Motron: Multimodal Probabilistic Human Motion Forecasting
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Abstract (arXiv)
Autonomous systems and humans are increasingly sharing the same space. Robots work side by side or even hand in hand with humans to balance each other's limitations. Such cooperative interactions are ever more sophisticated. Thus, the ability to reason not just about a human's center of gravity position, but also its granular motion is an important prerequisite for human-robot interaction. Though, many algorithms ignore the multimodal nature of humans or neglect uncertainty in their motion forecasts. We present Motron, a multimodal, probabilistic, graph-structured model, that captures human's multimodality using probabilistic methods while being able to output deterministic maximum-likelihood motions and corresponding confidence values for each mode. Our model aims to be tightly integrated with the robotic planning-control-interaction loop; outputting physically feasible human motions and being computationally efficient. We demonstrate the performance of our model on several challenging real-world motion forecasting datasets, outperforming a wide array of generative/variational methods while providing state-of-the-art single-output motions if required. Both using significantly less computational power than state-of-the art algorithms.
Key facts. Cited by 30 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 32 of its 56 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Mar 2022.
Builds on
32 of 56 references.
References · 32
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20 more
- 2020DLow: Diversifying Latent Flows for Diverse Human Motion Predictioncited by 184
- 2019Multiple Futures Predictioncited by 178
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 11; 2024: 6; 2025: 7; 2026: 3.
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- 2022BeLFusion: Latent Diffusion for Behavior-Driven Human Motion Predictioncited by 82
- 2023HumanMAC: Masked Motion Completion for Human Motion Predictioncited by 81
- 2024Seamless Human Motion Composition with Blended Positional Encodingscited by 77
- 2023SINC: Spatial Composition of 3D Human Motions for Simultaneous Action Generationcited by 62
- 2023Emotional Speech-driven 3D Body Animation via Disentangled Latent Diffusioncited by 39
- 2023Diverse Human Motion Prediction Guided by Multi-Level Spatial-Temporal Anchorscited by 34
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wildcited by 33
- 2024AnySkill: Learning Open-Vocabulary Physical Skill for Interactive Agentscited by 32
- 2024Multi-agent Long-term 3D Human Pose Forecasting via Interaction-aware Trajectory Conditioningcited by 29
- 2023Interactive Humanoid: Online Full-Body Motion Reaction Synthesis with Social Affordance Canonicalization and Forecastingcited by 27
- 2023Robots That Can See: Leveraging Human Pose for Trajectory Predictioncited by 22
- 2023CoMusion: Towards Consistent Stochastic Human Motion Prediction via Motion Diffusioncited by 21
18 more
- 2023Auxiliary Tasks Benefit 3D Skeleton-based Human Motion Predictioncited by 20
- 2025Nonisotropic Gaussian Diffusion for Realistic 3D Human Motion Predictioncited by 12
- 2023Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertaintycited by 11
- 2024MotionWavelet: Human Motion Prediction via Wavelet Manifold Learningcited by 8
- 2024Normalizing Flows on the Product Space of SO(3) Manifolds for Probabilistic Human Pose Modelingcited by 7
- 2024MotionMap: Representing Multimodality in Human Pose Forecastingcited by 7
- 2022FutureHuman3D: Forecasting Complex Long-Term 3D Human Behavior from Video Observationscited by 5
- 2023DeFeeNet: Consecutive 3D Human Motion Prediction with Deviation Feedbackcited by 4
- 2025CacheFlow: Fast Human Motion Prediction by Cached Normalizing Flowcited by 4
- 2025Uncertainty-aware Probabilistic 3D Human Motion Forecasting via Invertible Networkscited by 2
- 2025MMCM: Multimodality-aware Metric using Clustering-based Modes for Probabilistic Human Motion Predictioncited by 1
- 20233D Pose Nowcasting: Forecast the Future to Improve the Presentcited by 0
- 2025Stochastic Human Motion Prediction with Memory of Action Transition and Action Characteristiccited by 0
- 2025Cross-Modal Alignment via Variational Copula Modellingcited by 0
- 2025SMamDiff: Spatial Mamba for Stochastic Human Motion Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Capturing Uncertainty in Human Motion for Representation Learning in Soccercited by 0
- 2026Gaussian-Mixture Latent Flow for Stochastic 3D Human Motion Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Probabilistic electrical power demand forecasting with uncertainty quantificationcited by 0
- 2026Probabilistic electrical power demand forecasting with uncertainty quantification28 Sep 2026
- 2026Gaussian-Mixture Latent Flow for Stochastic 3D Human Motion Prediction21 Aug 2026
- 2026Capturing Uncertainty in Human Motion for Representation Learning in Soccer11 Aug 2026
- 2025SMamDiff: Spatial Mamba for Stochastic Human Motion Prediction29 Nov 2025
- 2025MMCM: Multimodality-aware Metric using Clustering-based Modes for Probabilistic Human Motion Prediction19 Nov 2025
- 2025Cross-Modal Alignment via Variational Copula Modelling5 Nov 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-aware Probabilistic 3D Human Motion Forecasting via Invertible Networks19 Jul 2025
- 2025Stochastic Human Motion Prediction with Memory of Action Transition and Action Characteristic5 Jul 2025
- 2025CacheFlow: Fast Human Motion Prediction by Cached Normalizing Flow19 May 2025
- 2025Nonisotropic Gaussian Diffusion for Realistic 3D Human Motion Prediction10 Jan 2025
- 2024MotionMap: Representing Multimodality in Human Pose Forecasting25 Dec 2024
- 2024MotionWavelet: Human Motion Prediction via Wavelet Manifold Learning25 Nov 2024
18 more
- 2024Normalizing Flows on the Product Space of SO(3) Manifolds for Probabilistic Human Pose Modeling8 Apr 2024
- 2024Multi-agent Long-term 3D Human Pose Forecasting via Interaction-aware Trajectory Conditioning8 Apr 2024
- 2024AnySkill: Learning Open-Vocabulary Physical Skill for Interactive Agents19 Mar 2024
- 2024Seamless Human Motion Composition with Blended Positional Encodings23 Feb 2024
- 2023Interactive Humanoid: Online Full-Body Motion Reaction Synthesis with Social Affordance Canonicalization and Forecasting14 Dec 2023
- 2023Emotional Speech-driven 3D Body Animation via Disentangled Latent Diffusion7 Dec 2023
- 2023Robots That Can See: Leveraging Human Pose for Trajectory Prediction29 Sep 2023
- 20233D Pose Nowcasting: Forecast the Future to Improve the Present24 Aug 2023
- 2023Auxiliary Tasks Benefit 3D Skeleton-based Human Motion Prediction17 Aug 2023
- 2023CoMusion: Towards Consistent Stochastic Human Motion Prediction via Motion Diffusion21 May 2023
- 2023SINC: Spatial Composition of 3D Human Motions for Simultaneous Action Generation20 Apr 2023
- 2023Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertainty13 Apr 2023
- 2023DeFeeNet: Consecutive 3D Human Motion Prediction with Deviation Feedback10 Apr 2023
- 2023Diverse Human Motion Prediction Guided by Multi-Level Spatial-Temporal Anchors9 Feb 2023
- 2023HumanMAC: Masked Motion Completion for Human Motion Prediction7 Feb 2023
- 2022FutureHuman3D: Forecasting Complex Long-Term 3D Human Behavior from Video Observations25 Nov 2022
- 2022BeLFusion: Latent Diffusion for Behavior-Driven Human Motion Prediction25 Nov 2022
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wild11 Oct 2022
- 2022BeLFusion: Latent Diffusion for Behavior-Driven Human Motion Predictioncited by 82
- 2023Emotional Speech-driven 3D Body Animation via Disentangled Latent Diffusioncited by 39
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wildcited by 33
- 2024MotionWavelet: Human Motion Prediction via Wavelet Manifold Learningcited by 8
- 2025SMamDiff: Spatial Mamba for Stochastic Human Motion Predictioncited by 0
- 2025SMamDiff: Spatial Mamba for Stochastic Human Motion Prediction29 Nov 2025
- 2024MotionWavelet: Human Motion Prediction via Wavelet Manifold Learning25 Nov 2024
- 2023Emotional Speech-driven 3D Body Animation via Disentangled Latent Diffusion7 Dec 2023
- 2022BeLFusion: Latent Diffusion for Behavior-Driven Human Motion Prediction25 Nov 2022
- 2022A generic diffusion-based approach for 3D human pose prediction in the wild11 Oct 2022
- 2023HumanMAC: Masked Motion Completion for Human Motion Predictioncited by 81
- 2024Seamless Human Motion Composition with Blended Positional Encodingscited by 77
- 2023SINC: Spatial Composition of 3D Human Motions for Simultaneous Action Generationcited by 62
- 2023Diverse Human Motion Prediction Guided by Multi-Level Spatial-Temporal Anchorscited by 34
- 2024Multi-agent Long-term 3D Human Pose Forecasting via Interaction-aware Trajectory Conditioningcited by 29
- 2023Interactive Humanoid: Online Full-Body Motion Reaction Synthesis with Social Affordance Canonicalization and Forecastingcited by 27
- 2023Robots That Can See: Leveraging Human Pose for Trajectory Predictioncited by 22
- 2023CoMusion: Towards Consistent Stochastic Human Motion Prediction via Motion Diffusioncited by 21
- 2023Auxiliary Tasks Benefit 3D Skeleton-based Human Motion Predictioncited by 20
- 2025Nonisotropic Gaussian Diffusion for Realistic 3D Human Motion Predictioncited by 12
- 2023Toward Reliable Human Pose Forecasting with Uncertaintycited by 11
- 2024Normalizing Flows on the Product Space of SO(3) Manifolds for Probabilistic Human Pose Modelingcited by 7
12 most cited of 24 All 24 (JSON)
- 2026Probabilistic electrical power demand forecasting with uncertainty quantification28 Sep 2026
- 2026Gaussian-Mixture Latent Flow for Stochastic 3D Human Motion Prediction21 Aug 2026
- 2026Capturing Uncertainty in Human Motion for Representation Learning in Soccer11 Aug 2026
- 2025MMCM: Multimodality-aware Metric using Clustering-based Modes for Probabilistic Human Motion Prediction19 Nov 2025
- 2025Cross-Modal Alignment via Variational Copula Modelling5 Nov 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-aware Probabilistic 3D Human Motion Forecasting via Invertible Networks19 Jul 2025
- 2025Stochastic Human Motion Prediction with Memory of Action Transition and Action Characteristic5 Jul 2025
- 2025CacheFlow: Fast Human Motion Prediction by Cached Normalizing Flow19 May 2025
- 2025Nonisotropic Gaussian Diffusion for Realistic 3D Human Motion Prediction10 Jan 2025
- 2024MotionMap: Representing Multimodality in Human Pose Forecasting25 Dec 2024
- 2024Normalizing Flows on the Product Space of SO(3) Manifolds for Probabilistic Human Pose Modeling8 Apr 2024
- 2024Multi-agent Long-term 3D Human Pose Forecasting via Interaction-aware Trajectory Conditioning8 Apr 2024
12 newest of 24 All 24 (JSON)