Model-based RL with Optimistic Posterior Sampling: Structural Conditions and Sample Complexity
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose a general framework to design posterior sampling methods for model-based RL. We show that the proposed algorithms can be analyzed by reducing regret to Hellinger distance in conditional probability estimation. We further show that optimistic posterior sampling can control this Hellinger distance, when we measure model error via data likelihood. This technique allows us to design and analyze unified posterior sampling algorithms with state-of-the-art sample complexity guarantees for many model-based RL settings. We illustrate our general result in many special cases, demonstrating the versatility of our framework.
Key facts. Cited by 32 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 37 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2022.
Builds on
37 of 58 references.
References · 37
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- 2019Mastering Atari, Go, Chess and Shogi by Planning with a Learned Modelcited by 1,353
- 2018Deep Reinforcement Learning in a Handful of Trials using Probabilistic Dynamics Modelscited by 774
- 2016Deep Exploration via Bootstrapped DQNcited by 527
- 2019Provably Efficient Reinforcement Learning with Linear Function Approximationcited by 520
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- 2017A Tutorial on Thompson Samplingcited by 433
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- 2016Contextual Decision Processes with Low Bellman Rank are PAC-Learnablecited by 292
- 2020Model-Based Reinforcement Learning with Value-Targeted Regressioncited by 234
- 2013(More) Efficient Reinforcement Learning via Posterior Samplingcited by 233
- 2020FLAMBE: Structural Complexity and Representation Learning of Low Rank MDPscited by 233
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- 2021Bellman Eluder Dimension: New Rich Classes of RL Problems, and Sample-Efficient Algorithmscited by 223
- 2015Contextual Markov Decision Processescited by 220
- 2021The Statistical Complexity of Interactive Decision Makingcited by 218
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- 2020Naive Exploration is Optimal for Online LQRcited by 116
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- 2019Frequentist Regret Bounds for Randomized Least-Squares Value Iterationcited by 101
- 2019Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning using Linearly Combined Model Ensemblescited by 100
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- 2021Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Bandits and Reinforcement Learningcited by 66
- 2017Ensemble Samplingcited by 62
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- 2017Posterior sampling for reinforcement learning: worst-case regret boundscited by 29
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 2; 2023: 14; 2024: 9; 2025: 3; 2026: 4.
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- 2024More Efficient Randomized Exploration for Reinforcement Learning via Approximate Sampling18 Jun 2024
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- 2024Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Dueling Bandits9 Apr 2024
20 more
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- 2024Optimistic Thompson Sampling for No-Regret Learning in Unknown Games7 Feb 2024
- 2023A Nearly Optimal and Low-Switching Algorithm for Reinforcement Learning with General Function Approximation26 Nov 2023
- 2023Posterior Sampling for Competitive RL: Function Approximation and Partial Observation30 Oct 2023
- 2023Making RL with Preference-based Feedback Efficient via Randomization23 Oct 2023
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- 2023Efficient Online Learning with Offline Datasets for Infinite Horizon MDPs: A Bayesian Approach17 Oct 2023
- 2023Sample-Efficient Multi-Agent RL: An Optimization Perspective10 Oct 2023
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- 2023Bayesian Design Principles for Frequentist Sequential Learning1 Oct 2023
- 2023Sample-Efficient Learning of POMDPs with Multiple Observations In Hindsight6 Jul 2023
- 2023Provably Efficient UCB-type Algorithms For Learning Predictive State Representations1 Jul 2023
- 2023A General Framework for Sequential Decision-Making under Adaptivity Constraints26 Jun 2023
- 2023Maximize to Explore: One Objective Function Fusing Estimation, Planning, and Exploration29 May 2023
- 2023Bridging Imitation and Online Reinforcement Learning: An Optimistic Tale20 Mar 2023
- 2023Learning in POMDPs is Sample-Efficient with Hindsight Observability31 Jan 2023
- 2022Model-Free Reinforcement Learning with the Decision-Estimation Coefficient25 Nov 2022
- 2022Partially Observable RL with B-Stability: Unified Structural Condition and Sharp Sample-Efficient Algorithms29 Sep 2022
- 2024Towards Robust Model-Based Reinforcement Learning Against Adversarial Corruptioncited by 12
- 2024More Efficient Randomized Exploration for Reinforcement Learning via Approximate Samplingcited by 12
- 2024Randomized Exploration for Reinforcement Learning with Multinomial Logistic Function Approximationcited by 7
- 2024Satisficing Exploration for Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 4
- 2025Q-learning with Posterior Samplingcited by 1
- 2025Q-learning with Posterior Sampling1 Jun 2025
- 2024Satisficing Exploration for Deep Reinforcement Learning16 Jul 2024
- 2024More Efficient Randomized Exploration for Reinforcement Learning via Approximate Sampling18 Jun 2024
- 2024Randomized Exploration for Reinforcement Learning with Multinomial Logistic Function Approximation30 May 2024
- 2024Towards Robust Model-Based Reinforcement Learning Against Adversarial Corruption14 Feb 2024
- 2024Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Dueling Banditscited by 27
- 2022Partially Observable RL with B-Stability: Unified Structural Condition and Sharp Sample-Efficient Algorithmscited by 24
- 2023Maximize to Explore: One Objective Function Fusing Estimation, Planning, and Explorationcited by 20
- 2023Learning in POMDPs is Sample-Efficient with Hindsight Observabilitycited by 18
- 2023Bayesian Design Principles for Frequentist Sequential Learningcited by 18
- 2023A Nearly Optimal and Low-Switching Algorithm for Reinforcement Learning with General Function Approximationcited by 14
- 2022Model-Free Reinforcement Learning with the Decision-Estimation Coefficientcited by 11
- 2024Optimistic Information Directed Samplingcited by 7
- 2025LLM Routing with Dueling Feedbackcited by 7
- 2023A General Framework for Sequential Decision-Making under Adaptivity Constraintscited by 6
- 2023Provably Efficient UCB-type Algorithms For Learning Predictive State Representationscited by 6
- 2023Sample-Efficient Learning of POMDPs with Multiple Observations In Hindsightcited by 4
12 most cited of 23 All 23 (JSON)
- 2026High-Probability Regret Bounds for Feel-Good Thompson Sampling14 Oct 2026
- 2026BFTS: Thompson Sampling with Bayesian Additive Regression Trees8 Feb 2026
- 2026Optimism Stabilizes Thompson Sampling for Adaptive Inference5 Feb 2026
- 2025Variance-Aware Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Bandits3 Nov 2025
- 2025LLM Routing with Dueling Feedback1 Oct 2025
- 2024Near-Optimal Learning and Planning in Separated Latent MDPs12 Jun 2024
- 2024Feel-Good Thompson Sampling for Contextual Dueling Bandits9 Apr 2024
- 2024Regret Minimization via Saddle Point Optimization15 Mar 2024
- 2024Optimistic Information Directed Sampling23 Feb 2024
- 2024Optimistic Thompson Sampling for No-Regret Learning in Unknown Games7 Feb 2024
- 2023A Nearly Optimal and Low-Switching Algorithm for Reinforcement Learning with General Function Approximation26 Nov 2023
- 2023Posterior Sampling for Competitive RL: Function Approximation and Partial Observation30 Oct 2023
12 newest of 23 All 23 (JSON)