Actions Speak Louder Than Goals: Valuing Player Actions in Soccer
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Abstract (arXiv)
Assessing the impact of the individual actions performed by soccer players during games is a crucial aspect of the player recruitment process. Unfortunately, most traditional metrics fall short in addressing this task as they either focus on rare actions like shots and goals alone or fail to account for the context in which the actions occurred. This paper introduces (1) a new language for describing individual player actions on the pitch and (2) a framework for valuing any type of player action based on its impact on the game outcome while accounting for the context in which the action happened. By aggregating soccer players' action values, their total offensive and defensive contributions to their team can be quantified. We show how our approach considers relevant contextual information that traditional player evaluation metrics ignore and present a number of use cases related to scouting and playing style characterization in the 2016/2017 and 2017/2018 seasons in Europe's top competitions.
Key facts. Cited by 90 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 18 Feb 2018.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 17; 2022: 10; 2023: 15; 2024: 11; 2025: 21; 2026: 16.
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- 2021Camera Calibration and Player Localization in SoccerNet-v2 and Investigation of their Representations for Action Spottingcited by 43
- 2023VARS: Video Assistant Referee System for Automated Soccer Decision Making from Multiple Viewscited by 38
- 2023Hulk: A Universal Knowledge Translator for Human-Centric Taskscited by 22
- 2021ShuttleNet: Position-aware Fusion of Rally Progress and Player Styles for Stroke Forecasting in Badmintoncited by 21
- 2022Evaluation of creating scoring opportunities for teammates in soccer via trajectory predictioncited by 19
- 2021Evaluation of soccer team defense based on prediction models of ball recovery and being attacked: A pilot studycited by 16
- 2023Towards Active Learning for Action Spotting in Association Football Videoscited by 14
- 2023ShuttleSet: A Human-Annotated Stroke-Level Singles Dataset for Badminton Tactical Analysiscited by 13
- 2023Ball Trajectory Inference from Multi-Agent Sports Contexts Using Set Transformer and Hierarchical Bi-LSTMcited by 12
- 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarioscited by 11
- 2024TeamTrack: A Dataset for Multi-Sport Multi-Object Tracking in Full-pitch Videoscited by 11
- 2024TranSPORTmer: A Holistic Approach to Trajectory Understanding in Multi-Agent Sportscited by 11
38 more
- 2021What Happened Next? Using Deep Learning to Value Defensive Actions in Football Event-Datacited by 10
- 2021Exploring the Long Short-Term Dependencies to Infer Shot Influence in Badminton Matchescited by 10
- 2022Automatic event detection in football using tracking datacited by 10
- 2023Transformer-Based Neural Marked Spatio Temporal Point Process Model for Football Match Events Analysiscited by 10
- 2024A Comprehensive Survey on Inverse Constrained Reinforcement Learning: Definitions, Progress and Challengescited by 10
- 2023Action valuation of on- and off-ball soccer players based on multi-agent deep reinforcement learningcited by 9
- 2023Benchmarking Stroke Forecasting with Stroke-Level Badminton Datasetcited by 8
- 2022Location analysis of players in UEFA EURO 2020 and 2022 using generalized valuation of defense by estimating probabilitiescited by 7
- 2023A Machine Learning Approach for Player and Position Adjusted Expected Goals in Football (Soccer)cited by 7
- 2023A Strategic Framework for Optimal Decisions in Football 1-vs-1 Shot-Taking Situations: An Integrated Approach of Machine Learning, Theory-Based Modeling, and Game Theorycited by 7
- 2024Foul prediction with estimated poses from soccer broadcast videocited by 7
- 2025OpenSTARLab: Open Approach for Spatio-Temporal Agent Data Analysis in Soccercited by 7
- 2025F3Set: Towards Analyzing Fast, Frequent, and Fine-grained Events from Videoscited by 7
- 2021Data-driven Analysis for Understanding Team Sports Behaviorscited by 6
- 2022Graph Neural Networks to Predict Sports Outcomescited by 6
- 2022ESTA: An Esports Trajectory and Action Datasetcited by 6
- 2021"Why Would I Trust Your Numbers?" On the Explainability of Expected Values in Soccercited by 5
- 2021How does AI play football? An analysis of RL and real-world football strategiescited by 5
- 2022VREN: Volleyball Rally Dataset with Expression Notation Languagecited by 5
- 2024Forecasting Events in Soccer Matches Through Languagecited by 5
- 2025Common Data Format (CDF): A Standardized Format for Match-Data in Football (Soccer)cited by 5
- 2021A Unified Taxonomy and Multimodal Dataset for Events in Invasion Gamescited by 4
- 2025TrackID3x3: A Dataset and Algorithm for Multi-Player Tracking with Identification and Pose Estimation in 3x3 Basketball Full-court Videoscited by 4
- 2025SoccerNet-v3D: Leveraging Sports Broadcast Replays for 3D Scene Understandingcited by 4
- 2021EventAnchor: Reducing Human Interactions in Event Annotation of Racket Sports Videoscited by 3
- 2024Estimating Player Performance in Different Contexts Using Fine-tuned Large Events Modelscited by 3
- 2024A Foundation Model for Soccercited by 3
- 2021Scalable Marked Point Processes for Exchangeable and Non-Exchangeable Event Sequencescited by 2
- 2021Learning Football Body-Orientation as a Matter of Classificationcited by 2
- 2023Graph Encoding and Neural Network Approaches for Volleyball Analytics: From Game Outcome to Individual Play Predictionscited by 2
- 2024Machine Learning for Soccer Match Result Predictioncited by 2
- 2025Forecasting the future development in quality and value of professional football playerscited by 2
- 2025Through the Gaps: Uncovering Tactical Line-Breaking Passes with Clusteringcited by 2
- 2025Better Prevent than Tackle: Valuing Defense in Soccer Based on Graph Neural Networkscited by 2
- 2021Coach2vec: autoencoding the playing style of soccer coachescited by 1
- 20216MapNet: Representing soccer players from tracking data by a triplet networkcited by 1
- 2021Towards optimized actions in critical situations of soccer games with deep reinforcement learningcited by 1
- 2022A Multi-stage deep architecture for summary generation of soccer videoscited by 1
50 most cited of 90 All 90 (JSON)
- 2026Graph-to-Grid (G2G): Continuous-Coordinate Feature Painting for Soccer Pass Surfaces21 Sep 2026
- 2026A Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Quantifying Offensive Impact in Professional Box Lacrosse6 Sep 2026
- 2026H-VAEP and H-xT: Valuing Offensive On-the-Ball Actions in Handball by Estimating Probabilities13 Aug 2026
- 2026Space-Creating versus Dead Possession: An Off-Ball Possession-Quality Index for Broadcast Football10 Aug 2026
- 2026SportD: How do VLMs physically strategize?16 Jul 2026
- 2026Monte Carlo Pass Search: Using Trajectory Generation for 3D Counterfactual Pass Evaluation in Football9 Jun 2026
- 2026A Universal Dense Football Event Representation Based on TabTransformer8 Jun 2026
- 2026Maximising the Set-Piece Return: Optimising Football Corner Tactics with Graph Reinforcement Learning4 Jun 2026
- 2026Interpretable Machine Learning for Football Performance Analysis: Evidence of Limited Transferability from Elite Leagues to University Competition11 May 2026
- 2026Structural Pass Analysis in Football: Learning Pass Archetypes and Tactical Impact from Spatio-Temporal Tracking Data30 Mar 2026
- 2026Objective Mispricing Detection for Shortlisting Undervalued Football Players via Market Dynamics and News Signals18 Mar 2026
- 2026Modeling Matches as Language: A Generative Transformer Approach for Counterfactual Player Valuation in Football16 Mar 2026
38 more
- 2026Wide Open Gazes: Quantifying Visual Exploratory Behavior in Soccer with Pose Enhanced Positional Data19 Feb 2026
- 2026PathCRF: Ball-Free Soccer Event Detection via Possession Path Inference from Player Trajectories12 Feb 2026
- 2026VERSA: Verified Event Data Format for Reliable Soccer Analytics29 Jan 2026
- 2026A Machine Learning Framework for Off Ball Defensive Role and Performance Evaluation in Football2 Jan 2026
- 2025Better Prevent than Tackle: Valuing Defense in Soccer Based on Graph Neural Networks11 Dec 2025
- 2025Large-Scale In-Game Outcome Forecasting for Match, Team and Players in Football using an Axial Transformer Neural Network24 Nov 2025
- 2025Analysis of Line Break prediction models for detecting defensive breakthrough in football31 Oct 2025
- 2025Expandable Decision-Making States for Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning in Soccer Tactical Analysis1 Oct 2025
- 2025SoccerTrack v2: A Full-Pitch Panoramic Video Dataset for Game State Reconstruction and Ball Action Spotting3 Aug 2025
- 2025Forecasting NCAA Basketball Outcomes with Deep Learning: A Comparative Study of LSTM and Transformer Models1 Aug 2025
- 2025What Makes a Dribble Successful? Insights From 3D Pose Tracking Data25 Jun 2025
- 2025Through the Gaps: Uncovering Tactical Line-Breaking Passes with Clustering7 Jun 2025
- 2025MVP-Shapley: Feature-based Modeling for Evaluating the Most Valuable Player in Basketball5 Jun 2025
- 2025Space evaluation at the starting point of soccer transitions17 May 2025
- 2025The When and How of Target Variable Transformations29 Apr 2025
- 2025SoccerNet-v3D: Leveraging Sports Broadcast Replays for 3D Scene Understanding14 Apr 2025
- 2025F3Set: Towards Analyzing Fast, Frequent, and Fine-grained Events from Videos11 Apr 2025
- 2025Action Valuation in Sports: A Survey8 Apr 2025
- 2025Automated Explanation of Machine Learning Models of Footballing Actions in Words1 Apr 2025
- 2025TrackID3x3: A Dataset and Algorithm for Multi-Player Tracking with Identification and Pose Estimation in 3x3 Basketball Full-court Videos24 Mar 2025
- 2025Unveiling Hidden Pivotal Players with GoalNet: A GNN-Based Soccer Player Evaluation System12 Mar 2025
- 2025Forecasting the future development in quality and value of professional football players11 Feb 2025
- 2025Common Data Format (CDF): A Standardized Format for Match-Data in Football (Soccer)6 Feb 2025
- 2025OpenSTARLab: Open Approach for Spatio-Temporal Agent Data Analysis in Soccer5 Feb 2025
- 2025PandaSkill - Player Performance and Skill Rating in Esports: Application to League of Legends17 Jan 2025
- 2024TranSPORTmer: A Holistic Approach to Trajectory Understanding in Multi-Agent Sports23 Oct 2024
- 2024A Comprehensive Survey on Inverse Constrained Reinforcement Learning: Definitions, Progress and Challenges11 Sep 2024
- 2024A Foundation Model for Soccer18 Jul 2024
- 2024TeamTrack: A Dataset for Multi-Sport Multi-Object Tracking in Full-pitch Videos22 Apr 2024
- 2024Machine Learning for Soccer Match Result Prediction12 Mar 2024
- 2024Foul prediction with estimated poses from soccer broadcast video15 Feb 2024
- 2024Understanding team collapse via probabilistic graphical models14 Feb 2024
- 2024Forecasting Events in Soccer Matches Through Language9 Feb 2024
- 2024Estimating Player Performance in Different Contexts Using Fine-tuned Large Events Models9 Feb 2024
- 2024Performance Insights-based AI-driven Football Transfer Fee Prediction30 Jan 2024
- 2024Investigating Fouling Efficiency in Football Using Expected Booking (xB) Model16 Jan 2024
- 2023Hulk: A Universal Knowledge Translator for Human-Centric Tasks4 Dec 2023
- 2023Evaluating Soccer Match Prediction Models: A Deep Learning Approach and Feature Optimization for Gradient-Boosted Trees26 Sep 2023
50 newest of 90 All 90 (JSON)
- 2021Camera Calibration and Player Localization in SoccerNet-v2 and Investigation of their Representations for Action Spottingcited by 43
- 2023VARS: Video Assistant Referee System for Automated Soccer Decision Making from Multiple Viewscited by 38
- 2023Hulk: A Universal Knowledge Translator for Human-Centric Taskscited by 22
- 2021ShuttleNet: Position-aware Fusion of Rally Progress and Player Styles for Stroke Forecasting in Badmintoncited by 21
- 2022Evaluation of creating scoring opportunities for teammates in soccer via trajectory predictioncited by 19
- 2021Evaluation of soccer team defense based on prediction models of ball recovery and being attacked: A pilot studycited by 16
- 2023Towards Active Learning for Action Spotting in Association Football Videoscited by 14
- 2023ShuttleSet: A Human-Annotated Stroke-Level Singles Dataset for Badminton Tactical Analysiscited by 13
- 2023Ball Trajectory Inference from Multi-Agent Sports Contexts Using Set Transformer and Hierarchical Bi-LSTMcited by 12
- 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarioscited by 11
- 2024TeamTrack: A Dataset for Multi-Sport Multi-Object Tracking in Full-pitch Videoscited by 11
- 2024TranSPORTmer: A Holistic Approach to Trajectory Understanding in Multi-Agent Sportscited by 11
12 most cited of 89 All 89 (JSON)
- 2026Graph-to-Grid (G2G): Continuous-Coordinate Feature Painting for Soccer Pass Surfaces21 Sep 2026
- 2026A Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Quantifying Offensive Impact in Professional Box Lacrosse6 Sep 2026
- 2026H-VAEP and H-xT: Valuing Offensive On-the-Ball Actions in Handball by Estimating Probabilities13 Aug 2026
- 2026Space-Creating versus Dead Possession: An Off-Ball Possession-Quality Index for Broadcast Football10 Aug 2026
- 2026SportD: How do VLMs physically strategize?16 Jul 2026
- 2026A Universal Dense Football Event Representation Based on TabTransformer8 Jun 2026
- 2026Maximising the Set-Piece Return: Optimising Football Corner Tactics with Graph Reinforcement Learning4 Jun 2026
- 2026Interpretable Machine Learning for Football Performance Analysis: Evidence of Limited Transferability from Elite Leagues to University Competition11 May 2026
- 2026Structural Pass Analysis in Football: Learning Pass Archetypes and Tactical Impact from Spatio-Temporal Tracking Data30 Mar 2026
- 2026Objective Mispricing Detection for Shortlisting Undervalued Football Players via Market Dynamics and News Signals18 Mar 2026
- 2026Modeling Matches as Language: A Generative Transformer Approach for Counterfactual Player Valuation in Football16 Mar 2026
- 2026Wide Open Gazes: Quantifying Visual Exploratory Behavior in Soccer with Pose Enhanced Positional Data19 Feb 2026
12 newest of 89 All 89 (JSON)