A distribution-free valid p-value for finite samples of bounded random variables
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Abstract (arXiv)
We build a valid p-value based on a concentration inequality for bounded random variables introduced by Pelekis, Ramon and Wang. The motivation behind this work is the calibration of predictive algorithms in a distribution-free setting. The super-uniform p-value is tighter than Hoeffding and Bentkus alternatives in certain regions. Even though we are motivated by a calibration setting in a machine learning context, the ideas presented in this work are also relevant in classical statistical inference. Furthermore, we compare the power of a collection of valid p- values for bounded losses, which are presented in previous literature.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 6 of its 10 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 May 2024.
Builds on
6 of 10 references.
References · 6
- 2021Distribution-Free, Risk-Controlling Prediction Setscited by 288
- 2021Learn then Test: Calibrating Predictive Algorithms to Achieve Risk Controlcited by 271
- 2023Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 220
- 2021Testing for Outliers with Conformal p-valuescited by 134
- 2014Controlling the false discovery rate via knockoffscited by 97
- 2022Integrative conformal p-values for powerful out-of-distribution testing with labeled outlierscited by 19
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 1.
1 paper.
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