Deep Structural Causal Shape Models
On the map: LLM reasoning → Clinical and biomedical applications
Abstract (arXiv)
Causal reasoning provides a language to ask important interventional and counterfactual questions beyond purely statistical association. In medical imaging, for example, we may want to study the causal effect of genetic, environmental, or lifestyle factors on the normal and pathological variation of anatomical phenotypes. However, while anatomical shape models of 3D surface meshes, extracted from automated image segmentation, can be reliably constructed, there is a lack of computational tooling to enable causal reasoning about morphological variations. To tackle this problem, we propose deep structural causal shape models (CSMs), which utilise high-quality mesh generation techniques, from geometric deep learning, within the expressive framework of deep structural causal models. CSMs enable subject-specific prognoses through counterfactual mesh generation ("How would this patient's brain structure change if they were ten years older?"), which is in contrast to most current works on purely population-level statistical shape modelling. We demonstrate the capabilities of CSMs at all levels of Pearl's causal hierarchy through a number of qualitative and quantitative experiments leveraging a large dataset of 3D brain structures.
Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Clinical and biomedical applications, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 48 of its 80 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Aug 2022.
Builds on
48 of 80 references.
References · 48
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 4; 2024: 2; 2025: 4; 2026: 1.
11 papers.
- 2023Emerging Synergies in Causality and Deep Generative Models: A Surveycited by 10
- 2025Diffusion Counterfactual Generation with Semantic Abductioncited by 10
- 2023A Conditional Flow Variational Autoencoder for Controllable Synthesis of Virtual Populations of Anatomycited by 6
- 2024Invariant Shape Representation Learning For Image Classificationcited by 5
- 2024Applications of interpretable deep learning in neuroimaging: a comprehensive reviewcited by 3
- 2025Vector Representations of Vessel Treescited by 3
- 2025Probabilistic Modelling is Sufficient for Causal Inferencecited by 2
- 2026Generating Chest X-Ray Counterfactuals by Specialising Foundation Image Modelscited by 1
- 2023Studying Therapy Effects and Disease Outcomes in Silico using Artificial Counterfactual Tissue Samplescited by 0
- 2023MoleCLUEs: Molecular Conformers Maximally In-Distribution for Predictive Modelscited by 0
- 2025Shape Modeling of Longitudinal Medical Images: From Diffeomorphic Metric Mapping to Deep Learningcited by 0
- 2026Generating Chest X-Ray Counterfactuals by Specialising Foundation Image Models21 Sep 2026
- 2025Probabilistic Modelling is Sufficient for Causal Inference29 Dec 2025
- 2025Vector Representations of Vessel Trees11 Jun 2025
- 2025Diffusion Counterfactual Generation with Semantic Abduction9 Jun 2025
- 2025Shape Modeling of Longitudinal Medical Images: From Diffeomorphic Metric Mapping to Deep Learning27 Mar 2025
- 2024Invariant Shape Representation Learning For Image Classification19 Nov 2024
- 2024Applications of interpretable deep learning in neuroimaging: a comprehensive review30 May 2024
- 2023A Conditional Flow Variational Autoencoder for Controllable Synthesis of Virtual Populations of Anatomy26 Jun 2023
- 2023MoleCLUEs: Molecular Conformers Maximally In-Distribution for Predictive Models20 Jun 2023
- 2023Studying Therapy Effects and Disease Outcomes in Silico using Artificial Counterfactual Tissue Samples6 Feb 2023
- 2023Emerging Synergies in Causality and Deep Generative Models: A Survey29 Jan 2023
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- 2023Mesh2SSM: From Surface Meshes to Statistical Shape Models of Anatomy
- 2025Integrating Anatomical Priors into a Causal Diffusion Model
- 2025Mesh2SSM++: A Probabilistic Framework for Unsupervised Learning of Statistical Shape Model of Anatomies from Surface Meshes
- 2023Point2SSM: Learning Morphological Variations of Anatomies from Point Cloud
- 2024Weakly Supervised Bayesian Shape Modeling from Unsegmented Medical Images
- 2025CAUSAL3D: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Causal Learning from Visual Data
- 2026MorphoFlow: Sparse-Supervised Generative Shape Modeling with Adaptive Latent Relevance
- 2024Probabilistic 3D Correspondence Prediction from Sparse Unsegmented Images