Deep Structural Causal Models for Tractable Counterfactual Inference
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Abstract (arXiv)
We formulate a general framework for building structural causal models (SCMs) with deep learning components. The proposed approach employs normalising flows and variational inference to enable tractable inference of exogenous noise variables - a crucial step for counterfactual inference that is missing from existing deep causal learning methods. Our framework is validated on a synthetic dataset built on MNIST as well as on a real-world medical dataset of brain MRI scans. Our experimental results indicate that we can successfully train deep SCMs that are capable of all three levels of Pearl's ladder of causation: association, intervention, and counterfactuals, giving rise to a powerful new approach for answering causal questions in imaging applications and beyond. The code for all our experiments is available at https://github.com/biomedia-mira/deepscm.
Key facts. Cited by 210 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 11 Jun 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 20; 2022: 39; 2023: 45; 2024: 32; 2025: 39; 2026: 35.
210 papers.
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- 2023HalluciDoctor: Mitigating Hallucinatory Toxicity in Visual Instruction Datacited by 124
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50 most cited of 210 All 210 (JSON)
- 2026Spatially Gated Diffusion for Localized Counterfactual Chest Radiograph Editing30 Sep 2026
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- 2026Scaling Generative Foundation Models for Chest Radiography with Rectified Flow Transformers17 Jun 2026
- 2026Debiased Counterfactual Generation via Flow Matching from Observations8 May 2026
- 2026Causality-Encoded Diffusion Models for Interventional Sampling and Edge Inference23 Apr 2026
- 2026Elucidating the Design Space of Flow Matching for Cellular Microscopy25 Mar 2026
- 2026PolypSteer: Counterfactual Endoscopic Synthesis via Training-Free Activation Steering7 Mar 2026
- 2025Causal-Adapter: Taming Text-to-Image Diffusion for Faithful Counterfactual Generation29 Sep 2025
- 2025DoubleGen: Debiased Generative Modeling of Counterfactuals20 Sep 2025
- 2025Integrating Anatomical Priors into a Causal Diffusion Model10 Sep 2025
- 2025Diffusion-Based Data Augmentation for Medical Image Segmentation25 Aug 2025
- 2025Causally Steered Diffusion for Automated Video Counterfactual Generation17 Jun 2025
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- 2022Diffusion Causal Models for Counterfactual Estimationcited by 87
- 2023Identifiability Guarantees for Causal Disentanglement from Soft Interventionscited by 84
- 2021Learning from Counterfactual Links for Link Predictioncited by 69
- 2022Causal Machine Learning for Healthcare and Precision Medicinecited by 68
- 2021Beyond Trivial Counterfactual Explanations with Diverse Valuable Explanationscited by 56
- 2022Neural Causal Models for Counterfactual Identification and Estimationcited by 54
- 2023High Fidelity Image Counterfactuals with Probabilistic Causal Modelscited by 53
- 2022What is Healthy? Generative Counterfactual Diffusion for Lesion Localizationcited by 52
- 2021Learning Disentangled Representations in the Imaging Domaincited by 46
- 2022A Causal Lens for Controllable Text Generationcited by 45
12 most cited of 183 All 183 (JSON)
- 2026Spatially Gated Diffusion for Localized Counterfactual Chest Radiograph Editing30 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning Causal Normalizing Flows from Incomplete Data via Observed-Data Likelihood29 Sep 2026
- 2026Pulseflow: PPG Counterfactual Generation Via Latent Transport27 Sep 2026
- 2026CAFE: Counterfactual Prediction via Fast Posterior Estimation26 Sep 2026
- 2026Generating Chest X-Ray Counterfactuals by Specialising Foundation Image Models21 Sep 2026
- 2026To do(x) or not to do(x): Medical Image Counterfactuals for Dataset Augmentation12 Sep 2026
- 2026Counterfactual Marginalisation: Framework for Evaluating Robustness to Nuisance Variables9 Sep 2026
- 2026Adversarial Causal Intervention Falsification5 Aug 2026
- 2026RetiSEM: Generalising Causal Models for Fragmented Biomedical Data23 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Variational Deep Embedding: A Family of Interventional Generators for Confounded Images19 Jun 2026
- 2026Are Good Generators Good Decision-Makers? Policy Learning for General Interventions via Retargeted Counterfactual Generation5 Jun 2026
- 2026CauTion: Knowing When to Trust LLMs for Ensemble Causal Discovery2 Jun 2026
12 newest of 183 All 183 (JSON)