Controlling the false discovery rate via knockoffs
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Abstract (arXiv)
In many fields of science, we observe a response variable together with a large number of potential explanatory variables, and would like to be able to discover which variables are truly associated with the response. At the same time, we need to know that the false discovery rate (FDR) - the expected fraction of false discoveries among all discoveries - is not too high, in order to assure the scientist that most of the discoveries are indeed true and replicable. This paper introduces the knockoff filter, a new variable selection procedure controlling the FDR in the statistical linear model whenever there are at least as many observations as variables. This method achieves exact FDR control in finite sample settings no matter the design or covariates, the number of variables in the model, or the amplitudes of the unknown regression coefficients, and does not require any knowledge of the noise level. As the name suggests, the method operates by manufacturing knockoff variables that are cheap - their construction does not require any new data - and are designed to mimic the correlation structure found within the existing variables, in a way that allows for accurate FDR control, beyond what is possible with permutation-based methods. The method of knockoffs is very general and flexible, and can work with a broad class of test statistics. We test the method in combination with statistics from the Lasso for sparse regression, and obtain empirical results showing that the resulting method has far more power than existing selection rules when the proportion of null variables is high.
Key facts. Cited by 97 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 22 Apr 2014.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 15; 2022: 18; 2023: 14; 2024: 18; 2025: 15; 2026: 17.
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- 2023Feature Importance: A Closer Look at Shapley Values and LOCOcited by 23
- 2023Convergence of uncertainty estimates in Ensemble and Bayesian sparse model discoverycited by 15
- 2023Derandomized Novelty Detection with FDR Control via Conformal E-valuescited by 15
- 2022Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Independence via Testing by Bettingcited by 14
- 2024Knockoff-Guided Feature Selection via A Single Pre-trained Reinforced Agentcited by 14
- 2021Data fission: splitting a single data pointcited by 13
- 2022Composite Feature Selection using Deep Ensemblescited by 11
- 2021The Terminating-Random Experiments Selector: Fast High-Dimensional Variable Selection with False Discovery Rate Controlcited by 10
- 2023Conformal link prediction for false discovery rate controlcited by 9
- 2024Task-Agnostic Machine-Learning-Assisted Inferencecited by 8
- 2021Bridging Breiman's Brook: From Algorithmic Modeling to Statistical Learningcited by 7
- 2023Sequential Knockoffs for Variable Selection in Reinforcement Learningcited by 7
38 more
- 2023Adaptive debiased machine learning using data-driven model selection techniquescited by 7
- 2022Time Series Causal Link Estimation under Hidden Confounding using Knockoff Interventionscited by 5
- 2024FDR-Controlled Portfolio Optimization for Sparse Financial Index Trackingcited by 5
- 2021Counterfactual Generation with Knockoffscited by 4
- 2021Deep neural networks with controlled variable selection for the identification of putative causal genetic variantscited by 4
- 2021Multivariate rank via entropic optimal transport: sample efficiency and generative modelingcited by 4
- 2022Causal Discovery using Model Invariance through Knockoff Interventionscited by 4
- 2024Sparse PCA with False Discovery Rate Controlled Variable Selectioncited by 4
- 2021Causal Inference in Non-linear Time-series using Deep Networks and Knockoff Counterfactualscited by 3
- 2022Ensembling improves stability and power of feature selection for deep learning modelscited by 3
- 2022Near-optimal multiple testing in Bayesian linear models with finite-sample FDR controlcited by 3
- 2024High-Dimensional False Discovery Rate Control for Dependent Variablescited by 3
- 2024Indirectly Parameterized Concrete Autoencoderscited by 3
- 2024Deep Nonparametric Conditional Independence Tests for Imagescited by 3
- 2021Directional FDR Control for Sub-Gaussian Sparse GLMscited by 2
- 2021PPFS: Predictive Permutation Feature Selectioncited by 2
- 2021Distributed Sparse Feature Selection in Communication-Restricted Networkscited by 2
- 2022A Conditional Randomization Test for Sparse Logistic Regression in High-Dimensioncited by 2
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- 2023Simplified Concrete Dropout -- Improving the Generation of Attribution Masks for Fine-grained Classificationcited by 2
- 2023Copula for Instance-wise Feature Selection and Rankingcited by 2
- 2024DeepLINK-T: deep learning inference for time series data using knockoffs and LSTMcited by 2
- 2024Solving FDR-Controlled Sparse Regression Problems with Five Million Variables on a Laptopcited by 2
- 2025Membership Inference Attacks with False Discovery Rate Controlcited by 2
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offscited by 2
- 2021Spatially relaxed inference on high-dimensional linear modelscited by 1
- 2021Controlling the False Split Rate in Tree-Based Aggregationcited by 1
- 2021Differentially Private Variable Selection via the Knockoff Filtercited by 1
- 2022Flexible variable selection in the presence of missing datacited by 1
- 2022Error-based Knockoffs Inference for Controlled Feature Selectioncited by 1
- 2022Black-box Selective Inference via Bootstrappingcited by 1
- 2022Ensemble feature selection with data-driven thresholding for Alzheimer's disease biomarker discoverycited by 1
- 2022Two-Stage Robust and Sparse Distributed Statistical Inference for Large-Scale Datacited by 1
- 2022GRASP: A Goodness-of-Fit Test for Classification Learningcited by 1
- 2023Knockoffs-SPR: Clean Sample Selection in Learning with Noisy Labelscited by 1
50 most cited of 97 All 97 (JSON)
- 2026Mitigating Object Hallucination in Large Vision-Language Models via False Discovery Controlled Visual Data Splitting30 Sep 2026
- 2026Calibrated Derivative-Process Sensitivity for Gaussian-Process Variable Selection27 Sep 2026
- 2026Null importance: Disentangling relevance for interpretable machine learning16 Sep 2026
- 2026Model-Agnostic FDR Control via Group Gaussian Mirror and Permutation SHAP2 Aug 2026
- 2026Null-Calibrated Conformal Selection via Target-Membership Scores21 Jun 2026
- 2026Measurement Under Selection: Decoy-Calibrated Failure Audits for Language Models8 Jun 2026
- 2026Knockoffs-based False Discovery Rate Control and Simplification for Deep Neural Networks3 Jun 2026
- 2026A Distribution-Free Framework for Rewrite-Based Human-text Detection via Knockoff Filtering29 May 2026
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offs26 May 2026
- 2026Controlling False Discovery in Arbitrarily Structured Hypothesis Spaces via Reproducing Kernels17 May 2026
- 2026Trustworthy Feature Importance Avoids Unrestricted Permutations13 Apr 2026
- 2026Virtual Dummies: Enabling Scalable FDR-Controlled Variable Selection via Sequential Sampling of Null Features8 Apr 2026
38 more
- 2026Beyond False Discovery Rate: A Stepdown Group SLOPE Approach for Grouped Variable Selection1 Mar 2026
- 2026Valid Feature-Level Inference for Tabular Foundation Models via the Conditional Randomization Test19 Feb 2026
- 2026Separating Oblivious and Adaptive Models of Variable Selection18 Feb 2026
- 2026Learning False Discovery Rate Control via Model-Based Neural Networks5 Feb 2026
- 2026GRIP2: A Robust and Powerful Deep Knockoff Method for Feature Selection30 Jan 2026
- 2025Provable FDR Control for Deep Feature Selection: Deep MLPs and Beyond4 Dec 2025
- 2025Which Sparse Autoencoder Features Are Real? Model-X Knockoffs for False Discovery Rate Control12 Nov 2025
- 2025Using latent representations to link disjoint longitudinal data for mixed-effects regression29 Oct 2025
- 2025Group Interventions on Deep Networks for Causal Discovery in Subsystems27 Oct 2025
- 2025DiffKnock: Diffusion-based Knockoff Statistics for Neural Networks Inference1 Oct 2025
- 2025False Discovery Rate Control via Bayesian Mirror Statistic1 Oct 2025
- 2025Sparse minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevance for feature selection26 Aug 2025
- 2025Comparing Model-agnostic Feature Selection Methods through Relative Efficiency19 Aug 2025
- 2025Diffusion-Driven High-Dimensional Variable Selection19 Aug 2025
- 2025Membership Inference Attacks with False Discovery Rate Control9 Aug 2025
- 2025Where to Intervene: Action Selection in Deep Reinforcement Learning5 Jul 2025
- 2025Knockoff-Guided Compressive Sensing: A Statistical Machine Learning Framework for Support-Assured Signal Recovery30 May 2025
- 2025Interpretable Feature Interaction via Statistical Self-supervised Learning on Tabular Data23 Mar 2025
- 2025AutoNFS: Automatic Neural Feature Selection17 Mar 2025
- 2025Knoop: Practical Enhancement of Knockoff with Over-Parameterization for Variable Selection28 Jan 2025
- 2024Functional relevance based on the continuous Shapley value27 Nov 2024
- 2024CatNet: Controlling the False Discovery Rate in LSTM with SHAP Feature Importance and Gaussian Mirrors25 Nov 2024
- 2024Conditional Local Importance by Quantile Expectations13 Nov 2024
- 2024Deep Nonparametric Conditional Independence Tests for Images9 Nov 2024
- 2024The Informed Elastic Net for Fast Grouped Variable Selection and FDR Control in Genomics Research7 Oct 2024
- 2024Solving FDR-Controlled Sparse Regression Problems with Five Million Variables on a Laptop27 Sep 2024
- 2024Error-controlled non-additive interaction discovery in machine learning models30 Aug 2024
- 2024Task-Agnostic Machine-Learning-Assisted Inference30 May 2024
- 2024A distribution-free valid p-value for finite samples of bounded random variables14 May 2024
- 2024Stability of a Generalized Debiased Lasso with Applications to Resampling-Based Variable Selection5 May 2024
- 2024DeepLINK-T: deep learning inference for time series data using knockoffs and LSTM5 Apr 2024
- 2024Knockoff-Guided Feature Selection via A Single Pre-trained Reinforced Agent6 Mar 2024
- 2024Indirectly Parameterized Concrete Autoencoders1 Mar 2024
- 2024DeepDRK: Deep Dependency Regularized Knockoff for Feature Selection27 Feb 2024
- 2024High-Dimensional False Discovery Rate Control for Dependent Variables28 Jan 2024
- 2024FDR-Controlled Portfolio Optimization for Sparse Financial Index Tracking26 Jan 2024
- 2024Deep Learning-based Group Causal Inference in Multivariate Time-series16 Jan 2024
- 2024Sparse PCA with False Discovery Rate Controlled Variable Selection16 Jan 2024
50 newest of 97 All 97 (JSON)
- 2025Diffusion-Driven High-Dimensional Variable Selectioncited by 0
- 2025Diffusion-Driven High-Dimensional Variable Selection19 Aug 2025
- 2023Feature Importance: A Closer Look at Shapley Values and LOCOcited by 23
- 2023Convergence of uncertainty estimates in Ensemble and Bayesian sparse model discoverycited by 15
- 2023Derandomized Novelty Detection with FDR Control via Conformal E-valuescited by 15
- 2022Model-X Sequential Testing for Conditional Independence via Testing by Bettingcited by 14
- 2024Knockoff-Guided Feature Selection via A Single Pre-trained Reinforced Agentcited by 14
- 2021Data fission: splitting a single data pointcited by 13
- 2022Composite Feature Selection using Deep Ensemblescited by 11
- 2021The Terminating-Random Experiments Selector: Fast High-Dimensional Variable Selection with False Discovery Rate Controlcited by 10
- 2023Conformal link prediction for false discovery rate controlcited by 9
- 2024Task-Agnostic Machine-Learning-Assisted Inferencecited by 8
- 2021Bridging Breiman's Brook: From Algorithmic Modeling to Statistical Learningcited by 7
- 2023Sequential Knockoffs for Variable Selection in Reinforcement Learningcited by 7
12 most cited of 94 All 94 (JSON)
- 2026Calibrated Derivative-Process Sensitivity for Gaussian-Process Variable Selection27 Sep 2026
- 2026Null importance: Disentangling relevance for interpretable machine learning16 Sep 2026
- 2026Model-Agnostic FDR Control via Group Gaussian Mirror and Permutation SHAP2 Aug 2026
- 2026Null-Calibrated Conformal Selection via Target-Membership Scores21 Jun 2026
- 2026Measurement Under Selection: Decoy-Calibrated Failure Audits for Language Models8 Jun 2026
- 2026Knockoffs-based False Discovery Rate Control and Simplification for Deep Neural Networks3 Jun 2026
- 2026A Distribution-Free Framework for Rewrite-Based Human-text Detection via Knockoff Filtering29 May 2026
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offs26 May 2026
- 2026Controlling False Discovery in Arbitrarily Structured Hypothesis Spaces via Reproducing Kernels17 May 2026
- 2026Trustworthy Feature Importance Avoids Unrestricted Permutations13 Apr 2026
- 2026Virtual Dummies: Enabling Scalable FDR-Controlled Variable Selection via Sequential Sampling of Null Features8 Apr 2026
- 2026Beyond False Discovery Rate: A Stepdown Group SLOPE Approach for Grouped Variable Selection1 Mar 2026
12 newest of 94 All 94 (JSON)