CausalCity: Complex Simulations with Agency for Causal Discovery and Reasoning
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Abstract (arXiv)
The ability to perform causal and counterfactual reasoning are central properties of human intelligence. Decision-making systems that can perform these types of reasoning have the potential to be more generalizable and interpretable. Simulations have helped advance the state-of-the-art in this domain, by providing the ability to systematically vary parameters (e.g., confounders) and generate examples of the outcomes in the case of counterfactual scenarios. However, simulating complex temporal causal events in multi-agent scenarios, such as those that exist in driving and vehicle navigation, is challenging. To help address this, we present a high-fidelity simulation environment that is designed for developing algorithms for causal discovery and counterfactual reasoning in the safety-critical context. A core component of our work is to introduce textitagency, such that it is simple to define and create complex scenarios using high-level definitions. The vehicles then operate with agency to complete these objectives, meaning low-level behaviors need only be controlled if necessary. We perform experiments with three state-of-the-art methods to create baselines and highlight the affordances of this environment. Finally, we highlight challenges and opportunities for future work.
Key facts. Cited by 23 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 40 of its 69 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Jun 2021.
Builds on
40 of 69 references.
References · 40
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- 2019Contrastive Learning of Structured World Modelscited by 209
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 5; 2023: 8; 2024: 3; 2025: 3; 2026: 2.
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- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causalcited by 150
- 2022SafeBench: A Benchmarking Platform for Safety Evaluation of Autonomous Vehiclescited by 66
- 2021Systematic Evaluation of Causal Discovery in Visual Model Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspectivecited by 40
- 2024Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?cited by 38
- 2023Towards Trustworthy and Aligned Machine Learning: A Data-centric Survey with Causality Perspectivescited by 30
- 2025CausalRivers -- Scaling up benchmarking of causal discovery for real-world time-seriescited by 26
- 2022Towards Understanding How Machines Can Learn Causal Overhypothesescited by 14
- 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarioscited by 12
- 2023Synthetic Data in Healthcarecited by 8
- 2022Learning Causal Overhypotheses through Exploration in Children and Computational Modelscited by 7
- 2022Vision Paper: Causal Inference for Interpretable and Robust Machine Learning in Mobility Analysiscited by 6
11 more
- 2023Evaluating Temporal Observation-Based Causal Discovery Techniques Applied to Road Driver Behaviourcited by 5
- 2023Sim-to-Real Causal Transfer: A Metric Learning Approach to Causally-Aware Interaction Representationscited by 4
- 2024Take A Step Back: Rethinking the Two Stages in Visual Reasoningcited by 4
- 2024Language Models as Causal Effect Generatorscited by 4
- 2023Simulation-Based Counterfactual Causal Discovery on Real World Driver Behaviourcited by 3
- 2023Causally Disentangled Generative Variational AutoEncodercited by 2
- 2023TraffNet: Learning Causality of Traffic Generation for What-if Predictioncited by 1
- 2025AuthSim: Towards Authentic and Effective Safety-critical Scenario Generation for Autonomous Driving Testscited by 1
- 2025Evaluation of adaptive sampling methods in scenario generation for virtual safety impact assessment of pre-crash safety systemscited by 0
- 2026Learning to Deny: Action Denial in Multimodal Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2026Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligencecited by 0
- 2026Do World Models Make Better Robots? A Survey of Evaluation Benchmarks for Predictive Embodied Intelligence30 Aug 2026
- 2026Learning to Deny: Action Denial in Multimodal Large Language Models30 Jun 2026
- 2025CausalRivers -- Scaling up benchmarking of causal discovery for real-world time-series21 Mar 2025
- 2025Evaluation of adaptive sampling methods in scenario generation for virtual safety impact assessment of pre-crash safety systems2 Mar 2025
- 2025AuthSim: Towards Authentic and Effective Safety-critical Scenario Generation for Autonomous Driving Tests28 Feb 2025
- 2024Language Models as Causal Effect Generators12 Nov 2024
- 2024Take A Step Back: Rethinking the Two Stages in Visual Reasoning29 Jul 2024
- 2024Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?11 Apr 2024
- 2023Sim-to-Real Causal Transfer: A Metric Learning Approach to Causally-Aware Interaction Representations7 Dec 2023
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal24 Aug 2023
- 2023Towards Trustworthy and Aligned Machine Learning: A Data-centric Survey with Causality Perspectives31 Jul 2023
- 2023Simulation-Based Counterfactual Causal Discovery on Real World Driver Behaviour6 Jun 2023
11 more
- 2023Synthetic Data in Healthcare6 Apr 2023
- 2023TraffNet: Learning Causality of Traffic Generation for What-if Prediction28 Mar 2023
- 2023Causally Disentangled Generative Variational AutoEncoder23 Feb 2023
- 2023Evaluating Temporal Observation-Based Causal Discovery Techniques Applied to Road Driver Behaviour31 Jan 2023
- 2022Vision Paper: Causal Inference for Interpretable and Robust Machine Learning in Mobility Analysis18 Oct 2022
- 2022SafeBench: A Benchmarking Platform for Safety Evaluation of Autonomous Vehicles20 Jun 2022
- 2022Towards Understanding How Machines Can Learn Causal Overhypotheses16 Jun 2022
- 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarios4 Jun 2022
- 2022Learning Causal Overhypotheses through Exploration in Children and Computational Models21 Feb 2022
- 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspective29 Nov 2021
- 2021Systematic Evaluation of Causal Discovery in Visual Model Based Reinforcement Learning2 Jul 2021
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causalcited by 150
- 2021Systematic Evaluation of Causal Discovery in Visual Model Based Reinforcement Learningcited by 53
- 2021Towards Robust and Adaptive Motion Forecasting: A Causal Representation Perspectivecited by 40
- 2024Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?cited by 38
- 2025CausalRivers -- Scaling up benchmarking of causal discovery for real-world time-seriescited by 26
- 2022Towards Understanding How Machines Can Learn Causal Overhypothesescited by 14
- 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarioscited by 12
- 2023Synthetic Data in Healthcarecited by 8
- 2022Learning Causal Overhypotheses through Exploration in Children and Computational Modelscited by 7
- 2022Vision Paper: Causal Inference for Interpretable and Robust Machine Learning in Mobility Analysiscited by 6
- 2023Evaluating Temporal Observation-Based Causal Discovery Techniques Applied to Road Driver Behaviourcited by 5
- 2023Sim-to-Real Causal Transfer: A Metric Learning Approach to Causally-Aware Interaction Representationscited by 4
12 most cited of 17 All 17 (JSON)
- 2025CausalRivers -- Scaling up benchmarking of causal discovery for real-world time-series21 Mar 2025
- 2025Evaluation of adaptive sampling methods in scenario generation for virtual safety impact assessment of pre-crash safety systems2 Mar 2025
- 2024Language Models as Causal Effect Generators12 Nov 2024
- 2024Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?11 Apr 2024
- 2023Sim-to-Real Causal Transfer: A Metric Learning Approach to Causally-Aware Interaction Representations7 Dec 2023
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causal24 Aug 2023
- 2023Simulation-Based Counterfactual Causal Discovery on Real World Driver Behaviour6 Jun 2023
- 2023Synthetic Data in Healthcare6 Apr 2023
- 2023TraffNet: Learning Causality of Traffic Generation for What-if Prediction28 Mar 2023
- 2023Causally Disentangled Generative Variational AutoEncoder23 Feb 2023
- 2023Evaluating Temporal Observation-Based Causal Discovery Techniques Applied to Road Driver Behaviour31 Jan 2023
- 2022Vision Paper: Causal Inference for Interpretable and Robust Machine Learning in Mobility Analysis18 Oct 2022
12 newest of 17 All 17 (JSON)