mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Actions Speak Louder Than Goals: Valuing Player Actions in Soccer

arXiv 1802.07127 ↗First posted 18 Feb 2018stat.AP stat.MLcited by 90

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Abstract (arXiv)

Assessing the impact of the individual actions performed by soccer players during games is a crucial aspect of the player recruitment process. Unfortunately, most traditional metrics fall short in addressing this task as they either focus on rare actions like shots and goals alone or fail to account for the context in which the actions occurred. This paper introduces (1) a new language for describing individual player actions on the pitch and (2) a framework for valuing any type of player action based on its impact on the game outcome while accounting for the context in which the action happened. By aggregating soccer players' action values, their total offensive and defensive contributions to their team can be quantified. We show how our approach considers relevant contextual information that traditional player evaluation metrics ignore and present a number of use cases related to scouting and playing style characterization in the 2016/2017 and 2017/2018 seasons in Europe's top competitions.

Key facts. Cited by 90 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 18 Feb 2018.

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2021: 17; 2022: 10; 2023: 15; 2024: 11; 2025: 21; 2026: 16.

90 papers.

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  1. 2021Camera Calibration and Player Localization in SoccerNet-v2 and Investigation of their Representations for Action Spottingcited by 43
  2. 2023VARS: Video Assistant Referee System for Automated Soccer Decision Making from Multiple Viewscited by 38
  3. 2023Hulk: A Universal Knowledge Translator for Human-Centric Taskscited by 22
  4. 2021ShuttleNet: Position-aware Fusion of Rally Progress and Player Styles for Stroke Forecasting in Badmintoncited by 21
  5. 2022Evaluation of creating scoring opportunities for teammates in soccer via trajectory predictioncited by 19
  6. 2021Evaluation of soccer team defense based on prediction models of ball recovery and being attacked: A pilot studycited by 16
  7. 2023Towards Active Learning for Action Spotting in Association Football Videoscited by 14
  8. 2023ShuttleSet: A Human-Annotated Stroke-Level Singles Dataset for Badminton Tactical Analysiscited by 13
  9. 2023Ball Trajectory Inference from Multi-Agent Sports Contexts Using Set Transformer and Hierarchical Bi-LSTMcited by 12
  10. 2022Estimating counterfactual treatment outcomes over time in complex multiagent scenarioscited by 11
  11. 2024TeamTrack: A Dataset for Multi-Sport Multi-Object Tracking in Full-pitch Videoscited by 11
  12. 2024TranSPORTmer: A Holistic Approach to Trajectory Understanding in Multi-Agent Sportscited by 11
38 more
  1. 2021What Happened Next? Using Deep Learning to Value Defensive Actions in Football Event-Datacited by 10
  2. 2021Exploring the Long Short-Term Dependencies to Infer Shot Influence in Badminton Matchescited by 10
  3. 2022Automatic event detection in football using tracking datacited by 10
  4. 2023Transformer-Based Neural Marked Spatio Temporal Point Process Model for Football Match Events Analysiscited by 10
  5. 2024A Comprehensive Survey on Inverse Constrained Reinforcement Learning: Definitions, Progress and Challengescited by 10
  6. 2023Action valuation of on- and off-ball soccer players based on multi-agent deep reinforcement learningcited by 9
  7. 2023Benchmarking Stroke Forecasting with Stroke-Level Badminton Datasetcited by 8
  8. 2022Location analysis of players in UEFA EURO 2020 and 2022 using generalized valuation of defense by estimating probabilitiescited by 7
  9. 2023A Machine Learning Approach for Player and Position Adjusted Expected Goals in Football (Soccer)cited by 7
  10. 2023A Strategic Framework for Optimal Decisions in Football 1-vs-1 Shot-Taking Situations: An Integrated Approach of Machine Learning, Theory-Based Modeling, and Game Theorycited by 7
  11. 2024Foul prediction with estimated poses from soccer broadcast videocited by 7
  12. 2025OpenSTARLab: Open Approach for Spatio-Temporal Agent Data Analysis in Soccercited by 7
  13. 2025F3Set: Towards Analyzing Fast, Frequent, and Fine-grained Events from Videoscited by 7
  14. 2021Data-driven Analysis for Understanding Team Sports Behaviorscited by 6
  15. 2022Graph Neural Networks to Predict Sports Outcomescited by 6
  16. 2022ESTA: An Esports Trajectory and Action Datasetcited by 6
  17. 2021"Why Would I Trust Your Numbers?" On the Explainability of Expected Values in Soccercited by 5
  18. 2021How does AI play football? An analysis of RL and real-world football strategiescited by 5
  19. 2022VREN: Volleyball Rally Dataset with Expression Notation Languagecited by 5
  20. 2024Forecasting Events in Soccer Matches Through Languagecited by 5
  21. 2025Common Data Format (CDF): A Standardized Format for Match-Data in Football (Soccer)cited by 5
  22. 2021A Unified Taxonomy and Multimodal Dataset for Events in Invasion Gamescited by 4
  23. 2025TrackID3x3: A Dataset and Algorithm for Multi-Player Tracking with Identification and Pose Estimation in 3x3 Basketball Full-court Videoscited by 4
  24. 2025SoccerNet-v3D: Leveraging Sports Broadcast Replays for 3D Scene Understandingcited by 4
  25. 2021EventAnchor: Reducing Human Interactions in Event Annotation of Racket Sports Videoscited by 3
  26. 2024Estimating Player Performance in Different Contexts Using Fine-tuned Large Events Modelscited by 3
  27. 2024A Foundation Model for Soccercited by 3
  28. 2021Scalable Marked Point Processes for Exchangeable and Non-Exchangeable Event Sequencescited by 2
  29. 2021Learning Football Body-Orientation as a Matter of Classificationcited by 2
  30. 2023Graph Encoding and Neural Network Approaches for Volleyball Analytics: From Game Outcome to Individual Play Predictionscited by 2
  31. 2024Machine Learning for Soccer Match Result Predictioncited by 2
  32. 2025Forecasting the future development in quality and value of professional football playerscited by 2
  33. 2025Through the Gaps: Uncovering Tactical Line-Breaking Passes with Clusteringcited by 2
  34. 2025Better Prevent than Tackle: Valuing Defense in Soccer Based on Graph Neural Networkscited by 2
  35. 2021Coach2vec: autoencoding the playing style of soccer coachescited by 1
  36. 20216MapNet: Representing soccer players from tracking data by a triplet networkcited by 1
  37. 2021Towards optimized actions in critical situations of soccer games with deep reinforcement learningcited by 1
  38. 2022A Multi-stage deep architecture for summary generation of soccer videoscited by 1

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