Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instruments
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Abstract (arXiv)
Recidivism prediction instruments provide decision makers with an assessment of the likelihood that a criminal defendant will reoffend at a future point in time. While such instruments are gaining increasing popularity across the country, their use is attracting tremendous controversy. Much of the controversy concerns potential discriminatory bias in the risk assessments that are produced. This paper discusses a fairness criterion originating in the field of educational and psychological testing that has recently been applied to assess the fairness of recidivism prediction instruments. We demonstrate how adherence to the criterion may lead to considerable disparate impact when recidivism prevalence differs across groups.
Key facts. Cited by 671 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 24 Oct 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 125; 2022: 150; 2023: 112; 2024: 102; 2025: 98; 2026: 84.
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- 2023Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 626
- 2021Retiring Adult: New Datasets for Fair Machine Learningcited by 443
- 2021Towards Out-Of-Distribution Generalization: A Surveycited by 431
- 2022Last Layer Re-Training is Sufficient for Robustness to Spurious Correlationscited by 379
- 2021Trustworthy AI: From Principles to Practicescited by 206
- 2021Simple data balancing achieves competitive worst-group-accuracycited by 177
- 2021A survey on datasets for fairness-aware machine learningcited by 157
- 2021Benchmarking and Survey of Explanation Methods for Black Box Modelscited by 136
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- 2021Data Collection and Quality Challenges in Deep Learning: A Data-Centric AI Perspectivecited by 116
- 2021A Clarification of the Nuances in the Fairness Metrics Landscapecited by 98
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- 2026Structure-agnostic Causal Representation Learning1 Oct 2026
- 2026A Rank Graduation metric for Algorithmic fairness30 Sep 2026
- 2026Fairness Theatre: Evaluating Post-Hoc Fairness Interventions in Vendor-Controlled Early Warning Systems29 Sep 2026
- 2026When Entanglement Lower-Bounds Disparity: Auditing and Repairing Demographic Fairness in Audio Understanding Models23 Sep 2026
- 2026When Post-Processing Fairness Constraints Help and When They Harm: Evidence from Eight Cross-Domain Evaluations22 Sep 2026
- 2026Null importance: Disentangling relevance for interpretable machine learning16 Sep 2026
- 2026The AR Fairness Metamodel: A Structured Framework for Fairness Measures16 Sep 2026
- 2026FairLint-DL: An IDE-Native Tool for Fairness Debugging of Deep Learning Software14 Sep 2026
- 2026SCM-based Fairness and Faithful Explainability for Legal Document Classification3 Sep 2026
- 2026Causal Evidentiary Governance for High-Risk Machine Learning Systems1 Sep 2026
- 2026textttfindr: Transparent and Fair Credit Risk Decisions through Semi-Structured Regressions25 Aug 2026
12 newest of 656 All 656 (JSON)