The Predictron: End-To-End Learning and Planning
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Abstract (arXiv)
One of the key challenges of artificial intelligence is to learn models that are effective in the context of planning. In this document we introduce the predictron architecture. The predictron consists of a fully abstract model, represented by a Markov reward process, that can be rolled forward multiple "imagined" planning steps. Each forward pass of the predictron accumulates internal rewards and values over multiple planning depths. The predictron is trained end-to-end so as to make these accumulated values accurately approximate the true value function. We applied the predictron to procedurally generated random mazes and a simulator for the game of pool. The predictron yielded significantly more accurate predictions than conventional deep neural network architectures.
Key facts. Cited by 92 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 28 Dec 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2018: 2; 2019: 0; 2020: 1; 2021: 18; 2022: 20; 2023: 18; 2024: 13; 2025: 7; 2026: 13.
92 papers.
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- 2020MOPO: Model-based Offline Policy Optimizationcited by 630
- 2024TravelPlanner: A Benchmark for Real-World Planning with Language Agentscited by 385
- 2021Towards Causal Representation Learningcited by 207
- 2024Video as the New Language for Real-World Decision Makingcited by 86
- 2024World Models for Autonomous Driving: An Initial Surveycited by 79
- 2021Learning Task Informed Abstractionscited by 58
- 2021Muesli: Combining Improvements in Policy Optimizationcited by 53
- 2022Retrieval-Augmented Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2024Bridging State and History Representations: Understanding Self-Predictive RLcited by 52
- 2021Proper Value Equivalencecited by 33
- 2021A Consciousness-Inspired Planning Agent for Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 27
- 2021Differentiable Spatial Planning using Transformerscited by 25
38 more
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- 2022Learning to Predict Graphs with Fused Gromov-Wasserstein Barycenterscited by 22
- 2018Deep Dyna-Q: Integrating Planning for Task-Completion Dialogue Policy Learningcited by 21
- 2021Neural Algorithmic Reasoners are Implicit Plannerscited by 21
- 2025Learning Transformer-based World Models with Contrastive Predictive Codingcited by 20
- 2022Deciding What to Model: Value-Equivalent Sampling for Reinforcement Learningcited by 19
- 2023Simplified Temporal Consistency Reinforcement Learningcited by 17
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- 2023Query-Policy Misalignment in Preference-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 14
- 2021High-Accuracy Model-Based Reinforcement Learning, a Surveycited by 13
- 2024MuDreamer: Learning Predictive World Models without Reconstructioncited by 13
- 2022Goal-Space Planning with Subgoal Modelscited by 12
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- 2025World Modeling with Probabilistic Structure Integrationcited by 7
- 2021Model-Value Inconsistency as a Signal for Epistemic Uncertaintycited by 6
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- 2022On Rate-Distortion Theory in Capacity-Limited Cognition & Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2023On Representation Complexity of Model-based and Model-free Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2026A Mechanistic View on Video Generation as World Models: State and Dynamicscited by 6
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- 2018Learning the Reward Function for a Misspecified Modelcited by 4
- 2021Combining Off and On-Policy Training in Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 4
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- 2023Decision-Aware Actor-Critic with Function Approximation and Theoretical Guaranteescited by 3
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- 2024Scaling Value Iteration Networks to 5000 Layers for Extreme Long-Term Planningcited by 3
50 most cited of 92 All 92 (JSON)
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- 2026What Must a World Model Distinguish for Planning?26 Sep 2026
- 2026The Intervention Gap in Latent World Models30 Aug 2026
- 2026Predicting Consequences and Reinforcing Navigation Policies with Latent World Models23 Aug 2026
- 2026Counterfactual Quotient Models: Learning What Actions Change, Not What the World Does22 Aug 2026
- 2026Operator-on-F complements value-equivalence: a planning-time diagnostic for latent world models5 Jul 2026
- 2026IMWM: Intuition Models Complement World Models for Latent Planning1 Jun 2026
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imagination6 May 2026
- 2026Toward Consistent World Models with Multi-Token Prediction and Latent Semantic Enhancement7 Apr 2026
- 2026On the Role of Computation in Reinforcement Learning5 Feb 2026
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38 more
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- 2025Calibrated Value-Aware Model Learning with Probabilistic Environment Models28 May 2025
- 2025ReaCritic: Reasoning Transformer-based DRL Critic-model Scaling For Wireless Networks16 May 2025
- 2025Learning Transformer-based World Models with Contrastive Predictive Coding6 Mar 2025
- 2024FACTS: A Factored State-Space Framework For World Modelling28 Oct 2024
- 2024MAD-TD: Model-Augmented Data stabilizes High Update Ratio RL11 Oct 2024
- 2024Meta-Gradient Search Control: A Method for Improving the Efficiency of Dyna-style Planning27 Jun 2024
- 2024AlphaZeroES: Direct score maximization outperforms planning loss minimization12 Jun 2024
- 2024Scaling Value Iteration Networks to 5000 Layers for Extreme Long-Term Planning12 Jun 2024
- 2024A New View on Planning in Online Reinforcement Learning3 Jun 2024
- 2024MuDreamer: Learning Predictive World Models without Reconstruction23 May 2024
- 2024World Models for Autonomous Driving: An Initial Survey5 Mar 2024
- 2024Video as the New Language for Real-World Decision Making27 Feb 2024
- 2024OIL-AD: An Anomaly Detection Framework for Sequential Decision Sequences7 Feb 2024
- 2024TravelPlanner: A Benchmark for Real-World Planning with Language Agents2 Feb 2024
- 2024Differentiable Tree Search Network22 Jan 2024
- 2024Bridging State and History Representations: Understanding Self-Predictive RL17 Jan 2024
- 2023Beyond One Model Fits All: Ensemble Deep Learning for Autonomous Vehicles10 Dec 2023
- 2023A Unified View on Solving Objective Mismatch in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning10 Oct 2023
- 2023Multi-timestep models for Model-based Reinforcement Learning9 Oct 2023
- 2023On Representation Complexity of Model-based and Model-free Reinforcement Learning3 Oct 2023
- 2023Consistent Aggregation of Objectives with Diverse Time Preferences Requires Non-Markovian Rewards30 Sep 2023
- 2023AI planning in the imagination: High-level planning on learned abstract search spaces16 Aug 2023
- 2023λ-models: Effective Decision-Aware Reinforcement Learning with Latent Models30 Jun 2023
- 2023Simplified Temporal Consistency Reinforcement Learning15 Jun 2023
- 2023Deep Generative Models for Decision-Making and Control15 Jun 2023
- 2023What model does MuZero learn?1 Jun 2023
- 2023Query-Policy Misalignment in Preference-Based Reinforcement Learning27 May 2023
- 2023Decision-Aware Actor-Critic with Function Approximation and Theoretical Guarantees24 May 2023
- 2023KARNet: Kalman Filter Augmented Recurrent Neural Network for Learning World Models in Autonomous Driving Tasks24 May 2023
- 2023Co-Learning Empirical Games and World Models23 May 2023
- 2023Bayesian Reinforcement Learning with Limited Cognitive Load5 May 2023
- 2023A Review of Symbolic, Subsymbolic and Hybrid Methods for Sequential Decision Making20 Apr 2023
- 2023Learning How to Infer Partial MDPs for In-Context Adaptation and Exploration8 Feb 2023
50 newest of 92 All 92 (JSON)
- 2024World Models for Autonomous Driving: An Initial Surveycited by 79
- 2018Deep Dyna-Q: Integrating Planning for Task-Completion Dialogue Policy Learningcited by 21
- 2025Learning Transformer-based World Models with Contrastive Predictive Codingcited by 20
- 2024MuDreamer: Learning Predictive World Models without Reconstructioncited by 13
- 2025World Modeling with Probabilistic Structure Integrationcited by 7
- 2026A Mechanistic View on Video Generation as World Models: State and Dynamicscited by 6
- 2023Co-Learning Empirical Games and World Modelscited by 4
- 2024FACTS: A Factored State-Space Framework For World Modellingcited by 4
- 2025Simple, Good, Fast: Self-Supervised World Models Free of Baggagecited by 3
- 2026Toward Consistent World Models with Multi-Token Prediction and Latent Semantic Enhancementcited by 3
- 2026IMWM: Intuition Models Complement World Models for Latent Planningcited by 3
- 2023KARNet: Kalman Filter Augmented Recurrent Neural Network for Learning World Models in Autonomous Driving Taskscited by 2
12 most cited of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2026What Must a World Model Distinguish for Planning?26 Sep 2026
- 2026The Intervention Gap in Latent World Models30 Aug 2026
- 2026Predicting Consequences and Reinforcing Navigation Policies with Latent World Models23 Aug 2026
- 2026Operator-on-F complements value-equivalence: a planning-time diagnostic for latent world models5 Jul 2026
- 2026IMWM: Intuition Models Complement World Models for Latent Planning1 Jun 2026
- 2026Toward Consistent World Models with Multi-Token Prediction and Latent Semantic Enhancement7 Apr 2026
- 2026A Mechanistic View on Video Generation as World Models: State and Dynamics22 Jan 2026
- 2025World Modeling with Probabilistic Structure Integration10 Sep 2025
- 2025Ego-centric Learning of Communicative World Models for Autonomous Driving9 Jun 2025
- 2025Simple, Good, Fast: Self-Supervised World Models Free of Baggage3 Jun 2025
- 2025Learning Transformer-based World Models with Contrastive Predictive Coding6 Mar 2025
- 2024FACTS: A Factored State-Space Framework For World Modelling28 Oct 2024
12 newest of 18 All 18 (JSON)
- 2020MOPO: Model-based Offline Policy Optimizationcited by 630
- 2024OIL-AD: An Anomaly Detection Framework for Sequential Decision Sequencescited by 3
- 2023Multi-timestep models for Model-based Reinforcement Learningcited by 1
- 2021Differentiable Robust LQR Layerscited by 0
- 2024OIL-AD: An Anomaly Detection Framework for Sequential Decision Sequences7 Feb 2024
- 2023Multi-timestep models for Model-based Reinforcement Learning9 Oct 2023
- 2021Differentiable Robust LQR Layers10 Jun 2021
- 2020MOPO: Model-based Offline Policy Optimization27 May 2020
- 2018Learning the Reward Function for a Misspecified Modelcited by 4
- 2018Learning the Reward Function for a Misspecified Model29 Jan 2018
- 2022Retrieval-Augmented Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2022Retrieval-Augmented Reinforcement Learning17 Feb 2022
- 2021Towards Causal Representation Learningcited by 207
- 2024Video as the New Language for Real-World Decision Makingcited by 86
- 2021Learning Task Informed Abstractionscited by 58
- 2021Muesli: Combining Improvements in Policy Optimizationcited by 53
- 2024Bridging State and History Representations: Understanding Self-Predictive RLcited by 52
- 2021Proper Value Equivalencecited by 33
- 2021A Consciousness-Inspired Planning Agent for Model-Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 27
- 2021Differentiable Spatial Planning using Transformerscited by 25
- 2022Investigating the Properties of Neural Network Representations in Reinforcement Learningcited by 24
- 2022Learning to Predict Graphs with Fused Gromov-Wasserstein Barycenterscited by 22
- 2021Neural Algorithmic Reasoners are Implicit Plannerscited by 21
- 2022Deciding What to Model: Value-Equivalent Sampling for Reinforcement Learningcited by 19
12 most cited of 64 All 64 (JSON)
- 2026FlexLoop: Depth-Elastic Looped Policies for Adaptive Test-Time Computation in Deep RL28 Sep 2026
- 2026Counterfactual Quotient Models: Learning What Actions Change, Not What the World Does22 Aug 2026
- 2026Dream-MPC: Gradient-Based Model Predictive Control with Latent Imagination6 May 2026
- 2026On the Role of Computation in Reinforcement Learning5 Feb 2026
- 2026The Surprising Difficulty of Search in Model-Based Reinforcement Learning29 Jan 2026
- 2025GenAI-based Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning towards Distributed Agent Intelligence: A Generative-RL Agent Perspective13 Jul 2025
- 2025Calibrated Value-Aware Model Learning with Probabilistic Environment Models28 May 2025
- 2024MAD-TD: Model-Augmented Data stabilizes High Update Ratio RL11 Oct 2024
- 2024Meta-Gradient Search Control: A Method for Improving the Efficiency of Dyna-style Planning27 Jun 2024
- 2024AlphaZeroES: Direct score maximization outperforms planning loss minimization12 Jun 2024
- 2024Scaling Value Iteration Networks to 5000 Layers for Extreme Long-Term Planning12 Jun 2024
- 2024A New View on Planning in Online Reinforcement Learning3 Jun 2024
12 newest of 64 All 64 (JSON)