DESPOT: Online POMDP Planning with Regularization
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Abstract (arXiv)
The partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) provides a principled general framework for planning under uncertainty, but solving POMDPs optimally is computationally intractable, due to the "curse of dimensionality" and the "curse of history". To overcome these challenges, we introduce the Determinized Sparse Partially Observable Tree (DESPOT), a sparse approximation of the standard belief tree, for online planning under uncertainty. A DESPOT focuses online planning on a set of randomly sampled scenarios and compactly captures the "execution" of all policies under these scenarios. We show that the best policy obtained from a DESPOT is near-optimal, with a regret bound that depends on the representation size of the optimal policy. Leveraging this result, we give an anytime online planning algorithm, which searches a DESPOT for a policy that optimizes a regularized objective function. Regularization balances the estimated value of a policy under the sampled scenarios and the policy size, thus avoiding overfitting. The algorithm demonstrates strong experimental results, compared with some of the best online POMDP algorithms available. It has also been incorporated into an autonomous driving system for real-time vehicle control. The source code for the algorithm is available online.
Key facts. Cited by 105 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 12 Sep 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2018: 1; 2019: 0; 2020: 0; 2021: 16; 2022: 20; 2023: 24; 2024: 17; 2025: 15; 2026: 12.
105 papers.
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- 2023Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving: The State of the Art and Future Perspectivescited by 112
- 2022Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Surveycited by 81
- 2021Deep Multiagent Reinforcement Learning: Challenges and Directionscited by 42
- 2022Learning in Observable POMDPs, without Computationally Intractable Oraclescited by 30
- 2022Planning in Observable POMDPs in Quasipolynomial Timecited by 25
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directionscited by 23
- 2022Optimality Guarantees for Particle Belief Approximation of POMDPscited by 20
- 2021Physical Interaction as Communication: Learning Robot Objectives Online from Human Correctionscited by 19
- 2023What Truly Matters in Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving?cited by 17
- 2024Partially Observable Task and Motion Planning with Uncertainty and Risk Awarenesscited by 17
- 2024Equivariant Reinforcement Learning under Partial Observabilitycited by 17
- 2018An Efficient, Generalized Bellman Update For Cooperative Inverse Reinforcement Learningcited by 15
38 more
- 2021Solving Common-Payoff Games with Approximate Policy Iterationcited by 15
- 2021Towards Optimal Correlational Object Searchcited by 14
- 2023Active Uncertainty Reduction for Safe and Efficient Interaction Planning: A Shielding-Aware Dual Control Approachcited by 13
- 2023BetaZero: Belief-State Planning for Long-Horizon POMDPs using Learned Approximationscited by 13
- 2021Closing the Planning-Learning Loop with Application to Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2023CAR-DESPOT: Causally-Informed Online POMDP Planning for Robots in Confounded Environmentscited by 11
- 2022Active Uncertainty Reduction for Human-Robot Interaction: An Implicit Dual Control Approachcited by 10
- 2022LEADER: Learning Attention over Driving Behaviors for Planning under Uncertaintycited by 9
- 2021Compositional Learning-based Planning for Vision POMDPscited by 8
- 2023Safe POMDP Online Planning via Shieldingcited by 8
- 2021SIDE: State Inference for Partially Observable Cooperative Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learningcited by 7
- 2023Learning Logic Specifications for Soft Policy Guidance in POMCPcited by 7
- 2021Simplified Belief-Dependent Reward MCTS Planning with Guaranteed Tree Consistencycited by 6
- 2022Adaptive Information Belief Space Planningcited by 6
- 2022Efficient Algorithms for Planning with Participation Constraintscited by 6
- 2022Multiagent Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous Routing and Pickup Problem with Adaptation to Variable Demandcited by 6
- 2023Combining Tree-Search, Generative Models, and Nash Bargaining Concepts in Game-Theoretic Reinforcement Learningcited by 6
- 2023Adaptive Discretization using Voronoi Trees for Continuous POMDPscited by 6
- 2024Task and Motion Planning for Execution in the Realcited by 6
- 2022Mask Atari for Deep Reinforcement Learning as POMDP Benchmarkscited by 5
- 2022Nonmyopic Distilled Data Association Belief Space Planning Under Budget Constraintscited by 5
- 2021Online POMDP Planning via Simplificationcited by 4
- 2022Intention-Aware Navigation in Crowds with Extended-Space POMDP Planningcited by 4
- 2023Weathering Ongoing Uncertainty: Learning and Planning in a Time-Varying Partially Observable Environmentcited by 4
- 2021Reinforcement Learning based Negotiation-aware Motion Planning of Autonomous Vehiclescited by 3
- 2022Risk Aware Adaptive Belief-dependent Probabilistically Constrained Continuous POMDP Planningcited by 3
- 2022Adaptive Discretization using Voronoi Trees for Continuous-Action POMDPscited by 3
- 2025Managing Geological Uncertainty in Critical Mineral Supply Chains: A POMDP Approach with Application to U.S. Lithium Resourcescited by 3
- 2025Generative AI for Autonomous Driving: A Reviewcited by 3
- 2021Active Inference Tree Search in Large POMDPscited by 2
- 2021Probabilistic Loss and its Online Characterization for Simplified Decision Making Under Uncertaintycited by 2
- 2021Efficient Sampling in POMDPs with Lipschitz Bandits for Motion Planning in Continuous Spacescited by 2
- 2021HARPS: An Online POMDP Framework for Human-Assisted Robotic Planning and Sensingcited by 2
- 2022Monte Carlo Planning in Hybrid Belief POMDPscited by 2
- 2023Online POMDP Planning with Anytime Deterministic Optimality Guaranteescited by 2
- 2023Rollout Heuristics for Online Stochastic Contingent Planningcited by 2
- 2023Simplifying Complex Observation Models in Continuous POMDP Planning with Probabilistic Guarantees and Practicecited by 2
- 2024The State of Robot Motion Generationcited by 2
50 most cited of 105 All 105 (JSON)
- 2026Capability-Gated Planning: Cost-to-Goal Discovery and the Limits of Myopic Experiment Selection5 Aug 2026
- 2026Why Are GUI Agents Correct but Late? Decode on the Decision-Time Critical Path, Tested with Pre-Compiled Policy Trees30 Jul 2026
- 2026Hope for the Best, Prepare for the Worst: Occlusion-Aware Contingency Planning for Autonomous Vehicles3 Jul 2026
- 2026VOiLA: Vectorized Online Planning with Learned Diffusion Models for POMDP Agents18 Jun 2026
- 2026PO-PDDL: Learning Symbolic POMDPs from Visual Demonstrations for Robot Planning Under Uncertainty14 Jun 2026
- 2026Belief-Space Control for Personalized Cancer Treatment via Active Inference9 Jun 2026
- 2026Synthesizing POMDP Policies: Sampling Meets Model-checking via Learning14 May 2026
- 2026Robustness Analysis of POMDP Policies to Observation Perturbations23 Apr 2026
- 2026Leveraging the Value of Information in POMDP Planning1 Apr 2026
- 2026QANTIS: A Hardware-Validated Quantum Platform for POMDP Planning and Multi-Target Data Association28 Feb 2026
- 2026Vec-QMDP: Vectorized POMDP Planning on CPUs for Real-Time Autonomous Driving9 Feb 2026
- 2026Perception-Based Beliefs for POMDPs with Visual Observations5 Feb 2026
38 more
- 2025POrTAL: Plan-Orchestrated Tree Assembly for Lookahead2 Dec 2025
- 2025Neural Value Iteration11 Nov 2025
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- 2025ESCORT: Efficient Stein-variational and Sliced Consistency-Optimized Temporal Belief Representation for POMDPs24 Oct 2025
- 2025GammaZero: Learning To Guide POMDP Belief Space Search With Graph Representations15 Oct 2025
- 2025Assistive Decision-Making for Right of Way Navigation at Uncontrolled Intersections22 Sep 2025
- 2025Online Robust Planning under Model Uncertainty: A Sample-Based Approach12 Sep 2025
- 2025Convergence of regularized agent-state-based Q-learning in POMDPs29 Aug 2025
- 2025Belief-Conditioned One-Step Diffusion: Real-Time Trajectory Planning with Just-Enough Sensing16 Aug 2025
- 2025Sequential Monte Carlo for Policy Optimization in Continuous POMDPs22 May 2025
- 2025Generative AI for Autonomous Driving: A Review21 May 2025
- 2025Learning Symbolic Persistent Macro-Actions for POMDP Solving Over Time6 May 2025
- 2025Observation Adaptation via Annealed Importance Resampling for Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes25 Mar 2025
- 2025Action-Gradient Monte Carlo Tree Search for Non-Parametric Continuous (PO)MDPs15 Mar 2025
- 2025Managing Geological Uncertainty in Critical Mineral Supply Chains: A POMDP Approach with Application to U.S. Lithium Resources8 Feb 2025
- 2024Previous Knowledge Utilization In Online Anytime Belief Space Planning17 Dec 2024
- 2024TAB-Fields: A Maximum Entropy Framework for Mission-Aware Adversarial Planning3 Dec 2024
- 2024Towards Intention Recognition for Robotic Assistants Through Online POMDP Planning26 Nov 2024
- 2024Shrinking POMCP: A Framework for Real-Time UAV Search and Rescue20 Nov 2024
- 2024The State of Robot Motion Generation16 Oct 2024
- 2024Heuristics for Partially Observable Stochastic Contingent Planning8 Oct 2024
- 2024Towards Cost Sensitive Decision Making4 Oct 2024
- 2024Hi-Drive: Hierarchical POMDP Planning for Safe Autonomous Driving in Diverse Urban Environments27 Sep 2024
- 2024Increasing the Value of Information During Planning in Uncertain Environments14 Sep 2024
- 2024Equivariant Reinforcement Learning under Partial Observability26 Aug 2024
- 2024Online Planning in POMDPs with State-Requests26 Jul 2024
- 2024Toward an Integrated Decision Making Framework for Optimized Stroke Diagnosis with DSA and Treatment under Uncertainty24 Jul 2024
- 2024Task and Motion Planning for Execution in the Real5 Jun 2024
- 2024Belief-State Query Policies for User-Aligned POMDPs24 May 2024
- 2024Leveraging Counterfactual Paths for Contrastive Explanations of POMDP Policies28 Mar 2024
- 2024Partially Observable Task and Motion Planning with Uncertainty and Risk Awareness15 Mar 2024
- 2024Approximate Control for Continuous-Time POMDPs2 Feb 2024
- 2023Factored Online Planning in Many-Agent POMDPs18 Dec 2023
- 2023Weathering Ongoing Uncertainty: Learning and Planning in a Time-Varying Partially Observable Environment6 Dec 2023
- 2023Simplifying Complex Observation Models in Continuous POMDP Planning with Probabilistic Guarantees and Practice13 Nov 2023
- 2023No Compromise in Solution Quality: Speeding Up Belief-dependent Continuous POMDPs via Adaptive Multilevel Simplification16 Oct 2023
- 2023Rollout Heuristics for Online Stochastic Contingent Planning3 Oct 2023
- 2023Online POMDP Planning with Anytime Deterministic Optimality Guarantees3 Oct 2023
50 newest of 105 All 105 (JSON)
- 2023Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving: The State of the Art and Future Perspectivescited by 112
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directionscited by 23
- 2021Closing the Planning-Learning Loop with Application to Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2022LEADER: Learning Attention over Driving Behaviors for Planning under Uncertaintycited by 9
- 2021Reinforcement Learning based Negotiation-aware Motion Planning of Autonomous Vehiclescited by 3
- 2022Planning and Learning: Path-Planning for Autonomous Vehicles, a Review of the Literaturecited by 1
- 2026Vec-QMDP: Vectorized POMDP Planning on CPUs for Real-Time Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
- 2026Hope for the Best, Prepare for the Worst: Occlusion-Aware Contingency Planning for Autonomous Vehiclescited by 0
- 2026Hope for the Best, Prepare for the Worst: Occlusion-Aware Contingency Planning for Autonomous Vehicles3 Jul 2026
- 2026Vec-QMDP: Vectorized POMDP Planning on CPUs for Real-Time Autonomous Driving9 Feb 2026
- 2023Machine Learning for Autonomous Vehicle's Trajectory Prediction: A comprehensive survey, Challenges, and Future Research Directions12 Jul 2023
- 2023Motion Planning for Autonomous Driving: The State of the Art and Future Perspectives17 Mar 2023
- 2022LEADER: Learning Attention over Driving Behaviors for Planning under Uncertainty23 Sep 2022
- 2022Planning and Learning: Path-Planning for Autonomous Vehicles, a Review of the Literature26 Jul 2022
- 2021Reinforcement Learning based Negotiation-aware Motion Planning of Autonomous Vehicles8 Jul 2021
- 2021Closing the Planning-Learning Loop with Application to Autonomous Driving11 Jan 2021
- 2022Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes in Robotics: A Surveycited by 81
- 2021Deep Multiagent Reinforcement Learning: Challenges and Directionscited by 42
- 2022Learning in Observable POMDPs, without Computationally Intractable Oraclescited by 30
- 2022Planning in Observable POMDPs in Quasipolynomial Timecited by 25
- 2022Optimality Guarantees for Particle Belief Approximation of POMDPscited by 20
- 2021Physical Interaction as Communication: Learning Robot Objectives Online from Human Correctionscited by 19
- 2023What Truly Matters in Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving?cited by 17
- 2024Partially Observable Task and Motion Planning with Uncertainty and Risk Awarenesscited by 17
- 2024Equivariant Reinforcement Learning under Partial Observabilitycited by 17
- 2021Solving Common-Payoff Games with Approximate Policy Iterationcited by 15
- 2021Towards Optimal Correlational Object Searchcited by 14
- 2023Active Uncertainty Reduction for Safe and Efficient Interaction Planning: A Shielding-Aware Dual Control Approachcited by 13
12 most cited of 92 All 92 (JSON)
- 2026Capability-Gated Planning: Cost-to-Goal Discovery and the Limits of Myopic Experiment Selection5 Aug 2026
- 2026PO-PDDL: Learning Symbolic POMDPs from Visual Demonstrations for Robot Planning Under Uncertainty14 Jun 2026
- 2026Belief-Space Control for Personalized Cancer Treatment via Active Inference9 Jun 2026
- 2026Synthesizing POMDP Policies: Sampling Meets Model-checking via Learning14 May 2026
- 2026Robustness Analysis of POMDP Policies to Observation Perturbations23 Apr 2026
- 2026Leveraging the Value of Information in POMDP Planning1 Apr 2026
- 2026QANTIS: A Hardware-Validated Quantum Platform for POMDP Planning and Multi-Target Data Association28 Feb 2026
- 2026Perception-Based Beliefs for POMDPs with Visual Observations5 Feb 2026
- 2025POrTAL: Plan-Orchestrated Tree Assembly for Lookahead2 Dec 2025
- 2025Neural Value Iteration11 Nov 2025
- 2025Vectorized Online POMDP Planning31 Oct 2025
- 2025ESCORT: Efficient Stein-variational and Sliced Consistency-Optimized Temporal Belief Representation for POMDPs24 Oct 2025
12 newest of 92 All 92 (JSON)