous Driving in CARLA
- 2025LEAD: Minimizing Learner-Expert Asymmetry in End-to-End Driving
- 2024DriveGPT: Scaling Autoregressive Behavior Models for Driving