mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Forecasting Motion in the Wild

arXiv 2604.01015 ↗First posted 1 Apr 2026cs.CVcited by 4

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Abstract (arXiv)

Visual intelligence requires anticipating the future behavior of agents, yet vision systems lack a general representation for motion and behavior. We propose dense point trajectories as visual tokens for behavior, a structured mid-level representation that disentangles motion from appearance and generalizes across diverse non-rigid agents, such as animals in-the-wild. Building on this abstraction, we design a diffusion transformer that models unordered sets of trajectories and explicitly reasons about occlusion, enabling coherent forecasts of complex motion patterns. To evaluate at scale, we curate 300 hours of unconstrained animal video with robust shot detection and camera-motion compensation. Experiments show that forecasting trajectory tokens achieves category-agnostic, data-efficient prediction, outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, and generalizes to rare species and morphologies, providing a foundation for predictive visual intelligence in the wild.

Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 55 of its 90 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Apr 2026.

Builds on

55 of 90 references.

References · 55

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38 more
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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.

4 papers.

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  1. 2026Envisioning the Future, One Step at a Time
  2. 2026Foresight Without Seeing: Latent Futures for World Action Models
  3. 2026UniNav: A Unified World-Action Diffusion Model for Visual Navigation
  4. 2026MoWAM: Explicit Future Motion Prediction for Efficient World Action Models
  5. 2026FoMoVLA: Bridging Visual Foresight and Motion Guidance for Vision-Language-Action Models
  6. 2026TrajLoom: Dense Future Trajectory Generation from Video
  7. 2025AstraNav-World: World Model for Foresight Control and Consistency
  8. 2025PlaySlot: Learning Inverse Latent Dynamics for Controllable Object-Centric Video Prediction and Planning