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Do Fair Models Reason Fairly? Counterfactual Explanation Consistency for Procedural Fairness in Credit Decisions

arXiv 2605.12701 ↗First posted 12 May 2026cs.LG cs.AI cs.CEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Machine learning algorithms in socially sensitive domains (e.g., credit decisions) often focus on equalizing predictive outcomes. However, satisfying these metrics does not guarantee that models use the same reasoning for different groups. We show that existing outcome-fair models can still apply fundamentally different reasoning to individuals, a ``hidden procedural bias'' missed by standard fairness metrics and algorithms. We propose Counterfactual Explanation Consistency (CEC), a framework that detects and mitigates this bias by aligning feature attributions between individuals and their counterfactual counterparts. Key contributions include a nearest-neighbor counterfactual generation method, a modified baseline for integrated gradient comparisons, an individual-level procedural fairness metric, and a corresponding training loss. We introduce a taxonomy identifying ``Regime B'' (same outcome, different reasoning) as a critical blind spot. Experiments on synthetic data, German Credit, Adult Income, and HMDA mortgage data demonstrate that outcome-fair baselines exhibit substantial hidden bias, while CEC substantially reduces it with modest utility cost.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 40 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 May 2026.

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References · 22

  1. 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,555
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  11. 2016Inherent Trade-Offs in the Fair Determination of Risk Scorescited by 586
  12. 2019Fooling LIME and SHAP: Adversarial Attacks on Post hoc Explanation Methodscited by 443
10 more
  1. 2019FACE: Feasible and Actionable Counterfactual Explanationscited by 233
  2. 2018Path-Specific Counterfactual Fairnesscited by 181
  3. 2022OpenXAI: Towards a Transparent Evaluation of Model Explanationscited by 126
  4. 2018Optimization with Non-Differentiable Constraints with Applications to Fairness, Recall, Churn, and Other Goalscited by 103
  5. 2021CARLA: A Python Library to Benchmark Algorithmic Recourse and Counterfactual Explanation Algorithmscited by 86
  6. 2018Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networkscited by 56
  7. 2022Fairness via Explanation Quality: Evaluating Disparities in the Quality of Post hoc Explanationscited by 40
  8. 2020Explainability for fair machine learningcited by 34
  9. 2023Fairness and Accuracy under Domain Generalizationcited by 24
  10. 2022Fairness and Explainability: Bridging the Gap Towards Fair Model Explanationscited by 22

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