SocialVAE: Human Trajectory Prediction using Timewise Latents
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Predicting pedestrian movement is critical for human behavior analysis and also for safe and efficient human-agent interactions. However, despite significant advancements, it is still challenging for existing approaches to capture the uncertainty and multimodality of human navigation decision making. In this paper, we propose SocialVAE, a novel approach for human trajectory prediction. The core of SocialVAE is a timewise variational autoencoder architecture that exploits stochastic recurrent neural networks to perform prediction, combined with a social attention mechanism and a backward posterior approximation to allow for better extraction of pedestrian navigation strategies. We show that SocialVAE improves current state-of-the-art performance on several pedestrian trajectory prediction benchmarks, including the ETH/UCY benchmark, Stanford Drone Dataset, and SportVU NBA movement dataset. Code is available at: https://github.com/xupei0610/SocialVAE.
Key facts. Cited by 65 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 35 of its 62 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 Mar 2022.
Builds on
35 of 62 references.
References · 35
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
- 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,199
- 2017Graph Attention Networkscited by 8,854
- 2019nuScenes: A multimodal dataset for autonomous drivingcited by 4,485
- 2014Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translationcited by 4,016
- 2013Auto-Encoding Variational Bayescited by 3,980
- 2020Learning to Simulate Complex Physics with Graph Networkscited by 867
- 2016Conditional Image Generation with PixelCNN Decoderscited by 859
- 2016Pixel Recurrent Neural Networkscited by 814
- 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 687
- 2021Machine learning accelerated computational fluid dynamicscited by 461
- 2015A Recurrent Latent Variable Model for Sequential Datacited by 362
23 more
- 2021AgentFormer: Agent-Aware Transformers for Socio-Temporal Multi-Agent Forecastingcited by 327
- 2021Skillful Precipitation Nowcasting using Deep Generative Models of Radarcited by 308
- 2018SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraintscited by 296
- 2020It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Predictioncited by 235
- 2020Spatio-Temporal Graph Transformer Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 218
- 2020Long-term Human Motion Prediction with Scene Contextcited by 191
- 2017Social Attention: Modeling Attention in Human Crowdscited by 185
- 2020Transformer Networks for Trajectory Forecastingcited by 180
- 2020From Goals, Waypoints & Paths To Long Term Human Trajectory Forecastingcited by 166
- 2016Sequential Neural Models with Stochastic Layerscited by 115
- 2018TraPHic: Trajectory Prediction in Dense and Heterogeneous Traffic Using Weighted Interactionscited by 82
- 2019What the Constant Velocity Model Can Teach Us About Pedestrian Motion Predictioncited by 78
- 2019Social Ways: Learning Multi-Modal Distributions of Pedestrian Trajectories with GANscited by 78
- 2020MANTRA: Memory Augmented Networks for Multiple Trajectory Predictioncited by 69
- 2021Stepwise Goal-Driven Networks for Trajectory Predictioncited by 62
- 2014Learning Stochastic Recurrent Networkscited by 60
- 2017Z-Forcing: Training Stochastic Recurrent Networkscited by 51
- 2020BiTraP: Bi-directional Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Multi-modal Goal Estimationcited by 47
- 2017CAR-Net: Clairvoyant Attentive Recurrent Networkcited by 34
- 2021You Mostly Walk Alone: Analyzing Feature Attribution in Trajectory Predictioncited by 23
- 2020Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 21
- 2018An Evaluation of Trajectory Prediction Approaches and Notes on the TrajNet Benchmarkcited by 16
- 2016Knowledge Transfer for Scene-specific Motion Predictioncited by 11
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 1; 2023: 13; 2024: 15; 2025: 20; 2026: 16.
65 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2023Uncovering the Missing Pattern: Unified Framework Towards Trajectory Imputation and Predictioncited by 47
- 2023EigenTrajectory: Low-Rank Descriptors for Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 41
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Modelcited by 35
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillationcited by 31
- 2023SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 27
- 2024LG-Traj: LLM Guided Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 24
- 2024Adapting to Length Shift: FlexiLength Network for Trajectory Predictioncited by 22
- 2024T4P: Test-Time Training of Trajectory Prediction via Masked Autoencoder and Actor-specific Token Memorycited by 20
- 2024Sports-Traj: A Unified Trajectory Generation Model for Multi-Agent Movement in Sportscited by 19
- 2023Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 17
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 16
38 more
- 2025Learning Personalized Driving Styles via Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedbackcited by 16
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Predictioncited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2024Geometric Trajectory Diffusion Modelscited by 13
- 2025Unified Spatial-Temporal Edge-Enhanced Graph Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
- 2023Context-Aware Timewise VAEs for Real-Time Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 12
- 2025Multi-modal Knowledge Distillation-based Human Trajectory Forecastingcited by 10
- 2025BP-SGCN: Behavioral Pseudo-Label Informed Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian and Heterogeneous Trajectory Predictioncited by 9
- 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 8
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchiescited by 8
- 2024SocialCVAE: Predicting Pedestrian Trajectory via Interaction Conditioned Latentscited by 8
- 2024Recurrent Aligned Network for Generalized Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 8
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generationcited by 7
- 2025STFlow: Data-Coupled Flow Matching for Geometric Trajectory Simulationcited by 7
- 2024SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 6
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrationscited by 5
- 2023A Study on Learning Social Robot Navigation with Multimodal Perceptioncited by 4
- 2023Sim-to-Real Causal Transfer: A Metric Learning Approach to Causally-Aware Interaction Representationscited by 4
- 2023Discovering Intrinsic Spatial-Temporal Logic Rules to Explain Human Actionscited by 3
- 2023Sparse Pedestrian Character Learning for Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2023Exploring Social Motion Latent Space and Human Awareness for Effective Robot Navigation in Crowded Environmentscited by 2
- 2024Controllable Diverse Sampling for Diffusion Based Motion Behavior Forecastingcited by 2
- 2024DenoiseRep: Denoising Model for Representation Learningcited by 2
- 2025Towards Predicting Any Human Trajectory In Contextcited by 2
- 2025Recent Advances in Multi-Agent Human Trajectory Prediction: A Comprehensive Reviewcited by 2
- 2025Intention-Aware Diffusion Model for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 2
- 2022Learning a Pedestrian Social Behavior Dictionarycited by 1
- 2023GSGFormer: Generative Social Graph Transformer for Multimodal Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 1
- 2025Post-interactive Multimodal Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Drivingcited by 1
- 2025GeoAda: Efficiently Finetune Geometric Diffusion Models with Equivariant Adapterscited by 1
- 2025Diffusion^2: Dual Diffusion Model with Uncertainty-Aware Adaptive Noise for Momentary Trajectory Predictioncited by 1
- 2026Social-Mamba: Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting with State-Space Modelscited by 1
- 2025TrajFlow: A Generative Framework for Occupancy Density Estimation Using Normalizing Flowscited by 0
- 2025An Efficient LiDAR-Camera Fusion Network for Multi-Class 3D Dynamic Object Detection and Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2025KoopCast: Trajectory Forecasting via Koopman Operatorscited by 0
- 2025AdaSports-Traj: Role- and Domain-Aware Adaptation for Multi-Agent Trajectory Modeling in Sportscited by 0
- 2025Hazy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Physical Priors and Graph-Mambacited by 0
- 2025Coherent Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecasting in Team Sports with CausalTrajcited by 0
50 most cited of 65 All 65 (JSON)
- 2026Collision Snapshot Guided Time-Reversed Safety-Critical Scenario Generation6 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Forecasting from Imperfect Tracking31 Aug 2026
- 2026CoCoNav: Conformal Control for Safe Robot Navigation in Crowds7 Aug 2026
- 2026Unveiling Transferability in Trajectory Prediction via Latent Scene Embeddings29 Jun 2026
- 2026Graph Mamba Operator: A Latent Simulator for Interacting Particle Systems8 Jun 2026
- 2026BitTP: The Lightweight Trajectory Prediction Model with BitLLM for Edge-Devices28 May 2026
- 2026Agent-Centric Social Trajectory Prediction: A Free Energy Principle Perspective25 May 2026
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction21 May 2026
- 2026Social-Mamba: Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting with State-Space Models14 May 2026
- 2026Encore: Conditioning Trajectory Forecasting via Biased Ego Rehearsals12 May 2026
- 2026JACoP: Joint Alignment for Compliant Multi-Agent Prediction12 May 2026
- 2026SceneSelect: Selective Learning for Trajectory Scene Classification and Expert Scheduling27 Apr 2026
38 more
- 2026STDDN: A Physics-Guided Deep Learning Framework for Crowd Simulation3 Apr 2026
- 2026Efficient Dense Crowd Trajectory Prediction Via Dynamic Clustering18 Mar 2026
- 2026HiMAP: History-aware Map-occupancy Prediction with Fallback19 Feb 2026
- 2026eCP: Equivariant Conformal Prediction with pre-trained models3 Feb 2026
- 2025Coherent Multi-Agent Trajectory Forecasting in Team Sports with CausalTraj23 Nov 2025
- 2025Diffusion^2: Dual Diffusion Model with Uncertainty-Aware Adaptive Noise for Momentary Trajectory Prediction5 Oct 2025
- 2025Hazy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Physical Priors and Graph-Mamba28 Sep 2025
- 2025AdaSports-Traj: Role- and Domain-Aware Adaptation for Multi-Agent Trajectory Modeling in Sports19 Sep 2025
- 2025KoopCast: Trajectory Forecasting via Koopman Operators19 Sep 2025
- 2025Intention-Aware Diffusion Model for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction10 Aug 2025
- 2025GeoAda: Efficiently Finetune Geometric Diffusion Models with Equivariant Adapters2 Jul 2025
- 2025Recent Advances in Multi-Agent Human Trajectory Prediction: A Comprehensive Review13 Jun 2025
- 2025Towards Predicting Any Human Trajectory In Context1 Jun 2025
- 2025STFlow: Data-Coupled Flow Matching for Geometric Trajectory Simulation24 May 2025
- 2025An Efficient LiDAR-Camera Fusion Network for Multi-Class 3D Dynamic Object Detection and Trajectory Prediction18 Apr 2025
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generation7 Apr 2025
- 2025Multi-modal Knowledge Distillation-based Human Trajectory Forecasting28 Mar 2025
- 2025Learning Personalized Driving Styles via Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback13 Mar 2025
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillation13 Mar 2025
- 2025Post-interactive Multimodal Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving12 Mar 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025BP-SGCN: Behavioral Pseudo-Label Informed Sparse Graph Convolution Network for Pedestrian and Heterogeneous Trajectory Prediction20 Feb 2025
- 2025Unified Spatial-Temporal Edge-Enhanced Graph Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction4 Feb 2025
- 2025TrajFlow: A Generative Framework for Occupancy Density Estimation Using Normalizing Flows24 Jan 2025
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrations3 Dec 2024
- 2024Geometric Trajectory Diffusion Models16 Oct 2024
- 2024SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction23 Sep 2024
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Prediction16 Jul 2024
- 2024DenoiseRep: Denoising Model for Representation Learning13 Jun 2024
- 2024Sports-Traj: A Unified Trajectory Generation Model for Multi-Agent Movement in Sports27 May 2024
- 2024Adapting to Length Shift: FlexiLength Network for Trajectory Prediction31 Mar 2024
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Model27 Mar 2024
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Prediction27 Mar 2024
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Prediction18 Mar 2024
- 2024T4P: Test-Time Training of Trajectory Prediction via Masked Autoencoder and Actor-specific Token Memory15 Mar 2024
- 2024LG-Traj: LLM Guided Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction12 Mar 2024
- 2024Recurrent Aligned Network for Generalized Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction9 Mar 2024
- 2024SocialCVAE: Predicting Pedestrian Trajectory via Interaction Conditioned Latents27 Feb 2024
50 newest of 65 All 65 (JSON)
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Modelcited by 35
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillationcited by 31
- 2024Geometric Trajectory Diffusion Modelscited by 13
- 2025STFlow: Data-Coupled Flow Matching for Geometric Trajectory Simulationcited by 7
- 2025Intention-Aware Diffusion Model for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 2
- 2025GeoAda: Efficiently Finetune Geometric Diffusion Models with Equivariant Adapterscited by 1
- 2025Diffusion^2: Dual Diffusion Model with Uncertainty-Aware Adaptive Noise for Momentary Trajectory Predictioncited by 1
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Diverse Yet Consistent: Context-Guided Diffusion with Energy-Based Joint Refinement for Multi-Agent Motion Prediction21 May 2026
- 2025Diffusion^2: Dual Diffusion Model with Uncertainty-Aware Adaptive Noise for Momentary Trajectory Prediction5 Oct 2025
- 2025Intention-Aware Diffusion Model for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction10 Aug 2025
- 2025GeoAda: Efficiently Finetune Geometric Diffusion Models with Equivariant Adapters2 Jul 2025
- 2025STFlow: Data-Coupled Flow Matching for Geometric Trajectory Simulation24 May 2025
- 2025MoFlow: One-Step Flow Matching for Human Trajectory Forecasting via Implicit Maximum Likelihood Estimation based Distillation13 Mar 2025
- 2024Geometric Trajectory Diffusion Models16 Oct 2024
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Model27 Mar 2024
- 2024Sports-Traj: A Unified Trajectory Generation Model for Multi-Agent Movement in Sportscited by 19
- 2026Social-Mamba: Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting with State-Space Modelscited by 1
- 2025Hazy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Physical Priors and Graph-Mambacited by 0
- 2026Graph Mamba Operator: A Latent Simulator for Interacting Particle Systemscited by 0
- 2026Graph Mamba Operator: A Latent Simulator for Interacting Particle Systems8 Jun 2026
- 2026Social-Mamba: Socially-Aware Trajectory Forecasting with State-Space Models14 May 2026
- 2025Hazy Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Physical Priors and Graph-Mamba28 Sep 2025
- 2024Sports-Traj: A Unified Trajectory Generation Model for Multi-Agent Movement in Sports27 May 2024
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchiescited by 8
- 2023Social Motion Prediction with Cognitive Hierarchies8 Nov 2023
- 2023Uncovering the Missing Pattern: Unified Framework Towards Trajectory Imputation and Predictioncited by 47
- 2023EigenTrajectory: Low-Rank Descriptors for Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 41
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2023SocialCircle: Learning the Angle-based Social Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 27
- 2024LG-Traj: LLM Guided Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 24
- 2024Adapting to Length Shift: FlexiLength Network for Trajectory Predictioncited by 22
- 2024T4P: Test-Time Training of Trajectory Prediction via Masked Autoencoder and Actor-specific Token Memorycited by 20
- 2023Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 17
- 2024Progressive Pretext Task Learning for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 16
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Predictioncited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2025Unified Spatial-Temporal Edge-Enhanced Graph Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
12 most cited of 51 All 51 (JSON)
- 2026Collision Snapshot Guided Time-Reversed Safety-Critical Scenario Generation6 Sep 2026
- 2026Uncertainty-Aware Trajectory Forecasting from Imperfect Tracking31 Aug 2026
- 2026CoCoNav: Conformal Control for Safe Robot Navigation in Crowds7 Aug 2026
- 2026Unveiling Transferability in Trajectory Prediction via Latent Scene Embeddings29 Jun 2026
- 2026BitTP: The Lightweight Trajectory Prediction Model with BitLLM for Edge-Devices28 May 2026
- 2026Agent-Centric Social Trajectory Prediction: A Free Energy Principle Perspective25 May 2026
- 2026Encore: Conditioning Trajectory Forecasting via Biased Ego Rehearsals12 May 2026
- 2026JACoP: Joint Alignment for Compliant Multi-Agent Prediction12 May 2026
- 2026SceneSelect: Selective Learning for Trajectory Scene Classification and Expert Scheduling27 Apr 2026
- 2026STDDN: A Physics-Guided Deep Learning Framework for Crowd Simulation3 Apr 2026
- 2026Efficient Dense Crowd Trajectory Prediction Via Dynamic Clustering18 Mar 2026
- 2026HiMAP: History-aware Map-occupancy Prediction with Fallback19 Feb 2026
12 newest of 51 All 51 (JSON)