mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Triple descent and the two kinds of overfitting: Where & why do they appear?

arXiv 2006.03509 ↗First posted 5 Jun 2020cs.LG cond-mat.dis-nn stat.MLcited by 64

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Abstract (arXiv)

A recent line of research has highlighted the existence of a "double descent" phenomenon in deep learning, whereby increasing the number of training examples N causes the generalization error of neural networks to peak when N is of the same order as the number of parameters P. In earlier works, a similar phenomenon was shown to exist in simpler models such as linear regression, where the peak instead occurs when N is equal to the input dimension D. Since both peaks coincide with the interpolation threshold, they are often conflated in the litterature. In this paper, we show that despite their apparent similarity, these two scenarios are inherently different. In fact, both peaks can co-exist when neural networks are applied to noisy regression tasks. The relative size of the peaks is then governed by the degree of nonlinearity of the activation function. Building on recent developments in the analysis of random feature models, we provide a theoretical ground for this sample-wise triple descent. As shown previously, the nonlinear peak at N!=!P is a true divergence caused by the extreme sensitivity of the output function to both the noise corrupting the labels and the initialization of the random features (or the weights in neural networks). This peak survives in the absence of noise, but can be suppressed by regularization. In contrast, the linear peak at N!=!D is solely due to overfitting the noise in the labels, and forms earlier during training. We show that this peak is implicitly regularized by the nonlinearity, which is why it only becomes salient at high noise and is weakly affected by explicit regularization. Throughout the paper, we compare analytical results obtained in the random feature model with the outcomes of numerical experiments involving deep neural networks.

Key facts. Cited by 64 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 5 Jun 2020.

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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 17; 2022: 19; 2023: 10; 2024: 6; 2025: 7; 2026: 4.

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  1. 2022Grokking: Generalization Beyond Overfitting on Small Algorithmic Datasetscited by 599
  2. 2020Spectral Bias and Task-Model Alignment Explain Generalization in Kernel Regression and Infinitely Wide Neural Networkscited by 166
  3. 2022Omnigrok: Grokking Beyond Algorithmic Datacited by 142
  4. 2021Pixelated Butterfly: Simple and Efficient Sparse training for Neural Network Modelscited by 75
  5. 2021The Shape of Learning Curves: a Reviewcited by 67
  6. 2024Scaling and renormalization in high-dimensional regressioncited by 45
  7. 2022Benign, Tempered, or Catastrophic: A Taxonomy of Overfittingcited by 36
  8. 2023Deep networks for system identification: a Surveycited by 35
  9. 2023Deterministic equivalent and error universality of deep random features learningcited by 35
  10. 2021Taxonomizing local versus global structure in neural network loss landscapescited by 34
  11. 2022Limitations of the NTK for Understanding Generalization in Deep Learningcited by 34
  12. 2021Towards an Understanding of Benign Overfitting in Neural Networkscited by 29
38 more
  1. 2022Grokking phase transitions in learning local rules with gradient descentcited by 28
  2. 2022The Onset of Variance-Limited Behavior for Networks in the Lazy and Rich Regimescited by 25
  3. 2021Multi-scale Feature Learning Dynamics: Insights for Double Descentcited by 24
  4. 2022Contrasting random and learned features in deep Bayesian linear regressioncited by 24
  5. 2021Out-of-Distribution Generalization in Kernel Regressioncited by 21
  6. 2022Fluctuations, Bias, Variance & Ensemble of Learners: Exact Asymptotics for Convex Losses in High-Dimensioncited by 19
  7. 2021Model, sample, and epoch-wise descents: exact solution of gradient flow in the random feature modelcited by 17
  8. 2023Learning curves for deep structured Gaussian feature modelscited by 13
  9. 2021On the interplay between data structure and loss function in classification problemscited by 12
  10. 2024Beyond Scaling Laws: Understanding Transformer Performance with Associative Memorycited by 12
  11. 2021Effect of Pre-Training Scale on Intra- and Inter-Domain Full and Few-Shot Transfer Learning for Natural and Medical X-Ray Chest Imagescited by 11
  12. 2023The Interpolating Information Criterion for Overparameterized Modelscited by 11
  13. 2022Multiple Descent in the Multiple Random Feature Modelcited by 10
  14. 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processescited by 10
  15. 2021Fundamental tradeoffs between memorization and robustness in random features and neural tangent regimescited by 9
  16. 2022Origami in N dimensions: How feed-forward networks manufacture linear separabilitycited by 9
  17. 2022Information bottleneck theory of high-dimensional regression: relevancy, efficiency and optimalitycited by 9
  18. 2023Why Do Probabilistic Clinical Models Fail To Transport Between Sites?cited by 9
  19. 2021On the Role of Optimization in Double Descent: A Least Squares Studycited by 7
  20. 2022Bias-variance decomposition of overparameterized regression with random linear featurescited by 7
  21. 2024Random features and polynomial rulescited by 6
  22. 2021Minimum ℓ1-norm interpolators: Precise asymptotics and multiple descentcited by 5
  23. 2022Gradient flow in the gaussian covariate model: exact solution of learning curves and multiple descent structurescited by 5
  24. 2021The Geometry of Over-parameterized Regression and Adversarial Perturbationscited by 4
  25. 2021Trap of Feature Diversity in the Learning of MLPscited by 4
  26. 2022Towards a Unified Framework for Uncertainty-aware Nonlinear Variable Selection with Theoretical Guaranteescited by 4
  27. 2023Least Squares Regression Can Exhibit Under-Parameterized Double Descentcited by 4
  28. 2021Mitigating deep double descent by concatenating inputscited by 3
  29. 2024Towards Understanding Epoch-wise Double descent in Two-layer Linear Neural Networkscited by 3
  30. 2021A generalization gap estimation for overparameterized models via the Langevin functional variancecited by 2
  31. 2022A Survey of Learning Curves with Bad Behavior: or How More Data Need Not Lead to Better Performancecited by 2
  32. 2023Quantifying lottery tickets under label noise: accuracy, calibration, and complexitycited by 2
  33. 2024A solvable generative model with a linear, one-step denoisercited by 2
  34. 2025A dynamic view of some anomalous phenomena in SGDcited by 2
  35. 2021Asymptotic Risk of Overparameterized Likelihood Models: Double Descent Theory for Deep Neural Networkscited by 1
  36. 2022Inferring topological transitions in pattern-forming processes with self-supervised learningcited by 1
  37. 2025High-dimensional ridge regression with random features for non-identically distributed data with a variance profilecited by 1
  38. 2025Understanding Generalization in Diffusion Distillation via Probability Flow Distancecited by 1

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