EarthNet2021: A large-scale dataset and challenge for Earth surface forecasting as a guided video prediction task
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Abstract (arXiv)
Satellite images are snapshots of the Earth surface. We propose to forecast them. We frame Earth surface forecasting as the task of predicting satellite imagery conditioned on future weather. EarthNet2021 is a large dataset suitable for training deep neural networks on the task. It contains Sentinel 2 satellite imagery at 20m resolution, matching topography and mesoscale (1.28km) meteorological variables packaged into 32000 samples. Additionally we frame EarthNet2021 as a challenge allowing for model intercomparison. Resulting forecasts will greatly improve (>x50) over the spatial resolution found in numerical models. This allows localized impacts from extreme weather to be predicted, thus supporting downstream applications such as crop yield prediction, forest health assessments or biodiversity monitoring. Find data, code, and how to participate at www.earthnet.tech
Key facts. Cited by 34 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 74 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Apr 2021.
Builds on
31 of 74 references.
References · 31
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- 2015Deep multi-scale video prediction beyond mean square errorcited by 297
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- 2016Unsupervised Learning for Physical Interaction through Video Predictioncited by 256
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- 2016Deep Predictive Coding Networks for Video Prediction and Unsupervised Learningcited by 203
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19 more
- 2018Stochastic Adversarial Video Predictioncited by 173
- 2015Action-Conditional Video Prediction using Deep Networks in Atari Gamescited by 171
- 2017Unsupervised Learning of Disentangled Representations from Videocited by 138
- 2017Self-Supervised Visual Planning with Temporal Skip Connectionscited by 137
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 5; 2023: 6; 2024: 9; 2025: 6; 2026: 8.
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- 2022DynamicEarthNet: Daily Multi-Spectral Satellite Dataset for Semantic Change Segmentationcited by 78
- 2023ClimateLearn: Benchmarking Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Modelingcited by 46
- 2022EarthNets: Empowering AI in Earth Observationcited by 40
- 2023Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 32
- 2023ClimateSet: A Large-Scale Climate Model Dataset for Machine Learningcited by 25
- 2022GLF-CR: SAR-Enhanced Cloud Removal with Global-Local Fusioncited by 24
- 2023Multi-modal learning for geospatial vegetation forecastingcited by 16
- 2023U-TILISE: A Sequence-to-sequence Model for Cloud Removal in Optical Satellite Time Seriescited by 8
- 2022Learning to forecast vegetation greenness at fine resolution over Africa with ConvLSTMscited by 7
- 2024Multi-scale Restoration of Missing Data in Optical Time-series Images with Masked Spatial-Temporal Attention Networkcited by 7
- 2024AllClear: A Comprehensive Dataset and Benchmark for Cloud Removal in Satellite Imagerycited by 7
- 2023Multi-Modal and Multi-Resolution Data Fusion for High-Resolution Cloud Removal: A Novel Baseline and Benchmarkcited by 6
22 more
- 2025A Diffusion-Based Framework for Terrain-Aware Remote Sensing Image Reconstructioncited by 6
- 2022Common Practices and Taxonomy in Deep Multi-view Fusion for Remote Sensing Applicationscited by 5
- 2024VegeDiff: Latent Diffusion Model for Geospatial Vegetation Forecastingcited by 4
- 2025ClimateBench-M: A Multi-Modal Climate Data Benchmark with a Simple Generative Methodcited by 4
- 2024DeepExtremeCubes: Integrating Earth system spatio-temporal data for impact assessment of climate extremescited by 3
- 2024Earth System Data Cubes: Avenues for advancing Earth system researchcited by 3
- 2024Explainable Earth Surface Forecasting under Extreme Eventscited by 2
- 2025An Analysis of Temporal Dropout in Earth Observation Time Series for Regression Taskscited by 2
- 2025Deep Space Weather Model: Long-Range Solar Flare Prediction from Multi-Wavelength Imagescited by 2
- 2025UniTS: Unified Spatio-Temporal Generative Model for Remote Sensingcited by 2
- 2024Implicit Neural Representations for Simultaneous Reduction and Continuous Reconstruction of Multi-Altitude Climate Datacited by 1
- 2024Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Eventscited by 1
- 2025Video Compression for Spatiotemporal Earth System Datacited by 1
- 2024Cluster-Segregate-Perturb (CSP): A Model-agnostic Explainability Pipeline for Spatiotemporal Land Surface Forecasting Modelscited by 0
- 2026Earth Science Foundation Models: From Perception to Reasoning and Discoverycited by 0
- 2026RealBench: Benchmarking Data-Driven Numerical Weather Forecasting Under Operational Conditions and Extreme Event Challengescited by 0
- 2026HLS-GPT: A Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) for Continental-Scale NASA Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) Reflectance Reconstruction Across All Bands on Arbitrary Datescited by 0
- 2026VegSim: A Geospatial World Model for Scenario-Conditioned Vegetation Simulationcited by 0
- 2026From Surface Forecasting to Observability Forecasting: A Latent World Model for Cloud-Aware EO Monitoringcited by 0
- 2026HeatCast: A Benchmark for Neighborhood-Scale LST Forecasting across 124 U.S. Citiescited by 0
- 2026Learning to Forecast Crop Growth from Earth Observation Datacited by 0
- 2026SPEAR NeXT Causal Latent Forecasting Across Multiple Horizons for Spectral Temporal Earth Representation Learningcited by 0
- 2026SPEAR NeXT Causal Latent Forecasting Across Multiple Horizons for Spectral Temporal Earth Representation Learning15 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning to Forecast Crop Growth from Earth Observation Data14 Aug 2026
- 2026HeatCast: A Benchmark for Neighborhood-Scale LST Forecasting across 124 U.S. Cities7 Aug 2026
- 2026From Surface Forecasting to Observability Forecasting: A Latent World Model for Cloud-Aware EO Monitoring15 Jul 2026
- 2026VegSim: A Geospatial World Model for Scenario-Conditioned Vegetation Simulation20 Jun 2026
- 2026HLS-GPT: A Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) for Continental-Scale NASA Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) Reflectance Reconstruction Across All Bands on Arbitrary Dates16 Jun 2026
- 2026RealBench: Benchmarking Data-Driven Numerical Weather Forecasting Under Operational Conditions and Extreme Event Challenges24 May 2026
- 2026Earth Science Foundation Models: From Perception to Reasoning and Discovery9 May 2026
- 2025UniTS: Unified Spatio-Temporal Generative Model for Remote Sensing4 Dec 2025
- 2025Deep Space Weather Model: Long-Range Solar Flare Prediction from Multi-Wavelength Images11 Aug 2025
- 2025Video Compression for Spatiotemporal Earth System Data24 Jun 2025
- 2025A Diffusion-Based Framework for Terrain-Aware Remote Sensing Image Reconstruction16 Apr 2025
22 more
- 2025ClimateBench-M: A Multi-Modal Climate Data Benchmark with a Simple Generative Method10 Apr 2025
- 2025An Analysis of Temporal Dropout in Earth Observation Time Series for Regression Tasks9 Apr 2025
- 2024Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Events31 Oct 2024
- 2024AllClear: A Comprehensive Dataset and Benchmark for Cloud Removal in Satellite Imagery31 Oct 2024
- 2024Explainable Earth Surface Forecasting under Extreme Events2 Oct 2024
- 2024Implicit Neural Representations for Simultaneous Reduction and Continuous Reconstruction of Multi-Altitude Climate Data25 Sep 2024
- 2024Cluster-Segregate-Perturb (CSP): A Model-agnostic Explainability Pipeline for Spatiotemporal Land Surface Forecasting Models12 Aug 2024
- 2024Earth System Data Cubes: Avenues for advancing Earth system research5 Aug 2024
- 2024VegeDiff: Latent Diffusion Model for Geospatial Vegetation Forecasting17 Jul 2024
- 2024DeepExtremeCubes: Integrating Earth system spatio-temporal data for impact assessment of climate extremes26 Jun 2024
- 2024Multi-scale Restoration of Missing Data in Optical Time-series Images with Masked Spatial-Temporal Attention Network19 Jun 2024
- 2023Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Survey5 Dec 2023
- 2023ClimateSet: A Large-Scale Climate Model Dataset for Machine Learning7 Nov 2023
- 2023ClimateLearn: Benchmarking Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Modeling4 Jul 2023
- 2023U-TILISE: A Sequence-to-sequence Model for Cloud Removal in Optical Satellite Time Series22 May 2023
- 2023Multi-modal learning for geospatial vegetation forecasting28 Mar 2023
- 2023Multi-Modal and Multi-Resolution Data Fusion for High-Resolution Cloud Removal: A Novel Baseline and Benchmark9 Jan 2023
- 2022Common Practices and Taxonomy in Deep Multi-view Fusion for Remote Sensing Applications20 Dec 2022
- 2022Learning to forecast vegetation greenness at fine resolution over Africa with ConvLSTMs24 Oct 2022
- 2022EarthNets: Empowering AI in Earth Observation10 Oct 2022
- 2022GLF-CR: SAR-Enhanced Cloud Removal with Global-Local Fusion6 Jun 2022
- 2022DynamicEarthNet: Daily Multi-Spectral Satellite Dataset for Semantic Change Segmentation23 Mar 2022
- 2022DynamicEarthNet: Daily Multi-Spectral Satellite Dataset for Semantic Change Segmentationcited by 78
- 2023ClimateLearn: Benchmarking Machine Learning for Weather and Climate Modelingcited by 46
- 2022EarthNets: Empowering AI in Earth Observationcited by 40
- 2023Foundation Models for Weather and Climate Data Understanding: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 32
- 2023ClimateSet: A Large-Scale Climate Model Dataset for Machine Learningcited by 25
- 2022GLF-CR: SAR-Enhanced Cloud Removal with Global-Local Fusioncited by 24
- 2023Multi-modal learning for geospatial vegetation forecastingcited by 16
- 2023U-TILISE: A Sequence-to-sequence Model for Cloud Removal in Optical Satellite Time Seriescited by 8
- 2022Learning to forecast vegetation greenness at fine resolution over Africa with ConvLSTMscited by 7
- 2024Multi-scale Restoration of Missing Data in Optical Time-series Images with Masked Spatial-Temporal Attention Networkcited by 7
- 2024AllClear: A Comprehensive Dataset and Benchmark for Cloud Removal in Satellite Imagerycited by 7
- 2023Multi-Modal and Multi-Resolution Data Fusion for High-Resolution Cloud Removal: A Novel Baseline and Benchmarkcited by 6
12 most cited of 30 All 30 (JSON)
- 2026SPEAR NeXT Causal Latent Forecasting Across Multiple Horizons for Spectral Temporal Earth Representation Learning15 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning to Forecast Crop Growth from Earth Observation Data14 Aug 2026
- 2026HeatCast: A Benchmark for Neighborhood-Scale LST Forecasting across 124 U.S. Cities7 Aug 2026
- 2026HLS-GPT: A Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) for Continental-Scale NASA Harmonized Landsat and Sentinel-2 (HLS) Reflectance Reconstruction Across All Bands on Arbitrary Dates16 Jun 2026
- 2026RealBench: Benchmarking Data-Driven Numerical Weather Forecasting Under Operational Conditions and Extreme Event Challenges24 May 2026
- 2026Earth Science Foundation Models: From Perception to Reasoning and Discovery9 May 2026
- 2025Deep Space Weather Model: Long-Range Solar Flare Prediction from Multi-Wavelength Images11 Aug 2025
- 2025Video Compression for Spatiotemporal Earth System Data24 Jun 2025
- 2025A Diffusion-Based Framework for Terrain-Aware Remote Sensing Image Reconstruction16 Apr 2025
- 2025ClimateBench-M: A Multi-Modal Climate Data Benchmark with a Simple Generative Method10 Apr 2025
- 2025An Analysis of Temporal Dropout in Earth Observation Time Series for Regression Tasks9 Apr 2025
- 2024Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Events31 Oct 2024
12 newest of 30 All 30 (JSON)